Phil's Stock World, Stock Options Trading & Information

Daily Stock and Options Tips & Updates; Get Our Daily Newsletter Here

hil, I hit my targets for the year in my 401K (thanks in no small part to your site), so I cashed out of all positions a couple of weeks ago. Feels good... I'm conservative with this money –looking for 2% per month, which i've been able to do… thx.

Lunar
I've been trading/investing since the early 80's (my dad started me out young). I've had seven figure accounts (in the past) and I've done lots of trading, so I can say that I'm a well seasoned investor. Phil is the real deal. His trades make sense and his strategy is sound. He sees things that others miss and he's one of the best at finding price anomalies. When he makes a mistake, he has an exit strategy already planned. He hedges very well and he has an instict which tells him to go to cash or to be all in.

Autolander
Phil: That NFLX call was awesome. The speed at which NFLX options decayed was precipitous. The blow out spike that allowed me to double and roll my callers to 190(!) and the ridiculous 170 weeklies @3.50 a day away from Op-Ex. The gains I realized in that trade floored me when I took a long at my portfolio value on Friday. What a great way to start the 3rd Quarter.

Kinkistyle
Wow, Phil, we pretty much made your levels. Your levels: Dow 7,404, S&P 775, Nas 1,466, NYSE 4,839 and RUT 402 My sceen is showing: Dow 7,404, S&P 777, Nas 1,462, NYSE 4,868 and RUT 404

Jordan
On Optrader's section yesterday he was asked how he works with AAPL as an investment. He replied that he just ‘plays with the covers'. I've got a separate portfolio where I use primarily this technique over the past 6 months. Up 60% The principles involved are stock selection, patience, patience, using covers to protect profits, rolling covers to maximize premium return, and exiting when covers are gone and stock price is high. Sometimes it's hard to remember where you learn to do this stuff, but much of it is from integrating principles I've learned here with thing I already knew. Thanks for the help on this, Phil and others.

Iflantheman
Thanks for all the work you put into this site. I have looked at a few other option advisory or "mentoring" services this year, but no one offers even a fraction of the content or the level of services you provide at PSW!

Jelutuck
Phil - Your logic not only makes sense, but it made a lot of premium profit for me over the past 12 months. I have recovered much of the massive equity losses of last year. My Monday play is the sale of long term puts on FXI. Love the premium!

Gel1
Phil, I don't know how I can thank you enough for your guidance this past week. I'm up significantly in my portfolio and I've never been so relaxed watching the market panic. Thanks once again for being here for us.

thechaser
I did the same thing via your logic (sold puts that is). I glanced one time and they were already up 15% which is considered a good return for an overnight hold in most circles. This is PSW though and to us it's just another day…

Kwan
Phil - It is nice being more discipline with my trading. Generally, I am out earlier than most, but my results, overall, are much better than they were when I was trying to squeeze 80 cups of lemonade out of one lemon! On the other side, I am learning the value of rolling and turning losses into non-losses or small gains. I so appreciate the time you have spent with me and others who have benefited greatly from your knowledge. Thank you!

Dclark41
I started with $250,000 in cash as of Oct 1 and have realized gains of $81,000 thru close of business. And that's in an IRA with no margin or naked trades. Whenever you are in Argentina or Chile I owe you a drink. I'm looking forward to it.

Denlundy
Thank God for Phil. A few months ago (April) I didn´t even know what hedging was, and someone recommended I should check out some of Phil´s plays, especially on the retirement portfolio. When I first started to read it, none of it made a blind bit of sense to me, but I stuck with it and gradually began to work through some of the trades to see how it worked. Now I am putting on 5:1 SPY backspreads combined with bear put spreads, entering and leaving positions after consulting the VIX, and engaging in other esoteric maneuvers that are keeping my portfolio above water.

jmm1951
Phil: I am always able to figure out your trades, including the rational when put in the right context of previous comments, etc. Keep doing what you're doing. It is much appreciated, and invaluable. Your hit rate of successful trades has been very high in my 1.5 months as a member, but even more importantly is your teaching of how to repair and DD positions that haven't gone your way yet. As with most members, we all have our ‘pet' trading interests, and learning how to think about trading is much more important than a specific trade, which could see the conditions behind it change an hour later. This is the classic case, of ‘Teach us to Fish', rather than just giving us a fish once in a while. Thank you!

