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Tuesday, May 7, 2024

S&P 500 Snapshot: Day Six of the September Rally

Courtesy of Doug Short.

Like yesterday the S&P 500 opened at its intraday low and made its biggest advance in the first two minutes. It reached its morning high shortly before 11 AM and then traded in a fairly narrow range for the remainder of the session. A small surge in the final minutes set a 0.74% intraday high with the close fractionally lower at 0.73%. This was day six of the September rally, with the index up 3.12% for the month so far, the longest rally since the eight-day rally in early July. The popular financial press attributes the latest gains to relief that the odds of a US attack on Syria are fading.

The yield on the 10-year note closed at 2.96%, up 6 bps from yesterday’s close and 2 bps off its interim closing high last Thursday.

Here’s a 10-minute look at the week so far.

Participation in today’s rally was better than yesterday with the volume above its 50-day moving average.

The SPY ETF, which gives a better sense of trader mentality, was saw better volume than yesterday, although it remains a tad below its 50-day moving average.

The S&P 500 is now up 18.08% for 2013 and 1.50% below the all-time closing high of August 2.

 

 

 

 

For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.

 

 

 

 

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