Author Archive for Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

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rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Monday, 16 September 2019, 05:22:48 PM

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Comment:
This chart says SP500 should go back to 2016 levels (overshoot will occur of course)

Date Found: Tuesday, 17 September 2019, 01:53:30 AM

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Comment:
This would be HUGE…got gold!

Date Found: Wednesday, 18 September 2019, 01:40:53 AM

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Comment:
QE good for Gold (subject to US Govt 33000 naked short sale in 2013)

Date Found: Friday, 20 September 2019, 03:27:25 AM

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Comment:
Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta8hThis is huge. 30-year yield vs. core CPI at its lowest level since 1980s! 10-year real yield? Same. Plunging as they did in mid

Date Found: Saturday, 21 September 2019, 02:54:49 AM

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Comment:
Inventories go up because (1) You cant sell the stuff, forecast demand incorrectly or (2) you are anticipating strong future demand, hence the build up: Most likely (1) in this case! Concur!

Date Found: Saturday, 21 September 2019, 11:37:06 PM

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Comment:
MOST IMPORTANT chart in the world, US is lagging interest rate cuts vs rest of world major central banks. Is the FED forcing a recession (anti TRUMP ??). FED must cut 50bps NOW to normalize.

Date Found: Tuesday, 24 September 2019, 07:00:06 AM

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Comment:
Wait what? You can bet on a NO DEAL BREXIT BMW wants to sell cars to UK. UK get ready to BOOM! Real buying power coming your way! Pound to get stronger!

Date Found: Wednesday, 25 September 2019, 02:31:12 AM

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SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

sp500-kitchin-cycle-reviewThe biggest known news date in the next 18 months is the US Election. The biggest unknown news date is when the US believes it is in a economic recession.

The Kitchin Cycle is still working.

We must conclude the major 900 period low is now in, and we are now in a up swing, which may top out ate 2020 or late 2021. Any future top out may only generate a 10% to 20% correction, of course this can be deemed very mild. This is expected, but the expected does always play out. 

Rolling the dice to get '7' does not always work. Post US elections seasonal's aligned with a poor start of the decade seasonal trends, add on high global recession risk, add on a stock market slump tends to occur in the years ending 9,1,2,3,4 (like 1973, 1982, 1991, 2001, 2009 are all recession years), markets may get very interesting.

 

Season1


We will continue to watch the Kitchin cycle with interest. 


SP500 cycle


The pullbacks in the SP500 have really tested below 20% over the 10+ year period. This very strange for such a long period of time, is it the algo's or the FED's trading team. Who knows! However the point is if price ever gets below 20% on a weekly close then you can bet the following sell off will be spectacular. 


SP500 stop loss

     

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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann AnglesCyclesWyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have
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Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

gold-gann-angle-updateThe new year of 2020 has gold is poised to break out higher. Why is gold going higher? Maybe the FED’s economists can explain …. or not.



Maybe these could be on the list:



- FED repo hundreds of billions a day.

- ECB made up tools to keep the European banks solvent.

- A sugar high stock market with Apple Inc and Microsoft looking like Bitcoin 2017.

- The US bond market is NOT confirming a strong stock market.

- Corporate profits have flat lined for 3 years while stocks soared each year.

- Knowing an US election year needs stimulus, and a lower US dollar is a first choice.

- China deal, will have a currency element to make it easier to do business. Lower US dollar.







Gold Gann Angle 





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Gold Gann






Gold Channel showing long term trend







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Gold channel








Divider







Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.




NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net



Investing Quote…



..“It cost me millions to learn that another dangerous enemy to a trader is his susceptibility to the urgings of a magnetic personality when plausibly expressed by a brilliant mind.”…



Jesse Livermore





..“Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.”..



Bernard Baruch





..”The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them”



Peter Lynch





.”Buying stuff people hate, that’s the business we are in, right!”…”you may need to have a longer time horizon”…”be patient”..



Mark Yusko





Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50 per cent without becoming panic stricken, you should not be in the stock market.



