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Thursday, May 2, 2024

Is a 60% rally in 90 days enough???

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

 If stocks were up over 60% in the last 90 days, would you consider that they might be due a rest?  Below is a 90-day comparision of the 500 index, gold and the yield on the 5-year note.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE 

See below for a multi-year chart on the yield of the 5-year note.

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

The yield on the 5-year note, after hitting multi-year falling resistance, looks to be breaking support at (1) in the above chart.  After a 60%+ rally in yields over the last 90 days, the patterns look to be suggesting that short-term rates should be heading lower for a while

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