Posts Tagged ‘Dubai default’

Roubini on Greece’s Impending Default Crisis

Roubini on Greece’s Impending Default Crisis 

Courtesy of Shocked Investor

Greece, Kos Island, ruins of stadium at archeological site

The markets are falling hard – again – in great part due to the impending Greece default/bailout.

Nouriel Roubini, Dr. Doom, wrote a piece on Forbes magazine in which he says the credibility of the euro and European institutional arrangements is on the line.

At their Jan. 18, 2009, meeting, eurozone finance ministers kept pressure on Greece to fulfill its commitment to cut its budget deficit below 3% of gross domestic product by 2012. In February the eurozone finance ministers will more fully evaluate the country’s spending plans and recommend a timetable for Greece to trim its deficit, estimated at close to 13% of GDP in 2009.

Since the eurozone is a monetary union with a no-bailout clause rather than a political or fiscal union with the associated fiscal federalism, budget cuts to contain the explosion of Greek public debt are urgently needed. In 2010 a sustainable fiscal adjustment must be delivered to restore policy credibility, market confidence and ECB/EU member-state solidarity.

Roubini says that the current and latest default crisis was triggered by three coinciding events:

1. Greece’s sharp budget deficit revisions from as low as 3.7% of GDP to 12.7% in October,
2. the announcement of the beginning of the ECB’s exit strategies,
3. the Dubai default

While in March spreads were broadly driven by a common systemic risk factor, the latest spike bringing Greek yields and CDS spreads to new highs is mostly a country-specific story, brought to light by a change of government and the revelation of far larger budget deficits than previously known and a severe cyclical and structural deterioration in public finances. In tackling the deficit, Greece faces a Hobson’s Choice: whether to accept social pain with financial and economic stability, or instability. Whatever it chooses, Greece will face economic pain and difficult socio-political fallout. Deep spending cuts or tax hikes, which comprise the bulk of Greece’s current plan, will curb or even derail recovery, perhaps inciting social unrest. But if the debt becomes un-financeable in the primary market or if Greece elects to exit the euro and devalue and re-denominate its liabilities (a la Argentina), this could render its banking system insolvent and tip it into economic and financial isolation and decline, also with dire socio-political


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Zero Hedge

Growth Stocks' "Line In The Sand" Defended Again, Bitcoin Battered

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Big-Tech stocks rallied today as Small Caps lagged and the S&P and Dow trod water as yesterday's exuberance faded with an ugly close...

But sentiment, complacency, and ignorance continued to drive to ever higher highs...Over 86% of Nasdaq composite stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average - that is the highest number since February 2004.

...



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ValueWalk

These Are The Top Ten Biggest Mutual Funds

By Aman Jain. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Mutual funds are among the most reliable asset classes. It pools money from investors and then invests it in different securities, such as stocks, bonds and more. Investors buy units of mutual funds, giving them a part ownership of the fund and in the income that it generates. Mutual funds are a good way for investors to invest in stocks that are otherwise out of their reach. If you are also planning to invest in this asset class, then detailed below are the top ten biggest mutual funds.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Top Ten Biggest Mutual Funds

Our list of the top ten biggest mutual ...



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Phil's Favorites

Highlights from Janet Yellen's Confirmation Hearing for Treasury Secretary

Courtesy of Pam Martens

Senator Ron Wyden at Senate Finance Committee Hearing, January 19, 2021

The mood among Democrats in Washington was captured at the Senate Finance Committee’s confirmation hearing on Tuesday for former Fed Chair Janet Yellen to become the new Treasury Secretary. Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat of Oregon and the Ranking Member of the Committee (who is expected to become the new Chair), said this in his opening remarks:

“This is the second time in 12 years that a Republican President leaves office with the economy in ruins. Today there’s also a surging pan...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

A Repeat Of The 2000 Dot.com Highs In Play?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Since the 2000 tech bubble and crash, tech stocks have regained their leadership form. Especially large-cap tech stocks.

Headlines have varied in focus from the “4 horseman” to “FANG” and “FANGE”, but one thing remains: Large-cap tech stocks have been the bull market leader.

So what about when large-cap tech lags the market? Not so good.

In today’s chart, we look at a “monthly” chart of the performance ratio of the Nasdaq 100 Index to the Nasdaq Composite. It’s basically a look at how large-cap tech stocks perform against the broader tech stocks world.

As you ca...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Saturday, 11 July 2020, 05:26:16 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: This is lack of liquidity means support is likely to break if it is tested hard!



Date Found: Saturday, 11 July 2020, 09:51:58 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: Nasdaq losing momentum.



Da...

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Politics

What is the 'boogaloo' and who are the rioters who stormed the Capitol? 5 essential reads

 

What is the 'boogaloo' and who are the rioters who stormed the Capitol? 5 essential reads

Rioters mass on the U.S. Capitol steps on Jan. 6. Samuel Corum/Getty Images

Courtesy of Jeff Inglis, The Conversation

In the wake of the insurrection on Jan. 6, the U.S. is bracing for the possibility of additional violent demonstrations and potential riots at the U.S. Capitol and state capitol buildings around the nation. W...



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Biotech/COVID-19

The simple reason West Virginia leads the nation in vaccinating nursing home residents

 

The simple reason West Virginia leads the nation in vaccinating nursing home residents

By mid-January, only about a quarter of the COVID-19 vaccines distributed for U.S. nursing homes through the federal program had reached people’s arms. Paul Bersebach/MediaNews Group/Orange County Register via Getty Images

Courtesy of Tinglong Dai, Johns Hopkins University School of Nursing

The urgency of vaccinating nursing home residents is evident in the numbers. The COVID-19 pandemic has claimed the lives of mo...



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Mapping The Market

The Countries With The Most COVID-19 Cases

 

The Countries With The Most COVID-19 Cases

By Martin Armstrong, Statista, Jan 12, 2021

This regularly updated infographic keeps track of the countries with the most confirmed Covid-19 cases. The United States is still at the top of the list, with a total now exceeding the 22 million mark, according to Johns Hopkins University figures. The total global figure is now over 85 million, while there have been more than 1.9 million deaths.

You will find more infographics at ...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin: why the price has exploded - and where it goes from here

 

Bitcoin: why the price has exploded – and where it goes from here

B is for blast-off (but also bubble). 3DJustincase

Courtesy of Andrew Urquhart, University of Reading

Bitcoin achieved a remarkable rise in 2020 in spite of many things that would normally make investors wary, including US-China tensions, Brexit and, of course, an international pandemic. From a year-low on the daily charts of US$4,748 (£3,490) in the middle of March as pandemic fears took hold, bitcoin rose to ju...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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