Posts Tagged ‘gold standard’

TIM GEITHNER DOESN’T GET IT

TIM GEITHNER DOESN’T GET IT

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist 

At least Ben Bernanke isn’t the only person in government who doesn’t really understand our monetary system.  Over the weekend Tim Geithner paraded himself all over the weekend talk shows while he proved that he barely deserved to pass econ 101.  That’s right, the Secretary of the US Treasury doesn’t get it.

The interviews mostly began with Mr. Geithner distancing himself from the entire cause of this crisis.  Although he was effectively the fox in the hen house (he was President of the NY Fed while we experienced the grossest bank expansion/leveraging experiment in the history of the world) Mr. Geithner continues to make it sound as if he was saddled with this problem and played no role in its cause:

“I, I think I disagree slightly in the sense that, you know, remember, this was a recession caused by a set of policies that left us with a $1.3 trillion deficit when the president came into office, an economy that was falling off the cliff. Millions of Americans had already lost their jobs. The recession was a year old at that point.”

Mr. Geithner goes on to explain that there is no chance of a double dip (famous last words?).  He displays absolutely zero sense of risk management and prescience.  This shouldn’t be surprising to anyone.  It is the tendency of government officials to adhere to the scientific method – “let’s wait for the dust to settle before we make our next moves”.   Unfortunately, that’s not how markets work and it’s certainly not how economies work.  Mr. Geithner is blindingly optimistic:

“MR. GREGORY: So just to be precise, you do not believe in a double-dip recession, that it will get worse before it gets better?

SEC’Y GEITHNER: No, I don’t. I think the most likely thing is, you see an economy that gradually strengthens over the next year or two, you see job growth start to come back again.”

Mr. Geithner then goes on to explain how he totally misunderstands how a fiat currency system in a floating exchange system works.  It’s 100% crystal clear that Geithner is living in his textbook gold standard world where the USA borrows money to finance spending - nothing could be farther from the truth.  The Treasurer of the USA says we “borrow” to “finance” our…
continue reading


Tags: , , , , ,




No, It Is Not Entirely Different This Time – But It is More Insidious

No, It Is Not Entirely Different This Time – But It is More Insidious

Courtesy of Jesse’s Café Américain

There are some differences and they are significant.

The US is not on a gold standard, so the devaluation of the dollar does not have to occur in a stepwise function with an official restatement of value. This time the Fed can simply monetize debt and provide more dollars as it wills. That is fiat.

The US is not a net exporter to the world, as it was then. This is why Smoot-Hawley was harmful to the US recovery. The major nations of the world, such as Germany, Italy, and Japan, became engaged in their own domestic industrial recovery including rearmament. Today the US is the consumer for the world’s exporting nations. And it also owns the reserve currency.

The New Deal was a bottom up Jobs Program. The Deal this time is a new version of trickle down. The second wave down in the Great Depression caught many of the professionals who had made millions shorting the initial market declines, or at least survived the Great Crash by selling early. The next wave down in the current credit collapse is going to boil the middle class, a few degrees at a time.

Geither: None Would Have Survived – Rolfe Winkler

 


Tags: , , , , , ,




 
 
 

Zero Hedge

US Suffers Record 52k New COVID-19 Cases As Holiday Weekend Begins: Live Updates

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Coronavirus cases in the US hit another daily record on Thursday as Americans prepared for a distinctly joyless Fourth of July weekend that bears none of the sense of joy and revival that the country enjoyed on Memorial Day Weekend. According to JHU, the US reported 52,291 new cases, bringing its nationwide total to 2,739,879.

