Posts Tagged ‘GES’

Guess Puts Active Ahead Of Q3 Earnings

GES – Guess? Inc. – Shares in apparel and accessories retailer Guess are trading lower on Wednesday ahead of the company’s third-quarter earnings report after the closing bell. Options changing hands on the stock during morning trading indicates some traders are bracing for shares to potentially drop to the lowest level since early-October by December expiration. The stock currently trades down 2.0% on the day at $33.24 just before 11:30 a.m. EST.

Around 1,700 of the Dec $29 strike put options have changed hands on GES so far today, more than two times the open interest level at that strike of 780 contracts. Time and sales data suggests most of the $29 puts were purchased at a premium of $0.40 each, positioning buyers to make money if shares in Guess drop 14% from the current price of $33.24 to breach the breakeven point at $28.60 by December expiration.

Options volume on the retailer is roughly five times the average daily level ahead of the company’s earnings release, with volume currently up above 5,400 contracts versus average daily volume of around 1,060 contracts. 

HPQ – Hewlett-Packard Co. – Options on HP are active today, with the price of the underlying stock climbing as much as 4.3% to a new 52-week high of $28.70 during morning trading. Overall options volume on Hewlett-Packard, currently hovering near 55,000 contracts as of the time of this writing, is more than 75% of the stock’s average daily volume of around 70,000 contracts. Trading in calls on the stock is far outpacing that of puts, with the call/put ratio hovering near 5.0 as of 11:20 a.m. EST. 


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Call Buyers Eye Rebound In Guess? Shares

 

Today’s tickers: GES, SBUX & LOPE

GES - Guess?, Inc. – Contrarian options trades initiated on apparel retailer, Guess?, Inc., this morning look for shares in the name to rebound during the next five months. The stock is down sharply on Friday, trading 4.7% lower on the session at $24.67 as of 11:15 a.m. ET, after the company announced Thursday the resignations of its CFO and COO. The price of the underlying earlier slumped 10.4% to a fresh three-year low of $23.20 amid news of the executive resignations and after a number of analysts cut ratings and share price targets on the stock. Options players positioning for Guess shares to recover next year purchased more than 6,000 calls at the Mar. 2013 $26 strike this morning for an average premium of $1.47 per contract. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration in March should shares in the specialty retailer rally 11% over the current level of $24.67 to top the average breakeven price of $27.47. Shares in GES last traded above $27.47 at the end of September. Guess?, Inc. is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings at the end of the month.

SBUX - Starbucks Corp. – Shares in the retailer of specialty coffee, beverages and snacks are soaring this morning after the company reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday after the bell and raised its quarterly dividend by 24% to $0.21 a share. Starbucks shares increased as much as 11.4% in the first half of the trading session to $51.94, the highest level since mid-September. Some options traders appear to be gearing up for continued gains in the price of the underlying next week by purchasing weekly calls that expire next Friday. Bullish players snapped up more than 320 of the Nov. 09 ’12 $52 strike calls for an average premium of $0.39 apiece. Volume in these weekly options is heaviest up at the Nov. 09 ’12 $52.5 strike call, where more than 2,000…
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Put Action Portends Potential Pullback In Delta Air Lines

 

Today’s tickers: DAL, GES & AGU

DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc. – Options on the Atlanta, Georgia-based airline were among the most actively traded as measured by volume this morning after a large block of bearish puts changed hands in the first hour of the trading session. Shares in Delta Air Lines are sliding on a down day for the broader market, trading 4.0% lower at $9.15 as of 12:10 p.m. ET. Volume in Delta options was heaviest at the Dec. $8.0 strike, where upwards of 11,500 puts traded against previously existing open interest of 3,299 contracts. It looks like 9,110 of the $8.0 strike puts traded in a block and appear to have been purchased along with the remainder of the overall volume at a premium of $0.48 per contract. The sizable stake in DAL puts may represent outright bearish positioning on the airline through the end of the calendar year, or could be a hedge to protect the value of an existing position in the underlying shares. Profits, or downside protection, kick in if shares in Delta plunge 18% from the current price of $9.15 to breach the effective breakeven point at $7.52 by December expiration. Shares in Delta Air Lines, Inc. last traded below $7.52 in November 2011.

