Posts Tagged ‘ELY’

Zynga Weekly Calls Active

ZNGA – Zynga Inc. – A narrower than expected third-quarter loss on higher than expected revenue reported by the social game developer on Thursday lifted shares in Zynga on Friday, with shares in the name rallying as much as 14% to a new 52-week high of $4.04.

Trading traffic in weekly calls on the maker of Farmville and other games suggests some options players are positioning for the price of the underling to extend gains next week. More than 9,000 calls have changed hands at the Nov 01 ’13 $4.0 strike as of 11:30 a.m. ET against open interest of 1,926 contracts, with much of the volume purchased in the early going at a premium of $0.19 each. Buyers of the $4.0 weekly call options on ZNGA stand ready to profit at expiration should shares in the San Francisco, California-based company rally another 3.7% to exceed the breakeven price of $4.19.

Overall options volume on the stock is well above average today, with roughly 72,500 contracts in play versus Zynga’s average daily options volume of around 29,000 contracts. 

ELY – Callaway Golf Co. – Shares in the maker of golf equipment and apparel are soaring on Friday, up better than 14% to hit a new 52-week high of $8.32 after the company reported third-quarter results after the close on Thursday and raised its full-year revenue guidance. Callaway was raised to ‘Buy’ from ‘Neutral’ with a 12-month target share price of $11.00 at DA Davidson following the quarterly earnings report.

Options traders who purchased upside calls on the stock prior to the company’s earnings release are enjoying sizable gains in the value of bullish positions. Yesterday, one or more traders snapped up more than 800 of the Nov $8.0 strike calls at premiums of $0.10 and $0.15 each. The sharp move in the price of the underlying today now finds the $8.0 strike calls trading at $0.40 each as of the time of this writing.

Today, it looks like traders are purchasing in-the-money call options on Callaway, buying roughly 760 of the Nov $7.0 strike calls at an average premium of $1.23 apiece during morning trading. Options players long the $7.0 strike calls stand ready to profit at expiration next month should shares in ELY settle above the average breakeven price of $8.23. 


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Frightening Friday – Halloween Edition!

Wheee what a day! 

Who said we placed a spread bet on the Dow moving 200 points one way or another in yesterday's morning post?  Me, that's who.  And how much did the Dow move yesterday?  199.89 points.  OK, so I was wrong by .11 but our plays worked out just fine and we flipped bearish again as we flew up and we'll see if my streak continues this week.  We would have gone more aggressivley bearish but we were worried about end of the month (and end of the year for many hedge funds) window dressing that would keep things going for one more day.

Everything went according to plan and we got the bounces we were looking for but the RUT failed to retake 589, which was our canary in the coal mine's breakdown level from last week.  As I alerted members at 12:15, that and the Qs failing to hold 42 into the close, which failed to confirm the Nas move over our 2,088 watch level.  We have our DIA puts, we have our SRS longs, we have our DXD longs (which are half price as our DDMs paid off yesterday) and we shorted SPG into the close as Cap noted they had a ridiculous run-up ahead of today's earnings. 

As I said to members in the afternoon, my gut said to go more bearish but we allowed ourselves to be spooked by Mr Stick in the afternoon and ended up about 55% bearish with a 1/2 cover of our long DIA puts but we already made a quick 20% on the sale of short puts in the morning so it's a position we had a little slack in going into the close.  Our logic is, even if we have another up day today, we're still going to want some pretty serious coverage into the weekend unless the Russell and the Qs can confirm this move up today. 

Bulls should be spooked by the fact that a blow-out GDP report, showing an economy with a HUGE turnaround and the President crowing on TV about how great things are going could ONLY erase 1/2 the losses we suffered since last week.  Another market move I hit on the head yesterday was my prediction that, after 3 consecutive 1.8% down days in a row, the Hang Seng would jump
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Long Shots

Every once in a while, it's fun to take a chance.

Today we made a play on YRCW where we sell the 2011 $2.50 puts for $1.75 and sell the 2011 $5 calls for .75, which net's us $2.50 on the $2 stock.  We like YRCW and think they are undervalued here but that's no reason to actually buy them in an uncertain market.  The nice thing about selling the 2 naked leaps is that we have collected $2.50 and our worst-case outcome to the downside is that the stock goes bankrupt and we owe the put holder $2.50 back – making this a null trade

Our real risk (our only risk) is to the upside.  Our strategy for managing that risk is to put a buy on YRCW at $2.50 and a sell on YRCW at $2.50.  In other words, we will buy it when it's breaking over and sell it when it's breaking under.   Each time we do this, we may lose a few pennies here and there but, if YRCW finishes over $2.50 by 2011, we will own the stock for free (we collected $2.50 and paid $2.50 for the stock) and will be called away at $5 – a VERY nice profit over 18 months.

