Posts Tagged ‘guidance’

Apple Mac Sales Soar, iPhone Misses

Apple Mac Sales Soar, iPhone Misses

Courtesy of Dan Frommer at Clusterstock

steve jobs - tbiApple threw us a curveball today: The company reported results in GAAP format, reflecting an accounting change that means they no longer have to distribute iPhone revenue and earnings over 24 months.

Unfortunately, that means Apple’s GAAP results don’t match up with non-GAAP estimates. So analysts are going to have to tweak their models.

As expected, the Mac had a monster quarter. Apple reported 3.36 million Mac shipments, higher than the Street expected. But the iPhone was relatively weak: Apple only shipped 8.7 million iPhones, lower than the 9.1 million Street consensus.

Steve Jobs also touted the Apple tablet in the earnings release: "The new products we are planning to release this year are very strong, starting this week with a major new product that we’re really excited about."

Shares resumed trading at 4:55 and were immediately down about 1%. But now it seems to be creeping upwards.

Join us for LIVE coverage of the company’s conference call, beginning at 5:00 p.m. ET. Click here for the latest.

Key stats:

  • GAAP Revenue: $15.7 billion
  • GAAP EPS: $3.67
  • Macs: 3.4 million vs. 3.0 million consensus
  • iPhones: 8.7 million vs. 9.1 million consensus
  • iPod: 21 million vs. 21.0 million consensus
  • Gross margin: 40.9%
  • Guidance (Rev.): $11.0 billion to $11.4 billion
  • Guidance (EPS): $2.06 to $2.18

LIVE Conference call coverage: (refresh for the latest)

4:52 Waiting for call to begin..

5:04 Call begins. Opening remarks from IR boss.

5:04 COO Tim Cook, CFO Oppenheimer on the call. No Steve Jobs. (Jobs not expected.)

5:05 Oppenheimer: We’re thrilled to report our best quarter ever! New records for Macs and iPhones. All historical comps busted because of new accounting rules. Peter will explain in detail coming up. Now going over results from release.

5:07 Record Mac sales of 3.36 million, beating by over 300,000. Up 33% year-over-year. Compares extremely favorable to ICD’s 17% year-over-year growth for the market. iMac especially huge.

5:08 New records for K-12 and High ed for Dec. quarter.

5:08 Traditional iPods declined, but 55% y/y increase in iPod touch, sending up ASP and revenue.

5:09 Strong sales of music, video, and apps drove up iTunes sales. Features over 8,000 films,…
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Microsoft Guidance Change Leads To MASSIVE Confusion

CNBC Blows Microsoft Guidance Cut, Creaming Stock (MSFT)

steve ballmer - tbiCourtesy of Jay Yarow and Joe Weisenthal at Clusterstock

Update: At about 10:50 ET this morning, CNBC  and WSJ’s Digits Blog reported that Microsoft had lowered guidance on its conference call.  The stock immediately tanked.

What Microsoft actually lowered was OPERATING EXPENSE guidance.  In other words, the company said it would spend less than it previously thought.  This is good news, not bad, so all else being equal, it’s good for the stock.

About 10 minutes after reporting a guidance cut, CNBC came back and said the lowered guidance referred to costs.

Previously,

Microsoft Guidance Change Leads To MASSIVE Confusion (MSFT)

Update: We’re still trying to figure out what’s going on here, but both CNBC and and WSJ’s Digits Blog reported that at 10:50 Microsoft lowered revenue guidance.

Then about 10 minutes later CNBC came back and said the lowered guidance referred to costs. Either way, the confusion here is massive and significant, but we’re not clear whether the error was on Microsoft’s side or on the media’s side.

(A user error on our part led to us accidentally quitting the call 20 minutes in.)

——-

On its earnings call, Microsoft (MSFT) lowered its guidance for cost in the next quarter to $26.2 to $26.5 billion from $26.7-$26.9 billion.

Other notes:

  • Headcount reduction of 4% was biggest in company’s history.
  • Online ads were down 3%
  • Xbox revenue up 50%
  • Microsoft says it will get not revenue contribution from the Yahoo deal this fiscal year.
  • As a matter of fact it expects $200 million in costs from the deal.
  • Excited about Windows 7
  • Cashback program on search not much of an impact in the quarter

Microsoft’s stock is pulling back from its highs. Though, the market at large is falling.

