Author Archive for Chart School

Stocks are not done yet – Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

stocks-are-not-done-yet--updateThere are a few times in history when a third party said this US paper (stocks, funds or bonds) is worthless.

Here is two.

1) 1965 Nixon Shock - The French said to US we do not want your paper dollars please pay us in gold. This of course led to the US going off the gold standard.

2) 2007 Bear Stern Fund Collapse - Investors said their funds collateral was worth much less than stated. This of course was the beginning of the great america housing bust of 2008.

In both cases it was stated ..”look the Emperor is naked!”… (The Emperor’s New Clothes - Hans Christian Andersen)

The plot ..

Two swindlers arrive at the capital city of an emperor who spends lavishly on clothing at the expense of state matters. Posing as weavers, they offer to supply him with magnificent clothes that are invisible to those who are stupid or incompetent. 


The emperor hires them, and they set up looms and go to work. A succession of officials, and then the emperor himself, visit them to check their progress. Each sees that the looms are empty but pretends otherwise to avoid being thought a fool. 


Finally, the weavers report that the emperor’s suit is finished. They mime dressing him and he sets off in a procession before the whole city. The townsfolk uncomfortably go along with the pretense, not wanting to appear inept or stupid, until a child blurts out that the emperor is wearing nothing at all.


The people then realize that everyone has been fooled. 


Although startled, the emperor continues the procession, walking more proudly than ever. [Blog point - This is the stage where we are in 2020, full 100% stupidity.]

No Clothes

The points is, when a child (i.e the lower and middle class mass) can see the truth, the swindle is up!

Post a financial swindle the avoidance of loss is overcome by investors with huge…
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Gold Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

gold-gann-angle-updateGolds bullish trend has worked well in 2020, so what is next over the immediate 3 to 6 months? Will we continue to see a golden future.

The US dollar had been strong into COVID 19, since then the FED has printing a lot of money, and they are also considering YCC (Yield Curve Control), last seen during WW2. [Note YCC lasted 9 years over WW2. WOW, that is a lot of money printing.]

The FED is now forecast to over take competing central banks balance sheets in size, and the release valve will be a falling US dollar. Therefore we should continue to see the US dollar maintain is slow leak down over the next 3 to 6 month, say on the DXY 82 to 88. 

Also, US election worries will add to the weakening of the dollar. Of course extreme chaos in Washington will accelerate the US dollar decline.

FED forecast

The US dollar continues to follow its time cycle (re posting of chart).

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US dollar

These Gann Angles on gold (GLD ETF) high light the BULL and BEAR plays. If the US dollar continues to fall then the light yellow box should be considered as a target to take profits.

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GOLD

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”It is not as important to buy as cheap as possible as it is


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RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Wednesday, 15 April 2020, 11:39:11 PM

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Comment:
Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta6dDon’t blame the virus. Equity earnings already looked awful way prior to COVID-19. Q4 was the worst decline in EPS growth since the Great Recession. Let the Q1 earnings season begin.

Date Found: Thursday, 16 April 2020, 12:43:32 AM

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Comment:
Oooh sh*t

Date Found: Friday, 17 April 2020, 12:01:50 AM

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Comment:
Tim Ord: Good for GDXJ and SIL

Date Found: Friday, 17 April 2020, 04:10:57 AM

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Comment:
Turn the blue upside down, that is the long term trend of the US dollar

Date Found: Friday, 17 April 2020, 06:00:05 PM

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Comment:
Consumer confidence (dumb money) catching up to CEO confidence (smart money)

Date Found: Saturday, 18 April 2020, 06:20:25 AM

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Comment:
The 2020 March oil smash is about this!

Date Found: Sunday, 19 April 2020, 06:00:23 PM

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Comment:
Average bear market -37%, expected -46%

Date Found: Monday, 20 April 2020, 01:43:55 AM

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Comment:
FED balance sheet 2009 to 2020 vs WW2 … WTF!

Date Found: Tuesday, 21 April 2020, 05:57:23 PM

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Comment:
Bounce to short … as expected!

Date Found: Friday, 24 April 2020, 11:13:22 PM

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Comment:
David Rosenberg: Stagflation is coming but not yet youtu.be/F5eq2m3bJdM…
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Stocks are not done yet!

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

stocks-are-not-done-yetThere is a lot of noise on the web saying stocks are done, and this rally is about to crash any time! Just maybe that is not the plan, … well yet!

