Posts Tagged ‘financing unit’

Dell Is Well-Capitalized?

Courtesy of Karl Denninger at The Market Ticker

Dell Is Well-Capitalized?

Dell, computers, financingWhat’s this about?

July 14 (Bloomberg) — Dell Inc., after cutting spending, raising money in the debt market and temporarily suspending its share-buyback program, says it is reviewing alternative sources of capital as customers continue to curb technology purchases.

Wait a second – I thought these technology companies didn’t have any material amount of debt and were doing ok, even with a slower economy?

The world’s second-largest maker of personal computers has to fund some of the growth in its financial-services unit and will likely need to provide more capital to the business later in the year, Chief Financial Officer Brian Gladden said today. The unit provides financing to customers who buy Dell products and services.

Ooooooohhhhhh… as in "oh oh."

Lucent anyone?

Hmmm….. how’s the credit quality in that portfolio Michael?  Lates?  No-pays?  Charge-offs?

One nasty for a tech company – if you wind up foreclosing on a client with a lease or purchase deal, the "collateral" is lucky to fetch 50 cents on the dollar – even as little as six months to a year after delivery.  Beyond two years its generally scrap.

One has to wonder how much of DELL’s "growth" was really growth and how much of it was driven by financing – you know, levering up your customers by internally covering their debt, issuing cheap debt on your own balance sheet to fund your financing activities?

The health of such a strategy and its impact on you is entirely dependent on your credit underwriting.  If it bites (or is non-existent) then when the economy turns their "boom" becomes your "boom".

It will be interesting when DELL reports earnings – hopefully we’ll both get some color on this and the so-called "analysts" will grill the company on this point, as problems in the customer financing unit can literally sink you.

Think not? 

Talk to Lucent.

Oh wait – you can’t – they’re gone, folded into Alcatel which is itself trading around $2.

Disclosure: No position; if I’d seen this one coming I would have been short up to my eyeballs.

 

 


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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stocks Typically Decline 38% When This Takes Place!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

This chart looks at the NYSE index over the past 20-years, highlighting “Hanging Man Patterns,” where they have taken place and what typically happens following this pattern.

Monthly hanging man patterns took place near the highs in 2000, 2007 & 2011 at each (1). The average decline following this pattern was around 38% over the past 20-years.

The Power of the Pattern has been sharing this pattern for the past 9-months with our...



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Zero Hedge

Nasdaq Futures Are Crashing As Apple Collapses

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

After yesterday's bloodbath, the world and their pet rabbit was ready to BTFD... but that's not what is happening...

Nasdaq futures are down another 2%, Dow futures are down almost 400 points and S&P futures are now red for 2018...

Nasdaq futures are practically unchanged YTD...

AAPL is down almost 4% more today!! (...



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Phil's Favorites

The Republican party and the undermining of American democracy

 

The Republican party and the undermining of American democracy

In this December 2017 photo, U.S. President Donald Trump congratulates Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, while Paul Ryan looks on, during a ceremony at the White House after the final passage of tax overhaul legislation. (AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta)

Courtesy of Bruce J. Berman, Queen's University, Ontario and Daniel Levine, University of Michigan

The transformation of the Republican party from a recognizable centre-right conservative politi...



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Insider Scoop

The Street Reacts To BlackBerry's Cylance Acquisition

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related BB Benzinga's Top Upgrades, Downgrades For November 19, 2018 BlackBerry Scoops Up Cybersecurity Company Cylance For $1.4B ...

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Chart School

The Power of the Dow Jones Cycle

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Once again the data confirms cycles exists in the market. Value and other fundamental investors must concede cycles are in the stock market. [You can learn more about our Hurst Cycle tools here].

Previous Post Kitchin Cycle warned of market volatility

In the past this blog has posted the chart below, the Kitchin cycle or 900 periods, and you can see its success.

The cycle source:

.."Joseph Kitchin (1861–1932) was a British busine...



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Members' Corner

NY Times: OPERATION INFEKTION

 

This is a three-part Opinion Video Series from NY Times about Russia’s meddling in the United States’ elections as part of its "decades-long campaign to tear the West apart." This is not fake news. Read more about the series here.

OPERATION INFEKTION

RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION: FROM COLD WAR TO KANYE

By Adam B. Ellick and Adam Westbrook

EPISODE 1

MEE...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin's high energy consumption is a concern - but it may be a price worth paying

 

Bitcoin's high energy consumption is a concern – but it may be a price worth paying

Shutterstock

Courtesy of Steven Huckle, University of Sussex

Bitcoin recently turned ten years old. In that time, it has proved revolutionary because it ignores the need for modern money’s institutions to verify payments. Instead, Bitcoin relies on cryptographic techniques to prove identity and authenticity.

However, the price to pay for all of this innovation is a high carbon footprint, created by Bitc...



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ValueWalk

Vilas Fund Up 55% In Q3; 3Q18 Letter: A Bull Market In Bearish Forecasts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The Vilas Fund, LP letter for the third quarter ended September 30, 2018; titled, “A Bull Market in Bearish Forecasts.”

Ever since the financial crisis, there has been a huge fascination with predictions of the next “big crash” right around the next corner. Whether it is Greece, Italy, Chinese debt, the “overvalued” stock market, the Shiller Ratio, Puerto Rico, underfunded pensions in Illinois and New Jersey, the Fed (both for QE a few years ago and now for removing QE), rising interest rates, Federal budget deficits, peaking profit margins, etc...



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Biotech

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Breast cancer type 1 (BRCA1) is a human tumor suppressor gene, found in all humans. Its protein, also called by the synonym BRCA1, is responsible for repairing DNA. ibreakstock/Shutterstock.com

By Jay Shendure, University of Washington; Greg Findlay, ...



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Mapping The Market

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

Via Jean-Luc:

Famed investor reflecting on his mistakes:

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

One that stands out for me:

Instead of focusing on how value factors in general did in identifying attractive stocks, I rushed to proclaim price-to-sales the winner. That was, until it wasn’t. I guess there’s a reason for the proclamation “The king is dead, long live the king” when a monarchy changes hands. As we continued to update the book, price-to-sales was no longer the “best” single value factor, replaced by others, depending upon the time frames examined. I had also become a lot more sophisticated in my analysis—thanks to criticism of my earlier work—and realized that everything, including factors, moves in and out of favor, depending upon the market environment. I also realized...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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