Neverworkagain
Thanks Phil for all you do. I feel like I don't read all the newsprint because when I check in with you I know I get the "real" scoop. Your service is number Uno in my book for all the knowledge and teaching. I ignored the aapl spin and am now enjoying some rewards. Every AM I get my Phil fix and throughout the day any important links. Mucho gracias. It leaves me time for my volunteer work besides the investing.

Pirateinvestor
Great call on expe Phil! Went long 50 shares and sold for a nice profit! And Great call on the nkd shorts as well. I didn't use a stop that tight and was able to cover for a $400 gain. Works been keeping me pretty busy and I'm jealous of all the members who are able to check in here more often! It's almost always quite profitable! Looking forward to Vegas!

Jromeha
thanks for the DNDN recommendation last week phil. that was moneeeee….

Kwan
Phil/CLK4 – Perfect! Saw the answer 1 min after my post…out with $740 on two contracts. Thanks again for the education.

Jeffdoc2004
Phil fantastic call on the markets… I owe you BIG…thanks and have a great weekend!

Kustomz
I think that Phil is super, I am up 39.3% YTD. Thank you for your kindness and the opportunity to observe Phil from February.

KMisko
Phil, those OIH $80 p that you recommended last week for ~$1 are now worth $5.50!

Greg
You may wonder if anyone gets anything out of you seminars (or may not wonder). Anyway, I almost never day trade because of my job. Today, I was home due to the snow and since I was behind by 2 weeks on watching your recorded seminars I though I would watch one of them. I set up my pivot point charts in TOS to match the ones in your seminar and made the QQQ trade from this morning. I only bought 5 puts. While I watched the seminar, I would pause then switch back and forth and watch the live QQQ chart. I ended up stopping out for a $170 gain, but it was pretty cool to have the dip and recovery at the same time I was learning the art of stopping out when a pivot line was taken out.

rj_jarboe
I remember that call (to sell gold at $1,850) as well... and the many Buy-Writes that were created on your site during that period... thanks to you, I had an average ROI of close to 70% for over 2 years, averaging 4,000 trades per year. Busy trading, but lots of fun and memorable trades.

1234gel
There are a lot of us that have been here a long time and we all learn something everyday. Just keep asking questions, there are a lot of smart people here and they are willing to help and then of course, you have Phil.

Jr Mints
WISH TO EXTEND A BIG THANK YOU! I netted about $18,000 on the short Jan puts and the annualized ROI/M is mind boggling! Hope to meet you some day and buy you and your significant other a nice dinner. Best Regards Newt

Newthugger
Hey Phil – I ignored your call to sell those AAPL $580s for $1 so not sure whether to thank you or not (just kidding) for my $5 winner. Actually I want to thank you from the bottom of my heart, that was an uncanny call.

TheChaser
Just closed out my V put for 50% in 24 hours thanks Phil!

Humvee
Phil - I LOVE these futures trades at random hours! I wasnt able to get in on the 612 part but if I had it wouldve been 130$ (2.6%) on a 5k contract in less than 30 minutes. I know you have to sleep, spend time with fam, ect but Im just letting you know that your posts after hours/late at night has made people who followed them a decent chunk of change. Thank you, we appreciate it!

Jromeha
Well I want to thank P. Davis for his style and for the fact that he affirmed my thoughts for a correction. He was right and his confirmation of my bias saved me thousands. Mr. Davis is amoral when it comes to money. He realizes the poor are screwed but we must fight to win. A measure of sarcasm and dark humour and it is great reading. 100% right on the correction.

Chaffey
USO, QQQ- Phil, thanks for these plays. Out of USO for about 65% gain today and just keeping 1/4 QQQ.

Ksone88
By the way thank you Phil for the DNDN idea. 3x till this morning and will 4x my small investment by next OE THANKS !!!!

Microflux

Posts Tagged ‘Fibozachi’

End of the Bull: Primary Trend Shifts as Markets Shatter

by Chart School - June 30th, 2010 12:18 am

While technical analysts and traders have numerous techniques for determining trends, the most basic method is the tracking of higher highs and higher lows (bullish trends), or lower highs and lower lows (bearish trends). Tuesday’s relentless sell-off across US equity markets marked an undeniable end to the continuous series of higher lows that had been intact since July 2009. With Tuesday’s close below 1,044.50 on the S&P 500 Cash, ‘bulltards‘ can no longer claim that the primary trend of equities remains bullish.

