Posts Tagged ‘Features’

The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Morgan Stanley: The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Google Earth moneybag

Morgan Stanley just released a research report that painstakingly details the current state of our global economy.

Inside the 88-page report is a section called "Charts You Can’t Miss." It’s broken down in the following order of countries: Global economy, Europe, Asia (excluding Japan), and Japan. These charts focus on the underlying issues that truly affect our economy.

Credit spreads are at their highest levels ever post-Lehman and Germany’s industrial production is falling. Clearly there’s cause for concern.

If you’ve ever wanted a quick, comprehensive breakdown of the global marketplace, here’s your chance.

Check out these can’t miss charts >


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Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

More evidence that the public is not drinking the proverbial Kool Aid.  See also my recent article, Volume – Hiding in Plain Sight. - Ilene 

Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

Courtesy of John Carney and Gregory White at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Chales Schwab

Charles Schwab has released their latest survey of independent investment advisors and it points towards an across the board increased conservatism on the part of most clients. 

While hedge funds and investment banks might have made a killing on distressed and risky asset classes, the retail investor isn’t chasing those particular rabbits.

In fact, the report make a good case for continuation of the "new normal," with retail investors focused on savings over spending, security over risk, debt reduction over accumulation.

Of course, you never can tell whether the retail sector is an indicator of things to come or a contrary indicator pointing in the wrong direction.

Check Out The Trends On The Minds Of Investment Advisors Across The U.S. >>>

Image: Charles Schwab


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“The Public Backs The Austerity Plan”

"The Public Backs The Austerity Plan"

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

greece strike no. 2

Greece’s finance minister George Papaconstantinou said last week that Greece is in a "terrible mess" but his government has the backing of the public to push through its package of austerity measures.

Wrong.

The first round of strikes were mostly peaceful: marches and rallies of the young and old.

But today the strikes turned violent.

Transportation unions are taking part, which means no one’s getting in or out of Greece.

See The Strike Turn Violent >

See Also: 


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There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

Courtesy of Gregory White at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

Morgan Stanley Greece

Source: Morgan Stanley

The EU Presidency has announced a deal to save Greece, but there’s no deal yet — just a statement.

This is following the TARP path still — lots of talk, little action, and deep political opposition.

So, who are the parties that are just praying for a deal to come through?

We’ve gone through the research to figure out the banking systems, insurance companies, and countries that will get slammed if it all falls through.

Check out what will get hit the most if Greece defaults>

See also:

Bone Up On The 9 Possible Scenarios For A Greek Bailout (TBI)

Investors Place The Biggest Short Bet In The History Of The Euro (TBI)

Bailout? Greece Don’t Need No Stinking Bailout! (Phil)


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The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

the business insider Don’t expect Greeks to swallow their medicine willingly.

Civil servants in the massive default risk country launched a 24-hour strike today to protest government cutbacks. Mob chants included "We won’t pay for their crisis!" and "Not one euro to be sacrificed to the bankers!" according to the New York Times.

Strikes are a beloved tradition in many European countries, but they do make financial reform hard. Recently, Iceland refused payment on a financial crisis debt for fear of angering the population.

Air traffic controllers, customs and tax officials, hospital doctors and schoolteachers are involved in Greece’s strike. Needless to say, that means basically no economic progress in Greece today.

See the Greeks taking to the street >

See Also:

Here’s The REAL Reason Germany Is So Hesitant About Bailing Out Greece

Roubini: The Greece Bailout Isn’t Enough, Ultimately Europe Is So Screwed That It Will Need The IMF

Darkness Falls Over A Europe In Chaos, As German, Swedish, And UK Leaders Have Different Ideas For Solving Greece 


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Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

chartCourtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock/The Business Insider  

What are banks doing with the billions upon billions of dollars they’ve taken from the taxpayer?

The St. Louis Fed has just updated its latest data on bank health and activity, and the charts paint a great picture of what’s really going on in our banking system.

The bottom line: lending is still tanking (unless you count lending to the government)

See the whole story of the banking system >

 


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A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

Courtesy of Vincent Fernando at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

Will Toyota survive? We bet in ten years Toyota will be an even larger, more successful company.Some might say that Toyota’s current crisis is a result of enormously bad luck, and they might be partly right.

