Posts Tagged ‘EMR’

Options Player Takes to Beazer Homes USA

Today’s tickers: BZH, CPB, EMR & RENN

BZH - Beazer Homes USA, Inc. – Shares in the designer and builder of single- and multi-family homes increased as much as 5.7% today to $3.53, joining other homebuilding companies in a sector rally ahead of May new home sales data due out on Thursday morning. One options player populating Beazer Homes this afternoon constructed what appears to be a long-term bullish bet on the stock. It looks like the investor sold 3,000 puts at the January 2012 $3.0 strike for a premium of $0.42 each in order to purchase 3,000 calls up at the February 2012 $4.0 strike at a premium of $0.52 apiece. Net premium paid to get long the calls amounts to $0.10 per contract and positions the trader to make money should Beazer’s shares surge 16.15% over today’s high of $3.53 to surpass the effective breakeven price of $4.10 at February expiration. Shares in BZH last traded above $4.10 on June 1. The stock is currently down more than 43% off its January 14th 52-week high of $6.23. Beazer Homes USA reports third-quarter earnings before the market opens on August 2.

CPB - Campbell Soup Co. – Demand for put options on the food products manufacturer jumped this morning after analysts at Goldman Sachs reportedly recommended buying July $33 strike puts on the chicken noodle soup maker ahead of the company’s analyst day. The sharp increase in put activity on the stock sent Campbell’s overall reading of options implied volatility up 34.4% to 16.55% by 12:05pm in New York. Shares in CPB currently trade 0.60% lower on the day at $34.01. The July $33 strike put is by far the most active this afternoon, with more than 7,400 puts having changed hands against previously existing open interest of just 576…
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Lifting the Axle

Today’s tickers: AXL, PALM, POT, XLF, EMR, AA, & BIIB

AXL – Shares of the Tier 1 supplier of parts and components to the automotive industry have rallied more than 8.5% to a whopping $2.78 today. The improvement in the stock, since touching down to just 26 cents on March 9, 2009, prompted one uber-bullish investor to enact a call spread in the October contract. The trader seems to have determined that the $300 million cut in AXL’s second- and third-quarter revenue streams, felt in the wake of its bankruptcy-brethren GM and Chrysler, will have been replenished by the fall. The summer shutdowns by the automakers are certainly painful for the time being as the two behemoths account for 90% of AXL’s annual revenue. Hoping for a ridiculous turnaround in circumstances, the investor initiated the purchase of 10,000 calls at the October 5.0 strike price for a premium of 40 cents apiece which were spread against the sale of 10,000 calls at the higher October 7.5 strike for about 15 cents each. The net cost of the transaction amounts to 25 cents and yields maximum potential profits of 2.25. Shares will need to grow with the tenacity of the Hulk in order to rally more than 169% over the next five months. – American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.

PALM – Put options on the mobile devices company were favored by option investors on the scene today amid a share price decline of 3% to $13.22. One trader targeted the July contract in order to initiate a bearish ratio put spread. The transaction involved the purchase of 2,800 puts at the in-the-money July 14 strike puts for a premium of 2.82 per contract spread against the sale of 5,600 puts at the lower July 10 strike for about 70 cents apiece. The net cost of the pessimistic play on PALM amounts to 1.42 and yields maximum potential profits of 2.58 to the trader if shares decline down to $10.00 by expiration. Profits begin to amass if shares fall another 5% to the breakeven point at $12.58 by expiration next month. Option implied volatility has ramped up significantly over the past couple of days from 93% at the start of Thursday to the current reading of 112% ahead of the release of The Pre tomorrow. – Palm, Inc.

POT– We observed an interesting use of out-of-the-money puts by one investor on
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Sun bulls still looking for better news using option spreads

Today’s tickers: JAVA, APOL, EWZ, EMR, BBBY, WYNN, CSCO, CBG, GE & AA

JAVA Sun Microsystems, Inc. – Shares continue to slide for the second day after JAVA allegedly rejected IBM’s offer of $9.40 per share because it was too low. Currently, shares have declined by more than 4.5% to $6.26. A couple of contrasting trades caught our attention as one investor played the downside and another looked for upside movement in shares. In the May contract it appears that a ratio put spread was initiated with the sale of 22,000 puts at the May 5.0 strike for 46 cents each spread against the purchase of 11,000 puts at the May 6.0 strike for 89 cents apiece. The investor receives a credit of 3 cents for initiating this trade and stands to make a maximum profit of 103 cents if shares decline to $5.00 by expiration, but would burst apart at the seams should Sun’s shares breach $3.97. Further along in the October contract, a trader hoping to see JAVA rebound put on a bullish call spread which was partially funded by the sale of put options. At the October 5.0 strike price 10,000 puts were sold for a premium of 80 cents apiece. Meanwhile, a bull call spread was established via the purchase of 10,000 calls at the October 7.0 strike for 1.15 each and spread against the sale of 10,000 calls at the October 9.0 strike price for a premium of 40 cents apiece. This optimistic strategy yields the investor a 5 cent credit because the premium enjoyed on the sale of the put options and the sale of the higher strike calls more than offsets the cost of the October 7.0 strike call options. If shares can rally to $9.00 by expiration this fall, the investor stands to gain a maximum profit of 2.00 on the call spread plus the 5 cent premium. The two trades indicate bearishness in the near-term and bullishness as we head towards the concluding months of 2009.