The whales now where price is going, and they have a target (EFFECT) for the energy (CAUSE) of the price action, and the energy is fueled from massive money printing from prior months. 

SP500 to near 4,000 should be considered, or in other words a pump to new all time highs.

Gann angles and cycles help us with targets of price and time. We know the fundamentals as the FED goes Brrrrrr!

More here: 

Charts in the video

SPY gann

and …

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SPY Cycles

Where is RTT Dow Jones FED brrrr target! See here …

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DOW

Of course the first few months after the US elections will be very interesting.

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”Without specific, clear, and tested rules, speculators do not have any real chance of success”..

Jesse Livermore

..”It’s easier to fool people, than to convince them they have been fooled”..

Mark Twain

…“People somehow think you must buy at the bottom and sell at the top to be successful in the market. That’s nonsense! The idea is to buy when the probability is


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Crypto boost from weakness in USD

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

crypto-boost-from-weakness-in-usdHigh tech crypto is lifting off, but it is not acting on its own, other markets are assisting crypto higher.

Recently some great game changing news for Crypto investors.

From the 5 min mark.

Ethereum (ETH) is running hot on the DEFI boom (ChainLink), but as the chart shows the best ETH rallies are also paired with weakness in the US dollar. In short crypto rallies when there is true ‘risk on’ rally, stocks up, oil up, Euro up and dollar down. 

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ETH

Of course a ‘risk off’ period would see a dramatic sell of crypto.

Re posting of the US Dollar bearish cycle.

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DXY

More on the US dollar

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote…

..”There were times when my plans went wrong and my stocks did not run true to form, but did the opposite of what they should have done if they had kept up their regard for precedent. But they did not hit me very hard – they couldn’t, with my shoestring margins.”…

Jesse Livermore

…“People somehow think you must buy at the bottom and sell at the top to be successful in the market. That’s nonsense! The idea is to buy when the probability is greatest that the market is going


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Silver Big Channel

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

silver-big-channelBig channels are the sand pit of price action. Lets review some big trends of these past months.





GLD

- Moving higher to upper solid red line channel





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GLD










XAU

- Ready to pause, or simply explode.







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XAU








SILVER

- Ready to pause, or simply explode.





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SLV






Typical, no action for years, then a few weeks of crazy!









Divider







Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.




NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net



Investing Quote…



..”TIME is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future. … There is a definite relation between TIME and PRICE. … Now, by a study of the TIME PERIODS and TIME CYCLES you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why Resistance Levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them. … The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles.” ..



William D Gann





..“Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.”..



Bernard Baruch





..”Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it”..



Warren Buffett





The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game.



Basketball Legend Michael Jordan.





..“It’s not what you own that will send you bust but what you owe.”..



Anon











RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Sunday, 29 March 2020, 07:00:37 PM

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Comment:
Silver Shorts Are In a Bind | Ted Butler youtu.be/qQc0AoJp-Q8

Date Found: Monday, 30 March 2020, 05:21:45 PM

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Comment:
5 Questions From You for Luke Gromen youtu.be/nVZD_fuxbQE

Date Found: Tuesday, 31 March 2020, 01:04:46 AM

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Comment:
China PMI recover (hick up)

Date Found: Wednesday, 01 April 2020, 05:41:05 AM

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Comment:
Do you believe the FED printing can save the market, insiders do!

Date Found: Wednesday, 01 April 2020, 05:18:03 PM

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Comment:
Value zone – DOW 15000

Date Found: Thursday, 02 April 2020, 09:55:07 PM

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Comment:
The TOP better not be in then, massive money printing required to avoid a slump

Date Found: Thursday, 02 April 2020, 10:13:35 PM

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Comment:
David Hunter speaks about the gold market 3/16/2020 youtu.be/RC9vORsiduI

Date Found: Friday, 03 April 2020, 05:25:11 AM

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Comment:
Petro dollar is broken …

Date Found: Sunday, 05 April 2020, 05:23:25 AM

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Comment:
What has there been a switch, 3 card monty play

Date Found: Wednesday, 08 April 2020, 08:11:56 AM

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Comment:
Max Keiser explains why only gold, silver and bitcoin can save you now youtu.be/oB5nrbe5YNM

Date Found: Sunday, 12 April 2020, 01:57:33 AM

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US Dollar Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

us-dollar-cycle-reviewIf investors can correctly forecast the US Dollar then their portfolio will be standing on better ground.