GES - Guess?, Inc. – Bulls buying front-month calls on Wednesday afternoon ahead of Guess, Inc.’s second-quarter earnings report were crushed today after the retailer revealed declining same-store sales and lowered estimates for full-year earnings and revenue. Shares in Guess reacted to the disappointing report by dropping 20% to an intraday low of $26.73. The largest increase in September expiration call option open interest overnight was in the $36 strike contracts, which rose by 904 lots to 1,406 contracts. A review of time and sales from Wednesday afternoon shows the purchase of approximately 850 of the Sep. $35 calls for a premium of $0.95 apiece just after 12:20 p.m. ET. Less than 24…
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Bullish Player Fancies Luxury Hotel Options

Today’s tickers: OEH, GES, TKLC & COH

OEH - Orient-Express Hotels, Ltd. – Shares in the hotel and travel company with a taste for the luxury side of the leisure market slipped 2.15% this afternoon to $10.80, but options activity on Orient-Express Hotels today suggests shares may rebound by the end of the year. It looks like one optimistic investor purchased a call spread in the December contract to position for the stock to rise as much as 15.7% by expiration. Luxury-goods names such as Coach (COH) and Tiffany & Co. (TIF) are soaring today, perhaps the bullish player populating Orient-Express Hotels expects consumers with the funds to afford luxury travel and accommodations to keep their wallets open to the eventual benefit of OEH shares. The trader picked up 5,000 in-the-money calls at the December $10 strike for a premium of $1.90 each, and sold the same number of calls up at the December $12.5 strike at a premium of $0.65 apiece. The net cost of the transaction amounts to $1.25 per contract and positions the investor to profit should shares in Orient-Express Hotels rally 4.2% over the current price of $10.80 to surpass the effective breakeven point on the spread at $11.25 by December expiration day. Maximum potential profits of $1.25 per contract are available to the trader in the event that shares jump 15.7% to trade above $12.50 at expiration. Overall open interest on the stock of 13,566 contracts is largely composed of open put positions, while open positions in OEH calls are relatively few and far between. The 10,000 call options traded in the debit call spread today are substantial compared to previously established call positions and against total open positions on the hotel company. Shares in OEH last traded above $12.50 at the beginning of April.…
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Phil's Favorites

Ray Dalio Is Kinda, Sorta, Really Wrong, Part 3

 

Ray Dalio Is Kinda, Sorta, Really Wrong, Part 3

Courtesy of John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline 

Two weeks ago I started a mini-series in the form of an open letter responding to a series of essays by Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates. I wrote here and here that he was kinda, sorta wrong in Why and How Capitali...



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Zero Hedge

Exposing The Fed's False QE/QT Narrative With Its Own Data

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Authored by Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com,

“The fact that financial markets responded in very similar ways... lends credence to the view that these actions had the expected effects on markets and are thereby providing significant s...



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ValueWalk

Beyond Meat vs Impossible Burger: Comparing The Vegan Meat Burgers

 

Beyond Meat vs Impossible Burger: Comparing The Vegan Meat Burgers

Courtesy of Vikas Shukla, ValueWalk

Pexels / Pixabay

The trend of vegan food has been gathering momentum in the last few years as people become more health conscious. They have also begun to realize the environmental impact of raising meat for human consumption. According to PETA, it takes an estimated 1...



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Insider Scoop

Wedbush Steps To The Shopify Sidelines

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Shopify Inc (NYSE: SHOP) ha introduced multiple new initiatives to spur growth, but the stock's valuation is already full at current levels, according to Wedbush.

The Analyst

Wedbush's Ygal Arounian downgraded Shopify from Outperform to Neutral with a 12-month price target lifted from $270 to $305.

The Thesis

Shopif...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Wilshire 5000 Creating A Triple Top? An Important Breakout Test Is In Play!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

The stock market has been on fire of late, rallying up to the edge of price resistance on several indexes. Today, we look at one of those stock market indexes: the Wilshire 5000.

The Wilshire 5000 tracks all of the stocks in the US market, so it is a broad-based index that carries significant importance when gauging the health of the overall US stock market.

Looking at the long-term “weekly” chart above, it is pretty clear that the index is at an important price juncture.

The Wilshire 5000 spent the last 25 years trading within a rising price channel (1)...



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Chart School

Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally ends

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

When valuations for the boring water company or the boring electric company is trading like your Facebook, Apple, Amazon or Netflix or Google (ie FANG) you know something is wrong.

This is when a seriously over valued market is screaming at you.

Of course the reader must understand in a world where money printing goes super nuts (Zimbabwe style) the stock market may go hyper inflationary and picking a time frame for a top is never a good idea, but we are not there yet. There is no Ben Bernanke helicopter money to the masses yet (ie MMT). 

To see when water company's (and such like) are nearing the crazy FANG like valuations a review of the Dow Jones Utility Index channel shows us how history can repeat. The c...

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Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream - the battle is on to bring them under global control

 

Cryptocurrencies are finally going mainstream – the battle is on to bring them under global control

The high seas are getting lower. dianemeise

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

The 21st-century revolutionaries who have dominated cryptocurrencies are having to move over. Mainstream financial institutions are adopting these assets and the blockchain technology that enables them, in what ...



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Biotech

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Consumer genetic testing customers stretch their DNA data further with third-party interpretation websites

If you’ve got the raw data, why not mine it for more info? Sergey Nivens/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Sarah Catherine Nelson, University of Washington

Back in 2016, Helen (a pseudonym) took three different direct-to-consumer (DTC) genetic tests: AncestryDNA, 23andMe and FamilyTreeDNA. She saw genetic testing as a way...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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