Author Archive for Chart School

Gold Seasonals and T Theory Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

gold-seasonals-and-t-theory-cycle-reviewGold tends to slump at the start of the US summer, and will Basel 3 make a difference this year?

Basel 3 has removed a large chuck of paper shorts off the LBMA, of course this is for the banks only, the hedge funds can continue to suppress gold with paper shorts. The true effect of Basel 3 may not be known for some month. 

A typical pattern in the metals is a smash down just before a major rally, consider this:


POINT 1: IRD recent post did say this

…”I’m wondering if the entire ‘Kabuki Theatre’ production is being staged to torpedo the price of gold derivatives and thereby help the bullion banks cover a large portion of their unallocated gold liabilities (gold derivatives) ahead of the implementation of the Net Stability Funding Ratio provision of Basel 3.”…

POINT 2: Gold & Silver Smashed On False Narratives, Fed’s Balance Sheet Up By $112 Billion In Only A Week!

The video highlights seasonal patterns and some fixed period cycles of interest. 

Chart in Video

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Gold

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”Successful tape reading is a study of force. It requires the ability to judge which side has the greatest of pulling power and one must have the courage to go with that side”..

Richard D Wyckoff

..“If a speculator is correct half of


continue reading





Australia to enter a very sad period – Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

australia-to-enter-a-very-sad-period--updateLets add some dates to the bearish forecast of the ASX200.

Previous post on the subject and a more detailed Ewave construction can be found here.

SHORT ANSWER

The vertical light red shaded area (chart 1) is the T Theory forecast for the final price top (end of B wave). This period is some where between Nov 2021 and July 2022. This zone is the confluence of equal time cycles as presented on the chart. Notice how this note refers to a extreme price top and not a crash or bear market starting date. Price can consolidate for some time after a extreme high is posted. 

MORE

1) The ASX200 (!AORD) is highly correlated to the US NYSE index.
2) The US (and the world) are entering into a period of above average inflation.
3) Interest rate increases, either by the central bank or market forces, can negatively adjust risk on positions. 
4) Overall equity market positioning is extremely bullish and vulnerable.

Keep this chart in mind going into 2022, also be aware of the US mid terms late 2022.

2022 is going to be very interesting. Funny how the years ending with 9,0,1,2,3,4 (end of a decade) can also be major cycle end dates. 

Chart 1

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ASX

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law and of a Cause which exists long before the Effect takes place and can be determined


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RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Thursday, 31 December 2020, 04:38:42 PM

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Comment:
Biingo.. it is what it is, know the playing field

Date Found: Thursday, 07 January 2021, 03:08:04 AM

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Comment:
@RaoulGMI “No, it can’t be… the prices and price structure are identical in log terms too??? WTF? But BTC is the one truth…this cant be!”

Date Found: Tuesday, 12 January 2021, 05:27:14 PM

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Comment:
Pattern 1,2,3,4 count … maybe, maybe not!

Date Found: Wednesday, 13 January 2021, 03:03:39 AM

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Comment:
$100k, and maybe an over shoot… the sideaways for 3 years, maybe a under shoot…as well

Date Found: Wednesday, 13 January 2021, 04:09:59 PM

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Comment:
The Fed is trapped. They want robust economic activity and soaring asset prices….This can only occur with more debt and leverage. To make existing and additional debt manageable and appealing, they must reduce interest rates. With interest rates near zero, inflation becomes a more critical tool. QE and recent programs with the Treasury are how they hope to generate inflation. The graph below comparing QE to GDP shows the effect of the Fed’s herculean efforts to keep the debt

Date Found: Thursday, 14 January 2021, 05:09:30 PM

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Comment:
SP500 ratio to Raw Commodity Index (no oil) : OMG!

Date Found: Thursday, 14 January 2021, 05:10:32 PM

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Comment:
Chinese are pumping the easy money in!

Date Found: Thursday, 14 January 2021, 06:24:59 PM

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Comment:
US Deficits for ever!…
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Bitcoin to $200,000 Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

bitcoin-to-200000-reviewHere is why BTCUSD to $200,000 is now on the table in 2021.

During a period of heavy money printing with higher debt levels the FED must choose between two of the following to avoid a collapse:

1) Higher stock prices.
2) Keeping the economy and employment positive.
3) US dollar strength.

The above is known as the economic ‘Dollar Trinity’ choice.

The FED and the DEM’s (US mid terms 2022) will choose a higher stock market and keeping the economy positive, this means the US dollar is due to suffer weakness.