Warren Buffett











Currency and Metals could be the big movers early in 2020

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

currency-and-metals-could-be-the-big-movers-early-in-2020Trump is doing his trade thing with China, and part of the 2020 agreement will be a resolution of the US dollar. A weaker US dollar is on the table, as it helps both Trump and Xi. The COT reports gives us a huge hint this is about to happen early in 2020.

More from RTT Tv

Chart from the video

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DXY

Lyn Alden makes a great point in this thread about the Dec 2019 repo news.

For years, large U.S. banks were drawing down cash levels (15% to 7% of assets in last 5yr) to buy treasuries (from 15% to 21% of assets). But now they are basically at regulatory limits; can’t draw down cash to buy more treasuries. So, the Fed became the new buyer of them.

and ..

A lot of people think the Fed is trying to support the equity market, or covering for a bank/fund failure somewhere. Those explanations are possible, but not required. The Fed simply taking over as the primary financier of U.S. deficits is a mathematically sufficient reason.

Luke Gromen sums up the argument for a lower US dollar.

It is election year in the USA and to stimulate into Nov 2020 he needs a economic boost. Trump can not get tax cuts, or infrastructure spending out of congress, he is left with the FED balance sheet and a lower US dollar. They are about to step up big time.

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Tools for the art of pure speculation

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

tools-for-the-art-of-pure-speculationSome times the market works on fundamentals, some times the market works on value, some times the market works on technical's. Sometimes the art of speculation requires a cunning plan.

Here is how RTT exercises readtheticker.com technical indicators for pure small swing speculation ideas. This is outside value investing, fundamental thinking, Wyckoff, Gann or Hurst cycles trading. This purely betting on a turn, nothing more. After all there are many paths to profit.

More from RTT Tv
 


With the above video, keep this in mind



 


Chart in the RTT video.

 

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Chart in video
 

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at readtheticker.com we believe a combination of Gann AnglesCyclesWyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to secure better timing than most, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. To help you applying Richard Wyckoff and Richard Ney logic a wealth of knowledge is available via our RTT Plus membership.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…
 

…"All a man needs to know to make money is to appraise conditions."…

Jesse Livermore

.."Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception"..

George Soros

..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..

John Templeton

..“Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.”..

Bernard Baruch

The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game.

Basketball Legend Michael Jordan.
 

 





RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Monday, 29 July 2019, 12:02:10 AM

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Comment:
Yip Now is the time to Hedge!

Date Found: Tuesday, 30 July 2019, 06:31:58 PM

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Comment:
What, another 2007 to 2008 period for markets ? Darn!

Date Found: Wednesday, 31 July 2019, 10:14:24 PM

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Comment:
Global manufacturing is in a crisis mode, seen in the Global PMI index. In all, 14 straight months in decline, and 17 of the last 18 months. The downturn is worse than in 2008. Expect global stimulus very soon, but initially maybe recognition of the wides

Date Found: Friday, 02 August 2019, 05:33:59 PM

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Comment:
Stupid world of neg rate bond!

Date Found: Sunday, 04 August 2019, 06:54:19 PM

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Comment:
BTC is like CHF and has 70% more move to go

Date Found: Saturday, 10 August 2019, 07:18:23 PM

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Comment:
Another Recession Signal … tic tic

Date Found: Wednesday, 21 August 2019, 02:08:58 AM

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Comment:
WOW more to fall for the 10 yr Yield

Date Found: Tuesday, 27 August 2019, 06:12:34 PM

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Comment:
More inversion …

Date Found: Friday, 30 August 2019, 05:35:09 PM

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Comment:
Trouble coming…

Date Found: Friday, 30 August 2019, 11:12:32 PM

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Comment:
World Credit Impulse – POSITIVE.. boom days are…
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Wealth Manager 60-40 Portfolio Theory Challenge

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

wealth-manager-6040-portfolio-theory-challengeHow will a typical wealth preservation portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds work during the next market crisis?
Or maybe a 60/40 portfolio design turns the risk adverse investor into a high stakes gambler during a period off massive money printing and government deficits. After all markets in the end are based on confidence. The video below explores another option.

Reference to Jim Bianco discussion on Fixed Income and 60/40 portfolio.  
 


