Posts Tagged ‘Features’

The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Morgan Stanley: The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Google Earth moneybag

Morgan Stanley just released a research report that painstakingly details the current state of our global economy.

Inside the 88-page report is a section called "Charts You Can’t Miss." It’s broken down in the following order of countries: Global economy, Europe, Asia (excluding Japan), and Japan. These charts focus on the underlying issues that truly affect our economy.

Credit spreads are at their highest levels ever post-Lehman and Germany’s industrial production is falling. Clearly there’s cause for concern.

If you’ve ever wanted a quick, comprehensive breakdown of the global marketplace, here’s your chance.

Check out these can’t miss charts >


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Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

More evidence that the public is not drinking the proverbial Kool Aid.  See also my recent article, Volume – Hiding in Plain Sight. - Ilene 

Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

Courtesy of John Carney and Gregory White at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Chales Schwab

Charles Schwab has released their latest survey of independent investment advisors and it points towards an across the board increased conservatism on the part of most clients. 

While hedge funds and investment banks might have made a killing on distressed and risky asset classes, the retail investor isn’t chasing those particular rabbits.

In fact, the report make a good case for continuation of the "new normal," with retail investors focused on savings over spending, security over risk, debt reduction over accumulation.

Of course, you never can tell whether the retail sector is an indicator of things to come or a contrary indicator pointing in the wrong direction.

Check Out The Trends On The Minds Of Investment Advisors Across The U.S. >>>

Image: Charles Schwab


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“The Public Backs The Austerity Plan”

"The Public Backs The Austerity Plan"

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

greece strike no. 2

Greece’s finance minister George Papaconstantinou said last week that Greece is in a "terrible mess" but his government has the backing of the public to push through its package of austerity measures.

Wrong.

The first round of strikes were mostly peaceful: marches and rallies of the young and old.

But today the strikes turned violent.

Transportation unions are taking part, which means no one’s getting in or out of Greece.

See The Strike Turn Violent >

See Also: 


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There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

Courtesy of Gregory White at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

Morgan Stanley Greece

Source: Morgan Stanley

The EU Presidency has announced a deal to save Greece, but there’s no deal yet — just a statement.

This is following the TARP path still — lots of talk, little action, and deep political opposition.

So, who are the parties that are just praying for a deal to come through?

We’ve gone through the research to figure out the banking systems, insurance companies, and countries that will get slammed if it all falls through.

Check out what will get hit the most if Greece defaults>

See also:

Bone Up On The 9 Possible Scenarios For A Greek Bailout (TBI)

Investors Place The Biggest Short Bet In The History Of The Euro (TBI)

Bailout? Greece Don’t Need No Stinking Bailout! (Phil)


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The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

the business insider Don’t expect Greeks to swallow their medicine willingly.

Civil servants in the massive default risk country launched a 24-hour strike today to protest government cutbacks. Mob chants included "We won’t pay for their crisis!" and "Not one euro to be sacrificed to the bankers!" according to the New York Times.

Strikes are a beloved tradition in many European countries, but they do make financial reform hard. Recently, Iceland refused payment on a financial crisis debt for fear of angering the population.

Air traffic controllers, customs and tax officials, hospital doctors and schoolteachers are involved in Greece’s strike. Needless to say, that means basically no economic progress in Greece today.

See the Greeks taking to the street >

See Also:

Here’s The REAL Reason Germany Is So Hesitant About Bailing Out Greece

Roubini: The Greece Bailout Isn’t Enough, Ultimately Europe Is So Screwed That It Will Need The IMF

Darkness Falls Over A Europe In Chaos, As German, Swedish, And UK Leaders Have Different Ideas For Solving Greece 


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Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

chartCourtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock/The Business Insider  

What are banks doing with the billions upon billions of dollars they’ve taken from the taxpayer?

The St. Louis Fed has just updated its latest data on bank health and activity, and the charts paint a great picture of what’s really going on in our banking system.

The bottom line: lending is still tanking (unless you count lending to the government)

See the whole story of the banking system >

 


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A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

Courtesy of Vincent Fernando at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

Will Toyota survive? We bet in ten years Toyota will be an even larger, more successful company.Some might say that Toyota’s current crisis is a result of enormously bad luck, and they might be partly right.

Yet Toyota’s problems also appear to have been the result of a series of tiny flops, over and over, ranging from quality control to public relations disasters.

