Author Archive for Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

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rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Friday, 12 June 2020, 08:06:43 PM

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Comment:
Interesting (2)

Date Found: Saturday, 13 June 2020, 12:27:02 AM

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Comment:
Recession Forecasts Time Frame

Date Found: Monday, 15 June 2020, 11:07:52 PM

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Comment:
FED money helping data collection stocks (Facebook, Apple,Netflix,Google)

Date Found: Wednesday, 17 June 2020, 10:59:05 PM

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Comment:
This bond spread says get of stocks NOW!

Date Found: Saturday, 20 June 2020, 08:51:44 PM

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Comment:
Add . FED buying corporate bonds (JNK,HYG,LQD)..

Date Found: Monday, 22 June 2020, 06:35:50 PM

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Comment:
Gold following 5 yr Real Yield!

Date Found: Monday, 22 June 2020, 11:35:40 PM

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Comment:
Real yield again!

Date Found: Wednesday, 24 June 2020, 10:33:20 PM

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Comment:
Screen-Shot-2020-06-24-at-12.10.52-PM-1024×742

Date Found: Thursday, 25 June 2020, 04:41:14 AM

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Comment:
ha ha that is low .. $20T, or $40T

Date Found: Friday, 26 June 2020, 10:42:53 PM

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Comment:
$3,000 gold price no longer target; it’s now $10,000 when Fed’s assets crash youtube.com/watch?v=eASLNfftJbg

Date Found: Sunday, 28 June 2020, 12:47:34 AM

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Comment:
How Enhanced Privacy and Scalability Will Make “Litecoin 2.0″ youtu.be/KvukMrDwDIM

Date Found: Sunday, 28 June 2020, 01:15:14 AM


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Bitcoin Chart Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

bitcoin-chart-reviewBitcoin is testing its old all time high. Bitcoin is not alone as it is at the same party of all risk on trends. Abundant end of year liquidity, add the relief of finishing US elections will see the end of the buyers strike and gains should continue (just like 2016).

Bitcoin is on fourth types of charts held within readtheticker.com, each chart answers different questions.

Charts …

Cycle charts shows off price and time cycles, with forecasts.

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BTC1

Long term channels, with time and price targets.

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BTC2

Gann Angle chart.

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BTC3

Wyckoff Accumulation chart

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BTC4

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”I have yet to find a man, in or out of Wall Street, who is able to make money in (markets) continuously or uninterruptedly. Like anyone else, I have good and bad periods.”..

Richard D Wyckoff

Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50 per cent without becoming panic stricken, you should not be in the stock market.

Warren Buffett

..The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell”..

John Templeton

The minute


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Inflation Deflation Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

inflation-deflation-cycle-reviewStructural change forces the current narrative to change. One such structural change would be a period elevated inflation.

Inflation is a condition which effects many economic models, we only have to review the history books of the 1970′s to see how asset classes reacted then and how they may react in the future. 

In periods of inflation there are short periods of deflation, as markets adjust from one theme to another it usually does so with some pain. The short answer: Nothing moves in a straight line and high volatility will shock the most experience investor.  

Long term cycles raise the question, if happened before is it likely to happen again. Price does not always fit the sine wave cycle neatly, but if the cycle is true price will correct to the cycle swing. 

Some cycle to be aware of … be aware of the different time frames. 

Inflation

CPI

CRB Index

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CRB cycle

Oil Cycle

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OIL

US Dollar Cycle

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USD

SP500 Cycle

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USD

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”I latter told my students, ‘think in waves’ [of price and volume]“..

Richard D Wyckoff

..“I buy on


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US Dollar weakness promotes Bitcoin

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

us-dollar-weakness-promotes-bitcoinThe US election chaos continues and if Washington can not stimulate the market the ball bounces into the FED court, but in the end it is all about the US dollar.

The euro currency (EURUSD) represents money flowing between European and US Banks. European banks have had a rough time lately, and when they suffer monies flow in to US Banks, thus adding to US dollar strength.

