Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?
by Chart School - October 28th, 2009 11:59 am
Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?
Courtesy of Market Club’s Adam Hewison
There is compelling evidence that we may have seen a top in the S&P index. In my new short video, I show you the evidence that I have found which may point a correction in this index. While the S&P index needs to put in more work to create a major top, there are early signs that this may be happening. I think when you watch this video you will come to the same conclusion as I did in regards to this market.
Click here to watch the video. >>
p.s. I also got word from Adam at Market Club wondering whether Gold might be topping out.
He wrote "Big moves and the technicals are really lining up for something huge. But don’t take my word for it, watch
this new video called ‘Is this the TOP in Gold?’"
Multi-Year Stock Market Top Could Be In
by ilene - October 28th, 2009 10:02 am
Mish thinks the top is either in or should be, if fundamentals matter anymore. He’s made a lot of good calls in the past. – Ilene
Multi-Year Stock Market Top Could Be In
Courtesy of Mish
Professor David Waggoner posted the following chart yesterday on Minyanville that I think is worth noting.
click on chart for sharper image
Professor Waggoner commented "The next intermediate level pivot down is around 882. It is a 50% retrace of the entire move up from the low and is a possible pivot for an extension of the entire A-B-C pattern off the low. It is also a natural support level as shown on the chart.
These intermediate level targets are based on the interpretation that the move up from the March low is a corrective retrace of a 5 wave set down from October 2007.
I concur with Professor Waggoner’s analysis.
The important point in above chart is that the move up from the March low is likely a correction, not the start of a new bull market. That information alone is worth far more than any details as to how the market may decline from here. Many patterns are still in play.
Depending on the index, you can count these moves off the bottom as a simple A-B-C correction as shown, or as an A-B-C-D-E wedge. We’ll know which one was correct in hindsight, but both suggest stocks will eventually make new lows – either sooner (in 2010) or later. A multi-year top could be in. Fundamentally, it should be in.
In the short-term, if we have in fact seen the end of the rally, the SPX will likely decline to the 200 day moving average, currently at 916. By the time we get there, it could be in the neighborhood of the 38% retrace line near 933. If things go quickly, it could be down there by the end of the year.
This is not a recommendation to short; this is a notice that risk is tremendously high and a top could be (and in my opinion should be) in. The market may have other ideas.
Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?
by ilene - October 28th, 2009 9:54 am
Has the S&P Index Topped Out for the Year?
Courtesy of Market Club’s Adam Hewison
There is compelling evidence that we may have seen a top in the S&P index. In my new short video, I show you the evidence that I have found which may point a correction in this index. While the S&P index needs to put in more work to create a major top, there are early signs that this may be happening. I think when you watch this video you will come to the same conclusion as I did in regards to this market.
Click here to watch the video. >>
p.s. I also got word from Adam at Market Club wondering whether gold might be topping out.
He wrote "Big moves and the technicals are really lining up for something huge. But don’t take my word for it, watch
this new video called ‘Is this the TOP in Gold?’"