For example, it shouldn’t have taken until today for its CEO to address its safety matters in public

99% of your hard work is meaningless when 1% of the time you’re a complete joke.

We’ve put together a quick guide to the amazingly unfortunate serious of events that put Toyota into its current situation.

Here’s how Toyota destroyed itself >

See Also:  

Ray LaHood: WHOOPS, What I Really Meant To Say Is That You Should Get Your Toyota Fixed

Here’s How Safety Problems Savaged Toyota Shareholders

Apple Founder Woz: My Toyota Prius Accelerates To 97 MPH On Its Own, Scares The Hell Out Of Me

 


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The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

Courtesy of Clusterstock’s Lawrence Delevingne davos world economic forum switzerland panel WEF

Davos is a crowded place this week.

Luminaries and assorted hangers-on are all jostling for attention at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting. There are some 224 sessions over five days for opining on the future of the world, not to mention countless interview opportunities from hoards of reporters.

In short, there’s plenty said, most of it a huge snooze.

Here are the only 10 important things that have been said so far, including:

  • The recovery will be U-shaped
  • Bankers should aim for 10% return on equity, not a greedy 20% 

Ten Can’t-Miss Quotes From Davos So Far >>> 

See Also:

Soros: ‘The Ultimate Asset Bubble Is Gold’

Saudi Oil CEO Comes Out Swinging In Davos: ‘We Don’t Believe In Peak Oil’

Davos Goers Still Having Way More Fun Than You

Image: WEF/Monika Flueckiger 


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Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Courtesy of Gregory White and John Carney at Clusterstock

Josef Ackerman Deutsche BankMany financial shares tanked yesterday after President Barack Obama proposed rules that would limit the types of trading banks can do with their money.

Tightening the rules on risk-taking and trading will likely hurt profits at some banks. But the pain won’t be spread evenly across the financial sector.

Some banks, especially smaller regional banks that haven’t gone in for the prop trading and hedge fund investing that forms the core of some Wall Street banks, probably won’t be touched by this

Obama also said he would crack down on bank consolidation and seek to limit the size of banks.

All eyes immediately turned to big financial institutions like Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are structured. Each of their stocks dropped more than 4 percent.

But what about Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs? Can they abandon their prop trading? Can they avoid the regulations?

We delved into the regulations to see who we think will come out ahead and who will take a beating.

The top winners and losers from Obama’s banking plan >

 


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Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

This morning’s JPMorgan (JPM) earnings report helped to reinforce the conventional wisdom that the worst is over and that the banking system is wobbly but on the mend.

But what if that’s not so.

A recent report from Deutsche Bank’s Bill Prophet, entitled "Alternative Universe," foretells a story of approaching disaster and even goes so far as to say "the health of the US commercial banking system will inevitably get worse before it gets better. And this has undeniable consequences for the rates market, if not Fed policy."

The reason? Bank balance sheets have hardly shrunk at all. This applies to both commercial and residential real estate.

Says Prophet on RMBS:

Nevertheless, we find it inconceivable that these assets are being marked anywhere close to their recoverable value, and the reality is that commercial bank exposure to them is as large now as it was 12 months ago. And in fact when we look at the entire $2tr portfolio of residential real estate assets on bank balance sheets (which would of course include the home-equity loans shown above), we reach a similar conclusion. Namely, as of the end of Q3-’09, the value of “home mortgage” assets has declined by just 1.6% from the end of ‘08 (see Chart 7).  Similar to CRE, these assets could be worth hundreds of billions of dollars less than where they are currently being marked.
 

Now let’s see the current picture of bank health ->

 


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Zero Hedge

Italian Cases Soar Past 300 As EU Stubbornly Refuses To Close Borders; 10 Dead: Live Updates

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Summary:

  • WHO warns the rest of the world "is not ready for the virus to spread..."

  • CDC warns Americans "should prepare for possible community spread" of virus.

  • Italy cases spike to 322; deaths hit 10

  • HHS Sec. Azar warns US lacks stockpiles of masks

  • Italy Hotel in Lockdown ...



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Phil's Favorites

World economy flashes red over coronavirus - with strange echoes of 1880s Yellow Peril hysteria

 

World economy flashes red over coronavirus – with strange echoes of 1880s Yellow Peril hysteria

Courtesy of John Weeks, SOAS, University of London

As the novel coronavirus pandemic continues to unfold, travel restrictions are being imposed around the world. China is the main target, with various countries including Australia, Canada and the US placing different restrictions on people who have travelled through the country ...