Anything under $2.50 and we keep the net between $0 and the final price, giving the rest back to the put-holder.  This is not the kind of position we worry over, this is simply a play to collect $2.50 and, hopefully, never give it back!  Of course there are margin issues depending on your account situation that need to be considered.  This is a variation of the Buy/Write strategy we love to use, only without the buy.  If you did buy YRCW at $2 and sold the 2011 $5 calls and 2011 $2.50 puts for $2.50 then you would be in the trade for a credit of .50.  In the bankruptcy scenario there, you would have another round put to you at $2.50 and your average entry would be $1 – substantially more potential downside loss than selling naked.  On the upside, you are in better shape as your basis of -0.50 would net you a $5.50 profit if YRCW closes over $5 and you don't have to worry about getting blown out by a buyout of YRCW.

These kinds of plays are always
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Phil's Favorites

Mass protests protect Hong Kong's legal autonomy from China - for now

 

Picture via Pixabay

Mass protests protect Hong Kong's legal autonomy from China – for now

Courtesy of Kelly Chernin, Appalachian State University

Protesters in Hong Kong have achieved a major victory in their fight to protect their legal system from Chinese interference.

On June 15, in response to massive popular resistance, Chief Executive Carrie Lam announced she would suspend a vote on a proposed new law that would allow China to extradite suspects accused of certain c...



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Zero Hedge

The Rise Of Facial Recognition Should Scare Us All

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Derrick Broze via The Mind Unleashed blog,

It seems the sleeping masses are finally waking to the privacy dangers posed by the rise of facial recognition technology.

In the last ten years, our world has been completely transformed thanks to the exponential growth of digital technology. Technological advances with computer processors and the internet have q...



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Insider Scoop

5 Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Hours Session

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Gainers
  • PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: PHAS) shares are up 18% after reporting preliminary results from a Phase 2a clinical trial of PB2452 for reversal of antiplatelet activity.
  • Lannett Company, Inc. (NYSE: LCI) shares are up 4% after reporting a restructuring plan related to Cody Labs. The company says it sees incurring around $5 million in costs to implement Cody API Restructuring Plan.
  • EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) shares spiked up 3% after announcing it sees second-quar...


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Biotech

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

If you’ve got the raw data, why not mine it for more info? Sergey Nivens/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Sarah Catherine Nelson, University of Washington

Back in 2016, Helen (a pseudonym) took three different direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic tests: AncestryDNA, 23andMe and FamilyTreeDNA. She saw genetic testing as a way...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Gold Bugs Index Attempting 8-Year Breakout, Says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Are Gold Bugs fans about to receive positive news they haven’t had in years? Possible!

This chart looks at the Gold Bugs Index (HUI) on a weekly basis over a couple of decades. The index has spent the majority of the past 20-year inside of rising channel (1).

The index hit the top of the channel in 2011, where it peaked and started creating a series of lower highs for the past 8-years, which has formed line (2).

The index is now kissing the underside of falling resistance and the underside the 2016/2017 lows at (3).

Joe Friday Just The Fa...



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Chart School

Silver Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

The folks in the federal reserve will debase the US dollar currency to an extreme degree silver will finally lift off the floor.. 

Note: Readers should re watch the silver back screen news video, here.

The following video looks at price action and Wyckoff logic.

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Chart in video

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If gold moves, silver wi...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptos Are Crashing As Asia Opens, Bitcoin Back Below $8k

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Having survived the day's bloodbath in US tech stocks, cryptos are crashing in the early Asian session, apparently playing catch-down to the day's de-risking.

While no catalyst is immediately evident, there are some reports noting 13 large global banks are preparing to launch digital versions of major global currencies next year, though we suspect this drop was more algorithmic that fundamental-driven.

...



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ValueWalk

More Examples Of "Typical Tesla "wise-guy scamminess"

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Stanphyl Capital’s letter to investors for the month of March 2019.

rawpixel / Pixabay

Friends and Fellow Investors:

For March 2019 the fund was up approximately 5.5% net of all fees and expenses. By way of comparison, the S&P 500 was up approximately 1.9% while the Russell 2000 was down approximately 2.1%. Year-to-date 2019 the fund is up approximately 12.8% while the S&P 500 is up approximately 13.6% and the ...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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