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Sunday, July 14, 2024

How a ragtag band of internet friends became the best at forecasting world events

What the Samotsvety group can teach us about predicting the future. The question before a group made up of some of the best forecasters of world events: What are the odds that China will control at least half of Taiwan’s territory by 2030? Everyone on the chat gives their answer, and in each case …

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