Posts Tagged ‘Davidowitz’

“We Spent $13 Trillion And These Banks Are STILL IN THE CRAPPER!”

"We Spent $13 Trillion And These Banks Are STILL IN THE CRAPPER!"

Courtesy of Henry Blodget at Clusterstock

More from the one and only Howard Davidowitz… This time on the banks and the "crisis in commercial real estate", which Howard describes as a "catastrophe."

Aaron Task, TechTicker: Since the government gave banks relief on mark-to-market accounting and the "stress tests" helped engineer a big round of capital-raising last spring, the financial sector has been on a tear.

Now a major debate is occurring over whether the sector remains attractively valued or is living on borrowed time.

On the optimistic side of the ledger, famed hedge fund manager John Paulson is upping his stake in Citigroup, The NY Post reports. Last month, an SEC filing revealed Paulson’s fund taking big stakes in Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Capital One Financial and other financials.

On the other hand, regulators loosened restrictions on private equity firms’ ability to buy failed banks, a nod to the drain on the FDIC’s insurance fund given the failures of the past year – and more expected to come. (On Thursday, the FDIC said the number of banks on its problem watchlist rose to 416 in the second quarter from 305 in Q1, while its insurance fund fell 20% to $10.4 billion. "The decrease in the fund was chiefly caused by an $11.6 billion increase in the money the FDIC set aside for anticipated bank failures," Reuters reports.)

Count Howard Davidowitz of Davidowitz & Associates among the skeptics, which shouldn’t surprise anyone who’s seen his often grim (albeit entertaining) appearances on Tech Ticker.

"I think the banks have major problems to come," Davidowitz says. "The banks still have tons of toxic assets. [Plus] the shape of the consumer comes right back to the banks with all this credit card debt, student loans, auto loans [going bad] – all of this goes to the banks."

In addition to what he sees as a dire outlook for consumers, commercial real estate "is a catastrophe" and will add to the banks’ woes, Davidowitz says.

jingle mailAlthough REITs like Vornado and Simon Property Group have been able to get financing, many property owners are unable to renegotiate terms with their lenders to account…
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Phil's Favorites

Animal Spirits: The Beanie Baby Bubble

 

Animal Spirits: The Beanie Baby Bubble

Courtesy of 

We spoke to David Lau a few weeks ago about how they work with advisors. Check out the whole show here.

On today’s show we discuss:

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Zero Hedge

Iran Says S.Korea To Release $1BN Of Its Frozen Funds After Tanker Seizure

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Iran and South Korea have been engaged for the past two months in intense crisis meetings triggered by the Jan.4 Iranian seizure of the South Korean-flagged tanker MT Hankuk Chemi off the Islamic Republic's southern waters. From the start of the IRGC's capturing the vessel and detaining its crew, Tehran pointed to $7 billion to $10 billion in Iranian assets in Korean banks previousl...



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ValueWalk

Workhorse Blows Up; Buffett And Berkshire Get Busy

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Whitney Tilson’s email to investors discussing Workhorse Group Inc (NASDAQ:WKHS) blows up; Buffett and Berkshire get busy; the king of SPACs wants you to know he’s the next Warren Buffett.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Workhorse Blows Up

1) Another day, another blowup of one of the stocks I've warned my readers about...

On Monday, it was software supplier Ebix (EBIX). Yesterday, it was electric-vehicle developer Workhorse (WKHS), which tumbled 47% and was down ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Is Rising Inflation About To Hit U.S. Economy In Big Way?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Inflation seems to be a thing of the past… but current trading in bond and commodity markets tell us that it could become a thing of the future!

Inflation hasn’t been an issue, or even on our radar, since the 1980s. Sure, the 2007 surge in oil prices offered some concern but the financial crisis killed any thoughts of inflation.

So what’s got us concerned about inflation in 2021?

Today we take a look at long-term charts of two potential inflation indicators: Crude Oil ...



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Digital Currencies

What Is Top Shot?

 

What Is Top Shot?

Courtesy of 

What I’m about to write is going to sound incredibly stupid. Some of it also might not be factually accurate, as I’m still very much a NoobWhale.  If you want to learn more, I suggest you start herehere, or ...



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Biotech/COVID-19

6 important truths about COVID-19 vaccines

 

6 important truths about COVID-19 vaccines

For many, distinguishing between fact and fiction is difficult. Olemedia/E+ via Getty Images

Courtesy of Sarah Lynch, Binghamton University, State University of New York and Kanneboyina Nagaraju, Binghamton University, State University of New York

One of the biggest barriers s...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Saturday, 29 August 2020, 05:46:16 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: Low liquidity means price can MOVE fast either way!



Date Found: Saturday, 29 August 2020, 05:52:11 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: if you have 100% of life savings in stocks alone, please adjust for a crash...



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Politics

Why the British abandoned impeachment - and what the US Congress might do next

 

Why the British abandoned impeachment – and what the US Congress might do next

The impeachment trial of Warren Hastings in 1788. Library of Congress

Courtesy of Eliga Gould, University of New Hampshire

Impeachment was developed in medieval England as a way to discipline the king’s ministers and other high officials. The framers of the U.S. Constitution took that idea and applied it to presidents, judges and other federal leaders.

Now that tool is in use, and in question, during ...



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Mapping The Market

The Countries With The Most COVID-19 Cases

 

The Countries With The Most COVID-19 Cases

By Martin Armstrong, Statista, Jan 12, 2021

This regularly updated infographic keeps track of the countries with the most confirmed Covid-19 cases. The United States is still at the top of the list, with a total now exceeding the 22 million mark, according to Johns Hopkins University figures. The total global figure is now over 85 million, while there have been more than 1.9 million deaths.

You will find more infographics at ...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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