Posts Tagged ‘fractals’

Mystifying and Naturally Psychedelic Fractal Zoom

Fractals in motion. Elliott Wave theorists relate these mathematically inspired patterns to the ups and downs of the stock market. – Ilene 

Mystifying and Naturally Psychedelic Fractal Zoom

Via Dr. Mercola 

 

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How does this relate to Elliott Wave Theory?

Learn Basics of Elliott Wave Analysis — FREE 

By Elliott Wave International

Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered the Wave Principle in the 1930s. Over the decades, his discovery was kept alive by a handful of individuals. A few of those, such as Bolton, Prechter and Frost, educated investors on how to use pattern analysis in financial markets.

To help out Elliott Wave International’s readers in learning the basics of the method, we put together a free 10-lesson online tutorial. Here’s an excerpt.

EWI’s Basic Elliott Wave Tutorial
Lesson 1, excerpt

At that time [of his discovery], with the Dow in the 100s, R. N. Elliott predicted a great bull market for the next several decades that would exceed all expectations at a time when most investors felt it impossible that the Dow could even better its 1929 peak. As we shall see, phenomenal stock market forecasts, some of pinpoint accuracy years in advance, have accompanied the history of the application of the Elliott Wave approach.

Under the Wave Principle, every market decision is both produced by meaningful information and produces meaningful information. Each transaction, while at once an effect, enters the fabric of the market and, by communicating transactional data to investors, joins the chain of causes of others’ behavior. This feedback loop is governed by man’s social nature, and since he has such a nature, the process generates forms. As the forms are repetitive, they have predictive value.

The market…is not propelled by the linear causality to which one becomes accustomed in the everyday experiences of life. Nor is the market the cyclically rhythmic machine that some declare it to be. Nevertheless, its movement reflects a structured formal progression. In markets, progress ultimately takes the form of five waves of a specific structure.

Three of these waves, which are labeled 1, 3 and 5, actually effect the directional movement. They are separated by two countertrend interruptions, which are labeled 2 and 4, as shown in Figure 1-1. The two interruptions are apparently a requisite for overall directional movement to occur.

At any time, the market may be identified as being somewhere in…
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Fractals!!

Elliott Wave theory, introduced in 1933 by R.N. Elliott, is based on Fibonacci numbers and used to describe market trends. Robert Prechter’s socionomic theory, an ambitious "theory of everything," is based on Elliott Wave theory, Fibonacci numbers and fractals (patterns in nature). It can be applied to patterns seen in stock market charts. It can also be applied to social mood, length of women’s skirts, measures civil unrest such as crime and war, and more (not necessarily accurately, that’s another matter.)

The theory holds that variables such as market indexes, skirt hem lines, and civil unrest, are dictated by the numerical series influencing collective social mood. How? That answer requires a bit of mystic-thinking. While Elliott Wave counts are useful for traders, counting the waves is subjective and easier in retrospect. Consequently, there can be many predictions flowing from the same charts. Using Elliott Waves for trading purposes requires learning how to interpret the charts and applying the information for trading purposes. Ilene

Fractals!!

Courtesy of Michael at EW trends and Charts

The structures Elliott described also meet the common definition of a fractal (self-similar patterns appearing at every degree of trend). Elliott wave practitioners say that just as naturally-occurring fractals often expand and grow more complex over time, the model shows that collective human psychology develops in natural patterns, via buying and selling decisions reflected in market prices"

 

fractals (Click here to see the fractal in motion, by BafS, Ultra Fractal, image and license at Wikipedia)

I wanted to spend the week-end exploring more about a fractal that has developed in the last few months. Parts of it have already been discussed on the blogs, but I have expanded the fractal from the original wave to include the waves preceding it. And to see if it is possible to see into the future a bit, to maybe foresee the coming wave structure and the size of it. Of course this is only a hypothetical situation, and I will not trade off of it, but will keep it on my radar. You never know what nature is capable of until you sit back and watch the power of it!!

This is the big picture, the SPX all the way back to the end of 2008, from the start of the sell-off and one of the largest corrective waves in history. There is


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Cyclical Growth, Form and Fibonacci

Here’s a terrific article by Tim at The Psy-Fi Blog about Fibonacci numbers and Elliott Wave Theory.

Brief Intro:  Elliott Wave Theory, introduced in 1933 by R.N. Elliott, is based on Fibonacci numbers and is used to describe market trends.  Robert Prechter’s socionomic theory is an ambitious "theory of everything" based on Fibonacci numbers and fractals (patterns in nature), and extending to the ups and downs of markets, social mood, length of women’s skirts, measures civil unrest such as crime and war, etc. The theory is that all are related, dictated by the numerical series. How, is never answered unless you go mystic. While Elliott Wave counts appear useful for traders, the reason may be that many others use these numbers and patterns for determining buy and sell points. Also, the general notion that markets go up and down in waves, reflecting our collective psychology, makes sense without the grander notions of an all encompassing theory. – Ilene

Cyclical Growth, Form and Fibonacci

Courtesy of Tim at The Psy-Fi Blog

Ancient Ideas, Modern Setting

As an up-to-date in-your face sort of blog we like to make sure our readers are well informed about the financial world as we see it. So, starting back in Ancient India in 200BC and taking in medieval Italy and some early twentieth century anti-Darwinian evolutionary thinking let’s take a look at plant growth and snail shells, how twentieth century humanity’s inclination to see the Man in the Moon translates into modern financial theory and why physics may simply be wishful thinking.