Traders are going to have their work cut out for them in the days and weeks ahead as a plethora of support levels remain scattered between the levels of 950 – 1,030. Though equities appear poised for downside acceleration into Q3, remaining short may prove difficult in days ahead for most as increased volatility, erratic HFT algos and near-record market internal readings combine to create yo-yo-like equity markets. Tuesday’s Advance / Decline line for the S&P 500 clocked in at -498, with only Zimmer Holdings (ZMH) closing higher. As a company that designs, develops, manufactures and markets orthopaedic reconstructive implants, dental implants, spinal implants, trauma products and related surgical products … could GETCO be anticipating a large order from Mr. Market for a new hip?

Joking aside, what can we expect after such an all-encompassing technical rout? There are essentially two ways to interpret such overwhelmingly positive / negative market internal readings: temporary exhaustion and inflection or breakaway continuation. Normally, when US equity markets exhibit an opening dislocation (greater than +/- 1.5%) and an extreme trend day (greater than 90% A/D, VOLD, etc.) there tends to be an immediate reflex so as to offset lopsided internal measures of momentum. And though the majority of such dislocationary instances immediately resolve themselves in the opposite price direction, the possibility of witnessing a breakaway continuation to the downside here looms large.

The only other modern instance of a -498 Advance / Decline reading on the S&P 500 occurred on September 29, 2008. Equity markets had effectively crashed before 9/29/08 saw an -8.83% swoon; the next day closed 60 points higher, retracing 63.08% of that loss before an eight day waterfall…

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | 1 Comment »

Fibozachi Forecast 3-28-10

by ilene - March 29th, 2010 12:44 pm

In case you missed this in the Stock Chart section:

Fibozachi and Chopshop’s proprietary trading methods provide them with ideas for short, intermediate and long-term trades in a weekly timeframe. This report discusses potential trade setups they’ll be watching throughout the week for possible entries. Their system is based on technicals of given stocks, but not to the exclusion of the greater context of stock market action. We hope you enjoy this report and as always, we appreciate feedback. - Ilene

Fibozachi Forecast 3-28-10

Detail view of a 'Dangerous Current' sign in front of breaking waves

Though the weekly trends of US equity markets remain bullish, the S&P 500 ($INX) has almost grabbed our upper target of 1,185 and we at Fibozachi simply do not like the risk/reward ratio of establishing long positions after such an extensive rally has already taken place. While the past two weeks have resulted positive closes and higher highs, volume has continually diminished. The $INX has also registered an “Advance Block” bearish candlestick pattern. This is a 3-bar pattern where price moves higher over each candle, developing a larger upper shadow / wick on each successive bar. This character within this pattern suggests that bullish momentum continues to wane (over 3 weeks now), unable to close the week with the same strength that it began.

The vast majority of stocks have come back into resistance levels from June ‘08 – August ‘08, which will likely prove a good place to pause (at the very least), in the process putting a halt to the current rally that we are enjoying. Several long-term Fibonacci Moving Averages (SMAs & EMAs) are coming into play for many stocks, which will likely provide additional overhead resistance and help cap this rally.…

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Phil's Favorites | No Comments »

Fibozachi Forecast

by Chart School - March 29th, 2010 4:38 am

Fibozachi and Chopshop’s proprietary trading methods provide them with ideas for short, intermediate and long-term trades in a weekly timeframe. This report discusses potential trade setups they’ll be watching throughout the week for possible entries. Their system is based on technicals of given stocks, but not to the exclusion of the greater context of stock market action. We hope you enjoy this report and as always, we appreciate feedback. - Ilene

Fibozachi Forecast 3-28-10

The vast majority of stocks have come back into resistance levels from June ’08 – August ’08, which will likely prove a good place to pause (at the very least), in the process putting a halt to the current rally that we are enjoying. Several long-term Fibonacci Moving Averages (SMAs & EMAs) are coming into play for many stocks, which will likely provide additional overhead resistance and help cap this rally.

