Posts Tagged ‘HOT’

Starwood Hotels Call Options Heat Up As Shares Extend Gains

 

Today’s tickers: HOT, VMW & ANR

HOT - Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc. – Upside call buying on one of the world’s largest hotel and leisure companies today indicates some options traders are positioning for shares in Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide to continue moving higher during the next couple of weeks. Shares in Starwood are up better than 2% this afternoon to stand at $54.09 as of 12:25 p.m. ET. The stock has been trending higher in recent weeks, up 7.7% since mid-November, following a sharp 18% pullback from a six-month high of $61.09 in September down to as low as $50.42 on November 15th. Options players preparing for shares in Starwood Hotels to continue to gain ground in the near term purchased 2,000 calls at the Dec. $55 strike for an average premium of $0.30 apiece. Call buyers may profit at expiration in the event that HOT’s shares rally another 2.2% over the current price of $54.09 to exceed the average breakeven point at $55.30 at December expiration. Overall options volume on the stock today is noteworthy, with nearly 9,000 contracts in play versus the Starwood’s average daily options volume of around 2,300 contracts. The bulk of the trading traffic is in upside calls, driving the call-to-put ratio up to 19-to-1 in the first half of the trading session.

VMW - VMware, Inc. – Shares in the provider of cloud infrastructure solutions are moving higher on Thursday, currently up 1.6% on the day at $91.76 just after midday on the East Coast. Bursts of front-month put buying on VMware this morning suggests one or more strategists may be locking in recent gains in the price of the underlying. Shares in the name have increased roughly 13% since the end of October. Volume in VMW options is heaviest at the Dec. $85 strike, where upwards of 5,500 puts changed hands against open interest of 1,869 contracts. It looks like most of the volume was purchased at the start of the session for an average premium of $0.95 apiece. Put buyers may be hedging long…
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Options Combo Play Portends Youku Pullback Next Week

Today’s tickers: YOKU, SWHC & HOT

YOKU - Youku Inc. – Shares in the largest video-sharing website in China have been going gangbusters since the start of the New Year, but a stock and option combination play on Youku Inc. this morning suggests fortunes may reverse when the Beijing-based Company reports fourth-quarter results next week. The stock has rallied 60.0% year-to-date, gaining 4.6% in today’s session to touch an intraday high of $25.90. At first glance, the large 9,231-lot Mar. $28/$30 debit call spread purchased for a premium of $0.45 per contract on YOKU looks like a bullish bet on the Internet stock. However, the sale of 120,003 shares of the underlying stock at $25.40 each linked to the call spread on a 13 delta paints a different picture. Rather than a bet YOKU will extend its run up, the call spread appears to be a hedge against that outcome. The bearish player is limiting losses faced on the upside while positioning to profit on the short stock leg of the transaction if shares in the video-sharing site slump going forward. YOKU reports earnings on Wednesday of next week after the close.

SWHC - Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. – Gun manufacturer, Smith & Wesson Holding Corp., reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and raised full year net sales guidance after the bell on Thursday, sending shares in the name up as much as 25.0% to an intraday- and fresh 2-year high of $7.09 this morning. It looks like some options strategists who initiated bullish positions on the stock earlier in the week are making a killing today. One trader appears to be taking profits and establishing a new bullish stance on Smith & Wesson in the April expiry calls. Open interest patterns suggest the options player originally picked up 500…
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Private Equity Chatter Drives Bullish Activity In HOT Call Options

Today’s tickers: HOT, QCOM, XRT & GRMN

HOT - Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. – Call options on the owner and operator of brand-name, upscale, full service hotels, including W®, Westin® and Le Meridien®, are changing hands at a rapid clip this morning. Shares in the hotel and leisure company rallied sharply on Wednesday, rising as much as 7.7% to an intraday high of $52.05 in the first half of the session. HOT calls may be active on renewed private equity takeover chatter, according to flyonthewall.com. Indeed, it does seem many players populating Starwood options today are positioning for the price of the underlying to rally substantially by year end. Trading traffic is heaviest at the Nov. $55 strike, where more than 10,400 calls changed hands against open interest of 1,974 contracts. It looks like most of these call options were purchased for an average premium of $0.60 per contract. Bulls long the calls profit at expiration if shares in Starwood Hotels rally another 6.8% over today’s high of $52.05 to surpass the average breakeven price of $55.60. Call volume is heavy in the December contract, as well. Traders appear to have purchased more than 1,300 calls at the Dec. $55 strike for an average premium of $1.39 each, and picked up another 760 call options up at the Dec. $57.5 strike at an average premium of $0.73 a-pop. Higher-strike call buyers may profit at December expiration in the event that HOT’s shares jump 11.9% to exceed the average breakeven point on the upside at $58.23. Investors have exchanged more than 27,000 option contracts on the stock as of 11:30 am in New York.

QCOM - Qualcomm, Inc. – Large prints in Qualcomm call and put options appear to be the work of an investor putting the strangle-hold on the stock heading into the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report after the close of trading today. The short strangle benefits the trader most if the stock trades within a range of $50.00 and $52.50 at expiration in a couple of weeks. Shares in QCOM rose 2.8% to $51.55 in the first half of the session. It looks like the strangle-strategist sold 10,000 calls at the Nov. $52.5 strike for a premium of $1.70 each, and sold 10,000 puts at the lower Nov. $50 strike at a premium of $1.50 apiece. Premium pocketed on the position amounts to $3.20 per contract. The investor may keep the…
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Where Did All the Volatility Go?