Yet Toyota’s problems also appear to have been the result of a series of tiny flops, over and over, ranging from quality control to public relations disasters.

For example, it shouldn’t have taken until today for its CEO to address its safety matters in public

99% of your hard work is meaningless when 1% of the time you’re a complete joke.

We’ve put together a quick guide to the amazingly unfortunate serious of events that put Toyota into its current situation.

Here’s how Toyota destroyed itself >

See Also:  

Ray LaHood: WHOOPS, What I Really Meant To Say Is That You Should Get Your Toyota Fixed

Here’s How Safety Problems Savaged Toyota Shareholders

Apple Founder Woz: My Toyota Prius Accelerates To 97 MPH On Its Own, Scares The Hell Out Of Me

 


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The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

Courtesy of Clusterstock’s Lawrence Delevingne davos world economic forum switzerland panel WEF

Davos is a crowded place this week.

Luminaries and assorted hangers-on are all jostling for attention at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting. There are some 224 sessions over five days for opining on the future of the world, not to mention countless interview opportunities from hoards of reporters.

In short, there’s plenty said, most of it a huge snooze.

Here are the only 10 important things that have been said so far, including:

  • The recovery will be U-shaped
  • Bankers should aim for 10% return on equity, not a greedy 20% 

Ten Can’t-Miss Quotes From Davos So Far >>> 

See Also:

Soros: ‘The Ultimate Asset Bubble Is Gold’

Saudi Oil CEO Comes Out Swinging In Davos: ‘We Don’t Believe In Peak Oil’

Davos Goers Still Having Way More Fun Than You

Image: WEF/Monika Flueckiger 


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Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Courtesy of Gregory White and John Carney at Clusterstock

Josef Ackerman Deutsche BankMany financial shares tanked yesterday after President Barack Obama proposed rules that would limit the types of trading banks can do with their money.

Tightening the rules on risk-taking and trading will likely hurt profits at some banks. But the pain won’t be spread evenly across the financial sector.

Some banks, especially smaller regional banks that haven’t gone in for the prop trading and hedge fund investing that forms the core of some Wall Street banks, probably won’t be touched by this

Obama also said he would crack down on bank consolidation and seek to limit the size of banks.

All eyes immediately turned to big financial institutions like Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are structured. Each of their stocks dropped more than 4 percent.

But what about Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs? Can they abandon their prop trading? Can they avoid the regulations?

We delved into the regulations to see who we think will come out ahead and who will take a beating.

The top winners and losers from Obama’s banking plan >

 


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Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

This morning’s JPMorgan (JPM) earnings report helped to reinforce the conventional wisdom that the worst is over and that the banking system is wobbly but on the mend.

But what if that’s not so.

A recent report from Deutsche Bank’s Bill Prophet, entitled "Alternative Universe," foretells a story of approaching disaster and even goes so far as to say "the health of the US commercial banking system will inevitably get worse before it gets better. And this has undeniable consequences for the rates market, if not Fed policy."

The reason? Bank balance sheets have hardly shrunk at all. This applies to both commercial and residential real estate.

Says Prophet on RMBS:

Nevertheless, we find it inconceivable that these assets are being marked anywhere close to their recoverable value, and the reality is that commercial bank exposure to them is as large now as it was 12 months ago. And in fact when we look at the entire $2tr portfolio of residential real estate assets on bank balance sheets (which would of course include the home-equity loans shown above), we reach a similar conclusion. Namely, as of the end of Q3-’09, the value of “home mortgage” assets has declined by just 1.6% from the end of ‘08 (see Chart 7).  Similar to CRE, these assets could be worth hundreds of billions of dollars less than where they are currently being marked.
 

Now let’s see the current picture of bank health ->

 


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Phil's Favorites

Why do so many people fall for fake profiles online?

 

Why do so many people fall for fake profiles online?

Do you want to be friends with this person? Sasun Bughdaryan

Courtesy of Arun Vishwanath, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York

The first step in conducting online propaganda efforts and misinformation campaigns is almost always a fake social media profile. Phony profiles for nonexistent people worm their way into the social networks of real people, where they can spread their falsehoods. But neither social media companies nor technological innovations offer reliable ways to iden...