While the levels of 1,200 and 1,230 on the S&P 500 remain possible upside targets, we remain adamant that chasing a few percent pointsafter a blistering 70%+ rally is a fool’s game. Considering where US equity markets currently hover, it is time to either sit on your hands and wait for a fat pitch right down the middle, or (if you are nimble enough) to begin targeting stocks that may be topping at these levels. Across dozens of our proprietary screens, which scan every US stock, ETF and market group (and then some), an overwhelming amount of bearish signals registered into Friday’s close. Even more noteworthy, our screens this weekend were almost entirely devoid of anything bullish. Nevertheless, we scoured the charts to find a handful of good bullish candidates to…

Tags: Fibozachi, trading method

Posted in Chart School | 5 Comments »

New Volatility Index Futures for Oil & Gold

by Chart School - March 6th, 2010 8:00 am

New Volatility Index Futures for Oil & Gold

Courtesy of Chopshop at Fibozachi

As the VIX languishes in the doldrums of teen spirit, lulling market participants to sleep before volatility comes screaming back to life, the CME & CBOE have announced a partnership that will create futures (and options on futures) for volatility indexes across a variety of asset classes. Beginning with Oil, Gold, Corn and Soybeans, these new derivative instruments are scheduled for launch in Q3 of 2010. Each benchmark index will be established upon the CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) methodology and price series will originate from CME Group options on futures contracts via the most active electronically traded front and nearby contracts.

[1] CME press release

[2] Crude Oil, Gold & Euro Volatility Index charts

[3] CBOE primer on just what the heck the VIX actually is

New Indexes to combine CME Group market data with CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) Methodology

CHICAGO, March 5 — CME Group, the world’s leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, today announced it has entered into a seven-year license agreement with the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) that will allow CME Group to list futures and options on futures for volatility indexes on a variety of asset classes. These contracts will be listed with, and subject to, the rules and regulations of the particular exchange where the products will be traded (CME, CBOT or NYMEX).

"Our liquid and transparent commodity and financial markets are the foundation for the creation of new indexes that customers can use to gain a view on volatility across a wide array of asset classes," said Scot Warren, CME Group Managing Director of Equity Index Products and Services. "We believe that a reliable benchmark index for volatility sentiment on contracts such as WTI Crude Oil, Corn, Soybeans and Gold will help market participants make more effective investment and hedging decisions based on their exposure to market volatility."

Terms of the license agreement between the exchanges include the following:

CBOE will create, own and calculate the benchmark indexes using its established CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX®) methodology and license use of the indexes to CME Group.

The benchmark indexes are scheduled to begin publishing data during the third quarter of 2010.

…

Tags: Chopshop, Fibozachi, VIX, volatility, volatility index futures

Posted in Chart School, Immediately available to public | No Comments »

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 1.5.10

by Chart School - January 5th, 2010 9:28 pm

Technician’s Corner

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 1.5.10

In this 1.5.10 edition of the Fibozachi Technical Update (FTU), we present 12 technical profiles of the S&P 500 Futures (ES), the VIX, the US Dollar Index (DXY), Crude Oil Futures (CL), Gold Futures (GC) and Silver Futures (SI).

- Please click on any of the snapshots below to open a large, crystal-clear picture -

ES (S&P 500 Futures)

VIX: CBOE Volatility Index

DXY (US Dollar Index)

CL (Crude Oil Futures)

GC (Gold Futures)

SI (Silver Futures)

Disclosure: during any given session, we may trade any of these instruments bi-directionally. We are currently flat at the time of publishing.

For similar technical takes, market calls and insights; please visit our new website, www.fibozachi.com. There, you can view both our complete body of analytic work as well as detailed explanations of the unique design development and technical methodologies within the proprietary technical indicator packages that we use daily to perform a comprehensive technical analysis of stocks, options, ETFs, bonds, futures and FOREX across interval periods of time, tick and volume.

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | No Comments »

True Trading Tips: High-Probability Intra-Day Scalp Setups Using the NYSE TICK

by Chart School - December 28th, 2009 11:30 pm

Technician’s Corner

Today’s market action was rather uneventful, however "lazy" days like today can often provide highly accurate and effective trading signals as a direct result of price immobility within narrow ranges. With a practical knowledge / understanding of technical analysis, one can utilize such signals to profitably scalp futures, stocks and ETFs with ease.

The following picture illustrates the two "gimme" trades that we discretionarily executed today as well as the logic and reasoning behind them.