Source: JHU ...



more from Tyler

Phil's Favorites

Presidents' panel: How COVID-19 will change higher education

 

Presidents' panel: How COVID-19 will change higher education

COVID-19 has altered nearly every aspect of higher education. Gerald Herbert/AP

Courtesy of Walter M. Kimbrough, Dillard University; Ana Mari Cauce, University of Washington, and Samuel L. Stanley, ...



more from Ilene

Biotech/COVID-19

Presidents' panel: How COVID-19 will change higher education

 

Presidents' panel: How COVID-19 will change higher education

COVID-19 has altered nearly every aspect of higher education. Gerald Herbert/AP

Courtesy of Walter M. Kimbrough, Dillard University; Ana Mari Cauce, University of Washington, and Samuel L. Stanley, ...



more from Biotech/COVID-19

The Technical Traders

Wild Volatility Continues As US Markets Attempt To Establish New Trend

Courtesy of Technical Traders

We’ve continued to attempt to warn investors of the risks ahead for the US and global markets by generating these research posts and by providing very clear data supporting our conclusions.  Throughout the entire months of May and June, we’ve seen various economic data points report very mixed results – and in some cases, surprise numbers as a result of the deep economic collapse related to the COVID-19 virus event.  This research post should help to clear things up going forward for most traders/investors.

As technical traders, we attempt to digest these economic data factors into technical and price analysis while determining where and what ...



more from Tech. Traders

ValueWalk

Top 10 most valuable cities in the United States

By Vikas Shukla. Originally published at ValueWalk.

People have been flocking to big cities for decades, driving the prices of residential real estate up in big cities. The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the work-from-home trend, which would give people the freedom to live and work from anywhere. It could hurt the real estate prices in big cities such as New York, Los Angeles and San Francisco in the coming years. But for now, these three are the most valuable cities in the United States.

Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

How do you attach monetary value to a city? ...



more from ValueWalk

Kimble Charting Solutions

Nasdaq 100 Relative Strength Testing 2000 Highs

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The tech bubble didn’t end well. BUT it did tell us that the world was shifting into the technology age…

Since the Nasdaq 100 bottomed in 2002, the broader markets have turned over leadership to the technology sector.

This can be seen in today’s chart, highlighting the ratio of Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 performance (on a “monthly” basis).

As you can see, the bars are in a rising bullish channel and have turned sharply higher since the 2018 stock market lows. This highlights the strength of the Nasdaq 100 and large-cap tech stocks.

...

more from Kimble C.S.

Chart School

US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Where is price going, is there strength or weakness in the chart?


Previous Post on the US Dollar : Where is the US Dollar trend headed ?


The question is always what will the future price action look like ?


This post will highlight the use of lines generated by angles. Not trend lines, as trend lines require two known points on a chart, where as angles require only one known point and a angle degree to draw a line. The question then becomes how is the angle degree determined.



There are two theories: ...

more from Chart School

Lee's Free Thinking

These Charts Show COVID 19 Is Spreading in the US and Will Kill the Economy

 

These Charts Show COVID 19 Is Spreading in the US and Will Kill the Economy

Courtesy of  

The COVID 19 pandemic is, predictably, worsening again in much of the US. Only the Northeast, and to a lesser extent some Midwestern states, have been consistently improving. And that trend could also reverse as those states fully reopen.

The problem in the US seems to be widespread public resistance to recommended practices of social distancing and mask wearing. In countries where these practices have been practi...



more from Lee

Digital Currencies

Blockchains can trace foods from farm to plate, but the industry is still behind the curve

 

Blockchains can trace foods from farm to plate, but the industry is still behind the curve

App-etising? LDprod

Courtesy of Michael Rogerson, University of Bath and Glenn Parry, University of Surrey

Food supply chains were vulnerable long before the coronavirus pandemic. Recent scandals have ranged from modern slavery ...



more from Bitcoin

Members' Corner

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

 

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

No matter the details of the plot, conspiracy theories follow common patterns of thought. Ranta Images/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Courtesy of John Cook, George Mason University; Sander van der Linden, University of Cambridge; Stephan Lewandowsky...



more from Our Members

Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

...

more from Promotions

Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

more from M.T.M.





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


As Seen On:




About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.