The ETF for European bank stocks is iShares MSCI Europe Financials (EUFN). The chart below shows the EUFN upside down (inverted) compared to the US Dollar (DXY) index, and you can see important pivot points sync between the two (blue arrows). When European banks get a vote of confidence the US dollar is softer, when the European banks lose confidence the US dollar gains strength. 

At the moment EUFN is rising (or with our inverted EUFN chart it is falling), European banks are improving, hence this suggest weakness for the US dollar into Xmas. Just in time for a risk off Xmas rally.

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EUFN

A lower US dollar suggest anti US dollar trades will do well, and the biggest anti US dollar trade in the news at the moment is bitcoin (BTC). We see a nice pattern of accumulation followed by advancing price action into upper resistance, no doubt all time high prices are near.

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BTC 1

Below is the Gann Angle and T Theory review of Bitcoin. Late December 2020 to mid January 2021 should see price top out near $20,000 resistance, and most likely build a consolidation pattern as we must expect supply to arrive at resistance and then finally to break out into all time highs. 

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BTC 2

There is some discussion of T Theory on bitcoin in this video.

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann

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SP500 Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

sp500-cycle-reviewMany of our cycle methods suggest 2021 will see another major top in stocks. But how far down? Forecasting how large the correction may be is any ones guess, any thing from 10% to 66% is on the table.

Assuming the US elections do not shock, the built up energy (CAUSE) will release higher asset prices (EFFECT) for 4 to 8 months. The massive generation of COVID US M2 money supply is sitting in bank accounts ready to be leveraged (buy buy buy) by the major Wall Street banks. Yes you can confirm that the global liquidity is high and ready to hunt for a home.

Chart 1: The Kitchin cycle continues to work (notice the margin of error band).

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SPY2

Chart 2: Bartels confirms the above cycle. Notice major market tops and timely intervals.

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SPY 1

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

…“I believe that anyone who is intelligent, conscientious, and willing to put in the necessary time can be successful on Wall Street.  As long as they realize the market is a business like any other business, they have a good chance to prosper.”…

Jesse Livermore

..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut


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RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Monday, 18 May 2020, 03:35:21 AM

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Comment:
Ooh so pretty, so pretty, ooh so!

Date Found: Thursday, 21 May 2020, 01:03:17 AM

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Comment:
Charlie Lee: All Things Litecoin (#MimbleWimble, #Privacy, #Atari, ++) youtu.be/c-AQLaxpQ2Y

Date Found: Saturday, 23 May 2020, 06:57:27 PM

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Comment:
Margin debt rebounded $45B in April after $66B plunge in March. Surely up a lot more in May with rally. Fed has succeeded in bringing back reckless behavior.

Date Found: Sunday, 24 May 2020, 02:37:43 AM

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Comment:
Danielle DiMartino Booth Reveals Incredible Insights For 2020! RCS Ep. 52 youtu.be/cOX69bB4vJY

Date Found: Monday, 25 May 2020, 06:55:24 PM

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Comment:
If M2 does not move around, hard to get inflation

Date Found: Wednesday, 27 May 2020, 05:59:39 AM

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Comment:
@LynAldenContact Ray Dalio had a great chart in mid-2019 that showed the expansions of the monetary base during the endings of long-term debt supercycles. Here’s my updated version for May 2020, based on current data:

Date Found: Wednesday, 27 May 2020, 08:18:15 PM

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Comment:
Red line faster than the rest, means US dollar weakness.. in the end!

Date Found: Thursday, 28 May 2020, 10:35:25 PM

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Comment:
tic tic

Date Found: Friday, 29 May 2020, 06:54:28 PM

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Comment:
It starts slowly, then all at…
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Dow Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

dow-gann-angle-updateTime to see what happens to the Dow post US elections.

The Dow Gann Angle Target 3 (from 2007 top) is on the table, and what a ride that will be. The FED went BRRRRR is all the fundamental news you need to know. Gann angles are very good tool to see how the masses are pushing price.

