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Friday, April 19, 2024

Deja Vu in S&P 500 and Florida Elections again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

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They say “History doesn’t repeat, but sometimes it rhymes!”  This weeks election results are being contested in Florida, similar to what happened in 2000.

In the fall of 2000, the S&P made a nominal new high. Momentum was diverging (creating lower highs) and a bearish-rising wedge was forming. We all know the results once support of the rising wedge took place.

Is the S&P 500 repeating patterns now similar to 2000? This fall the S&P made a nominal new high; momentum is diverging (creating lower highs) and a bearish- rising wedge could be in play.

Will history repeat exactly this year? I doubt it. But, if multi-year rising support does happen to give way, selling pressure could increase similar to 2000.

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