-- Please click on the snapshot below to open a large, crystal-clear picture --

Disclosure: during any given session, we may trade any of these instruments bi-directionally. We are currently flat at the time of publishing.

For similar technical takes, market calls and insights; please visit our new website, www.fibozachi.com. There, you can view both our complete body of analytic work as well as detailed explanations of the unique design development and technical methodologies within the proprietary technical indicator packages that we use daily to perform a comprehensive technical analysis of stocks, options, ETFs, bonds, futures and FOREX across interval periods of time, tick and volume.

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | No Comments »

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 12.28.09

by Chart School - December 28th, 2009 7:07 pm

Technician’s Corner

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 12.28.09

In this 12.28.09 edition of the Fibozachi Technical Update (FTU), we present 10 technical profiles of Gold, Silver, the US Dollar Index, the VIX, the BKX (Bank Index), GS (Golidlocks), SKF and the Cult of Cupertino, er, crAAPLe, er, (snap crackle) AAPL.

- Please click on any of the snapshots below to open a large, crystal-clear picture -

GC (Gold Futures)

SI (Silver Futures)

US Dollar Index

VIX: CBOE Volatility Index

BKX: Bank Index

SKF: UltraShort Financials

GS: Goldman Sachs

AAPL "Doji’s" its Way to New Highs

Disclosure: during any given session, we may trade any of these instruments bi-directionally. We are currently flat at the time of publishing.

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | No Comments »

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 12.21.09

by Chart School - December 21st, 2009 8:03 pm

Technician’s Corner

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 12.21.09

In this 12.21.09 edition of the Fibozachi Technical Update (FTU), we present 12 technical profiles of the ES (S&P 500 Futures), the VIX, Gold, Futures, Silver Futures, Crude Oil Futures and the US Dollar Index.

- Please click on any of the snapshots below to open a large, crystal-clear picture -

ES (S&P 500 Futures)

VIX: CBOE Volatility Index

GC (Gold Futures)

SI (Silver Futures)

CL (Crude Oil Futures)

US Dollar Index

Disclosure: during any given session, we may trade any of these instruments bi-directionally. We are currently flat at the time of publishing …

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | No Comments »

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 12.17.09

by Chart School - December 17th, 2009 6:49 pm

Technician’s Corner

FTU: Fibozachi Technical Update – 12.17.09

In this 12.17.09 edition of the Fibozachi Technical Update (FTU), we present detailed technical profiles of the US Dollar Index, Gold Futures, Silver Futures, the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) and the S&P 500 Cash …

- Please click on any of the snapshots below to open a large, crystal-clear picture -

US Dollar Index

GC: Gold Futures

SI: Silver Futures

VIX: CBOE Volatility Index

INX: S&P 500 Cash Index

Disclosure: during any given session, we may trade any of these instruments bi-directionally. We are currently flat and merry at the time of publishing …

For similar technical takes, market calls and insights; please visit our brand new website, www.fibozachi.com. There, you can view both our complete body of analytic work as well as detailed explanations of the unique design development and technical methodologies within the proprietary technical indicator packages that we use daily to perform a comprehensive technical analysis of stocks, options, ETFs, bonds, futures and FOREX across interval periods of time, tick and volume.

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | No Comments »

NYSE TICK Divergences Predict End-of-Day Selloff

by Chart School - December 15th, 2009 6:09 pm

Fibozachi

NYSE TICK Divergences Predict End-of-Day Selloff

One of the screens that we at Fibozachi continually monitor throughout the Cash session is the NYSE TICK.

The hackneyed cliche of "volume precedes price" is certainly true more often than not, however, it is far from foolproof. We prefer to modify this tired cliche by saying that: "buying and selling pressure precedes price."

The snapshots below (from today’s session) clearly illustrate how this critical relationship (between the TICK and price action itself) plays out on a daily basis.

- Please click on any of the snapshots below to open a large, crystal-clear picture -

ESH10 (S&P 500 E-Mini) with TICK Highs & Lows Overlayed onto Price

NYSE TICK 1-Minute

Disclosure: during any given session, we may trade any of these instruments bi-directionally. We are currently flat and merry at the time of publishing …

Tags: Fibozachi

Posted in Chart School | No Comments »

Kimble Charting Solutions

Bank Breakout Of Financial Crisis Highs or Double Topping Again?