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DOW

The last two US elections saw Bitcoin and the DOW rally well for 6 months, due to stimulus. The most bearish 2020 US Election case for the markets is a Biden win with the Senate and Congress controlled by the Democrats, somehow this blog feels that is very unlikely. So what could go wrong!

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CYCLE

More here

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

…”The game taught me the game. And it didn’t spare the rod while teaching.”…

Jesse Livermore

..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..

Warren Buffet

…”This [Federal Reserve Act] establishes the most gigantic trust on earth. When the President Woodrow Wilson signs this bill, the invisible government of the


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Bitcoin chart review, here we go again!

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

bitcoin-chart-review-here-we-go-againBitcoin has charged to the moon 4 times, well it looks like we going for a 5th. Bitcoin having 52 week new highs will bring the ‘Robin Hoods’ into the game.

This time may not be 10x, but 1x or 2x is still very nice thank you!

Chart 1: Accumulation is present, this alone suggest higher prices. In this blog view a typical risk on period is required to allow crypto’s to rally (that is SP500 and oil up with the US dollar down), and this may arrive during the US election chaos.

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BTC1

Chart 2: Big point. Notice how open interest has a lot of room to move before prices reflect a top is near.

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BTC2

Chart 3: Bitcoin to $100,000 by 2021 is a little extreme for this blog.

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BTC3

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”I believe that the public wants to be led, to be instructed, to be told what to do. They want reassurance. They will always move en masse, a mob, a herd, a group, because people want the safety of human company. They are afraid to stand alone because they want to be safely included within the herd, not to be the lone calf


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RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Friday, 01 May 2020, 11:47:29 PM

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Comment:
In 2008 the Central banks were newbies, now there locked and loaded .. its going to be a great show

Date Found: Saturday, 02 May 2020, 12:21:35 AM

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Comment:
The Fed has done everything it possibly could: Hayman founder youtu.be/_MxXNX7OHfU

Date Found: Saturday, 02 May 2020, 06:13:53 PM

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Comment:
Gold stocks (BGMI) bull market histories

Date Found: Sunday, 03 May 2020, 06:14:18 PM

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Comment:
David Hunter: Gold and Silver Miners to be the Next Dot Com Bubble youtu.be/p8mSgAVTlXA

Date Found: Sunday, 03 May 2020, 06:52:43 PM

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Comment:
The two circles brought high inflation (followed by high interest rates).. and now .. history repeats

Date Found: Monday, 04 May 2020, 12:25:51 AM

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Comment:
This would be just crazy, heart stopping volatility

Date Found: Friday, 08 May 2020, 12:35:26 AM

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Comment:
Does physical price matter?

Date Found: Sunday, 10 May 2020, 02:14:00 AM

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Comment:
Suggests dollar will lose half its value vs yen over next 12-18 months.

Date Found: Sunday, 10 May 2020, 05:31:41 PM

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Comment:
FED out printing ECB – bullish for EURO, hmmm?

Date Found: Monday, 11 May 2020, 02:18:46 AM

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Comment:
Hmmm This is going to hits the…
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Stocks are not done yet – Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

stocks-are-not-done-yet--updateThere are a few times in history when a third party said this US paper (stocks, funds or bonds) is worthless.

Here is two.

1) 1965 Nixon Shock - The French said to US we do not want your paper dollars please pay us in gold. This of course led to the US going off the gold standard.

2) 2007 Bear Stern Fund Collapse - Investors said their funds collateral was worth much less than stated. This of course was the beginning of the great america housing bust of 2008.

In both cases it was stated ..”look the Emperor is naked!”… (The Emperor’s New Clothes - Hans Christian Andersen)

The plot ..

Two swindlers arrive at the capital city of an emperor who spends lavishly on clothing at the expense of state matters. Posing as weavers, they offer to supply him with magnificent clothes that are invisible to those who are stupid or incompetent. 


The emperor hires them, and they set up looms and go to work. A succession of officials, and then the emperor himself, visit them to check their progress. Each sees that the looms are empty but pretends otherwise to avoid being thought a fool. 