Jesse Livermore said investors must familiarise themselves with all matters of the market. The sine wave cycle below shows regular tops and bottoms and if the investor ignores this repeating phenomena it could be at their peril. If you decide to do so, you best have a good technical or fundamental reason.

The sine wave cycle below was found with readtheticker.com ‘Cycle Finder Spectrum’ use of ‘Bartels’ logic. Yes it is mathematics, but within the site RTT Plus service we also examine the dollar fundamentals  (like: inflation, money supply, banking risk, interest rates, market risk) and subject to another market like COVID19 smash the fundamentals suggest a slump in the US dollar in the immediate short term future.

The question remains how deep the dollar slump is likely to be. Cycle are good for forecasting periods of peaks and troughs, the size of the extension or the depth of a slump is a little more tricky, and if the DXY holds above $90 then a bullish pattern remains as a higher low remains, below will make life very interesting. 

A lower US dollar does act as stimulus to risk on assets, and it is no surprise the current Trump White House welcomes higher asset prices prior to November 2020 elections. Yes! You can accept the white glove of the White House inked up the printing presses to make it so, and we can assume they have gallons of ink. 

Chart Review ..
- Sine Wave cycle
- Sine Wave with DPO (Detrending Price Osc)
- Momentum Osc synced with cycles.

DXY

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

continue reading





Dow 2020 Crash Watch – Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

dow-2020-crash-watch--updateLike 1929 the markets have bounced. This time it is on the back of the FED $6.5T money printing.

Previous Post: Dow 2020 Crash Watch 

But can the FED blow $6T every time the market rolls down to test support.

Yes, maybe before the US 2020 elections the FED will do ‘what it takes’. But post elections not so much, the year 2021 is a long way from the next election (presidential or congress) and defense of the markets may not be so supportive at $6T or $10T per market smash. The FED may hesitate, and that will be window for stocks to break lower.

The 36 month simple moving average (SMA) is a good indicator of the Dow Jones trend (36 months is three years). It has been a good indicator of Dow break outs over the last 100 years.

Now, if you take the difference between the Dow monthly close and the 36 month simple moving average and convert it into a percentage change this is known as the ‘Detrending Price Oscillator’ or DPO. The DPO highlights how well a moving average performs, it also highlights momentum towards or away from the moving average.

Lets review the SMA(36) and DPO(36) during similar market changes: 1929, 1974, 1987, 2000, 2007. 

Chart 1929.

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1929

Chart 1974

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1974

Chart 1987

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1987

Chart Now

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now

The concern is that this is on the table for 2021

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2021

Stay frosty, the next 6 months will forge trends for the next few years.

Divider


Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,

continue reading





RTT browsing latest..

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

rtt-browsing-latestPlease review a collection of WWW browsing results. The information here is delayed by a few months, members get the most recent content.

Date Found: Saturday, 14 March 2020, 05:51:16 PM

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Comment:
Crash in perspective – its Bad, and not over!

Date Found: Saturday, 14 March 2020, 07:49:29 PM

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Comment:
The Blood Bath Has Begun youtu.be/bmC8k1qmM0s

Date Found: Sunday, 15 March 2020, 12:11:17 AM

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Comment:
Central Bank money printing will multiply by 3 times! (like 1937)

Date Found: Tuesday, 17 March 2020, 05:48:19 PM

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Comment:
High volatility is at the beginning or at the end, which is it?

Date Found: Tuesday, 17 March 2020, 07:07:43 PM

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Comment:
Charles Nenner – FSN – February 20, 2020 youtu.be/yO_CFtqawgU

Date Found: Thursday, 19 March 2020, 07:19:48 PM

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Comment:
The Macro Show Highlights: ‘We Are In A Stock Market Crash’ youtu.be/l7K2nlR67hY

Date Found: Friday, 20 March 2020, 04:44:37 PM

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Comment:
The Coronavirus and the World Economy With Raoul Pal #686 – The fix is crypto currency youtu.be/PEUoqUrpl-o

Date Found: Saturday, 21 March 2020, 04:20:15 AM

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Comment:
Jordan Roy-Byrne: Expect a Rip-Roaring Bull Market in Gold & Silver youtu.be/sIpSkTrCwjk

Date Found: Saturday, 21 March 2020, 06:01:06 PM

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Comment:
THE RESET JUST HAPPENED | Gregory Mannarino youtu.be/egbecGlfwCs

Date Found: Saturday, 21 March 2020, 11:44:31 PM

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Comment:
oooh sh*t!