Bitcoin will do well during US dollar weakness. But how high will BTCUSD go in 2021, lets see how Max Keiser worked out his $225,000 USD price target for 2021. 

POINT: Channels drawn correctly are the path for price action.

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BTC

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”Keep the number of stocks you own to a controllable number. It is hard to herd cats, and it is hard to track many securities. Take your losses quickly and do not brood about them. Try to learn from them but mistakes are as inevitable as death.”..

Jesse Livermore

..”When I bet big .. I have a mind to own a position for years .. Yet you must have a ruthless objectiveness and open mindedness as to when the facts change to exit the position, if so within hours or days .. I have not used


continue reading





Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

gold-gann-angle-updateGold, debt, inflation, USD and interest rates are in the same bowel,  if interest rates are suppressed then it is dollar down and gold up.

Chart 1 – Gold has been running up the Gann 1:4 blue angle. Notice how corrections are bouncing of this Gann angle (red arrows). 

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GOLD

Chart 2 – Inflation narrative grows within CEO and CFOs within SP500 companies. Inflation higher than interest rates is known as negative real yield and USD bearish and gold bullish.

CPI

Chart 3 – The FED is the larger player in the UST market, this folks is Yield Curve Management (or control). Very USD bearish. 

UST

Chart 4 – The US dollar cycle is running to a new low, a possible ‘plunge spike’ or ‘selling climax’ lower is on the table. DXY to $85 is -10% down. The RTTDPO (indicator 2) line a 2x the cycle period or 2 x 918 = 1836.

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USD

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

…“It is impossible here to give an adequate idea of the Law of Vibration as I apply it to the markets. However, the lay man may be able to grasp some of the principles when I state that the Law of Vibration is the fundamental law upon which wireless telegraphy, wireless telephones and phonographs are


continue reading





RTT Plus Bulletin

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-plus-bulletinRTT Plus private blog answer these questions over the last two weeks.

Ending: 2021-05-29
- Why is Dow 1937 so important in 2021?
- What does Cliff High and David Hunter forecasts have in common?
- What is the only market adjusting tool left to the FED?
- Is there a market top near?
- What is the proposed global hidden slavery system?
- RTT mid year review (Cycles, FED, Macro included), bullish or bearish, hmm?
- Should you be US dollar bullish, and what is the 'Dollar Trinity'?
- Which new stock was added to RTT Wyckoff Campaign watch blog (RTT WC)?

RTT Plus membership required to review.

RTT Plus members can include chart building services if you wish. If you you do not want chart building services select 'RTT Plus' only during the membership sign up process. 

Sign up now!

 

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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann AnglesCyclesWyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

.."[Point and] figure charts are more valuable than vertical [bar] charts"..
Richard D Wyckoff

..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
John Templeton

…“To me, the 'tape' is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!”…
Martin Zweig

.."Money can't buy you happiness but it does bring you a more pleasant form of misery"..
Spike Milligan

..“It’s not what you own that will send you bust but what you owe.”..
Anon

 





Bitcoin Gann Angle Forecast

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

bitcoin-gann-angle-forecastThis is why crypto was hit, and the whales new it was coming.

Here is the crypto FUD (FUD is fear, uncertainty and doubt, FOMO is fear of missing out) from this week, just prior before the 50% smash in Bitcoin:

via ..

@TheCryptoLark

In the last week
- Elon FUD
- China FUD
- Binance FUD
- OCC FUD

All at the same time.

There is a coordinated effort to shake you out.

One day the market will say ‘put up or shut up’, and jawboning FUD will not mean anything at all.

But why jawbone all this FUD at all, well they can not do anything else:
- Raise rates, NOPE
- Withdraw surplus cash, NOPE
- Raise the dollar, HELL NO! 

Why?

Bitcoin had to be attacked, because the exponential rise in Bitcoin price signaled to the uniformed masses of the world, these nasty things are going to effect your wealth:

- MONEY PRINTING
- INFLATION
- DEBT
- NO END IN SIGHT
- And soon PANIC.

Bitcoin is the western economies Zimbabwe style hyper inflationary stock market. 

Did the FUD do the trick?

Of course not, all it did was transfer crypto from the weak (highly leveraged) hands to the strong hands (large balance sheets), and this time around it is your local banker (JPM, BAC, C, WF) . New US regulations allow your bank to hold crypto on your behalf, so when you next log onto your internet banking account, you will see checking, savings and crypto assets held by the bank for you. Of course to offer this new service bankers first must accumulate sufficient crypto stock, at a discount. Well mission accomplished, Bitcoin is now at a 30% to 50% discount.