Finally, the weavers report that the emperor’s suit is finished. They mime dressing him and he sets off in a procession before the whole city. The townsfolk uncomfortably go along with the pretense, not wanting to appear inept or stupid, until a child blurts out that the emperor is wearing nothing at all.


The people then realize that everyone has been fooled. 


Although startled, the emperor continues the procession, walking more proudly than ever. [Blog point - This is the stage where we are in 2020, full 100% stupidity.]

No Clothes

The points is, when a child (i.e the lower and middle class mass) can see the truth, the swindle is up!

Post a financial swindle the avoidance of loss is overcome by investors with huge…
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Politics

Socialism is a trigger word on social media - but real discussion is going on amid the screaming

 

Socialism is a trigger word on social media – but real discussion is going on amid the screaming

‘Tug-of-words’ posts debating the merits of socialism versus capitalism are all over social media platforms. pxfuel

Courtesy of Robert Kozinets, USC Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism

The word “socialism” has become a trigger word in U.S. politics, with both positive and negative perceptions of it split alo...



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Phil's Favorites

Socialism is a trigger word on social media - but real discussion is going on amid the screaming

 

Socialism is a trigger word on social media – but real discussion is going on amid the screaming

‘Tug-of-words’ posts debating the merits of socialism versus capitalism are all over social media platforms. pxfuel

Courtesy of Robert Kozinets, USC Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism

The word “socialism” has become a trigger word in U.S. politics, with both positive and negative perceptions of it split alo...



more from Ilene

Zero Hedge

Owner Of NYC Bar Arrested Days After Declaring "Autonomous Zone" To Dodge Pandemic Restrictions

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

The co-owner of a bar on Staten Island which declared itself an 'autonomous zone' after its liquor license was yanked over COVID-19 lockdown violations was arrested and perp-walked out of the business in handcuffs on Tuesday night.

Photo via ABC7NY

A...



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ValueWalk

Musk: Tesla stock will be crushed if we don't control costs

By Michelle Jones. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk warned employees in an email that if they don’t start controlling costs, their stock will plunge. Shares of Tesla stock fell by about 4% after the email was reported.

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Tesla CEO calls for cost control to support stock

CNBC and Electrek obtained the...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Are Commodity Prices About To Let The Good Times Roll?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Commodities have traded “heavy” for the past decade, as bond yields remain low and inflationary forces remain under wraps. But this trend could be up-ended as we head into 2021.

Today’s chart 2-pack looks at long-term “monthly” charts of the Thomson Reuters Equal Weight Commodity Index and the 10-Year US Treasury Bond Yield.

Over the past decades, Commodities and Yields have shown weakness. The Commodity Index has managed ...



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Biotech/COVID-19

Rapid COVID-19 tests can be useful - but there are far too few to put a dent in the pandemic

 

Rapid COVID-19 tests can be useful – but there are far too few to put a dent in the pandemic

Rapid tests for COVID-19 are easy to administer and give fast results. AP Photo/Julio Cortez, File

Courtesy of Bonnie LaFleur, University of Arizona and Katherine Ellingson, University of Ari...



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Digital Currencies

Five Reasons Why Bitcoin is Going Up

 

Five Reasons Why Bitcoin is Going Up

Courtesy of 

Call it the “Respectability Rally”…

A few reasons for Bitcoin’s return to the record highs. It’s about $18,500 as of this writing, matching the previous highs from 2017’s original explosion.

Reason one: It’s going up because it’s going up. Don’t scoff, this is the reason most things in the markets happen and then the explanations are called for afterwards. I’m in financial television, I have literally watched this process occur in real-time. The more something moves in a given direction, the more peop...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Friday, 12 June 2020, 08:06:43 PM

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Comment: Interesting (2)



Date Found: Saturday, 13 June 2020, 12:27:02 AM

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Comment: Recession Forecasts Time Frame



Date Found: Monday, 15 June 2020, 11:07:52 PM

...

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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.