November 12th, 2019 11:01 am

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

If the saying “So Goes The Banks, So Goes The Broad Market” is true, banks are facing a critical breakout/resistance test in my opinion.

This chart looks at Financials ETF (XLF) over the past 12-years. This chart reflects that a double top took place prior to the financial crisis getting started.

XLF has remained inside of rising channel (1) since the lows in 2012. It hit double resistance at (2), then it declined nearly 25%.

The decline then tested rising support at (3) and a strong rally has followed. The rally now has XL...

Zero Hedge

"Panic, Pure Panic" - Chilean Peso Collapses To 800/USD, Blowing Through Record Lows

November 12th, 2019 10:00 am

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

The Chilean peso extended a four-day losing streak on Tuesday, sinking by the most in eight years, to a new record low at 800/USD.

Source: Bloomberg

Bearish market sentiment, political chaos, and a national strike intended to ratchet up pressure on the government and its plans to change the constitution...

...

Phil's Favorites

This Fed President Thinks Wall Street Banks Should Stop Whining for the Fed to Bail Them Out and Plan for their Own Liquidity

November 12th, 2019 9:45 am

Courtesy of Pam Martens

Neel Kashkari, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Later this afternoon, Neel Kashkari, the outspoken President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, will deliver the keynote address at a conference on “Wisconsin and the National Economy” at the Madison campus of the University of Wisconsin. Tomorrow, he’ll be taking questions at a Town Hall in the University of Wisconsin’s Student Union on the La Crosse campus.

Given Kashkari’s recent remarks on his lack of sympathy for the whining New York bankers who are demanding a liquid...

The Technical Traders

Welcome to the Zombie-land Of Investing - Part II

November 12th, 2019 4:48 am

Courtesy of Technical Traders

In Part I of this research post, we highlight how the ES and Gold reacted 24+ months prior to the 2007-08 market peak and subsequent collapse in 2008-09. The point we were trying to push out to our followers was that the current US stock market indexes are acting in a very similar formation within a very mature uptrend cycle.

We ended Part I with this chart, below, comparing 2006-08 with 2018-19. Our intent was to highlight the new price hig...

Insider Scoop

Stocks That Hit 52-Week Highs On Tuesday

November 11th, 2019 11:00 pm

Courtesy of Benzinga

This morning 131 companies set new 52-week highs.

Things to Consider:

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was the largest company by market cap to set a new 52-week high this morning.
Fast Lane Holdings (OTC: FLHI) was the smallest company by market cap to set a new 52-week high.
Advanced Energy Indus (NASDAQ: AEIS) was the biggest loser of the group, declining 8.94% after reaching its new 52-week high.

The stocks that set new 52-...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Digital Currencies

3 Reasons Why One Trader Didn't "Manipulate" Bitcoin Price To $20K

November 6th, 2019 8:00 pm

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by William Suberg via CoinTelegraph.com,

Bitcoin price highs in 2017 were not the result of a single trader on an exchange, the CEO of payment company Circle claims. In a series of tweets on Nov. 4, Jeremy Allaire disputed ...

Chart School

Gold Gann and Cycle Review

November 5th, 2019 4:15 pm

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Gold has performed well, golden skies are here again. In fact it has been a straight line move, and this is typically unusual and a pause can be expected.

It seems the markets are happy again, new highs in the SP500, US 10 year interest rates look to re bound, negative interest may soften. The US FED has reversed their QT and now doing $250BN (not QE) repo. The main point is the FED has stopped QT, and will do QE forever. The evidence now is the FED put is under market risk and the possibility of excessive losses do not exist.

Point: If in future if there is market risk, the FED will print it's way out of it.
Subject To: In this blog view. The above is so until the amount required rocks confidence in the US dollar as a reserve currency.&n...

Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

October 30th, 2019 9:33 pm

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September. This flood of paper had been inundati...

Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

August 23rd, 2019 4:39 pm

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of Katie Jones, Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...

Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

July 24th, 2019 8:35 am

Via Jean Luc

Funny but probably true:

...

more from M.T.M.

Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

March 4th, 2019 11:27 pm

Are you ready to retire?

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire. In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives. A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...

Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

March 7th, 2017 4:51 pm

Here's a free ebook for you to check out!

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

· How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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