Author Archive for Chart School

US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

us-dollar-with-ney-and-gann-anglesWhere is price going, is there strength or weakness in the chart?

Previous Post on the US Dollar : Where is the US Dollar trend headed ?

The question is always what will the future price action look like ?

This post will highlight the use of lines generated by angles. Not trend lines, as trend lines require two known points on a chart, where as angles require only one known point and a angle degree to draw a line. The question then becomes how is the angle degree determined.

There are two theories: Gann Angles and Ney Angles. 

Gann angles are a fixed set of degrees (see below) and these degrees are based loosely on astrology and the regular cycle of planets around the sun. Gann said price would move between these angles as the angles acted as like critical support and resistance.

Gann Ratios to Degrees
8×1: 7.50°, 4×1: 15.00°, 2×1: 26.25°, 1×1: 45.00°, 1×2: 63.75° , 1×4: 75.00°, 1×8: 82.50°

These angles are a pre designed fixed set approach.

Gann Angle example on the US Dollar

Gann US dollar

Ney angles are calculated from a major low, to preceding lows and major high. The idea is that the future pattern of price is related to the prior pattern of price. Price history does not always marry exactly to the future but it sure can rhyme. Richard Ney calculated the angles and then studied the chart to find which angles dominate price action. 

These angles are a per low liquid set approach.


Ney Angle example on the US Dollar

Ney USD

Currently the US dollar chart has strength within it. Jeffer Snider gives a good reason.

Ref: Not COVID-19, Watch For The Second Wave of GFC2

If companies are in cost-cutting mode, and they obviously are, then that immediately puts a ceiling on the right side of the hoped-for “V” (arguing dead against the straight-line extrapolation) and then sets up the potential second wave of GFC2 and economic contraction. How? A weak labor market means instead of 90% of…
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Where is the US Dollar trend headed ?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

where-is-the-us-dollar-trend-headedJesse Livermore said we consider all matters concerning the market, this includes demand and supply fundamentals, general conditions and price patterns.

A high US dollar is the mighty destroyer of all, it explodes foreign debt and risk assets, and it will likely change US politics.

The chart below supports a greater supply of US dollars and a bearish dollar view.

The green line is the spread between the German 10 yr interest rate versus the US 10 yr interest rates, and it is showing bearish pressure on the US dollar. The black line is the trend of the US twin deficits and the US dollar as followed this trend over a very long time and the forecast is for deeper deficits into 2020-22.

The red line is the growth of the US dollar deposits in institutions (turned up side down, or inverted), the more supply of US dollars is bearish for the US dollar. The massive explosion of the red line is directly related to the US Federal Reserve money printing. The TRUMP administration is doing all it can to cap or lower the US dollar, maybe it is lagging the the bearish fundamentals, however we must wonder why the US dollar is not crashing down to $65.

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DXY 1

The bullish support for the the US dollar is the growth of US dollar assets and liabilities out side the US.

US assets

As you can see the levels are $30 to $40 trillion. Massive! This matters because a negative change in these levels will create a shortage of US dollars. If the holders of the above get nervous with economic conditions, COVID19 second/third wave or China – US relations this could promote a wave of selling, which is US dollar supply destruction, hence a shortage, which leads to greater demand and higher prices as the world needs US dollars to trade. 

The chart below is the US Dollar (DXY) with Richard Wyckoff demand and supply analysis.

