Posts Tagged ‘S&P chart’

SP 500 September Futures Daily Chart

SP 500 September Futures Daily Chart

Courtesy of JESSE’S CAFÉ AMÉRICAIN

The SP futures completed a 61.8% retracement from the bottom today. Now we will see if this was a bottom and a short term trend change that can go all the way to the top of the big long term trend channel. 

 

 


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SP 500 Daily Chart: The Silence of the Turkeys

SP 500 Daily Chart: The Silence of the Turkeys

Courtesy of Jesse’s Café Américain

While Americans were celebrating their Thanksgiving Day holiday, the rest of the world gobbled 40 points from the December SP 500 futures.

Bears are doing high fives and the serial top callers are rolling.

Let’s see if the correction will continue after the pilfering pilgrims are back on their prop desks.

Then again, maybe the Reverend Lloyd is just bringing in the sheaves. Why waste a crisis?

Up the trend, then down again. Trend is the trend, until it is not.

This *could* be the November selloff that was expected. Le Prop is on the short side to an acceptable degree. It could be a short ride, and so not taking it heavily short until we break this trend.

Until that point we either buy weakness and sell strength within the trends, or sit on our hands and do nothing.

Why is gold selling off, isn’t it supposed to rise in times of crisis? Well, it did, and quite impressively, in the past week or so, in anticipation of this major failure in the world of paper finance. And now there is selling on the news.

Those who look for a one to one linear correlation between action and reaction will be sadly disappointed and confused, because that is not how the game is played by the banks. They trade in information, in dark pools and private whispers, and the dollars are the means of keeping score.

This is why timing buys and sells is so difficult, especially in hotly speculative markets like the US equity market, just for an example, because the game you are allowed to see on the table is not necessarily the one that is really being played. So better to play the long trends, where the short term does not matter.

But all is not lost. We still have a feeling that the word has gone out from Timmy to Lloyd that the puppies will not buy their puppy chow if the markets are gloomy, and this is why we are in a flat to rising trend in stocks.

Keep in mind that there is always an up and down movement within the trends, especially those whose action is artificial. We are nearing the downstroke on the charts on the overnight trade, which catches most small…
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SP 500 Daily Chart: Pete and Repeat Were on a Boat…

SP 500 Daily Chart: Pete and Repeat Were on a Boat…

Courtesy of Jesse’s Café Américain

Just another day doing God’s work on earth…


 

"Hello Lloyd? Yeah, Larry and I were talking, and we would like to see the market go up, not too fast, but on a nice gentle slope, within a range.
Whatever gains you make doing this are yours to keep. Ben will supply the liquidity. We need to make it look like the Administration’s policies are working.
And most Americans will think they are if the stock market is up."

*****

Weil was born in Paris to Alsatian agnostic Jewish parents who fled the annexation of Alsace-Lorraine to Germany. She grew up in comfortable circumstances, as her father was a doctor. Her only sibling was André Weil, who would go on to become one of the greatest mathematicians of the 20th century. She suffered throughout her life from severe headaches, sinusitis, and poor physical coordination, and spared no scrutiny to these in her philosophical writings. Her brilliance, ascetic lifestyle, introversion, and eccentricity limited her ability to mix with others, but not to teach and participate in political movements of her time. She wrote extensively with both insight and breadth about political movements of which she was a part and later about spiritual mysticism. Weil biographer Gabriella Fiori writes that Weil was "a moral genius in the orbit of ethics, a genius of immense revolutionary range.  Wikipedia.

 


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SP Futures Daily Chart

SP Futures Daily Chart

 

Courtesy of Jesse’s Café Américain

An obvious reflationary effort that, without serious financial reform and economic rebalancing, will degenerate into another phase of the financial crisis and the ongoing banking fraud in a corrupt partnership with government.


 

"There is a mysterious cycle in human events. To some generations much is given. Of other generations much is expected.  This generation of Americans has a rendezvous with destiny." Franklin D. Roosevelt

 


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Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?

Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?

Courtesy of Market Club’s Adam Hewison

There is compelling evidence that we may have seen a top in the S&P index. In my new short video, I show you the evidence that I have found which may point a correction in this index.  While the S&P index needs to put in more work to create a major top, there are early signs that this may be happening. I think when you watch this video you will come to the same conclusion as I did in regards to this market.

China, Hong Kong, 'Avenue of Stars' clapperboard

Click here to watch the video. >>
 

p.s.  I also got word from Adam at Market Club wondering whether gold might be topping out.

He wrote "Big moves and the technicals are really lining up for something huge. But don’t take my word for it, watch
this new video called ‘Is this the TOP in Gold?’"

 


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Everything’s Coming Up Roses

Everything’s Coming Up Roses

Courtesy of Tim Knight of Slope of Hope

As regular readers know, I’m counting on a countertrend top between 1050 and 1200 on the S&P, and we’re within spitting distance of it. Today’s high was barely 1% underneath 1050. I maintain my belief that this is nothing more than a countertrend rally unless (God forbid) we were to cross above 1200.

The folks over at Elliott Wave provided a very interesting graph on sentiment today:

0824-optimism

Not to put too fine a point on it (.…..say I’m the only bee in your bonnet…….), investors are now even more doe-eyed optimistic about the prospects for equities than they were when the S&P peaked at 1576! All this crap about tons of cash on the sidelines and people waiting to pile into the market is just that: a load of crap. They’re already in! And they’re expecting things to keep soaring! (Just like, ummm, in October 2007).

The "cash on the sidelines" thing drives me nuts. The "cash" was destroyed in the 58% decline – remember? The notion that people:

  1. Sold at the top
  2. Tucked their "cash" away somewhere really, really safe
  3. Now have all that cash at-the-ready to buy stocks

is…….that’s right!…………utter crap.

It’s lovely that today was a good day for me, but I’ve been through the past five months and know it doesn’t mean squat. You know the last time we had a good, solid down week? June! So it pays to take it one day at a time and assume Goldman is just playing games with us all until things start to seriously, seriously crack.

And, I assure you, ladies and gentleman, that is a day to which I eagerly look forward.

****

Song for Tim :-)

 


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S&P 500 Morning Analysis 8/6/09

S&P 500 Morning Analysis 8/6/09  

Courtesy of Brian Shannon at AlphaTrends

SPY chart

 

 


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Dave’s Daily

MARKET COMMENT

Courtesy of Dave Fry at ETF Digest, August 4, 2009

There are crazy headlines everyday and you don’t need me to cherry pick them all but I liked the following:

“Consumer spending rises in June as incomes fall”. Reuters
“SEC to ban ‘Flash Trades’ that gives brokers edge, Schumer says”. Bloomberg
“Fed plans to strengthen bank examinations with expert teams, Tarullo say”. Bloomberg
“Duncan wields Obama’s $100 billion to make US schools more like Chicago” Bloomberg
“Financials surge, save rally.” MarketWatch
“Demand surges for clunker killer.” MarketWatch
“6 keys to investing for doomsday.” MSN Money
“Jon and Kate Gosselin have onscreen spat.” Yahoo News

I was educated in Chicago’s public schools and let me take this opportunity to express my sympathies to parents who may have school age children.

Okay, enough fun, let’s turn to markets where, with the exception of pending home sales, the news wasn’t pretty. But bulls have momentum and are focusing on news they like while ignoring or spinning that which they don’t.

Volume remains light no matter how you spin it and breadth was positive overall. 

 

Continue reading Dave Fry’s Market Comment here >>

 


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Phil's Favorites

Coronavirus variants: how did they evolve and what do they mean?

 

Coronavirus variants: how did they evolve and what do they mean?

Courtesy of Ed Feil, University of Bath

Image by fernando zhiminaicela from Pixabay

When supplies of oxygen at hospitals in Manaus, Brazil, recently ran out, the airforce was called in for emergency evacuations while healthcare workers frantically tried to save lives with manual ventilation. For those that could not be saved, there was only m...



