Posts Tagged ‘job loss estimates’

TrimTabs Estimates U.S. Lost 284,000 Jobs in October and 5.9 Million Jobs in Past Year

TrimTabs Estimates U.S. Lost 284,000 Jobs in October and 5.9 Million Jobs in Past Year

Data from TrimTabs and BEA Indicates Wages and Salaries Declining Sequentially

Miniature Businessman Walking Across Newspaper Stock Page With Briefcase

SAUSALITO, Calif., Nov. 4 /PRNewswire/ — TrimTabs Investment Research estimates that the U.S. economy lost 284,000 jobs in October, a modest improvement over the 358,000 jobs shed in September. TrimTabs estimates 5.9 million jobs were lost in the past 12 months.

"We’re not surprised Washington policymakers are mulling more stimulus measures," said Charles Biderman, CEO of TrimTabs. "Despite all the money the government threw at the economy in the past year, employers are still cutting hundreds of thousands of jobs per month."

TrimTabs’ employment estimates are based on analysis of daily income tax deposits to the U.S. Treasury from all salaried U.S. employees. Historically, TrimTabs’ estimates have been more accurate than the initial estimate of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

"For the labor market to turn around, the economy needs to add 100,000 to 150,000 jobs per month," Biderman said. "While we’ve stepped back from the abyss, we’ve got a long way to go before the economy starts creating jobs."

As the labor market continues to contract, those with jobs have less buying power. In a research note, TrimTabs explained that wages and salaries are still declining sequentially. TrimTabs estimates based on income tax deposits that wages and salaries fell 5.3% y-o-y in September and 4.6% y-o-y in October, steeper than declines earlier in the year even though year-over-year comparisons have become much easier.

Wage and salary data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) confirms what TrimTabs has been reporting for months. According to the BEA, wages and salaries fell sequentially in seven of the first nine months of 2009, including a sequential decline of 0.2% in September.

"Our key indicators on employment and income suggest a sustainable economic recovery is a long way off," Biderman said. "The government has done a lot more to create make-work jobs for bureaucrats and pump up auto and home sales than to promote long-term growth."

TrimTabs Investment Research is the only independent research service that publishes detailed daily coverage of U.S. stock market liquidity--including mutual fund flows and exchange-traded fund flows--as well as weekly withheld income and employment tax collections. Founded by Charles Biderman, TrimTabs has provided institutional investors with trading strategies since 1990. For more information, please visit…
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ValueWalk

Be a Bird Dog to Become Wealthy in Real Estate Business

By Professor M.S. Rao, Ph.D.. Originally published at ValueWalk.

“The womb from which you emerge determines your fate to an enormous degree for most of the seven billion people in the world.” – Warren Buffett

[reit]

Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Investing in land is one of the wisest investments in the world. You can strike it rich if you can identify the potential areas and invest in them at the right time.  If you acquire knowledge about the real estate, research the promising areas, and act at an appropriate time, you can becom...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver Could Be Creating Large Reversal Pattern, Says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Could Silver prices from 30-years ago be influencing price action this month? Joe Friday suggests it is possible.

This chart looks at Silver Futures on a monthly basis over the past 40-years. Fibonacci levels were applied to the 1980 highs ($50) and 1991 lows ($.350) in Silver.

The 50% retracement levels of the 1980 high/1991 low came into play as support for a few months at each (1). Once this support broke, Silver fell another 50%.

The impressive rally over the past 8-weeks has Silver testing the 50% retracement level as potential...



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Phil's Favorites

Movie theaters are on life support - how will the film industry adapt?

 

Movie theaters are on life support – how will the film industry adapt?

A movie theater in Brea, Calif., has shuttered its doors due to the coronavirus pandemic. AP Photo/Jae C. Hong

Courtesy of Matthew Jordan, Pennsylvania State University

Since the start of the pandemic, the film industry has been in free fall.

As deaths have continued to climb, ...



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Biotech/COVID-19

Wearable fitness devices deliver early warning of possible COVID-19 infection

 

Wearable fitness devices deliver early warning of possible COVID-19 infection

Fitness information from wearable devices can reveal when the body is fighting an infection. Nico De Pasquale Photography/Stone via Getty Images

Courtesy of Albert H. Titus, University at Buffalo, The State University of New York

The difficulty many people have getting tested for SARS-CoV-2 and delays in receiving test results make early warning of possible COVID-19 infections all the more important, and ...



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Zero Hedge

Fake ID Seizures, Mostly From China, On the Rise

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Petr Svab via the Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has been seizing an increasing number of fake IDs, including driver’s licenses, in recent years. Most come from China and are good enough to fool an average person, an agency official said.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Chart School

Silver Big Channel

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Big channels are the sand pit of price action. Lets review some big trends of these past months.


GLD
- Moving higher to upper solid red line channel


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XAU
- Ready to pause, or simply explode.



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SILVER
- Ready to pause, or simply explode.


Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image i...



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Digital Currencies

Raoul Pal: "It May Not Be Worth Owning Any Asset Other Than Bitcoin"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Turner Wright via CoinTelegraph.com,

Raoul Pal, CEO and founder of Real Vision, says Bitcoin may soon become his only asset for long-term investments.

image courtesy of CoinTelegraph ...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Members' Corner

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

 

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

No matter the details of the plot, conspiracy theories follow common patterns of thought. Ranta Images/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Courtesy of John Cook, George Mason University; Sander van der Linden, University of Cambridge; Stephan Lewandowsky...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

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Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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