Courtesy of Doug Short
On July 4, 1776, the American colonies declared independence from the Kingdom of Great Britain. Over the years Independence Day has become a symbol of America and its values.
The past twelve years have presented some stunning challenges to the United States: The popping of the Tech Bubble, the attack on the Trade Towers, wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, Hurricane Katrina, the collapse of residential real estate, the Financial Crisis, the Oil Catastrophe in the Gulf of Mexico, and the list goes on.
The latest S&P 500 closing price is 31% above the last Independence Day but 8.8% below July 4th 2000. The market performance in the intervening years has been a roller coaster of dizzying effect.
The current economic and market concerns are substantial, with the debt ceiling stalemate now taking center stage. But the U.S. has a long record of dealing with disasters and finding the light at the end of the tunnel.
Let’s close on a note of hope with a look at a longer timeline covering the 32 Independence Days since 1980. The market will continue to have its ups and downs, but the direction we all hope for is easily illustrated.
Happy Fourth to all.
