Posts Tagged ‘Features’

The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Morgan Stanley: The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Google Earth moneybag

Morgan Stanley just released a research report that painstakingly details the current state of our global economy.

Inside the 88-page report is a section called "Charts You Can’t Miss." It’s broken down in the following order of countries: Global economy, Europe, Asia (excluding Japan), and Japan. These charts focus on the underlying issues that truly affect our economy.

Credit spreads are at their highest levels ever post-Lehman and Germany’s industrial production is falling. Clearly there’s cause for concern.

If you’ve ever wanted a quick, comprehensive breakdown of the global marketplace, here’s your chance.

Check out these can’t miss charts >


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Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

More evidence that the public is not drinking the proverbial Kool Aid.  See also my recent article, Volume – Hiding in Plain Sight. - Ilene 

Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

Courtesy of John Carney and Gregory White at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Chales Schwab

Charles Schwab has released their latest survey of independent investment advisors and it points towards an across the board increased conservatism on the part of most clients. 

While hedge funds and investment banks might have made a killing on distressed and risky asset classes, the retail investor isn’t chasing those particular rabbits.

In fact, the report make a good case for continuation of the "new normal," with retail investors focused on savings over spending, security over risk, debt reduction over accumulation.

Of course, you never can tell whether the retail sector is an indicator of things to come or a contrary indicator pointing in the wrong direction.

Check Out The Trends On The Minds Of Investment Advisors Across The U.S. >>>

Image: Charles Schwab


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“The Public Backs The Austerity Plan”

"The Public Backs The Austerity Plan"

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

greece strike no. 2

Greece’s finance minister George Papaconstantinou said last week that Greece is in a "terrible mess" but his government has the backing of the public to push through its package of austerity measures.

Wrong.

The first round of strikes were mostly peaceful: marches and rallies of the young and old.

But today the strikes turned violent.

Transportation unions are taking part, which means no one’s getting in or out of Greece.

See The Strike Turn Violent >

See Also: 


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There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

Courtesy of Gregory White at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

Morgan Stanley Greece

Source: Morgan Stanley

The EU Presidency has announced a deal to save Greece, but there’s no deal yet — just a statement.

This is following the TARP path still — lots of talk, little action, and deep political opposition.

So, who are the parties that are just praying for a deal to come through?

We’ve gone through the research to figure out the banking systems, insurance companies, and countries that will get slammed if it all falls through.

Check out what will get hit the most if Greece defaults>

See also:

Bone Up On The 9 Possible Scenarios For A Greek Bailout (TBI)

Investors Place The Biggest Short Bet In The History Of The Euro (TBI)

Bailout? Greece Don’t Need No Stinking Bailout! (Phil)


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The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

the business insider Don’t expect Greeks to swallow their medicine willingly.

Civil servants in the massive default risk country launched a 24-hour strike today to protest government cutbacks. Mob chants included "We won’t pay for their crisis!" and "Not one euro to be sacrificed to the bankers!" according to the New York Times.

Strikes are a beloved tradition in many European countries, but they do make financial reform hard. Recently, Iceland refused payment on a financial crisis debt for fear of angering the population.

Air traffic controllers, customs and tax officials, hospital doctors and schoolteachers are involved in Greece’s strike. Needless to say, that means basically no economic progress in Greece today.

See the Greeks taking to the street >

See Also:

Here’s The REAL Reason Germany Is So Hesitant About Bailing Out Greece

Roubini: The Greece Bailout Isn’t Enough, Ultimately Europe Is So Screwed That It Will Need The IMF

Darkness Falls Over A Europe In Chaos, As German, Swedish, And UK Leaders Have Different Ideas For Solving Greece 


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Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

chartCourtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock/The Business Insider  

What are banks doing with the billions upon billions of dollars they’ve taken from the taxpayer?

The St. Louis Fed has just updated its latest data on bank health and activity, and the charts paint a great picture of what’s really going on in our banking system.

The bottom line: lending is still tanking (unless you count lending to the government)

See the whole story of the banking system >

 


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A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

Courtesy of Vincent Fernando at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

Will Toyota survive? We bet in ten years Toyota will be an even larger, more successful company.Some might say that Toyota’s current crisis is a result of enormously bad luck, and they might be partly right.

Yet Toyota’s problems also appear to have been the result of a series of tiny flops, over and over, ranging from quality control to public relations disasters.

For example, it shouldn’t have taken until today for its CEO to address its safety matters in public

99% of your hard work is meaningless when 1% of the time you’re a complete joke.

We’ve put together a quick guide to the amazingly unfortunate serious of events that put Toyota into its current situation.

Here’s how Toyota destroyed itself >

See Also:  

Ray LaHood: WHOOPS, What I Really Meant To Say Is That You Should Get Your Toyota Fixed

Here’s How Safety Problems Savaged Toyota Shareholders

Apple Founder Woz: My Toyota Prius Accelerates To 97 MPH On Its Own, Scares The Hell Out Of Me

 


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The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

Courtesy of Clusterstock’s Lawrence Delevingne davos world economic forum switzerland panel WEF

Davos is a crowded place this week.

Luminaries and assorted hangers-on are all jostling for attention at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting. There are some 224 sessions over five days for opining on the future of the world, not to mention countless interview opportunities from hoards of reporters.

In short, there’s plenty said, most of it a huge snooze.