Price action into 2020 has shown strength, testing the bull trap zone, currently the pullback is into middle (or muddle) ground and on the balance US dollar strength is still in…
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RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Tuesday, 03 March 2020, 12:35:55 AM

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Comment:
QTR #177 – Bill Fleckenstein on Coronavirus, Gold and A Coming “Confiden… youtu.be/0C7R0PNtlEg

Date Found: Wednesday, 04 March 2020, 06:14:52 PM

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Dr. Lacy Hunt and Yra Harris on the Virus and Economy/Markets Implications youtu.be/j7oKOG0lZDY

Date Found: Wednesday, 04 March 2020, 10:59:55 PM

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David Rosenberg, Yra Harris, Peter Boockvar & Jim Bianco on the Virus youtu.be/T4Krp-s8bYg

Date Found: Thursday, 05 March 2020, 04:38:21 PM

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VIX_T-Bills_Mar2020

Date Found: Thursday, 05 March 2020, 06:42:01 PM

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Comment:
Bull Steepeners = Recession (3 to 6 months out)

Date Found: Thursday, 05 March 2020, 09:15:19 PM

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Comment:
Is this not the truth! They buy with OPM, but buy gold with their own money!

Date Found: Thursday, 05 March 2020, 09:59:02 PM

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Comment:
Real Conversations: Navigating The Madness Of Markets With John Taylor youtu.be/D2Yc4LMTYUo

Date Found: Thursday, 05 March 2020, 10:25:04 PM

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Comment:
Looks ready to move!

Date Found: Friday, 06 March 2020, 06:55:13 AM

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Comment:
Expect another plunge down 2400 SP500 .. tic tic

Date Found: Friday, 06 March 2020, 05:26:04 PM

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Comment:
Off The Chain #236: Raoul Pal Calls For A…
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Silver volume says something is near boiling point

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

silver-volume-says-something-is-near-boiling-pointFundamentals are important, but they must show up in the chart. And when they do and if they may matter, it is a good sign if price and volume waves show a change of character.

The Point and Figure chart below is readtheticker.com version of PnF chart format, it is designed to highlight price and volume waves clearly (notice the Volume Hills chart).

Silver ETF volume is screaming at us! The price volatility along with volume tells us those who have not cared, are starting to, those who are wrong are adjusting, and those who are correct are loading up. Soon the kettle will blow and the price of silver will be over $20. 

Normally silver suffers in a recession, maybe this time with trillions of paper money being created real money is the fundamental factor which becomes a higher priority over the demand for silver use in industry.

Silver
 

The silver short term cycle (red) looks like the bottom is in, while the longer term cycle (black) looks higher into the next 24 months.
 

Silver cycle
 

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Investing Quotes…

.."In a bull market your game is to buy and hold until you believe that the bull market is near it’s end. To do this you must study general conditions and not tips or special factors affecting individual stocks. Then get out of all your stocks; get out for keeps!"..Jesse Livermore


.."If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians"..
Warren Buffett

.."Money can't buy you happiness but it does bring you a more pleasant form of misery"..
Spike Milligan

…"I always believe that prices move first and fundamentals come second"..
Paul Tudor Jones

..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.”..
Bernard Baruch

 





US dollar Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

us-dollar-reviewThe US dollar rally is like seeing a black cat run underneath a ladder while your climbing onto the roof, disaster is coming!

There are plenty of trades around Gann Angles on the US dollar.


USD
 

More here:


 


 


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

Investing Quotes…

…"I was brutal in self-analysis. He told his sons his conclusions: “Successful trading is always an emotional battle for the speculator, not an intelligent battle.”…He knew that his biggest enemy was his own emotions."…
Jesse Livermore

.."Wall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway"..
Warren Buffett

..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..
Bernard Baruch

..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..
Warren Buffet

…..“I measure what's going on, and I adapt to it. I try to get my ego out of the way. The market is smarter than I am so I bend.”..
Martin Zweig





RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Friday, 31 January 2020, 10:09:38 PM

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Comment:
Fireside Chat with Ross Beaty & Marin Katusa youtu.be/jiV1oBE6-sU

Date Found: Thursday, 06 February 2020, 06:35:18 PM

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Comment:
The Sherman Show Podcast: S8 E3 Jim Bianco, President – Bianco Research youtu.be/2K2pM24eYvE

Date Found: Thursday, 06 February 2020, 11:13:38 PM

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Comment:
Why We’re in the Biggest Financial Bubble in History (w/ Steve Bregman &… youtu.be/I4ce1LiuwcA