APOL Apollo Group, Inc. – A provider of higher education to working adults, Apollo Group has experienced a 9% drop in shares to $63.17. Apollo’s share price slipped last week after the company warned that its profit margins would likely fail to meet analyst expectations. The recent share price erosion appears to be too severe as APOL still forecasts that it will achieve a 24%…
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ValueWalk

Goldman Sachs & JPMorgan Among Top Ten Most Prestigious Internship Programs

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Google And NASA Named The Two Most Prestigious Internship Programs To Have On A Resume, According To Latest Vault Career Intelligence Survey

Infosys Has The No. 1 Best Overall Internship Program; Abbot Has The No. 1 Health Care Internship And No. 1 Program For Data Analytics And Engineering; Captech Has The No. 1 Consulting Internship

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Vault’s Survey Also Looks at Trends Influencing the Internship Search

New York, NY, (Tuesday, October 27, 2020) Vault, the top career intelligence platform, has ...



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Zero Hedge

Creditors Finally Wake Up To An Apocalyptic Reality: Bond Losses As High As 99%

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Back in March 2016, we published an article explaining how the coming default cycle - when it finally hits - would be different: it would be marked by record low recovery rates. While there were many reasons for that, three stood out: i) the disconnect between fundamentals and asset prices thanks to the Fed's constant manipulation of markets, ii) the record layering of debt upon debt, much of it secured, and iii) the years of covenant-lite deals ...



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Phil's Favorites

Trump's trade war - what was it good for? Not much

 

Trump's trade war – what was it good for? Not much

When you push an opponent, he tends to push back. AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon

Courtesy of Rebecca Ray, Boston University

The 2016 election was a referendum on free trade, which many blamed for destroying millions of American manufacturing jobs. In 2020, it could be about the merits of trade wars.

During President Donald Trump’s first term, he tore up deals, launched a trade war with China and renegotiated NAFTA. His campaign claims the war was a succes...



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Biotech/COVID-19

In rural America, resentment over COVID-19 shutdowns is colliding with rising case numbers

 

In rural America, resentment over COVID-19 shutdowns is colliding with rising case numbers

Business restrictions early in the pandemic, when rural towns had few cases, triggered a backlash that haunts them now. Johannes Eisele/AFP/Getty Images

Courtesy of Lauren Hughes, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus and Roberto Silva, University of Colorado Denver...



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Politics

How to track your mail-in ballot

 

How to track your mail-in ballot

Make sure you know when your ballot is arriving, and whether it’s been accepted for counting back at your election office. erhui1979/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

Courtesy of Steven Mulroy, University of Memphis

Many voters who want to participate in the election by mail are concerned about when they’ll receive their ballot – and whether it will get back in time to be counted.

The pandemic has caused interest in ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Doc Copper/Gold Indicator Breaking Out Again?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The Doc Copper/Gold ratio broke above a 2-year falling channel back in 2016 at (1). Following this breakout, it rallied for the next year. During that year, Copper related assets did very well!

The ratio peaked in the summer of 2018 and created a series of lower highs over the past two years.

The strength of late has the ratio attempting to break above dual resistance at (2).

If the ratio continues to push higher and succeeds in breaking out, Copper, Basic Materials (XLB), and ...



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Chart School

Dow Gann Angle Update

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Time to see what happens to the Dow post US elections.

The Dow Gann Angle Target 3 (from 2007 top) is on the table, and what a ride that will be. The FED went BRRRRR is all the fundamental news you need to know. Gann angles are very good tool to see how the masses are pushing price.


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The last two US elections saw Bitcoin and the DOW rally well for 6 months, due to stimulus. The most bearish 2020 US Election case for the markets is a Biden win with the Senate and Congress controlled by the Democrats, somehow this blog feels that is very unlikely. So what could go wrong!


...

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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading - here's why it's not yet a big deal

 

Bitcoin: the UK and US are clamping down on crypto trading – here's why it's not yet a big deal

Where there’s a bit there’s a writ. Novikov Aleksey

Courtesy of Gavin Brown, University of Liverpool

The sale and promotion of derivatives of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to amateur investors is being banned in the UK by the financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). It is a...



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Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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