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Monday, June 17, 2024

Warp Drive

Warp Drive

Courtesy of Allan
 
It’s been about 10 months since beginning the trend following quest via private email subscriptions and occasional forays here on the public side.  I am days away from shifting the entire kitnkabooodle over to my own domain with public and private portals. We are beta testing now, that’s how close.

In the words of everybody’s mayor,  Ed Koch, "How am I doing?"

Let’s start with the Gold and Silver Basket.  Here are the current real time positions and performance of the most recent signals from the portfolio of gold and silver stocks and ETF’s:

The only difference between this table and my subscriber table is that in the subscriber table there is a column which contains a reversal level at which the current position will reverse.  The average return for all positions shown is +50.36%   The Weekly version of the Gold  and Silver Performance analysis shows and average return of +109.21%.

Turning to individual stocks and select ETF’s, here again is the real time positions and performance table of the most recent signals, leaving out the reversal levels:

 

Here the average return for all positions is +19.06%, while the Weekly average performance return is +49.36%.

Finally, let’s take a look at what I call the Major Market Trend Models: SPX, QQQQ and VXX.  These models also include intraday positions, based on hourly and/or 240 minute time frames. Note the significance of the Daily models:

Simply adhering to the Daily Trend, not only in this table, but in all of the above tables, adds up to a nice edge in trading.  Yes, I think we have something that works.  Now let’s trade it.

Past results are no guarantee of future performance.

I learned about the Law of TANSTAAFL from a psychology professor at the University of Michigan, circa 1971:

THE AIN’T NO SUCH THING AS A FREE LUNCH

The returns and results set out above come with some costs.  First, you have to keep up, know where the price reversals are on every position you are in, or want to be in.  Second, you need to have the conviction to pull the trigger, a much easier said then done undertaking.  A few weeks of following these models work their magic usually takes care of that business.

Finally, everything here comes under the umbrella of a subscription to these trading models.  This is what you give to me in exchange for these models, offering them, maintaining them, analyzing and tweaking them.  Some extras get thrown in along the way, including some speculative stock gems that come my way as well as my own macro view of financial themes and especially how they can be exploited for outstanding gains, all in concert with the models.

As for the new site with all of its bells and whistles, near real time charts and models, a private forum to ask me questions and/or for subscribers to banter back and forth about what opportunities they see and are acting upon, the price of a subscription will remain the same, at least at first.  But as we grow and participants in the forum increase, the price may also increase as the best way to maintain value for existing subscribers. 

It’s been a great ride so far, but we are about to enter warp drive.

Allan’s “Trend Following Trading Model,” is based on his trend-following trading system for buying and selling stocks and ETFs. Most trades last for weeks to months. Allan’s offering PSW readers a special 25% discount. Click here.  For more details, read this introductory article.

 

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