Date Found: Wednesday, 12 February 2020, 10:49:36 PM

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Comment:
2020 WM Sustainability Forum – Peter Zeihan youtu.be/jT6HFCAFDgU

Date Found: Saturday, 15 February 2020, 07:58:15 PM

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Comment:
Kyle Bass Predicts HSBC Collapse In 2020! (Here’s Why) youtu.be/QwjiIIht0bw

Date Found: Tuesday, 18 February 2020, 09:45:23 PM

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Comment:
A Roman Empire Style Collapse Is Happening In The 21st Century! Charles … youtu.be/vRrUtcIcPUQ

Date Found: Tuesday, 18 February 2020, 10:09:30 PM

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Comment:
Gold is king

Date Found: Friday, 21 February 2020, 10:59:52 PM

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Comment:
Sprott Money News Ask The Expert February 2020 – Luke Gromen youtu.be/psJxYvJHD4k

Date Found: Tuesday, 25 February 2020, 05:05:18 PM

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Comment:
February Conference Board Jobs outlook remains near highs. First downturn likely signals a recession has begun

Date Found: Tuesday, 25 February 2020, 05:14:28 PM

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Comment:
Recipe for biggest boom ever (followed by bust): ZERO…
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SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

sp500-kitchin-cycle-reviewEarly 2020 the fear was the human race ‘David’ may suffer terribly under a frightening new flu (COVID 19) ‘Goliath’, well after few short months it is now clear the human race will win this trial by combat.

Previous Post: SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review

In the previous post the blog said (part 1)

..”We must conclude the major 900 period low is now in, and we are now in a up swing, which may top out ate 2020 or late 2021. Any future top out may only generate a 10% to 20% correction, of course this can be deemed very mild. This is expected, but the expected does not always play out.“…

Well it sure did not, the flu lock downs around the world turned off economic activity and crushed the risk on asset price move. The end result is we finally got a true SP500 Kitchin low which we needed to finish the 900 daily cycle. (charts below). The result is some sort of short term US recession can be expected.

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LEI

In the previous post the blog said (part 2)

..”Rolling the dice to get ’7′ does not always work. Post US elections seasonal’s aligned with a poor start of the decade seasonal trends, add on high global recession risk, add on a stock market slump tends to occur in the years ending 9,1,2,3,4 (like 1973, 1982, 1991, 2001, 2009 are all recession years), markets may get very interesting.”…

This still holds true, and we are not there yet.

Reminder ..

decade cycle

As a Wyckoff logic proponent we have to respect the demand behind the good volume little ‘a’ rally (chart below), because it made it easily into and passed the middle ground of the prior consolidation without attracting huge supply. This has to be considered a strength (minor strength, and yes demand is present).

Yes the price smash down from ‘B’ to ‘C’ was a typical sign of weakness of a serious note, but this like anything can be (temporary some say) over ruled. To be sure the little ‘a’ rally is true demand we must expect a successful test to little…
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One day you just have to stop

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

one-day-you-just-have-to-stopHow long can the working class take this sh….t!



Stop telling me everything is all ok



1) Negative interest rates

2) Negative oil prices

3) Man made COVID 19 virus

4) Fake Russian operatives

5) Fake money

6) Fake meat

7) Fake cheese

8) Fake boobs

9) Milk in my baked beans

etc



Enough is enough!




















Divider







Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.




NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net



Investing Quote…



..”Anyone who buys or sells a stock, a bond or a commodity for profit is speculating if he employs intelligent foresight. If he does not, he is gambling.”..



Richard D Wyckoff





..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..



Bernard Baruch





..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.”..



Bernard Baruch





..”October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.”..



