Tariff Talk & Buying Opportunities (4/9/2025)
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Timeline:
0:01 - Market technical analysis (W patterns & trends)
2:07 - Impact of tariffs and changing laws on markets
2:37 - Monitoring 10-year Treasury auction results
6:05 - Market relief rally after strong auction
11:40 - Preparing for upcoming Fed statement & minutes
13:37 - Review of January Fed minutes & conditions
15:50 - Market down 20% — tariffs implemented
18:04 - GDP expectations lowered, economy weakening
20:19 - Rising mortgage rates & liquidity stress
21:28 - Fed slowing Quantitative Tightening (QT)
23:06 - Inflation risk rising — tariff impact increasing
24:02 - What to watch for in Fed minutes
25:36 - Tariffs sharply increasing export costs
27:35 - Housing liquidity freeze from high mortgage rates
31:02 - US vs Japan debt & bond market dynamics
34:26 - Preparing portfolio for Fed announcement
34:58 - Options trade management
39:25 - 90-day tariff pause announced
42:43 - Adjusting hedges and rolling option positions
44:02 - Market bounce (chart analysis) and portfolio adjustments
53:32 - Hedge strategy summary
55:00 - Tariff impact math on market valuation
59:00 - Technical indicators broken by policy changes
1:02:31 - Stock picks for turbulent market
1:43:00 - Portfolio management strategy & position reviews
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