 

Chart in the video: 

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6040
 

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at readtheticker.com we believe a combination of Gann AnglesCyclesWyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to secure better timing than most, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. To help you applying Richard Wyckoff and Richard Ney logic a wealth of knowledge is available via our RTT Plus membership.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

 

…"Mathematics is the only exact science. All power under heaven and on earth is given to the man who masters the simple science of mathematics."…

William D Gann

…..“I measure what's going on, and I adapt to it. I try to get my ego out of the way. The market is smarter than I am so I bend.”..

Martin Zweig

.."A radical is one who speaks the truth."..

Charles August Lindbergh Snr

.."Markets are designed to allow individuals to look after their private needs and to pursue profit. It's really a great invention and I wouldn't under-estimate the value of that, but they're not designed to take care of social needs"..

George Soros

…“People somehow think you must buy at the bottom and sell at the top to be successful in the market. That’s nonsense! The idea is to buy when the probability is greatest that the market is going to advance”…

Martin Zweig (The inspiration behind a number of Martin Zweig’s methods came, from Jesse Livermore).
 

 





Funds are getting ready to move out of USA

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

funds-are-getting-ready-to-move-out-of-usaJust before the hang over in the US equity markets, money will move and take their well earned gains else where. Here is why. 

 

 

More from RTT Tv
 


 

Charts in video.

US is in the late cycle boom.

 

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Bond Rate Change
 

US stock market with the US dollar, they have risen together from 2012. A change of this will force money to move.

 

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USA
 


UK will do better, after BREXT, as it is now a value play.

 

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UK
 

Fundamentals are important, and so is market timing, here at readtheticker.com we believe a combination of Gann AnglesCyclesWyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to secure better timing than most, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. To help you applying Richard Wyckoff and Richard Ney logic a wealth of knowledge is available via our RTT Plus membership.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

 

.."There were times when my plans went wrong and my stocks did not run true to form, but did the opposite of what they should have done if they had kept up their regard for precedent. But they did not hit me


continue reading





Silver stock taking the sector higher

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

silver-stock-taking-the-sector-higherAs the US economy begins to show late cycle characteristics like: GDP slowing, higher inflation, higher wage costs, CEO confidence slump. 
Previous Post: Gold Stocks Review

The big players in the market are looking for the next swing off good value lows. This means more money is finding it way into the gold and silver sector, and it is said gold and silver stocks actually lead the metal prices. The cycle below shows prices are ready to move in the months ahead (older chart re posted).

 

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Cycle HUI
 

SSR Mining (SSRM) is a stock the readtheticker.com private (one of the stocks we follow within our RTT Plus service) Wyckoff Campaign blog has been following for a few years. The supply and demand price and volume patterns have made SSRM a perfect Wyckoff logic chart to follow. Quite frankly the Richard Wyckoff trading system should be called the 'Cause and Effect' trading system. SSR Mininh has been doing well. More infomation here via Zacks

Extract .. .."SSR Mining (SSRM) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.23 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.14 per share.

This compares to earnings of $0.09 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 64.29%. 

A quarter ago, it was expected that this precious metals mining company would post earnings of $0.06 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.15, delivering a surprise of 150%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times."…

Charts below is SSRM with RTT tools guiding price action. Chart showing Wyckoff accumulations.

 

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SSRM 1
 

Monthly chart showing good step building.

 

Click
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RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Tuesday, 09 July 2019, 01:48:48 AM

 

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Comment:
FED has no ammo in the next crisis!


Date Found: Friday, 12 July 2019, 02:38:12 AM
 

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Comment:
YIP Corporate debt blows up when economy does: Fireworks like the 4 of July.


Date Found: Saturday, 13 July 2019, 10:36:51 PM
 

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Comment:
Dumb and Dumber


Date Found: Tuesday, 16 July 2019, 08:28:38 PM
 

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Comment:
Negative yield corporate bonds – Grows as well


Date Found: Friday, 19 July 2019, 08:50:29 AM
 

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Comment:
All the foreigner selling USTs, guess who owns them now. The US Primary dealers. Why? They cant sell them to the domestic US market. OOPS

Date Found: Friday, 19 July 2019, 09:12:09 AM
 

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Comment:
Congressman LIBRA so scary, prefer Bitcoin ( and Litecoin by relation)


Date Found: Saturday, 20 July 2019, 12:42:14 AM
 

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Comment:
Trend Model To watc…
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Zero Hedge

Sweden And Its Welfare State In Crisis

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Nima Gholam Ali Pour via The Gatestone Institute,

The Swedish welfare state has often been praised by the left in the United States. After the migration crisis of 2015, however, when Sweden was flooded by Syrian refugee claimants, Sweden is now facing a welfare crisis that threatens the entire Swedish welfare state model.