Mark Twain





..“It is much harder to sell stocks correctly than to buy them correctly.” Because of the emotional aspect of trading, if a “stock went up, the average investor would hold because he wants more gains – he’s exhibiting greed. If the stock declines, he also holds on and hopes the stock will come back so he can at least sell and break even – he’s hoping against hope”..



Bernard Baruch











Gold Stock Cycles

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

gold-stock-cyclesGold stocks are the crazy ride in the markets. The swing are so great it does not matter if you miss a bullish the break out as another deep pull back allows you to enter with ease.

The good news is the (!XAU) PHLX Gold/Silver Index (in the chart below) is very friendly to price cycles. These cycles can be used for timing markets, it also makes it clear if you fight the price cycle you may be in line for a heavy draw down.

At the moment XAU price is making new 52 week highs and the blue cycle line suggest a cycle top is due, therefore it may be wise to wait for price to peak and pullback before building positions. A tactical reason (Richard Ney logic) is the big boys have been accumulating in the friendly institutional stocks and this will attract profit taking [as they do not want to get too far ahead of the wider market] easily sending down the gold stock index and components of the XAU.

The judder bar for a XAU rally is expectation of a US dollar rally. A decent US dollar rally will see gold and gold stocks pullback, but as we all know the US dollar biggest short position is the US Government (they want a lower dollar), and the biggest long position is non US dollar assets in crisis (selling assets forces the buying back of US dollars). Hence the bail outs of dollar assets in crisis.

How well the FED defends their US dollar short position will influence how well the US dollar is capped under $105 on the DXY. This is the only game in down for the next 6 months, nothing else matters.  

If price has regular cycles, why fight the cycle. readtheticker.com charting science allows you to find and monitor the cycle better and cheaper than most. Check it out via our subscription service.

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XAU

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,

continue reading





RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Saturday, 07 December 2019, 02:31:07 AM

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Comment:
WOW!

Date Found: Saturday, 07 December 2019, 04:08:23 PM

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Comment:
tic tic tic

Date Found: Sunday, 08 December 2019, 12:52:56 AM

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Comment:
Here we go CBs buying bad debt from stupid banks!

Date Found: Thursday, 12 December 2019, 05:20:22 AM

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Comment:
Oh NO! Quickly look away, nothing to see here! All is well!

Date Found: Friday, 20 December 2019, 05:26:26 PM

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Comment:
Gold stocks Watch!

Date Found: Tuesday, 24 December 2019, 11:26:57 PM

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Comment:
Trend line says interest rates going to zero

Date Found: Friday, 03 January 2020, 01:19:48 AM

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Comment:
youtu.be/bWkyP9n0c90

Date Found: Saturday, 04 January 2020, 11:54:57 PM

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Comment:
JPMorgan Silver Crime Charges to NY Fed REPO Loan Ramp youtu.be/Pgjo_GYk6xA

Date Found: Sunday, 05 January 2020, 02:24:05 AM

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Comment:
The SP500 follows the PMI…not the other way around …ooops

Date Found: Tuesday, 14 January 2020, 06:58:19 PM

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Comment:
Sp500 Earnings recession … yet SP500 makes new highs … FUNDAMENTALS … who needs them!

Date Found: Saturday, 18 January 2020, 05:56:01 AM

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Comment:
Ray Dalio’s Protege Sees 30% Move in Gold Prices…
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Kimble Charting Solutions

Nasdaq 100 Relative Strength Testing 2000 Highs

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The tech bubble didn’t end well. BUT it did tell us that the world was shifting into the technology age…

Since the Nasdaq 100 bottomed in 2002, the broader markets have turned over leadership to the technology sector.

This can be seen in today’s chart, highlighting the ratio of Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 performance (on a “monthly” basis).

As you can see, the bars are in a rising bullish channel and have turned sharply higher since the 2018 stock market lows. This highlights the strength of the Nasdaq 100 and large-cap tech stocks.

...

more from Kimble C.S.