Today’s tickers: VIX, EEM, XLU, EWT, AA, ESLR, UNH, HOT & DE

VIX– Summer’s here – you can tell by the fact that volatility is on the wane again that investors are winding down for the summer season. The market’s fear gauge has slipped back again and stands at a level not seen since last September. Today the VIX is trading at 27.45 as most investors see less need to pay higher premiums for protective strategies. Meanwhile, signs of recovery have created the impression that a market rally might feed on itself and has prompted many investors to write options recently. There hope is that as implied volatility erodes the fact that premiums will deflate would afford profits by buying those same options back later. However, the noise coming out of the Chicago Board Options Exchange today is over a July call spread using VIX options that relies on a market swan dive over the coming 41 days before it would earn profits. One trader spent an $850,000 premium on buying 20,000 July calls at the 45 strike while selling the same amount of 55 strike calls, thus lowering the overall premium to 42.5 cents. The VIX hasn’t traded above 40 since April 21 and we’re wondering what this guy knows that no one else does. – CBOE Volatility index

EEM– Shares of the emerging markets ETF have rallied more than 2.5% today to $34.47. The fund has enjoyed a nice run up over the past four months, gaining more than 72% since March 2, 2009, when shares were trading at $19.95. A trade observed in the September contract indicates that at least one investor is crossing his fingers for continued bullish movement in the stock through expiration in September. The trader targeted the now in-the-money September 34 strike price and sold 10,000 puts for 3.10 apiece in order to finance the purchase of 10,000 calls for 2.77 a pop. The investor receives a credit of 33 cents for the transaction. He will add to today’s profits if the EEM can continue to climb higher. – iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ETF

XLU – The utilities ETF has experienced a more than 2.5% increase in shares to $28.02. The XLU ticker symbol jumped onto our ‘most active by options volume’ market scanner after one investor sunk his teeth into a chunk of put options in the September contract.
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Phil's Favorites

Mail delays, the election and the future of the US Postal Service: 5 questions answered

 

Mail delays, the election and the future of the US Postal Service: 5 questions answered

The USPS is playing a major role in this year’s election. AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes

By Jena Martin, West Virginia University and Matthew Titolo, West Virginia University

...

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Biotech/COVID-19

COVID-19 causes some patients' immune systems to attack their own bodies, which may contribute to severe illness

 

COVID-19 causes some patients' immune systems to attack their own bodies, which may contribute to severe illness

In autoimmune diseases, circulating antibodies destroy an individual’s own tissues. JUAN GAERTNER/SCIENCE PHOTO LIBRARY/Getty Images

Courtesy of Matthew Woodruff, Emory University

Across the world, immunologists who retooled their labs to join the fight against SARS-CoV-2 are furiously trying to explain why some people get so sick while others recover unscathed. The pace is dizzying, but some clear tr...



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Zero Hedge

Stimulus Stalemate Sparks Slump In Stocks, Bonds, Oil, & The Dollar

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

Day after day the algos excited pumped and dumped stocks on the back of 'hope' and 'nope' headlines about the next round of COVID-19 relief from Washington. By the end of the week, stocks were down, bond (prices) were down, oil was down, the dollar was down, and economic data was down...

Source: Bloomberg

But all stocks care about is their next "feed" of free money...

Source: Bloomberg

But apart from that everything is awesome...

Small Caps and ...



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ValueWalk

Court decides Uber and Lyft drivers must be classified as employees

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Gig Workers Rising: California Appeals Court decides Uber and Lyft drivers must be classified as employees Under State Law

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

California Appeals Court decides Uber and Lyft drivers must be classified as employees Under State Law 

California Appeals Court Orders Uber And Lyft To Classify Drivers As Employees

Today, the California Appeals Court, in a 74-page opinion, affirmed the injunction issued on August 10 requiring Uber and Lyft to refrain from their continued violation of the law...



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Politics

How to track your mail-in ballot

 

How to track your mail-in ballot

Make sure you know when your ballot is arriving, and whether it’s been accepted for counting back at your election office. erhui1979/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

Courtesy of Steven Mulroy, University of Memphis

Many voters who want to participate in the election by mail are concerned about when they’ll receive their ballot – and whether it will get back in time to be counted.

The pandemic has caused interest in ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Doc Copper/Gold Indicator Breaking Out Again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The Doc Copper/Gold ratio broke above a 2-year falling channel back in 2016 at (1). Following this breakout, it rallied for the next year. During that year, Copper related assets did very well!

The ratio peaked in the summer of 2018 and created a series of lower highs over the past two years.

The strength of late has the ratio attempting to break above dual resistance at (2).

If the ratio continues to push higher and succeeds in breaking out, Copper, Basic Materials (XLB), and ...



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Chart School

Dow Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Time to see what happens to the Dow post US elections.

The Dow Gann Angle Target 3 (from 2007 top) is on the table, and what a ride that will be. The FED went BRRRRR is all the fundamental news you need to know. Gann angles are very good tool to see how the masses are pushing price.


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The last two US elections saw Bitcoin and the DOW rally well for 6 months, due to stimulus. The most bearish 2020 US Election case for the markets is a Biden win with the Senate and Congress controlled by the Democrats, somehow this blog feels that is very unlikely. So what could go wrong!


...

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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading - here's why it's not yet a big deal

 

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading – here's why it's not yet a big deal

Where there’s a bit there’s a writ. Novikov Aleksey

Courtesy of Gavin Brown, University of Liverpool

The sale and promotion of derivatives of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to amateur investors is being banned in the UK by the financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). It is a...



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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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