Posts Tagged ‘recession camp’

A (Very) Few Bright Spots

Michael Panzner has assembled a number of positive news items! – Ilene

A (Very) Few Bright Spots

green shoots and bright spotsCourtesy of Michael Panzner at Financial Armageddon

At Financial Armageddon, I focus on telling it like it is, so naturally that means most of what I have to say these days leans towards the negative. That said, it’s not all gloom-and-doom. Below are snippets from recent news reports that highlight a few bright spots in an economy that still faces a heap of trouble:

Generic and second-tier brands, and stay-at-home alternatives:

"Dollar Stores Enjoying Boom Times" (Loudoun Times-Mirror)

The worse the economy, the better for retailers of deeply discounted items. Partly fueled by higher-income shoppers "trading down," the popularity of dollar stores has risen sharply since the current recession began in December 2007.

"RI Coffee Roasters Thrive in Recession"  (Associated Press)

While many Rhode Island businesses struggle during the recession, the state’s coffee roasters are percolating.

The roasters, who turn out small batches of gourmet coffee beans, tell The Providence Journal that they are seeing an increase in business these days.

Ken Marot of Taylor’s Landing, a coffee roasting house and cafe in West Kingston, says he’s been pleasantly surprised to see his customer base grow.

Bob Mastin at Custom House Coffee in Middletown says he just added a second roaster to his cafe and wholesale business.

Mastin says even when people are watching their money, they want a quality cup of coffee.

Rhode Island roasters attribute their resilience to other factors, such as people wanting to save money by brewing their morning java at home.

"Private Labels Booming in These Tough Times" (Telegraph-Journal)

Penny-pinching shoppers have prompted a boost for discount goods businesses and cuts into sales of popular brands.

For Dieppe-based Irving Consumer Products Inc. this has meant increased demand causing record production levels.

The privately-held company is seeing increased sales in paper tissue, towel, diaper and private label brands it makes.

"Naturally in this economic climate the consumer looking at options starts looking at trading down," says company vice-president of sales Bob Tinnish.

The company’s growth is strongest south of the border where there is more potential for store labels to gain market share from big brand names.

"Luxury Wine Market Reels from Downturn" (Wall Street Journal)…
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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of July 24th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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ValueWalk

Ray Dalio - The Academy Of Achievement Interview

By VW Staff. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Ray Dalio – The Academy Of Achievement Interview

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Zero Hedge

"Apprehension": Main Events In Torrid Week Include Fed, GDP, Earnings And "Lots Of White House Risk"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

"Apprehension" - that's how Citi describes trader sentiment as a new week begins, in which the bank points to various event risks over the coming five days. The one markets are focusing on over say, the FOMC on Wednesday, is the political noise coming from Washington. The investigation into Russia’s alleged meddling in the 2016 election is back in focus as President Trumps’ son-in-law testifies, along with Trump Jr and Paul Manafort later in the week. As such, risk sentiment seems apprehensive ahead of the inevitab...



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Phil's Favorites

Tsunami to Hit Germany: Five Auto Companies Admit to Illegal Cartel

Courtesy of Mish.

Unmasking an Illegal Cartel 

The  German auto scandal just got much bigger according to a new report by the Spiegel.

Audi, BMW, Daimler, Volkswagen, and Porsche colluded in all aspects of diesel technology.

Effectively, the five corporations acted as one via a series of secret working groups that met several times a year.

The Spiegel broke the story with its report on the Auto Syndicate Scandal.

The story is in German, and it’s also behind a pay wall. Eurointelligence has a nice Email report.

Spiegel magazine...



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Insider Scoop

Earnings Scheduled For July 24, 2017

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Companies Reporting Before The Bell
  • Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ: HAS) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.46 per share on revenue of $970.25 million.
  • Cal-Maine Foods Inc (NASDAQ: CALM) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.13 per share on revenue of $317.67 million.
  • Halliburton Company (NYSE:...


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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jul 23, 2017

Courtesy of Blain.

This past week represented so many of the weeks of 2017; slow action with a bit of an upward skew.   Monday, Tuesday, Thursday were sleeping – and minor gains Wednesday were offset by small losses Friday; in the end we had small gains for the week!  Rinse, wash, repeat.   For the week the S&P 500 added 0.5% and the NASDAQ 1.2%.  Sixty eight S&P 500 companies reported earnings this past week so that was the focus.

Fun fact:  Until Friday’s loss, the NASDAQ had a 10 day string of gains, matching its longest streak since Feb. 24, 2015.

The European Central Bank left key rates unchanged...



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Biotech

A new vaccine is promising to advance the frontier of eliminating malaria

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

A new vaccine is promising to advance the frontier of eliminating malaria

Courtesy of Simon KariukiKenya Medical Research Institute

A malaria vaccine will be piloted in Ghana, Kenya and Malawi to assess its suitability. Siegfried Modola/Reuters.

More than 30 malaria vaccine candidates are at various stages of development. The RTS,S vaccine is at t...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Nears All-Time High on Spike Above Daily Chart Downchannel Resistance

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) crushed shorts yesterday, smashing above the daily chart's downchannel resistance and soaring towards the all-time high around 3000. With yesterday's massive rally, the negative weekly MACD crossover has been proved a false signal.  Odds are quite good that a sustainable longer term BTC/USD bottom was found last week, especially with ETH/USD also strongly rebounding this past week.  Some consolidation can be expected today with daily RSI and Stochastics tiring, although with daily MACD just having positive...



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Members' Corner

Why we need to act on climate change now

 

Why we need to act on climate change now

Interview with Jan Dash PhD, by Ilene Carrie, Editor at Phil’s Stock World

Jan Dash PhD is a physicist, an expert at quantitative finance and risk management, and a consultant at Bloomberg LP. In his thought-provoking book, Quantitative Finance and Risk Management, A Physicist's Approach, Jan devotes a chapter to climate change and its long-term systemic risk. In this article, Ilene interviews Jan regarding his thoughts on climate change and the way it can affect our futu...



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Mapping The Market

The App Economy Will Be Worth $6 Trillion in Five Years

Courtesy of Jean-Luc

This would be excellent news for AAPL and GOOG to a lesser extent although not inconsequential:

The App Economy Will Be Worth $6 Trillion in Five Years 

In five years, the app economy will be worth $6.3 trillion, up from $1.3 trillion last year, according to a report released today by app measurement company App Annie. What explains the growth? More people are spending more time and -- crucially -- more money in apps. While on average people aren't downloading many more apps, App Annie expects global app usership to nearly double to 6.3 billion people in the next five years while the time spent in apps will more than double. And, it expects the...



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Promotions

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We have a great guest at today's webinar!

Bill Olsen from NewsWare will be giving us a fun and lively demonstration of the advantages that real-time news provides. NewsWare is a market intelligence tool for news. In today's data driven markets, it is truly beneficial to have a tool that delivers access to the professional sources where you can obtain the facts in real time.

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Kimble Charting Solutions

Brazil; Waterfall in prices starting? Impact U.S.?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Below looks at the Brazil ETF (EWZ) over the last decade. The rally over the past year has it facing a critical level, from a Power of the Pattern perspective.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

EWZ is facing dual resistance at (1), while in a 9-year down trend of lower highs and lower lows. The counter trend rally over the past 17-months has it testing key falling resistance. Did the counter trend reflation rally just end at dual resistance???

If EWZ b...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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