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Sunday, February 15, 2026

Watching Yields Rise: Are Treasuries a Buy?

Courtesy of Mish.

From mid-2012 until the beginning of 2014, US treasuries were in a steep decline (yield rising) in expectations of Fed rate hikes that never came.

2014 was a great year for treasury bulls, undoing the carnage of the previous year and then some. 30-year treasuries hit a record low yield.

So far, 2015 has been a bad year for the bulls.

Monthly Yield Curve 2005-2015

Charts courtesy of Curve Watchers Anonymous.

Daily Yield Curve 2015

click on any chart for sharper image

Yields generally bottomed in February, then rose to early-June highs, with the long end sporting a steeper slope as is typical.

Are Treasuries a Buy?

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