...



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Phil's Favorites

Silicon Valley's latest fad is dopamine fasting - and that may not be as crazy as it sounds

 

Silicon Valley's latest fad is dopamine fasting – and that may not be as crazy as it sounds

Dopamine fasting, the newest fad to hit Silicon Valley, is being used as a way to get over addictive habits. SewCream/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of A. Trevor Sutton, Concordia Seminary

Silicon Valley’s newest fad is dopamine fasting, or temporarily abstaining from...



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The Technical Traders

The Wuhan Wipeout - Could It Happen?

Courtesy of Technical Traders

News is traveling fast about the Corona Virus that originated in Wuhan, China. Two new confirmed cases in the US, one in Europe and hundreds in China. As we learn more about thispotential pandemic outbreak, we are learning that China did very little to contain this problem from the start. Now, quarantining two cities and trying to control the potential
outbreak, may become a futile effort.

In most of Asia, the Chinese New Year is already in full swing.  Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Malaysia, India and a host of other countries are already starting to celebrate the 7 to 10 day long New Year.  Millions of people have already traveled hundreds of thousands of miles to visit family...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Bad News For Crude Oil Should Come From This Pattern, Says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

It’s a good idea for investors to be aware of key indicators and inter-market relationships.

Perhaps it’s watching the US Dollar as an indicator for precious metals or emerging markets. Or watching interest rates for the economy. Experience, history, and relationships matter. And it’s good to simply add these to our tool-kit.

Today, we look at another relationship that has signaled numerous stock market tops and bottoms over the years, and especially the past several months, Crude Oil.

When crude oil tops or bottoms, it seems that ...



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Insider Scoop

5 Software-Application Stocks Moving In Thursday's After-Market Session

Courtesy of Benzinga

Gainers

Atlassian Corporation, Inc. (NASDAQ:TEAM) stock surged 9.7% to $145.50 during Thursday's after-market session. According to the most recent rating by Morgan Stanley, on January 13, the current rating is at Overweight.

Diebold Nixdorf, Inc. (NYSE:DBD) shares increased by 8.1% to $11.48. The most recent rating by DA Davidson, on December 13, is at Buy, with a price target of $17.00.

Telaria, Inc. (NYSE:TLRA) stock rose 4...



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Biotech

Snakes could be the original source of the new coronavirus outbreak in China

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Snakes could be the original source of the new coronavirus outbreak in China

Chinese cobra (Naja atra) with hood spread. Briston/Wikimedia, CC BY-SA

Haitao Guo, University of Pittsburgh; Guangxiang “George” Luo, Univers...



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Chart School

RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Please review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.



Date Found: Monday, 16 September 2019, 05:22:48 PM

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Comment: This chart says SP500 should go back to 2016 levels (overshoot will occur of course)



Date Found: Tuesday, 17 September 2019, 01:53:30 AM

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Comment: This would be HUGE...got gold!


...

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Members' Corner

The War on All Fact People

 

David Brin shares an excerpt from his new book on the relentless war against democracy and how we can fight back. You can also read the first, second and final chapters of Polemical Judo at David's blog Contrary Brin.

The War on All Fact People 

Excerpted from David Brin's new book, the beginning of chapter 5, Polemical Judo: Memes...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Digital Currencies

Cryptos Have Surged Since Soleimani Death, Bitcoin Tops $8,000

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Bitcoin is up over 15% since the assassination of Iran General Soleimani...

Source: Bloomberg

...topping $8,000 for the first time since before Thanksgiving...

Source: Bloomberg

Testing its key 100-day moving-average for the first time since October...

...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>