Posts Tagged ‘violence’

Fears of Regime Change in New York

Fears of Regime Change in New York

Courtesy of Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism

Time Square New York

Normally, I don’t report on anecdotes from my immediate circle, but a set of conversations in less than a 24 hour period suggests that even those comparatively unaffected by the crisis are bracing themselves for the possibility of sudden, large-scale, adverse changes. And that sort of gnawing worry seems to be growing in New York despite being buoyed by TARP funds and covert bank subsidies.

When out on my rounds the day before yesterday, I ran into an old McKinsey colleague, who had subsequently had impressively titled jobs in Big Firms You Heard Of before semi-retiring to manage family money. He and his very accomplished wife were big Bush donors and had been invited to both inaugurations.

He made short order of niceties and got to the point: “We need more fiscal stimulus. Obama did too little and too much of what he spent on was liberal pork. We could and need to spend a lot on infrastructure. This is looking a lot like 1936. I’m afraid it could get really ugly. And I’m particularly worried that the Republicans will win big this fall. They’ll cut even deeper, that’s the last thing we need right now.”

No I am not making this up, and yes, this is one of the last people I would have expected to express this line of thinking.

Next day, I had lunch with a two long standing, keen observers and participants in the New York scene, as in very involved in some of the city’s important institutions. Both have witnessed the shift in values over the last thirty years and the rising stratification, particularly at the top end (New York has always been plutocratic, but it formerly had a large upper middle class and a much smaller and much less isolated upper crust).

They started by commenting on my Bill Gross post, which had mentioned the appalling Steve Schwarzman contention that taxing private equity overlords more on their carried interest was like HItler invading Poland. Schwarzman is not only not retreating from his remark, he is convinced that the reason the economy is so lousy is that rich men like him are not getting their way (this is if anything an understatement of their account. Both men expect his head to be the first…
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This Is How It Begins (Wanton Violence)

This Is How It Begins (Wanton Violence)

Courtesy of Karl Denninger at The Market Ticker

austin tx plane crash, courtesy of tbi, apThis is not the sort of thing you want to report on.

But I need to, because what looked like an accident originally – a horrible accident, with a plane on approach that had some sort of mechanical problem - now looks to be something else.

AUSTIN, TX (myFOXaustin) – A small aircraft plane has crashed into a 7-story office building in North Austin near Mopac and 183. The plane crashed into the Echelon building around 10 a.m. Thursday morning. Police have blocked off access roads around the building.

….

According to Corp. Scott Perry with APD several federal offices were located inside the building that was struck by the plane.  Officials with NTSB say that IRS offices were some of the federal offices.

CNBS is reporting that there is "no indication that this was an act of terrorism or otherwise intentional."  Oh really?  Then how come CNBC is claiming on-air that the man involved set fire to his own house first?  Oh, and Fox News just stated that the name of the pilot was…. Mr. Joe Stack.

Uh…. what’s this?

I know I’m hardly the first one to decide I have had all I can stand.  It has always been a myth that people have stopped dying for their freedom in this country, and it isn’t limited to the blacks, and poor immigrants.  I know there have been countless before me and there are sure to be as many after.  But I also know that by not adding my body to the count, I insure nothing will change.  I choose to not keep looking over my shoulder at “big brother” while he strips my carcass, I choose not to ignore what is going on all around me, I choose not to pretend that business as usual won’t continue; I have just had enough.

I can only hope that the numbers quickly get too big to be white washed and ignored that the American zombies wake up and revolt; it will take nothing less.  I would only hope that by striking a nerve that stimulates the inevitable double standard, knee-jerk government reaction that results in more stupid draconian restrictions people wake up and begin to see the pompous political thugs and their mindless minions for what they are.  Sadly, though


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Fed judges order California to slash prison population

Intro, courtesy of Timothy D. Naegele:

"As the economic tsunami continues to take its toll globally, and as California suffers because of declining tax revenues and budgetary imbalances — which may spawn more crime, not less — the judges want to mandate that criminals are released.  Wow!"

Fed judges order California to slash prison population

By Mike Zapler in the Mercury News

SACRAMENTO — In a decision that could dramatically reshape California’s criminal justice system, a panel of federal judges on Tuesday ordered Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and state legislators to find ways to cut the prison population by 40,000, or about one-quarter of all inmates.