Some charts.

Chart 1 (Weekly) – Continuation selling climax spikes are common in a BTC uptrend. After each spike it takes a week or two to confirm demand is present in the chart.

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BTC 2

Chart 2 – Gann Angle and T Theory Time study. Bitcoin is the fastest moving price unit per time unit ever. This is why the Gann Angle 1×1 chart…
continue reading





RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Sunday, 22 November 2020, 05:47:49 PM

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Comment:
Bitcoin ambitions …

Date Found: Sunday, 22 November 2020, 05:48:34 PM

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Comment:
PMI juiced back up …

Date Found: Sunday, 22 November 2020, 05:49:42 PM

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Comment:
Gold more room to move higher!

Date Found: Sunday, 22 November 2020, 07:45:48 PM

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Comment:
Liquidity now 2020Q4 is the same as the bottom of 2009 lows.. a big rally followed …. then a correction..

Date Found: Tuesday, 24 November 2020, 07:39:32 PM

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Comment:
Melt-Up In the Works: Parobolic Moves Ahead – David Hunter youtu.be/j78XiToFDUw

Date Found: Thursday, 26 November 2020, 01:52:50 AM

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Comment:
Conditions are perfect, for how many more months!

Date Found: Tuesday, 08 December 2020, 02:02:51 AM

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Comment:
Central Bank continue to grow .. a lot!

Date Found: Friday, 11 December 2020, 05:55:24 PM

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Comment:
David Hunter – Gold Investors Should Avoid Making This Mistake youtu.be/bPz9oOAko8k

Date Found: Saturday, 19 December 2020, 06:25:01 AM

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Comment:
6 years trend says Euro to 1.30+

Date Found: Saturday, 19 December 2020, 06:25:50 AM

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Comment:
Future SP500 returns to slump in the next decade!

Date Found: Monday, 21 December 2020, 09:14:29 PM

Click for popup. Clear your
continue reading





Energy Lines on Crypto Currency

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

energy-lines-on-crypto-currencyLet us assume crypto is going to catch fire, with blow off tops which extend, so how hot will crypto prices truly get.

The current US economic environment is one of rising prices (ISM Price Index up) while growth is slowing (employment and ISM manufacturing index down), this is stagflation, which is an ideal setting for lower US dollar prices and higher gold, silver and crypto prices.

An elephant moves so fast, a lion moves faster, each have their own pace or stride, so does a price of a security. Parallel channel lines can show the energy of price moves, therefore we can see what can happen if we map prior energy price move to a current price move.

Well it is as good as any other tool out there! Ha!

Chart 1 – LITECOIN TARGET 

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Litecoin

Chart 2 – ETHEREUM TARGET

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Ethereum

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..“The power to determine the trend of the market is due to my knowledge of the characteristics of each individual stock and a certain grouping of different stocks under their proper rates of vibration. Stocks are like electrons, atoms and molecules, which hold persistently to their own individuality in response to the fundamental Law Of Vibration”….”After exhaustive researches and investigations of the known sciences, I discovered that the Law Of Vibration enabled me to accurately determine


continue reading





Yellen can not stop the dollar decline

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

yellen-can-not-stop-the-dollar-declinePrinting money results in a lower currency, so long as the currency does not fall too fast.

Previous Post: US Dollar Forecast – Weakness

Here are the very strong fundamentals for a lower US dollar: 

(a) US inflation exploding.
(b) Massive US twin deficits.
(c) Better conditions in Europe.

However French election worries in 2022 Q1 and Q2 may provide US dollar strength (via European weakness) after Christmas, but this strength may come after a low in the DXY near $84.  

It looks like Yellen knows a down swing in the US dollar is near because today she jaw bones strength into the US dollar.
 

…"It may be that interest rates will have to rise a little bit to make sure our economy doesn't overheat''…


Update1: Yellen Reverses Earlier Hawkish Comments Entirely, Says "I'm Not Predicting Anything"


Or maybe she does not mind standing on Powell toes to goose up the US dollar to allow her WallStreet friends to load up on risk on assets before the dollar sinks.

Dollar chart 1 – Fundamentals are bearish.

