Posts Tagged ‘Features’

The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Morgan Stanley: The 15 Must-See Charts That Explain The Global Economy

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Google Earth moneybag

Morgan Stanley just released a research report that painstakingly details the current state of our global economy.

Inside the 88-page report is a section called "Charts You Can’t Miss." It’s broken down in the following order of countries: Global economy, Europe, Asia (excluding Japan), and Japan. These charts focus on the underlying issues that truly affect our economy.

Credit spreads are at their highest levels ever post-Lehman and Germany’s industrial production is falling. Clearly there’s cause for concern.

If you’ve ever wanted a quick, comprehensive breakdown of the global marketplace, here’s your chance.

Check out these can’t miss charts >


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Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

More evidence that the public is not drinking the proverbial Kool Aid.  See also my recent article, Volume – Hiding in Plain Sight. - Ilene 

Charles Schwab: US Investors Are Still Worry-Wart Savers Who Avoid Risk And Spending

Courtesy of John Carney and Gregory White at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

Chales Schwab

Charles Schwab has released their latest survey of independent investment advisors and it points towards an across the board increased conservatism on the part of most clients. 

While hedge funds and investment banks might have made a killing on distressed and risky asset classes, the retail investor isn’t chasing those particular rabbits.

In fact, the report make a good case for continuation of the "new normal," with retail investors focused on savings over spending, security over risk, debt reduction over accumulation.

Of course, you never can tell whether the retail sector is an indicator of things to come or a contrary indicator pointing in the wrong direction.

Check Out The Trends On The Minds Of Investment Advisors Across The U.S. >>>

Image: Charles Schwab


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“The Public Backs The Austerity Plan”

"The Public Backs The Austerity Plan"

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/Business Insider 

greece strike no. 2

Greece’s finance minister George Papaconstantinou said last week that Greece is in a "terrible mess" but his government has the backing of the public to push through its package of austerity measures.

Wrong.

The first round of strikes were mostly peaceful: marches and rallies of the young and old.

But today the strikes turned violent.

Transportation unions are taking part, which means no one’s getting in or out of Greece.

See The Strike Turn Violent >

See Also: 


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There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

There’s No Deal Yet: Here Are The Banks, Insurers, And Sovereigns Who Will Get Crushed In A Greece Collapse

Courtesy of Gregory White at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

Morgan Stanley Greece

Source: Morgan Stanley

The EU Presidency has announced a deal to save Greece, but there’s no deal yet — just a statement.

This is following the TARP path still — lots of talk, little action, and deep political opposition.

So, who are the parties that are just praying for a deal to come through?

We’ve gone through the research to figure out the banking systems, insurance companies, and countries that will get slammed if it all falls through.

Check out what will get hit the most if Greece defaults>

See also:

Bone Up On The 9 Possible Scenarios For A Greek Bailout (TBI)

Investors Place The Biggest Short Bet In The History Of The Euro (TBI)

Bailout? Greece Don’t Need No Stinking Bailout! (Phil)


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The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

The Greece Powder Keg Explodes

Courtesy of Gus Lubin at Clusterstock/The Business Insider

the business insider Don’t expect Greeks to swallow their medicine willingly.

Civil servants in the massive default risk country launched a 24-hour strike today to protest government cutbacks. Mob chants included "We won’t pay for their crisis!" and "Not one euro to be sacrificed to the bankers!" according to the New York Times.

Strikes are a beloved tradition in many European countries, but they do make financial reform hard. Recently, Iceland refused payment on a financial crisis debt for fear of angering the population.

Air traffic controllers, customs and tax officials, hospital doctors and schoolteachers are involved in Greece’s strike. Needless to say, that means basically no economic progress in Greece today.

See the Greeks taking to the street >

See Also:

Here’s The REAL Reason Germany Is So Hesitant About Bailing Out Greece

Roubini: The Greece Bailout Isn’t Enough, Ultimately Europe Is So Screwed That It Will Need The IMF

Darkness Falls Over A Europe In Chaos, As German, Swedish, And UK Leaders Have Different Ideas For Solving Greece 


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Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

Now See What Banks Are Really Doing With Your Tax Dollars

chartCourtesy of Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock/The Business Insider  

What are banks doing with the billions upon billions of dollars they’ve taken from the taxpayer?