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Zero Hedge

Just How Low Can Iran's Oil Exports Go?

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Tsvetana Paraskova via Oilprice.com,

Iran’s oil exports started to fall noticeably in August as key customers in Asia began to curtail oil purchases to either comply with the U.S. efforts to bring Iranian exports to zero, or to win waivers with the U.S. Administration.

...



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ValueWalk

Jeremy Seigel: Buy Moar Stocks

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at The Wharton School, discusses the “incredible strength” of the markets.

H/T Dataroma

Seigel: Markets Show US And China Can’t Have A Full Trade War

Q2 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

Transcript

I just finished my class here at Wharton and I inherited who's a who's afraid of the big bad Trump. Clearly the stock market is I mean you know you thought tariffs are g...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

King Dollar Created Multi-Year Topping Pattern?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The currency markets often play a role in asset management for investors. And one key asset that pays close attention to the US Dollar is Gold (and precious metals). Could a near-term trend change be in store for the US Dollar… and its counterpart, the Euro? Precious metals bulls would love to see the US Dollar topping and the Euro bottoming.

In the chart below, you can see that the two currencies are showing similar reversal patterns – a traditional head and shoulders top for the US Dollar Index and an inverted head and shoulders bottom for the Euro.

BUT, they need to confirm these pattern by breaking down / up.

It’s worth noting that NOTHING has been proved so far, but the potential of both creating longer-term reversal patterns is there and traders should stay tuned.

US D...



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Insider Scoop

Morgan Stanley Bullish On Amazon's New Automated Stores

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related AMZN Stitch Fix Falls After Piper Jaffray Downgrade; Analyst Says 'Smallest Hint Of Pressure' Could Threaten Valuation ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Digital Currencies

Mania to Mania

 

Mania to Mania

Courtesy of 

“Russell rarely played the stock market and had little investing experience when he put around $120,000 into bitcoin in November 2017.”

This comes from a CNN money article, Bitcoin crash: This man lost his savings when cryptocurrencies plunged. From January 2017 through the peak in early 2018, Ethereum gained 16,915%.

Any time you have something go vertical, you just know that some peopl...



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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Sep 16, 2018

Courtesy of Blain.

Slow and steady drip up all this past week in a very quiet news environment.  A gap down top open the day Tuesday (which was recovered quickly) and a gap up Thursday (which held) were the highlights!

The latest on TRADE WARS!(tm):

Tuesday, news hit that China vowed to retaliate and plans to ask the World Trade Organization next week for permission to impose sanctions on the U.S. for Washington’s noncompliance with a ruling in a dispute over U.S. dumping duties, Reuters reported. That’s part of a dispute that goes back to 2013.

“Trade wars are certainly a concern, but I don’t know that they’re a one...



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Members' Corner

Nike, Colin Kaepernick and the pitfalls of 'woke' corporate branding

 

Adding this article to Members Corner, in case anyone wants to share their opinions on Nike and Kaep, or on divisiveness in general. Also see "A Warning From Europe: The Worst Is Yet to Come" and "What’s behind the current wave of ‘corporate activism’?" ~ Ilene

Nike, Colin Kaepernick and the pitfalls of 'woke' corporate branding

Courtesy of Simon Chadwick, University of Salford and ...



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Biotech

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Breast cancer type 1 (BRCA1) is a human tumor suppressor gene, found in all humans. Its protein, also called by the synonym BRCA1, is responsible for repairing DNA. ibreakstock/Shutterstock.com

By Jay Shendure, University of Washington; Greg Findlay, ...



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Mapping The Market

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

Via Jean-Luc:

Famed investor reflecting on his mistakes:

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

One that stands out for me:

Instead of focusing on how value factors in general did in identifying attractive stocks, I rushed to proclaim price-to-sales the winner. That was, until it wasn’t. I guess there’s a reason for the proclamation “The king is dead, long live the king” when a monarchy changes hands. As we continued to update the book, price-to-sales was no longer the “best” single value factor, replaced by others, depending upon the time frames examined. I had also become a lot more sophisticated in my analysis—thanks to criticism of my earlier work—and realized that everything, including factors, moves in and out of favor, depending upon the market environment. I also realized...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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