The ruling was a stark milestone in the years-long saga of two lawsuits charging that California allows inhumane conditions to fester in its prisons because of severe overcrowding. Law-and-order advocates say such cuts would result in inmates being returned to the streets early or being turned over to cash-strapped counties to jail. The Schwarzenegger administration signaled that it would likely appeal the case to the U.S. Supreme Court.

The three-judge panel gave the governor and lawmakers 45 days to present a plan to cut the inmate population from about 150,000 to 110,000 over two years. The judges delivered a stern message about conditions that are so poor in some prisons that they violate inmates’ constitutional rights.

"The medical and mental health care available to inmates in the California prison system is woefully and constitutionally inadequate, and has been for more than a decade," the judges wrote in a 184-page ruling. "Tragically, California’s inmates have long been denied even (a) minimal level of medical and mental health care, with consequences that have been serious, and often fatal. … A significant number of inmates have died as a result."

The judges described some prisons operating at nearly 300 percent of capacity, with inmates housed in triple bunk beds placed in gymnasiums and day rooms.

"In these overcrowded conditions, inmate-on-inmate violence is almost impossible to prevent, infectious diseases spread more easily, and lockdowns are sometimes the only means by which to maintain control," the judges wrote…

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156 Killed in China as Violence Erupts Over Ethnic Grievances and Jobs

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156 Killed in China as Violence Erupts Over Ethnic Grievances and Jobs

ChinaCourtesy of Mish

One reason China stepped on the fiscal stimulus pedal was to help quiet millions of displaced migrant workers now out of a job. China’s concern over migrant workers was well founded as Violence Kills 156 in China, Hundreds More Detained.

China’s government said more than 700 people were detained after ethnic rioting in the capital of Xinjiang province killed 156 people. Overseas Uighur groups were responsible for the violence, the government said.

A curfew and traffic blockade remained in effect in Urumqi, capital of China’s westernmost province, until 8 a.m., a government press officer, Yang Guoqiang, said in an interview. Three armed guards checked every visitor and bag with metal detectors at the Sheraton Urumqi hotel.

China Central Television yesterday aired images of smoke billowing from vehicles, crowds overturning police cars and bloodied people slumped on sidewalks in Urumqi. More than 825 people were also injured after rioting broke out in the city late on July 5, and the toll is likely to rise, Xinhua cited Liu Yaohua, the region’s police chief, as saying.

As many as 30 million migrant workers have lost their jobs during the global financial crisis, as demand from the U.S. and Europe vanishes, exacerbating already simmering social tensions.

“It’s like Mao Zedong used to say, a spark can spread the fire into the prairie, and that’s the situation in Xinjiang,” said Jean-Philippe Beja, a senior researcher at the French Centre for Studies on Contemporary China in Hong Kong.

Fifty-seven bodies were retrieved from the streets, while the remainder were confirmed dead at hospitals, said Liu, the police chief. Rioters burned 261 vehicles and destroyed 203 shops, authorities said.

Nur Bekri, chairman of the Xinjiang regional government, said in a televised speech yesterday that the riot was triggered by the death of two Uighur workers in a factory brawl in Guangdong province in June, Xinhua reported. That incident also had ethnic overtones, with the Uighur workers fighting ethnic-Han workers, according to the news agency.

Mobs Take to Streets

Another day of violence is underway and China Tries to Calm Urumqi as Mobs Take to Streets.

Hundreds of Chinese from rival ethnic groups fought each


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Zero Hedge

Realtors Urge Fed To Stop Hiking As Existing Home Sales Slump Most Since 2014

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Despite a modestly better than expected 1.4% MoM rise (after September's 3.4% slump), existing home sales slumped 5.1% year-over-year - the biggest drop since 2014.

A blip higher in SAAR...

Regionally, The West is suffering the most...

  • Existing-home sales in the Northeast increased 1.5% to an annual rate of...



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Phil's Favorites

A Frightful Fall for FAANG Investors

 

A Frightful Fall for FAANG Investors

By , Statista 

Things went from bad to worse for FAANG shareholders on Monday, as share prices of Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google dropped by another 4 to 6 percent in what shapes up to be a terrible fall for America’s tech heavyweights. 