Date Found: Sunday, 22…
continue reading





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

TikTok Files New Injunction Against White House Amid Reports Deal Is "Falling Apart"

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

As Fox Business publishes rumors that the TikTok-Oracle deal is falling apart, TikTok-owner ByteDance has filed a petition for an injunction Wednesday afternoon, asking a federal court in Washington DC to intervene and quash President Trump's threatened ban of TikTok on national security grounds.

The injunction, filed Wednesday afternoon, comes after a California court shut down Trump's attempt to ban Tencent's...



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Phil's Favorites

SPACs are still bulls***

 

SPACs are still bulls***

Courtesy of 

I almost slipped and bought into the SPAC Renaissance. Almost.

Draftkings looks legit. But Draftkings could have been a true IPO. The SPAC wrapper was beside the point. Chamath and Ackman will probably do something legit, those guys usually find a way to win. Maybe a few others. The rest are / will be garbage. My first impression was right.

Nikola’s stock has now fallen from near 100 down into the 20’s as the guy’s whole story has unraveled. Then the guy stepped down and ran away. None of this had to happen. But Nikola arrived on the markets as the quarry of a Special Purpose Acquisit...



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ValueWalk

Real Estate Crash Ahead or Inflation Hedge

By Sven Carlin. Originally published at ValueWalk.

2021 might bring a real estate crash, but analyzing the last crash of 2009 and what the FED is doing, it is more likely we see inflation increasing real estate prices rather than collapsing them.

[reit]

Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The real estate market is in the following situation:

  • undersupply in more than 50% of places all over the words
  • be there!
  • a differentiation in demand for various real estate properties
  • Extremely low interest rates that make it cheap to buy and take a mortga...


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Kimble Charting Solutions

Is Gold/US Dollar Ratio Sending Bearish Signal To Precious Metals?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Last month, I featured this Gold / US Dollar ratio chart in an article warning of the potential for a trend reversal.

While the broader bullish trend is still intact (higher lows since 2015), it could be time for Gold to take a breather.

Looking at today’s “updated” chart, we can see that the ratio formed a “doji star” candle last month with momentum running at peak levels (concerning). And this month we are seeing follow through to the downside (in the form of a red candle).

As well, this bearish reversal pa...



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Politics

'Colossal Backdoor Bailout': Outrage as Pentagon Funnels Hundreds of Millions Meant for Covid Supplies to Private Defense Contractors

 

'Colossal Backdoor Bailout': Outrage as Pentagon Funnels Hundreds of Millions Meant for Covid Supplies to Private Defense Contractors

"If you can't get a Covid test or find an N95, it’s because these contractors stole from the American people to make faster jets and fancy uniforms."

By Jake Johnson

Secretary of Defense Mark Esper and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Army Gen. Mark Milley hold an end of year press conference at the Pentagon on December 20, 2019 in Arlington, Virginia. (Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

Instead of adhering to congressional inten...



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Biotech/COVID-19

How and when will we know that a COVID-19 vaccine is safe and effective?

 

How and when will we know that a COVID-19 vaccine is safe and effective?

How much longer must society wait for a vaccine? ANDRZEJ WOJCICKI/Getty Images

By William Petri, University of Virginia

With COVID-19 vaccines currently in the final phase of study, you’ve probably been wondering how the FDA will decide if a vaccine is safe and effective.

Based on the status of the Phase 3 trials currently underway, it i...



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Chart School

Stocks are not done yet - Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There are a few times in history when a third party said this US paper (stocks, funds or bonds) is worthless.

Here is two.

1) 1965 Nixon Shock - The French said to US we do not want your paper dollars please pay us in gold. This of course led to the US going off the gold standard.

2) 2007 Bear Stern Fund Collapse - Investors said their funds collateral was worth much less than stated. This of course was the beginning of the great america housing bust of 2008.


In both cases it was stated .."look the Emperor is naked!"... (The Empe...

more from Chart School

Digital Currencies

Cryptocurrencies Rarely Used To Launder Money, Fiat Preferred

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Shaurya Malwa via Decrypt.io,

Traditional channels continue to dominate the estimated $2 trillion global money laundering racket instead of cryptocurrencies, a report says.

In brief
  • Money laundering via cryptocurrencies is not a preferred tool for criminals, a report said...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.