The St. Louis Fed has just updated its latest data on bank health and activity, and the charts paint a great picture of what’s really going on in our banking system.

The bottom line: lending is still tanking (unless you count lending to the government)

See the whole story of the banking system >

 


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A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

A Quick Guide To Destroying $21 Billion Of Shareholder Value, And Decades Of Reputation

Courtesy of Vincent Fernando at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

Will Toyota survive? We bet in ten years Toyota will be an even larger, more successful company.Some might say that Toyota’s current crisis is a result of enormously bad luck, and they might be partly right.

Yet Toyota’s problems also appear to have been the result of a series of tiny flops, over and over, ranging from quality control to public relations disasters.

For example, it shouldn’t have taken until today for its CEO to address its safety matters in public

99% of your hard work is meaningless when 1% of the time you’re a complete joke.

We’ve put together a quick guide to the amazingly unfortunate serious of events that put Toyota into its current situation.

Here’s how Toyota destroyed itself >

See Also:  

Ray LaHood: WHOOPS, What I Really Meant To Say Is That You Should Get Your Toyota Fixed

Here’s How Safety Problems Savaged Toyota Shareholders

Apple Founder Woz: My Toyota Prius Accelerates To 97 MPH On Its Own, Scares The Hell Out Of Me

 


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The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

The Only 10 Important Things Said So Far In Davos

Courtesy of Clusterstock’s Lawrence Delevingne davos world economic forum switzerland panel WEF

Davos is a crowded place this week.

Luminaries and assorted hangers-on are all jostling for attention at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting. There are some 224 sessions over five days for opining on the future of the world, not to mention countless interview opportunities from hoards of reporters.

In short, there’s plenty said, most of it a huge snooze.

Here are the only 10 important things that have been said so far, including:

  • The recovery will be U-shaped
  • Bankers should aim for 10% return on equity, not a greedy 20% 

Ten Can’t-Miss Quotes From Davos So Far >>> 

See Also:

Soros: ‘The Ultimate Asset Bubble Is Gold’

Saudi Oil CEO Comes Out Swinging In Davos: ‘We Don’t Believe In Peak Oil’

Davos Goers Still Having Way More Fun Than You

Image: WEF/Monika Flueckiger 


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Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Meet The Winners And Losers In Obama’s New Wall Street

Courtesy of Gregory White and John Carney at Clusterstock

Josef Ackerman Deutsche BankMany financial shares tanked yesterday after President Barack Obama proposed rules that would limit the types of trading banks can do with their money.

Tightening the rules on risk-taking and trading will likely hurt profits at some banks. But the pain won’t be spread evenly across the financial sector.

Some banks, especially smaller regional banks that haven’t gone in for the prop trading and hedge fund investing that forms the core of some Wall Street banks, probably won’t be touched by this

Obama also said he would crack down on bank consolidation and seek to limit the size of banks.

All eyes immediately turned to big financial institutions like Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are structured. Each of their stocks dropped more than 4 percent.

But what about Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs? Can they abandon their prop trading? Can they avoid the regulations?

We delved into the regulations to see who we think will come out ahead and who will take a beating.

The top winners and losers from Obama’s banking plan >

 


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Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Here’s Why The Financial System Isn’t Out Of The Woods, And Still Has A Ton Of Deleveraging To Do

Courtesy of Vince Veneziani at The Business Insider/Clusterstock

This morning’s JPMorgan (JPM) earnings report helped to reinforce the conventional wisdom that the worst is over and that the banking system is wobbly but on the mend.

But what if that’s not so.

A recent report from Deutsche Bank’s Bill Prophet, entitled "Alternative Universe," foretells a story of approaching disaster and even goes so far as to say "the health of the US commercial banking system will inevitably get worse before it gets better. And this has undeniable consequences for the rates market, if not Fed policy."

The reason? Bank balance sheets have hardly shrunk at all. This applies to both commercial and residential real estate.

Says Prophet on RMBS:

Nevertheless, we find it inconceivable that these assets are being marked anywhere close to their recoverable value, and the reality is that commercial bank exposure to them is as large now as it was 12 months ago. And in fact when we look at the entire $2tr portfolio of residential real estate assets on bank balance sheets (which would of course include the home-equity loans shown above), we reach a similar conclusion. Namely, as of the end of Q3-’09, the value of “home mortgage” assets has declined by just 1.6% from the end of ‘08 (see Chart 7).  Similar to CRE, these assets could be worth hundreds of billions of dollars less than where they are currently being marked.
 

