Courtesy of Mish.
Despite terror attacks and calls by some to postpone the date, snap elections called by Theresa May will take place on June 8, as scheduled.
A recent poll by Survation shows Labour within one point of winning the election. Is a Labour win possible?
The Independent reports Conservative lead over Labour cut to just one point, new poll finds.
The problem with placing a lot of stock in that headline is it’s just one poll. Let’s look at all the recent polls as depicted by Wikepedia.
Not a single poll ever has put Labour in the lead for the 2017 election.
I give more weight to the most recent polls. The average lead for the Conservatives for polls that finished June 2 or later (above the dashed line) is 6.4.
With Brexit, three of the final six polls had Leave winning. Here is my final poll snapshot from my blog.
Brexit Polls Final Tally