Since the beginning of September, every one of the FAANG group has suffered significant losses in market cap, with Amazon hit particularly hard. After the-commerce giant bri...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Tech Wreck Most Likely Gets Started Here!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

This chart looks at the Nasdaq Composite Index (IXIC) over the past 38-years. It has spent the majority inside of the past 25-years inside of rising channel (1).

The Long-term Trend in this index remains up, despite the softness of late.

The rally off the bottom of the channel that started in 2009, hit the top of the channel in September, as monthly momentum reached levels last seen in 2000. The price and momentum decline over the past 7-weeks has both testing 9-year rising support at (2).

...



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Insider Scoop

20 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Gainers
  • Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE: FL) rose 15.4 percent to $53.15 in pre-market trading after the company reported stronger-than-expected earnings for its third quarter on Tuesday.
  • Ability Inc. (NASDAQ: ABIL) rose 14.2 percent to $3.22 in pre-market trading after the company announced plans to acquire a company that licences Ultimate Interception for $1 million in Ability stock plus warrants.
  • Qudian Inc. (NYSE: QD) rose 11.4 percent to $4.79 in pre-market trading...


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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Nov 18, 2018

Courtesy of Blain.

A rough Monday sunk chances for a positive week on the indexes as the choppy action continues.   As we mentioned in last week’s recap while some technical indicators improved, solid markets show lower volatility than what we are currently seeing.  This week will be interesting because there is usually a positive bias Thanksgiving week as many professional traders are off for the week!  Not much news worthy this week – some fears around oil, Brexit, China trade, etc etc – mostly technical conditions continue to be weak.

Macro headwinds, including trade tensions, rising interest rates, a stronger dollar, and slowing growth abroad have also helped to trigger a pivot towards negative sentiment in the market. “This is where peak earnings growth comes in,” Essaye said, argui...



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Members' Corner

NY Times: OPERATION INFEKTION

 

This is a three-part Opinion Video Series from NY Times about Russia’s meddling in the United States’ elections as part of its "decades-long campaign to tear the West apart." This is not fake news. Read more about the series here.

OPERATION INFEKTION

RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION: FROM COLD WAR TO KANYE

By Adam B. Ellick and Adam Westbrook

EPISODE 1

MEE...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin's high energy consumption is a concern - but it may be a price worth paying

 

Bitcoin's high energy consumption is a concern – but it may be a price worth paying

Shutterstock

Courtesy of Steven Huckle, University of Sussex

Bitcoin recently turned ten years old. In that time, it has proved revolutionary because it ignores the need for modern money’s institutions to verify payments. Instead, Bitcoin relies on cryptographic techniques to prove identity and authenticity.

However, the price to pay for all of this innovation is a high carbon footprint, created by Bitc...



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ValueWalk

Vilas Fund Up 55% In Q3; 3Q18 Letter: A Bull Market In Bearish Forecasts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The Vilas Fund, LP letter for the third quarter ended September 30, 2018; titled, “A Bull Market in Bearish Forecasts.”

Ever since the financial crisis, there has been a huge fascination with predictions of the next “big crash” right around the next corner. Whether it is Greece, Italy, Chinese debt, the “overvalued” stock market, the Shiller Ratio, Puerto Rico, underfunded pensions in Illinois and New Jersey, the Fed (both for QE a few years ago and now for removing QE), rising interest rates, Federal budget deficits, peaking profit margins, etc...



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Biotech

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Breast cancer type 1 (BRCA1) is a human tumor suppressor gene, found in all humans. Its protein, also called by the synonym BRCA1, is responsible for repairing DNA. ibreakstock/Shutterstock.com

By Jay Shendure, University of Washington; Greg Findlay, ...



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Mapping The Market

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

Via Jean-Luc:

Famed investor reflecting on his mistakes:

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

One that stands out for me:

Instead of focusing on how value factors in general did in identifying attractive stocks, I rushed to proclaim price-to-sales the winner. That was, until it wasn’t. I guess there’s a reason for the proclamation “The king is dead, long live the king” when a monarchy changes hands. As we continued to update the book, price-to-sales was no longer the “best” single value factor, replaced by others, depending upon the time frames examined. I had also become a lot more sophisticated in my analysis—thanks to criticism of my earlier work—and realized that everything, including factors, moves in and out of favor, depending upon the market environment. I also realized...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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