Posts Tagged ‘Schwarzenegger’

Here’s Why California’s Budget Crisis Is Going To Be Much Worse Next Year

Here’s Why California’s Budget Crisis Is Going To Be Much Worse Next Year

california

Courtesy of Joe Weisenthal, Business Insider 

California recently closed its budget, but in January the state will need to begin working on its next one.

According to the LA Times, a $19 billion hole is already projected, and here’s the problem: The easy budget cuts and the easy tax hikes are already in the books.

The are other problems, too. The new governor, whoever that is, will be reluctant to waste political capital (Schwarzenegger had the benefit of being a lame duck) and fresh legislators will once again have to learn how the whole process works (California has term limits, meaning nobody ever sticks around long enough to know how it works).

Also, the public has unrealistic expectations:

In a survey of 1,000 Californians conducted in June by the Pew Center on the States and the Public Policy Institute of California, half of respondents believed state spending could be cut 20% or more with no impact on services. The report points out that the state would have to eliminate the equivalent of its entire prison system, all welfare programs and all transportation spending to save that much.

The authors went to Mike Genest, Schwarzenegger’s former budget director, for some perspective.

"Reality hasn’t caught up with the voting public," Genest told them. "Politicians have made it sound like there are other alternatives, like we can simply get rid of fraud, waste and abuse and [have] a spending freeze and … have the same kind of government we’ve always had. … That’s just not true."

Anyway, assuming a big GOP sweep in November in DC, there won’t be much help coming from the Feds. Barring another tax-revenue-creating bubble, this should be quite a horror show.

Now see the 11 states most likely to default >

Image: AP


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Mish Cheers The Labor Unions

Mish Cheers The Labor Unions; Schwarzenegger Begs Obama For Money, Seeks Permanent State Pay Cuts, Proposes Privatizing Prisons

Courtesy of Mish

California is imploding right before our eyes. However, you do not have to be there to see it, all you have to do is listen to the panic in governor Schwarzenegger’s voice.

Please consider California’s Schwarzenegger wants more federal money

California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger on Wednesday vowed to pry more dollars from the federal government, which he said took more than it gave, but left details on how to close a $19.9 billion state budget gap until later this week.

In a state of the state speech, the governor said creating jobs was the top priority for his last year in office and proposed spending $500 million in worker training funded by part of the budget which is in surplus.

"We no longer can ignore what is owed to us, or what we are forced to spend on federal mandates," Schwarzenegger told the combined state Assembly and Senate, which must support any budget plan by a two-thirds majority — a bar that has forced months of acrimonious debate in previous years.

Democratic State Controller John Chiang said lawmakers have little time to lose if California’s government is to avoid the same kind of cash shortages that last year forced it to hand out IOUs to pay its bills.

"They’re certainly a year older and I hope a year wiser," Chiang told Reuters.

State Treasurer Bill Lockyer, also a Democrat, described Schwarzenegger’s speech as "essentially the same" as other set pieces by the governor — middle of the road and long on optimism, such as the promise to safeguard education.

"It’s a little hard to square with the fiscal realities," he said, adding that others had tried for years to claw back money from the federal government and the governor might rely too much on such help in the budget plan he releases this week.

Meanwhile, the state needs to sell bonds in coming months to avoid shutting down infrastructure projects, Lockyer said.

Schwarzenegger put the budget hole at $19.9 billion over 18 months, about a billion less than a recent report from the state’s budget watchdog. He blamed the federal government for possible increases because of new healthcare costs.

A new national healthcare policy would be a ‘disaster’ for California, he said.


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Showdown in California: Schwarzenegger vs. Democrats

Showdown in California: Schwarzenegger vs. Democrats

Courtesy of Mish
 
The showdown is on in California between the Democrat controlled legislature and governor Schwarzenegger. The battle shapes up like this: Democrats do not understand basic math and Schwarzenegger is not giving in. The end result is California seen missing budget deadline again.

Barring a miracle, California lawmakers will miss their June 15 deadline for passing a balanced budget — a staggering challenge with the state facing a $24.3 billion shortfall amid the worst drop in state revenues since the Great Depression.

Observers of the most populous U.S. state’s political scene laugh at the idea of a budget deal by Monday.

"It’s about as likely as me being named MVP of the Stanley Cup final," said Dan Schnur, director of the Unruh Institute of Politics at the University of Southern California.

Citing the state’s weak economy and double-digit unemployment rate, the movie star-turned politician has ruled out new taxes, which has raised his standing with the legislature’s unruly and anti-tax Republican minority.

Schwarzenegger also urged Democrats to ignore lobbying by their union allies against sharply lower spending levels to help balance the state’s books.

"Do they want to protect the workers that provide the services, or do they want to protect the people that get those services? The choice is up to them," he said.

His blunt talk came as the Service Employees International Union launched an advertising campaign against his budget plan, a threat to many of its 700,000 members in the state.

State Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg has said spending cuts are inevitable, but he opposes Schwarzenegger’s plan for scrapping state programs. Instead, he wants to tap reserves in the governor’s plan to maintain the programs.