Here are the only 10 important things that have been said so far, including:

  • The recovery will be U-shaped
  • Bankers should aim for 10% return on equity, not a greedy 20% 

Ten Can’t-Miss Quotes From Davos So Far >>> 

See Also:

Soros: ‘The Ultimate Asset Bubble Is Gold’

Saudi Oil CEO Comes Out Swinging In Davos: ‘We Don’t Believe In Peak Oil’

Davos Goers Still Having Way More Fun Than You

Image: WEF/Monika Flueckiger 


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Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Courtesy of Gregory White and John Carney at Clusterstock

Josef Ackerman Deutsche BankMany financial shares tanked yesterday after President Barack Obama proposed rules that would limit the types of trading banks can do with their money.

Tightening the rules on risk-taking and trading will likely hurt profits at some banks. But the pain won’t be spread evenly across the financial sector.

Some banks, especially smaller regional banks that haven’t gone in for the prop trading and hedge fund investing that forms the core of some Wall Street banks, probably won’t be touched by this

Obama also said he would crack down on bank consolidation and seek to limit the size of banks.

All eyes immediately turned to big financial institutions like Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are structured. Each of their stocks dropped more than 4 percent.

But what about Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs? Can they abandon their prop trading? Can they avoid the regulations?

We delved into the regulations to see who we think will come out ahead and who will take a beating.

The top winners and losers from Obama’s banking plan >

 


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Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

This morning’s JPMorgan (JPM) earnings report helped to reinforce the conventional wisdom that the worst is over and that the banking system is wobbly but on the mend.

But what if that’s not so.

A recent report from Deutsche Bank’s Bill Prophet, entitled "Alternative Universe," foretells a story of approaching disaster and even goes so far as to say "the health of the US commercial banking system will inevitably get worse before it gets better. And this has undeniable consequences for the rates market, if not Fed policy."

The reason? Bank balance sheets have hardly shrunk at all. This applies to both commercial and residential real estate.

Says Prophet on RMBS:

Nevertheless, we find it inconceivable that these assets are being marked anywhere close to their recoverable value, and the reality is that commercial bank exposure to them is as large now as it was 12 months ago. And in fact when we look at the entire $2tr portfolio of residential real estate assets on bank balance sheets (which would of course include the home-equity loans shown above), we reach a similar conclusion. Namely, as of the end of Q3-’09, the value of “home mortgage” assets has declined by just 1.6% from the end of ‘08 (see Chart 7).  Similar to CRE, these assets could be worth hundreds of billions of dollars less than where they are currently being marked.
 

Now let’s see the current picture of bank health ->

 


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Zero Hedge

S&P Futures Soar Above 3,100 On Trade Deal Optimism

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

After several days without soothing trade deal commentary by Trump et al, US-China trade deal "optimism" stormed back on Thursday evening after upbeat trade deal comments from Trump's top economic advisor Larry Kudlow sent US equity futures, European bourses and Asian markets higher, even as the escalating wave of global protests from Hong Kong to Chile hints that it will all end in tears and guillotines.

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The Technical Traders

Record Gold ETF Outflow

Courtesy of Technical Traders

 

 

If you want to earn 34%-50% a year return on your trading account with very few ETF trades then join me at the Wealth Building Newsletter today!

Chris Vermeulen

www.TheTechnicalTraders.com




 

 

 

...

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Phil's Favorites

The Stuff You Cannot Miss

 

The Stuff You Cannot Miss

Courtesy of 

I just wanted to wrap the week up with a few links because I’ve been reading so much great stuff and I didn’t want you to miss any of these…

Nick Maggiulli went long-form on why it’s so easy for people to be tricked by anecdotes and information derived from small sample size research:

It’s easy to poke fun at humans for their reliance on small sample sizes when making decisions, but this criticism fails to recognize our ancestral environment.  We evolved in a world where making sure you had a sufficient sample size before making a...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Insider Scoop

Glass House Group Appoints Graham Farrar As President

Courtesy of Benzinga

Glass House Group, a California-based cannabis and hemp company, earlier this week appointed Graham Farrar as president.

In his new role, Graham will oversee the company’s short and long-term business strategies, budgets and operations, and report up to Glass House Group CEO Kyle Kazan.

A long-time entrepreneur and an original team member of both Sonos (NASDAQ: SONO...



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Chart School

Dow Jones cycle update and are we there yet?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Today the Dow and the SP500 are making new all time highs. However all long and strong bull markets end on a new all time high. Today no one knows how many new all time highs are to go, maybe 1 or 100+ more to go, who knows! So are we there yet?

readtheticker.com combine market tools from Richard Wyckoff, Jim Hurst and William Gann to understand and forecast price action. In concept terms (in order), demand and supply, market cycles, and time to price analysis. 

Cycle are excellent to understand the wider picture, after all markets do not move in a straight line and bear markets do follow bull markets. 



CHART 1: The Dow Jones Industrial average with the 900 period cycle.

A) Red Cycle:...

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Digital Currencies

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

 

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

Courtesy of 

As part of Coindesk’s popup podcast series centered around today’s Invest conference, I answered a few questions for Nolan Bauerly about Bitcoin from a wealth management perspective. I decided in December of 2017 that investing directly into crypto currencies was unnecessary and not a good use of a portfolio’s allocation slots. I remain in this posture today but I am openminded about how this may change in the future.

You can listen to this short exchange below:

...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver Testing This Support For The First Time In 8-Years!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Its been a good while since Silver bulls could say that it is testing support. Well, this week that can be said! Will this support test hold? Silver Bulls sure hope so!

This chart looks at Silver Futures over the past 10-years. Silver has spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of the pink shaded falling channel, as it has created lower highs and lower lows.

Silver broke above the top of this falling channel around 90-days ago at (1). It quickly rallied over 15%, before creating a large bearish reversal pattern, around 5-weeks after the bre...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via  “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September.  This flood of paper had been inundati...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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