Courtesy of Doug Short
The S&P 500 rallied during the last 90 minutes of trading to close the day with a gain of 0.56%, but weekly close was down 2.06%. The closing rally did move the index back above its 50-day moving average. The index is now up 4.65% year-to-date but 3.48% below the interim high set on April 29.
From an intermediate perspective, the index is 94.5% above the March 2009 closing low and 15.9% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007.
Below are two charts of the index, with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.
For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.
For a bit of international flavor, here’s a chart series that includes an overlay of the S&P 500, the Dow Crash of 1929 and Great Depression, and the so-called L-shaped “recovery” of the Nikkei 225. I update these weekly.
These charts are not intended as a forecast but rather as a way to study the current market in relation to historic market cycles.