 

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DX2
 

Dollar chart 2 – Break down is near

 

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DX1
 

 

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Changes in the world are the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann AnglesCyclesWyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed
continue reading





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

Lois Lerner Of 2021: IRS Political Corruption Unchanged With Billionaires' Tax Returns

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Emily Miller via Emily Post News

When the private tax returns of billionaires were leaked to a left-wing group, liberals and conservatives reacted very differently. Liberals fell for the political trick and immediately said that the tax code was unfair and the rich should get a tax hike. Conservatives saw through the conspiracy and wanted answers on how the Deep State at the IRS could, once again, have so much unchecked power for political purpo...



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Phil's Favorites

The PhilStockWorld com LIVE Weekly Webinar 06-16-2021

 

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at PSW! 

The PhilStockWorld com LIVE Weekly Webinar 06-09-2021

 

Major Topics:
00:00:14 - Checking on the Market
00:01:42 - EIA Report
00:09:50 - Intermediate Goods / Final Demand PPI / Inflation
00:16:13 - GOOGL
00:17:05 - MSFT / AA / AAPL
00:20:09 - U.S. Wage Growth
00:26:42 - U.S Housing Market / Wage Gap
00:34:47 - Mortgage & Property Taxes
00:37:16 - LTP
00:39:25 - STP
00:40:01 - CMG / FX / TQQQ
00:40:17 - SQQQ / W 
00:45:40 - LTP
00:49...



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Biotech/COVID-19

A mix-and-match approach to COVID-19 vaccines could provide logistical and immunological benefits

 

A mix-and-match approach to COVID-19 vaccines could provide logistical and immunological benefits

One of this and one of that might be a good strategy to coronavirus vaccination. SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Courtesy of Maureen Ferran, Rochester Institute of Technology

While it’s now pretty easy to get a COVID-19 shot in most places in the U.S., the vaccine rollout in other parts of the world has been slow or inconsistent due to ...



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Chart School

Gold Seasonals and T Theory Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Gold tends to slump at the start of the US summer, and will Basel 3 make a difference this year?

Basel 3 has removed a large chuck of paper shorts off the LBMA, of course this is for the banks only, the hedge funds can continue to suppress gold with paper shorts. The true effect of Basel 3 may not be known for some month. 


A typical pattern in the metals is a smash down just before a major rally, consider this:


POINT 1: IRD recent post did say this

..."I’m wondering if the entire 'Kabuki Theatre' production is being staged to...



more from Chart School

Politics

The Ukraine Fallacies (with Victor Rud)

 

The Ukraine Fallacies (with Victor Rud)

Americans are confused about the history of Ukraine. That's just how Russia wants it.

Courtesy of Greg Olear, at PREVAIL

Greg is the author of Dirty Rubles: An Introduction to Trump/Russia 

...

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Promotions

Live Webinar with Phil on Option Strategies

 

June is TD Bank's Option Education Month, and today (Thursday, June 10) at 1 pm EST, Phil will speak with host Bryan Rogers about selling options and various option strategies that we use here at Phil's Stock World. Don't miss this event!

Click here to register for TD's live webinar with Phil.

 

...

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Digital Currencies

Crypto: Congress Dawdles as $1.7 Trillion Con-Game Goes Unregulated, Threatening Reputation of U.S. Markets

Courtesy of Pam Martens

If you want to get your hair cut outside of your home in the United States, the job has to be done by a licensed worker at a regulated business. The same thing applies to plumbers, electricians, home inspectors, real estate and insurance agents. They all require a license and are subject to regulatory scrutiny.

Likewise, commodities like corn, sugar, wheat, lumber and oil are all traded on regulated exchanges which are overseen by a federal regulator.

But, for reasons that have yet to be explained to the American people, when it comes to the $1.7 trillion cryptocurrency market – which is effectively a con-g...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Crude Oil Cleared For Blast Off On This Dual Breakout?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is Crude Oil about to blast off and hit much higher prices? It might be worth being aware of what could be taking place this month in this important commodity!

Crude Oil has created lower highs over the past 13-years, since peaking back in 2008, along line (1).

It created a “Double Top at (2), then it proceeded to decline more than 60% in four months.

The countertrend rally in Crude Oil has it attempting to break above its 13-year falling resistance as well as its double top at (3).

A successful breakout at (3) would suggest Crude Oil is about to mo...



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ValueWalk

Managing Investments As A Charity Or Nonprofit

By Anna Peel. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Maintaining financial viability is a constant challenge for charities and nonprofit organizations.

Q4 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The past year has underscored that challenge. The pandemic has not just affected investment returns – it’s also had serious implications for charitable activities and the ability to fundraise. For some organizations, it’s even raised doubts about whether they can continue to operate.

Finding ways to generate long-term, sustainable returns for ...



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Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.