See Also:

Market Gets No Help From Microsoft And Amazon (MSFT, AMZN)

Microsoft Crushes Estimates, Stock Takes Off (MSFT)

Well, What Do You Know: Google Is Actually Nervous About Microsoft Bing (GOOG, MSFT)

Comment:

Henry Blodget

Henry Blodget

It sounds like everyone is confusing "REVENUE" guidance with "OPERATING EXPENSE" guidance.

A cut in the former is bad. A cut in the latter is good.

 


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Phil's Favorites

Directors are in the crosshairs of corporate climate litigation

 

Directors are in the crosshairs of corporate climate litigation

Melting glaciers threaten the village of Huaraz, Peru. Uwebart/Wikimedia, CC BY-SA

Courtesy of Lisa Benjamin, Dalhousie University

The directors of RWE, a German energy company, had probably never heard of the small village of Huaraz, Peru before 2015. But Saúl Lliuya, a mountain guide and farmer there, sued RWE for climate-related harms that year.

Lliuya&rs...



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Zero Hedge

Manufacturing Employment Expectations Crash Despite Empire Fed Survey Rebound

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

After June's plunge in regional Fed business surveys, July's Empire Fed headline printed a better-than-expected +4.3 (exp +2.0) from -8.6 in June.

However, despite the pickup in the main index, details of the report show that the industry continues to struggle.

A gauge of current orders crept up, though more of the state’s factories said bookings were lower in July than higher.

And, both current and future expectations for employment tumbled, with th...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver/Gold Ratio Making A Bullish Reversal?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Silver (NYSEARCA: SLV) is an important cog in the precious metals world. Not only is it a core precious metal but it is often a leading indicator for metals bulls.

Silver is a good risk-on / risk-off indicator. When it is out-performing Gold, it is risk-on. When it is under-performing, it is risk-off. It’s been the latter for the better part of the past 8 years.

And when the trend remains down, which historically means that metals rallies will be sold.

The Silve...



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Insider Scoop

Earnings Scheduled For July 15, 2019

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Companies Reporting Before The Bell
  • Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $1.81 per share on revenue of $18.49 billion.
  • ShiftPixy, Inc. (NASDAQ: PIXY) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.08 per share on revenue of $14.39 million.
  • Eros International Plc (NYSE: ...


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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Breaks Back Below $10k, Crypto-Crash Accelerates As Asia Opens

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Update 2010ET: Having briefly stabilized after this morning's weakness, cryptos are tumbling once again as Asian markets open.

Bitcoin has broken below $10,000 again...

*  *  *

While all eyes are on Bitcoin as it slides back towards $10,000, the real mover in the last 12 hours has been Ethereum after...



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Biotech

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing - but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

Reminder: We're is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

DNA testing companies offer telomere testing – but what does it tell you about aging and disease risk?

A telomere age test kit from Telomere Diagnostics Inc. and saliva. collection kit from 23andMe. Anna Hoychuk/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Patricia Opresko, University of Pittsburgh and Elise Fouquerel, ...



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ValueWalk

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

 

Professor Shubha Ghosh On The Current State Of Gene Editing

Courtesy of Jacob Wolinsky, ValueWalk

ValueWalk’s Q&A session with Professor Shubha Ghosh, a professor of law and the director of the Syracuse Intellectual Property Law Institute. In this interview, Professor Ghosh discusses his background, the Human Genome Project, the current state of gene editing, 3D printing for organ operations, and gene editing regulation.

...

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Chart School

Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker.

Charts show us the golden brick road to high prices.

GLD Gann Angle has been working since 2016. Higher prices are expected. Who would say anything different, and why and how?

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.



The GLD very wide channel shows us the way.
- Conservative: Tag the 10 year rally starting in 2001 to 2019 and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 10 years.
- Aggressive: Tag the 5 year rally starting in 1976 to 2019  and it forecasts $750 GLD (or $7500 USD Gold Futures) in 5 years.

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if ima...



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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Mapping The Market

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

A good start from :

It's Not Capitalism, it's Crony Capitalism

Excerpt:

The threat to America is this: we have abandoned our core philosophy. Our first principle of this nation as a meritocracy, a free-market economy, where competition drives economic decision-making. In its place, we have allowed a malignancy to fester, a virulent pus-filled bastardized form of economics so corrosive in nature, so dangerously pestilent, that it presents an extinction-level threat to America – both the actual nation and the “idea” of America.

This all-encompassing mutant corruption saps men’s souls, crushes opportunities, and destroys economic mobility. Its a Smash & Grab system of ill-gotten re...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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