Zero Hedge

Israeli Leaders Say West Bank Annexation Must Wait Due To COVID-19

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

What was surely supposed be the most controversial and provocative move in all recent Israeli-Palestine conflict history was supposed to be initiated yesterday, July 1st, according to prior target date statements of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to annex up to one-third of West Bank territory, including the Jordan Valley.

Netanyahu and other top Israeli officials claimed to have a 'green light' from the Trump administration, but at this point it's anything but certain. “We are in discreet talks with US officials here,” Netanyahu ...



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Phil's Favorites

Which drugs and therapies are proven to work, and which ones don't, for COVID-19?

 

Which drugs and therapies are proven to work, and which ones don't, for COVID-19?

We are slowly figuring out which drugs and therapies are effective against the new coronavirus. Anton Petrus / Getty Images

Courtesy of William Petri, University of Virginia

I am a physician and a scientist at the University of Virginia. I care for patients and conduct research to find better ways to diagnose and treat infectious ...



more from Ilene

Biotech/COVID-19

Which drugs and therapies are proven to work, and which ones don't, for COVID-19?

 

Which drugs and therapies are proven to work, and which ones don't, for COVID-19?

We are slowly figuring out which drugs and therapies are effective against the new coronavirus. Anton Petrus / Getty Images

Courtesy of William Petri, University of Virginia

I am a physician and a scientist at the University of Virginia. I care for patients and conduct research to find better ways to diagnose and treat infectious ...



more from Biotech/COVID-19

ValueWalk

FedEx Corp.: Fundamentals Support the Price Increase

By F.A.S.T. Graphs. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Introduction

After reporting better than 4th quarter results on Tuesday, the stock price of FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) has been on a tear. With this article, I plan to demonstrate that the fundamentals support the current price rise. Moreover, the fundamentals also suggest that it is not too late to take a long-term position in this leading air freight and logistics company.

Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Yesterday, FedEx reported a surge in quarterly adjusted earnings of $2.53 per share compared to expectations of $1.52 per s...



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The Technical Traders

Long-Term Consumer Discretionary Winners

Courtesy of Technical Traders

I was live on TD Ameritrade TV talking about consumer discretionary, staples, and utility sectors. Explained is a unique crossover on how some discretionary stocks are also becoming a consumer staple.

Get My ETF Trade Signals, Entry, Targets, and Stop Levels – CLICK HERE ...

more from Tech. Traders

Chart School

US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Where is price going, is there strength or weakness in the chart?


Previous Post on the US Dollar : Where is the US Dollar trend headed ?


The question is always what will the future price action look like ?


This post will highlight the use of lines generated by angles. Not trend lines, as trend lines require two known points on a chart, where as angles require only one known point and a angle degree to draw a line. The question then becomes how is the angle degree determined.



There are two theories: ...

more from Chart School

Lee's Free Thinking

These Charts Show COVID 19 Is Spreading in the US and Will Kill the Economy

 

These Charts Show COVID 19 Is Spreading in the US and Will Kill the Economy

Courtesy of  

The COVID 19 pandemic is, predictably, worsening again in much of the US. Only the Northeast, and to a lesser extent some Midwestern states, have been consistently improving. And that trend could also reverse as those states fully reopen.

The problem in the US seems to be widespread public resistance to recommended practices of social distancing and mask wearing. In countries where these practices have been practi...



more from Lee

Digital Currencies

Blockchains can trace foods from farm to plate, but the industry is still behind the curve

 

Blockchains can trace foods from farm to plate, but the industry is still behind the curve

App-etising? LDprod

Courtesy of Michael Rogerson, University of Bath and Glenn Parry, University of Surrey

Food supply chains were vulnerable long before the coronavirus pandemic. Recent scandals have ranged from modern slavery ...



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Members' Corner

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

 

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

No matter the details of the plot, conspiracy theories follow common patterns of thought. Ranta Images/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Courtesy of John Cook, George Mason University; Sander van der Linden, University of Cambridge; Stephan Lewandowsky...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.