At the root of this journey is a simple mathematical progression named after a man who never discovered it and was more concerned with accountancy than trading. Still, he’s still remembered a millennium after his death, which is more than most of us can ever aspire to.

The Golden Ratio

In 1202 the Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa, aka Fibonacci, wrote Liber Abaci, a book which has three claims to fame in financial circles. Firstly it was one of the first books to introduce the Arabic numbering system to the West. Secondly it laid out the foundations of modern bookkeeping. Thirdly it presented the number pattern known as the Fibonacci sequence, although this had been known long before by Indian mathematicians. Only the latter has little significance in the development of science and business but, naturally, it’s the one


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Zero Hedge

"Fed Returns To The Punchbowl": The Biggest Surprises In Today's Fed Decision

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

The Fed is returning to the punchbowl.

That's how Bank of America summarized today's second consecutive dovish surprise by the FOMC regarding rates and balance sheet policy. As we noted earlier, there were two major developments in today's FOMC decision:

  1. the dots dropped substantially to show no further hikes this year and only one hike in 2020. This means that the increasingly "patient" Fed is signaling that policy will remain accommodative relative to the long-run rate expectation.
  2. the balance sheet unwind will start in May and be completed by the end of September....


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Phil's Favorites

Small brewers show how craft principles could reshape the economy - but they're under threat

 

Small brewers show how craft principles could reshape the economy – but they're under threat

shutterstock.

Courtesy of Maikel Kuijpers, Leiden University; Catalin Popa, Leiden University, and Jochem Kroezen, Cambridge Judge Business School

Our economy currently relies heavily on unsustainable industrial principles of mass scale, never-ending growth and throwaway consu...



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ValueWalk

Feds Last Weapon ... "Empty Words"

By CapitalTrading. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The all-powerful FOMC meets and will provide us with mostly conjecture as to their continued waffle of a monetary policy. It was just a few months ago the FOMC was calling for 4 rate hikes in 2019, my how things have changed, we will be lucky to get one. The combination of balance sheet reduction and lack of global real sustainable growth has led the FOMC to produce nothing short of one’s tail between the legs. Defeated and dejected and spit out of the mouth of the even more powerful global bond markets, who have most certainly called the Fed’s bluff on their rate hikes. What do we mean? Well the yield curves have steepened and 10yr yields have consistently tested ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Banks Sending Warning Sign To Broad Markets Again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The financial / banking sector is often a good barometer of the economy and broader stock market.

So when the Bank Index (BKX) began to lag late last summer, it was an early warning sign for investors.

Looking at the chart below, we can see that the banks spilled lower with the December correction. That final swoon lower was set up by a bearish reversal candlestick (1).

Well, the recent rally has brought stocks back up to the scene of that crime! That area is marked by strong horizontal resistance.

Are banks creating a similar reversal ...



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Insider Scoop

Sage's First-Of-Its-Kind Postpartum Depression Drug Clears FDA Hurdle: What You Need to Know

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Shares of mid-cap biotech SAGE Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: SAGE), which focuses on therapies for central nervous system disorders, were trading higher Wednesday.

What Happened

Sage ...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Thursday, 20 September 2018, 03:14:19 PM

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Comment: Money rushing into US only stocks IS NEVER A GOOD SIGN, as the informed money now have a uniformed buyer to sell too!



Date Found: Sunday, 23 September 2018, 03:02:29 PM

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Comment: Hedge Fund Legend Ray Dalio On The Economy...



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Biotech

Marijuana is a lot more than just THC - a pharmacologist looks at the untapped healing compounds

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Marijuana is a lot more than just THC - a pharmacologist looks at the untapped healing compounds

Assorted cannabis bud strains. Roxana Gonzalez/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of James David Adams, University of Southern California

Medical marijuana is legal in 33 states as of November 2018. Yet the federal government still insists marijuana has no legal u...



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Digital Currencies

Facebook's cryptocurrency: a financial expert breaks it down

 

Facebook's cryptocurrency: a financial expert breaks it down

Grejak/Shutterstock

Courtesy of Alistair Milne, Loughborough University

Facebook is reportedly preparing to launch its own version of Bitcoin, for use in its messaging applications, WhatsApp, Messenger and Instagram. Could this “Facecoin” be the long-awaited breakthrough by a global technology giant into the lucrative market for retail financial services? Or will...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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