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Friday, May 17, 2024

Current Market Snapshot: Down for the Day and Week

Courtesy of Doug Short

The S&P 500 finished the day down 1.17%, the third day of decline, but the loss for the week was a fractional 0.24%. The index is now up 0.86% year-to-date but down 6.98% from the interim high set on April 29.

From an intermediate perspective, the index is 87.5% above the March 2009 closing low and 19.0% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of the index – with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.

Below are two charts of the index – with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.

 

 

 

 

For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.

For a bit of international flavor, here’s a chart series that includes an overlay of the S&P 500, the Dow Crash of 1929 and Great Depression, and the so-called L-shaped “recovery” of the Nikkei 225. I update these weekly.

These charts are not intended as a forecast but rather as a way to study the current market in relation to historic market cycles.

 

 

 

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