Archive for 2010

No, The Big Banks Have Not “Paid Back” Government Bailouts and Subsidies

Courtesy of George Washington

Washington’s Blog

The big banks claim that they have paid back all of the bailout money they received, and that the taxpayers have actually made money on the bailouts.

However, as Barry Ritholtz notes:

Pro Publica has been maintaining a list of bailout recipients, updating the amount lent versus what was repaid.

 

So far, 938 Recipients have had $607,822,512,238 dollars committed to them, with $553,918,968,267 disbursed. Of that $554b disbursed, less than half — $220,782,546,084 — has been returned.

 

Whenever you hear pronunciations of how much money the TARP is making, check back and look at this list. It shows the TARP is deeply underwater.

Moreover, as I pointed out in May, the big banks have received enormous windfall profits from guaranteed spreads on interest rates:

Bloomberg notes:

The trading profits of the Street is just another way of measuring the subsidy the Fed is giving to the banks, said Christopher Whalen, managing director of Torrance, California-based Institutional Risk Analytics. “It’s a transfer from savers to banks.”

 

The trading results, which helped the banks report higher quarterly profit than analysts estimated even as unemployment stagnated at a 27-year high, came with a big assist from the Federal Reserve. The U.S. central bank helped lenders by holding short-term borrowing costs near zero, giving them a chance to profit by carrying even 10-year government notes that yielded an average of 3.70 percent last quarter.

 

The gap between short-term interest rates, such as what banks may pay to borrow in interbank markets or on savings accounts, and longer-term rates, known as the yield curve, has been at record levels. The difference between yields on 2- and 10-year Treasuries yesterday touched 2.71 percentage points, near the all-time high of 2.94 percentage points set Feb. 18.

Harry Blodget explains:

The latest quarterly reports from the big Wall Street banks revealed a startling fact: None of the big four banks had a single day in the quarter in which they lost money trading.

 

For the 63 straight trading days in Q1, in other words, Goldman Sachs (GS), JP Morgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), and Citigroup (C)


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Weak US jobs data results in inflation-trade positioning while news from Merkel & Bernanke spur action in respective currencies

Courtesy of naufalsanaullah

Original piece here.

20101205





Foreclosure Fraud – BAC HOME LOANS SERVICING, LP F/K/A COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS SERVICING, L.P. Plaintiff, vs. BILL R. STENTZ AKA WILLIAM R. STENTZ, et al

Courtesy of 4closureFraud

“A thief who steals a check payable to bearer becomes the holder of the check… but does not become the owner of it.”

Below is an order from a Florida court that speaks to a major issue we have been screaming about for well over a year now, if not two. Just because you hold the note, does not necessarily make you the owner of the note with the right to enforce.

The way I see it, as a non attorney, is the laws are very clear on this issue but are being ignored to further marginalize the “deadbeats” and prop up the “banks.”

Now, don’t just take my word on this, there are others with similar opinions as well…

If the courts would just let us get to the documents requested in discovery, it would show that in the majority of the cases, even if they produce the original note, they do not have the right to enforce.

For example…

BofA Mortgage Morass Deepens on Promissory Notes Issues

Investor Impact

The Kemp case is also being examined by lawyers for investors in mortgage-backed securities. Owners of the bonds have been cooperating in an effort to force sellers to take back loans, saying they were misled about their quality. The Wizmur ruling may give investors an additional opportunity to push for mortgage buybacks on grounds that the bonds weren’t created in keeping with securitization contracts.

It may mean investors who think they bought mortgage- backed securities bought securities that aren’t backed by anything,” said Kurt Eggert, a professor at Chapman University School of Law in Orange, California.

Countrywide Deals

The securitization contracts related to the Kemp loan, and at least two other Countrywide mortgage-bond transactions, didn’t assign the company the additional role of document custodian for the trust. Countrywide, as the servicer, can take back the notes from the trustee when needed to manage foreclosure actions and mortgage payoffs, according to the contracts.

One risk to investors when notes remain with sellers acting as custodian is that an acquirer or creditor of those companies could walk in and take the notes, the banks that disclosed the practice in mortgage-bond prospectuses warned.

Let’s repeat. “An acquirer or
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Graham Summers’ Weekly Market Forecast (Euro hype over? Edition)

Courtesy of Phoenix Capital Research

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Last week’s explosive rally was due to three factors:

 

1)   Stocks came perilously close to breaking down so the PPT stepped in

2)   A bullish falling wedge pattern in stocks

3)   Euro options expiration/ ECB intervention

 

Regarding #1, stocks came right on the verge of breaking below their 50-DMA. Given the technical nature of the stock market rally (the market hasn’t traded based on fundamentals in months) this would have heralded a major decline.

 

With the Fed and the US Government’s claims of a recovery hinging largely on the fact stocks are up, the powers that be couldn’t possibly allow this, so what do we get? A ramp job that takes stocks up nearly 4% in three days.

 

 

From a technical picture, this move was predicted by the bullish falling wedge pattern that formed over the preceding three weeks (see the chart below). Of course the only reason this pattern formed in the first place was because “someone” stepped in and propped stocks up every time they came close to breaking below 1175.

 

Regardless, the ramp job that occurred Wednesday through Friday satisfied this pattern. As I write, the S&P 500 has failed to best its early November intraday high (1227). A move above that level could portend a greater breakout, however, this will all hinge on the Euro.

 

 

Last week was options expiration week for the Euro. Already oversold, the currency was due for a bounce. Options traders took advantage of this to gun the Euro higher when rumors swirled that the European Central Bank would potentially issue a larger bailout.