Understanding Negative Numbers

Tapping "reserves" is idiotic because California has negative reserves of $24 billion. Do the Democrats or the unions understand the concept of negative numbers?

Unfortunately the answer is a resounding "No". Some might think this is a reason to keep the education budget intact. However, the odds that the legislature or unions sign up for much needed remedial math education classes is zero. Therefore, saving taxpayer money must take precedence over spending that will not go to where it is most needed.

Schwarzenegger Threatens To Shut Down Government

If a deal


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Phil's Favorites

How can scientists update coronavirus vaccines for omicron? A microbiologist answers 5 questions about how Moderna and Pfizer could rapidly adjust mRNA vaccines

 

How can scientists update coronavirus vaccines for omicron? A microbiologist answers 5 questions about how Moderna and Pfizer could rapidly adjust mRNA vaccines

Some vaccines use mRNA to make copies of the triangular red spike proteins to induce immunity. Juan Gaertner/Science Photo Library via Getty Images

Courtesy of Deborah Fuller, University of Washington

If the omicron variant of the coronavirus is different enough from the original variant, it’s possible that existing vaccines won’t be as effect...



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Biotech/COVID-19

How can scientists update coronavirus vaccines for omicron? A microbiologist answers 5 questions about how Moderna and Pfizer could rapidly adjust mRNA vaccines

 

How can scientists update coronavirus vaccines for omicron? A microbiologist answers 5 questions about how Moderna and Pfizer could rapidly adjust mRNA vaccines

Some vaccines use mRNA to make copies of the triangular red spike proteins to induce immunity. Juan Gaertner/Science Photo Library via Getty Images

Courtesy of Deborah Fuller, University of Washington

If the omicron variant of the coronavirus is different enough from the original variant, it’s possible that existing vaccines won’t be as effect...



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Zero Hedge

WHO: Omicron In 38 Countries, No Deaths Reported

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times,

The World Health Organization (WHO) on Friday said the COVID-19 omicron variant is now in 38 countries, up from 23 two days ago, suggesting that the variant may be more contagious than Delta.

Men wearing protective suits make their way at ...



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Chart School

Gold and Silver stock cycle bottom near

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There are some regular cycles at play with the Gold and Silver stock leaders.

The metal stocks cycles in Australia lead the rest of world metal stocks. This is because you can make gains on the stock prices as well as the currency price (AUDUSD), this is the worlds first go to gold stock.

The US FED has just announced inflation is not transitory but is structural. This opens the door for inflation hedging strategies, and gold and silver stocks will be part of this play.

Chart 1 - This shows ASX Newcrest Mining near cycle lows, this is important as Wyckoff logic investors will be watching for 'whale' buying and accumulation swings up and down. Yes we may see a few more weeks of price moving along range bound lows but the cycle does ...

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Politics

The first Thanksgiving is a key chapter in America's origin story - but what happened in Virginia four months later mattered much more

 

The first Thanksgiving is a key chapter in America’s origin story – but what happened in Virginia four months later mattered much more

In the 19th century, there was a campaign to link the Thanksgiving holiday to the Pilgrims. Bettman/Getty Images

Courtesy of Peter C. Mancall, USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences

This year marks the 400th anniversary of the first Thanksgiving in New England. Remembered and retold as an allegory for perseverance and cooper...



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Digital Currencies

Stablecoins: these cryptocurrencies threaten the financial system, but no one is getting to grips with them

 

Stablecoins: these cryptocurrencies threaten the financial system, but no one is getting to grips with them

Safe as houses? iQoncept

Courtesy of Jean-Philippe Serbera, Sheffield Hallam University

Cryptocurrencies have had an exceptional year, reaching a combined value of more than US$3 trillion (£2.2 trillion) for the first time in November. The market seems to have benefited from the public having tim...



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Promotions

Phil's Interview on Options Trading with TD Bank

TD Bank's host Bryan Rogers interviewed Phil on June 10 as part of TD's Options Education Month. If you missed the program, be sure to watch the video below. It should be required viewing for anyone trading or thinking about trading using options. 

Watch here:

TD's webinar with Phil (link) or right here at PSW

Screenshots of TD's slides illustrating Phil's examples:

 

 

&n...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil Cleared For Blast Off On This Dual Breakout?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is Crude Oil about to blast off and hit much higher prices? It might be worth being aware of what could be taking place this month in this important commodity!

Crude Oil has created lower highs over the past 13-years, since peaking back in 2008, along line (1).

It created a “Double Top at (2), then it proceeded to decline more than 60% in four months.

The countertrend rally in Crude Oil has it attempting to break above its 13-year falling resistance as well as its double top at (3).

A successful breakout at (3) would suggest Crude Oil is about to mo...



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ValueWalk

Managing Investments As A Charity Or Nonprofit

By Anna Peel. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Maintaining financial viability is a constant challenge for charities and nonprofit organizations.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

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Finding ways to generate long-term, sustainable returns for ...



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Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
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  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
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