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Biotech/COVID-19

Coronavirus variants: how did they evolve and what do they mean?

 

Coronavirus variants: how did they evolve and what do they mean?

Courtesy of Ed Feil, University of Bath

Image by fernando zhiminaicela from Pixabay

When supplies of oxygen at hospitals in Manaus, Brazil, recently ran out, the airforce was called in for emergency evacuations while healthcare workers frantically tried to save lives with manual ventilation. For those that could not be saved, there was only m...



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Zero Hedge

Gamestop Goes Red After More Than Doubling Just Two Hours Earlier

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

Update (1220pm ET): It was only "natural" that in a market as broken as deranged as this one, that Gamestop - which less than to hours today was up more than 100%, hitting an all time high just over  $159 - is now red for the day, having dropped as low as $60/share. There is nothing one can say here, besides sit back and watch the grotesque farce formerly known as "the market" that the Federal Reserve has created.

* * *

It's just getting more insane by the minute and at last check Gamestop hit a record $159.19 per share, up almost triple on the day and bringing it market cap well above $10 bil...



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ValueWalk

After Your Recent High - Where To Now, Gold?

By Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Gold is suffering a hang-over after it’s early January highs, while the EUR/USD pair is buckling – so when gold declines, where will its bottom be?

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The Price Of Gold Fell On Friday

After injecting itself with Janet Yellen’s stimulus sentiment, gold came down from its highs on Friday (Jan. 22).

And like the GDX ETF, it’s important to put gold’s recent run into context. For starters, ...



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Digital Currencies

Ethereum Surges To New Record High As DeFi Boom Re-Accelerates

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Coins that power decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols are soaring recently as bitcoin treads water.

While bitcoin grabbed all the headlines early on in the year, it is the rest of the crypto space that is stealing its thunder most recently as Ethereum, the backbone of the smart contracts that define much of the DeFi space, has drastically outperformed...

Source: Bloomberg

That is the highest for ETH relative to BTC since

...

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Politics

Far-right groups move to messaging apps as tech companies crack down on extremist social media

 

Far-right groups move to messaging apps as tech companies crack down on extremist social media

Far-right groups like the Proud Boys, seen here marching in Washington, D.C., on Dec. 12, are increasingly organizing their activities on messaging services like Telegram. Stephanie Keith/Getty Images

Courtesy of Kevin GrishamCalifornia State University San Bernardino

Right-wing extremists called for open revolt against the U.S. government ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Bitcoin Parabolic Rally Reversal Faces Big Support Test!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

One of the biggest breakouts of 2020 came by way of Bitcoin. And it was epic.

The coronavirus crash saw the cryptocurrency retest its 2018 lows before rocketing higher in parabolic fashion.

Did Bitcoin Peak? What’s Next?

Today we examine a “weekly” chart of Bitcoin, highlighting its parabolic rally… and recent reversal lower.

The rally in Bitcoin surged all the way to the 361% Fibonacci extension level at (1) before creating the largest bearish reversal in years.

In just a few weeks time, Bitcoin is testing its 261% Fibonacci level near 31,000 at (2). This is a big test of support for the cryptocurrency. A “weekl...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Saturday, 11 July 2020, 05:26:16 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: This is lack of liquidity means support is likely to break if it is tested hard!



Date Found: Saturday, 11 July 2020, 09:51:58 PM

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.


Comment: Nasdaq losing momentum.



Da...

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Mapping The Market

The Countries With The Most COVID-19 Cases

 

The Countries With The Most COVID-19 Cases

By Martin Armstrong, Statista, Jan 12, 2021

This regularly updated infographic keeps track of the countries with the most confirmed Covid-19 cases. The United States is still at the top of the list, with a total now exceeding the 22 million mark, according to Johns Hopkins University figures. The total global figure is now over 85 million, while there have been more than 1.9 million deaths.

You will find more infographics at ...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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