 

Nevermind that the rumors proved false or that the European Union continues to collapse, in…
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Goldman Issues Apology #3 For Its Economic Renaissance Call

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Just released – apology #3 from Jan Hatzius on his ill-timed “golden age” call. We expect many more. We almost feel sorry for the German strategist and the replacement of FRBNY’s Bill Dudley. For our most recent roasting of Hatzius (and there have been several), read here.

From Goldman Sachs: Now What

1. Nice timing on our GDP forecast upgrade!  The November employment report was a disappointment, and there weren’t a lot of redeeming features buried underneath the headlines.  Private sector payroll growth fell back to +50k, the slowest pace since January 2010.  The household survey was also weak, with a rise in the unemployment rate to 9.82% and a drop in the employment/population ratio to 58.18%, just a hair above the cycle low seen in December 2009.  The jobs report followed higher initial jobless claims on Thursday and a soft manufacturing ISM survey on Wednesday.
 
2. So are we nervous about our shift?  Not really.  For one thing, our new forecast does not say that the US economy is now off to the races.  We are not predicting above-trend growth until the second quarter of 2011, so it is hardly a huge surprise that the labor market is still struggling (indeed our own forecast for Friday’s number was somewhat below consensus).  More importantly, the report leaves the rationale for our forecast upgrade unaffected, which is that GDP growth is firming modestly at a time when the short-term impact of inventories and fiscal policy has turned from positive to negative.  This says to us that the growth rate of underlying final demand—GDP excluding the effects of inventory changes and fiscal policy—is improving.  And the news on the demand/service side of the economy has remained fairly encouraging, with auto and same-store retail sales both stronger than expected, an upward revision to core capital goods orders, and a good nonmanufacturing ISM survey (interestingly with a 3-year high in the employment index).
 
3. What lies behind the demand improvement?  In our view, the main reason is an incipient decline in the private sector financial balance—i.e., the gap between the total income and total spending of US households and businesses—and a slowdown in the speed of private sector deleveraging.  To a first approximation, the private sector balance is the “flow” equivalent to the “stock” of private sector debt.  When the private sector balance is below…
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LeaKeD WiKi SPeeCH

Courtesy of williambanzai7

Just obtained this incredible leaked draft of Hillary’s speech about unauthorized WikiLeak disclosures…

Wiki

Full Document Viewable: Here

[Source: The Other 98%.com]

 

Under the Hill





LeaKY WiKi SPeeCH

Courtesy of williambanzai7, writing at Zero Hedge 

Just obtained this incredible leaked draft of Hillary’s speech about unauthorized WikiLeak disclosures…

Wiki

Full Document Viewable: Here

[Source: The Other 98%.com]

 

Under the Hill


Tags: ,




Cash4Gold – The Other (And Far More Hilarious) Side Of The Story

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

By now, everyone has heard accusations that Cash4Gold is nothing but a predatory site, seeking to “steal” the gold of people in distress for a painfully low price. Often times these stories involve Glenn Beck in some capacity. Of course, there is always “the other side” to every story. Below we provide just one such “other” side. It just so happens that the side is about as funny as it gets.

Courtesy of Bruce Krasting





100% Sure Thing?

Courtesy of Bruce Krasting

Bernanke did himself and the American people a great disservice tonight. He said that he was 100% certain that “He” could contain the consequences of his policy of quantitative easing. No person in a position of responsibility should make such bold statements. There is always risk.

Bernanke’s TV fireside chat was a bomb as a result of this gross misstatement of the risks of the Fed’s monetary policy. There is a “zero” chance that QE will end badly? Please, that is idiotic and insulting. The thousands of people around the world who have stood up and said it is voodoo economics are all wrong? Talk about hubris.

I’m not going to write the article documenting the Fed’s prior mistakes. To suggest that they will not err this time around is too much of a stretch. Ben should have acknowledged that there is risk. That he and his mates don’t sleep at night knowing they have crossed a line to the dark side of monetary policy. I wanted to see a humble Ben. One who said that he is facing a daunting task, one where the risks of action and inaction are substantial. But he chose to brush it all off. He is either blind to history (that he claims to study), he is lying or he made a boastful statement of his powers that are totally unjustified.

History is unkind to those who look into the future with myopic eyes and see the outcome of an uncertain world as 100% certain. Ben made some history tonight, but we won’t know about it for a few more years. Then we will be looking at Ben’s video with both a laugh and a cry.

For the record. Ben is not printing money. He is monetizing debt. He is, in effect, financing the current deficit of the government. He is actively intervening in the bond market. There is no limit that has been established for this policy. Ben said tonight he would do more if it suits him. Monetizing debt is a desperate act. That we are doing it will make us desperate.

In my opinion QE is not necessary and exposes the global economy to a variety of risks. There will be little benefit to the US economy. We will have a long-term headache as a result. Ben’s persistence…
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Swing trading virtual portfolio – week of December 6th, 201o

This post is for live trades and daily comments. PLease click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

Swing trading virtual portfolio

 

One trade virtual portfolio





 
 
 

ValueWalk

#1 Performing Global Macro Hedge Fund Sees More Shorts Opportunities Ahead As China Bursts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Crescat Global Macro Fund update to investors on 1/19/2019

Crescat Global Macro Fund and Crescat Long/Short fund delivered strong returns for both December and full year 2018 in a difficult market. Based on ...



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Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...



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Phil's Favorites

Divisive economics

 

Guest author David Brin — scientist, technology consultant, best-selling author and futurist — explores the records of Democrats and Republicans on the US economy in the following post. For David's latest posts, visit the CONTRARY BRIN blog. For his books and short stories, visit his web...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...



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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

 

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...



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Insider Scoop

Cars.com Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 44 Biggest Movers From Yesterday 38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Mid-Day Session ...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...



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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn

 

Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...



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Biotech

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from www.shutterstock.com

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.

...

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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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