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Biotech & Health

World economy flashes red over coronavirus - with strange echoes of 1880s Yellow Peril hysteria

 

World economy flashes red over coronavirus – with strange echoes of 1880s Yellow Peril hysteria

Courtesy of John Weeks, SOAS, University of London

As the novel coronavirus pandemic continues to unfold, travel restrictions are being imposed around the world. China is the main target, with various countries including Australia, Canada and the US placing different restrictions on people who have travelled through the country ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Dow Industrials Reversal Lower Could Be Double Whammy for Stock Bulls!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Dow Jones Industrial Average “monthly” Chart

The Dow Industrials have spent the past 70 years in a wide rising price channel marked by each (1). And the past 25 years have seen prices test and pull back from the upper end of that channel.

The current bull market cycle has seen stocks rise sharply off the 2009 lows toward the upper end of that channel once more.

In fact, the Dow has been hovering near the topside of that price channel for several months.

But just as the Dow is kissing the top of this channel, it might be creating back-to-back “monthly” bearish ...



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Insider Scoop

Benzinga's Top Upgrades, Downgrades For February 25, 2020

Courtesy of Benzinga

Upgrades
  • Sidoti & Co. changed the rating for FormFactor Inc (NASDAQ: FORM) from Neutral to Buy. For the fourth quarter, FormFactor had an EPS of $0.41, compared to year-ago quarter EPS of $0.31. The stock has a 52-week-high of $28.58 and a 52-week-low of $14.20. FormFactor's stock last closed at $23.16 per share.
Downgrades
  • Dougherty downgraded the stock for Palo Alto Networks Inc (NYSE: PANW) from Buy to Neutral. Palo Alto Networks earned $1.19 in the second quarter. The stock has a...


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The Technical Traders

Yield Curve Patterns - What To Expect In 2020

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Quite a bit of information can be gleaned from the US Treasury Yield Curve charts.  There are two very interesting components that we identified from the Yield Curve charts below.  First, the bottom in late 2018 was a very important price bottom in the US markets.  That low presented a very deep bottom in the Yield Curve 30Y-10Y chart.  We believe this bottom set up a very dynamic shift in the capital markets that present the current risk factor throughout must of the rest of the world.  Second, this same December 2018 price bottom set up a very unique consolidation pattern on the 10Y-3Y Yield Curve chart.  This pattern has been seen before, in late 1997-1998 and late 2005-2008.

...

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Chart School

Oil cycle leads the stock cycle

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Sure correlation is not causation, but this chart should be known by you.

We all know the world economy was waiting for a pin to prick the 'everything bubble', but no one had any idea of what the pin would look like.

Hence this is why the story of the black swan is so relevant.






There is massive debt behind the record high stock markets, there so much debt the political will required to allow central banks to print trillions to cover losses will likely effect elections. The point is printing money to cover billions is unlikely to upset anyone, however printing trillions will. In 2007 it was billions, in 202X it ...

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Members' Corner

Threats to democracy: oligarchy, feudalism, dictatorship

 

Threats to democracy: oligarchy, feudalism, dictatorship

Courtesy of David Brin, Contrary Brin Blog 

Fascinating and important to consider, since it is probably one of the reasons why the world aristocracy is pulling its all-out putsch right now… “Trillions will be inherited over the coming decades, further widening the wealth gap,” reports the Los Angeles Times. The beneficiaries aren’t all that young themselves. From 1989 to 2016, U.S. households inherited more than $8.5 trillion. Over that time, the average age of recipients rose by a decade to 51. More ...



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Digital Currencies

Altcoin season 2.0: why bitcoin has been outgunned by crypto rivals since new year

 

Altcoin season 2.0: why bitcoin has been outgunned by crypto rivals since new year

‘We have you surrounded!’ Wit Olszewski

Courtesy of Gavin Brown, Manchester Metropolitan University and Richard Whittle, Manchester Metropolitan University

When bitcoin was trading at the dizzying heights of almost US$2...



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ValueWalk

What US companies are saying about coronavirus impact

By Aman Jain. Originally published at ValueWalk.

With the coronavirus outbreak coinciding with the U.S. earnings seasons, it is only normal to expect companies to talk about this deadly virus in their earnings conference calls. In fact, many major U.S. companies not only talked about coronavirus, but also warned about its potential impact on their financial numbers.

Q4 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Coronavirus impact: many US companies unclear

According to ...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.