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Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Bubbleology

Excerpt from Barry Ritholtz’s post called "Bubbleology" on the Big Picture blog, recommending reading WSJ’s Bernanke’s Bubble Laboratory.

Friday’s WSJ front page article, Bernanke’s Bubble Laboratory, is must reading:

"First came the tech-stock bubble. Then there were bubbles in housing and credit. Chinese stocks took off like a rocket. Now, as prices soar on every material from oil to corn, some suggest there’s a bubble in commodities.

But how and why do bubbles form? Economists traditionally haven’t offered much insight. From World War II till the mid-1990s, there weren’t many U.S. investing manias for them to look at. The study of bubbles was left to economic historians. . .

Now, the study of financial bubbles is hot . . . Among their conclusions:

"Manias can persist even though many smart people suspect a bubble, because no one of them has the firepower to successfully attack it. Only when skeptical investors act simultaneously — a moment impossible to predict — does the bubble pop."

Its now at the free section of WSJ.com.

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