Now let’s see the current picture of bank health ->

 


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Zero Hedge

Fed Funds Prints 2.30%, Breaching Target Range, As Libor Replacement Soars To "Remarkable" 5.25%

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

If today's second consecutive repo was supposed to calm the stress in the secured lending market and ease the funding shortfall in the interbank market, it appears to have failed. Not only did O/N general collateral print at 2.25-2.60% after the repo operation, confirming that repo rates remain inexplicably elevated even though everyone who had funding needs supposedly met them thanks to the Fed, but in a more troubling development, the Effective Fed Funds rate printed at 2.30% at 9am this morning, breaching the Fed's target range of 2.0...



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The Technical Traders

SAFE ASSETS - A TRADING STRATEGY FOR UTILITIES, GOLD, AND BONDS

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders shares his trading strategy for safer assets. While precious metals and bonds had a great run, the charts are showing the utilities could be the place to be in the short term. It’s important to note we are not saying the other safe havens are going to crash but it’s all about the time frame and playing the sector that could pop first.

LISTEN HERE NOW

...



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Phil's Favorites

How does the 'unidentified political object' that is the European Union really work?

 

How does the 'unidentified political object' that is the European Union really work?

European Union flags at the EU headquarters in Brussels, Sept. 11, 2019. AP/Virginia Mayo

Courtesy of Garret Martin, American University School of International Service

In the run-up to the 2016 Brexit referendum in the United Kingdom, “Take our country back” became a rallying slogan for the campaign pushing for ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stocks, Oil, and Bond Yields At Critical Bullish Breakout Tests!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

It’s not often that three asset classes reach similar important trading points all at once.

But that’s exactly what’s happening right now with stocks, crude oil, and treasury bond yields.

And this is occurring on Federal Reserve day no less! Something has got to give.

In the chart above y...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Wednesday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • The MBA's index of mortgage application activity for the latest week is schedule for release at 7:00 a.m. ET.
  • Data on housing starts and permits for August will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • The Energy Information Administration’s weekly report on petroleum inventories in the U.S. is schedule for release at 10:30 a.m. ET.
  • The Federal Open Market Committee will announce its policy decision at 2:00 p.m. ET.
  • The Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Posted-In: Economic Data...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Is The Drone Strike a Black Swan?

Courtesy of Lee Adler

Pundits are calling yesterday’s drone strke a “black swan.” Can a drone strike on a Saudi oil facility, be a “black swan.”

According to Investopedia:

A black swan is an unpredictable event that is beyond what is normally expected of a situation and has potentially severe consequences. Black swan events are characterized by their extreme rarity, their severe impact, and the practice of explaining widespread failure to predict them as simple folly in hindsight.

I seriously doubt that no one expected or could have predicted a drone strike on a Saudi oil facility.

Call Me A B...

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Chart School

Crude Oil Cycle Bottom aligns with Saudi Oil Attack

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Do the cycles know? Funny how cycle lows attract the need for higher prices, no matter what the news is!

These are the questions before markets on on Monday 16th Aug 2019:

1) A much higher oil price in quick time can not be tolerated by the consumer, as it gives birth to much higher inflation and a tax on the average Joe disposable income. This is recessionary pressure.

2) With (1) above the real issue will be the higher interest rate and US dollar effect on the SP500 near all time highs.

3) A moderately higher oil price is likely to be absorbed and be bullish as it creates income for struggling energy companies and the inflation shock may be muted. 

We shall see. 

...

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Digital Currencies

China Crypto Miners Wiped Out By Flood; Bitcoin Hash Rate Hits ATHs

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Last week, a devastating rainstorm in China's Sichuan province triggered mudslides, forcing local hydropower plants and cryptocurrency miners to halt operations, reported CoinDesk.

Torrential rains flooded some parts of Sichuan's mountainous Aba prefecture last Monday, with mudslides seen across 17 counties in the area, according to local government posts on Weibo. 

One of the worst-hit areas was Wenchuan county, ...



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Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of  , Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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