Posts Tagged ‘FTI’

Heavy Action In BP Call Options With Earnings On The Horizon

 

Today’s tickers: BP, RSH, FTI & MYGN

BP - BP PLC – Far out-of-the-money call options on BP saw heavier-than-usual activity on Tuesday afternoon, with shares in the oil company trading up 1.3% at $44.70 as of 12:30 p.m. in New York. Fresh prints in March expiry calls may represent low-cost, low-probability bullish bets that shares in BP will rally sharply by expiration. BP is scheduled to release fourth-quarter earnings ahead of the opening bell on February 7, one week from today. Options traders exchanged more than 3,000 call options at the Mar. $49 strike against open interest of 621 contracts. The majority of the calls appear to have been purchased for an average premium of $0.22 apiece. Like-minded strategists snapped up some 3,500 calls at the higher Mar. $50 strike at an average premium of $0.11 each. Investors long the calls may profit at expiration in March in the event that BP’s shares soar 10.1% and 12.1% to exceed average breakeven prices of $49.22 and $50.11, respectively. Overall trading in BP options players are heavily favoring calls on the name over puts today, with more than 4.2 calls changing hands on the stock for each single put option in early-afternoon trade.

RSH - RadioShack Corp. – Shares in consumer electronics retailer, RadioShack Corp., plunged 30.0% to $7.15 on Tuesday after the Company revealed lower-than-anticipated preliminary fourth-quarter earnings and suspended stock buybacks. The breath-taking drop in the price of the underlying shares spurred some options traders to ready themselves for a potential rebound in the next few weeks. Call buyers looked to the Feb. $7.0, $8.0 and $9.0 strike calls, buying around 1,600, 3,200 and 235 contracts at each strike, respectively, this morning. Investors long the calls may have picked up the…
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Dollar Bull Throws in the Towel Following Employment Report

Today’s tickers: UUP, FTI, ZRAN & NDAQ

UUP - PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish Fund – A sea change in attitude toward the dollar following today’s weaker-than-expected employment report inspired one options player to cut and run from a large bullish position in the US Dollar Bullish Fund this morning. Shares of the UUP, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of the dollar index, are down 1.00% to arrive at 22.93 just before 11:30 am. It looks like the trader originally purchased a massive position in March 2011 24 strike calls to gain exposure to a rising dollar, or alternatively to defend against dollar appreciation, ahead of the Fed’s decision to roll out a second round of quantitative easing. The investor appears to have purchased 105,500 calls at the March 2011 24 strike back on October 27, 2010, at a premium of $0.34 apiece. Since the calls were purchased, the fund rose approximately 3.8% from 22.65 up to this week’s high of 23.52. In hindsight, the trader would have been better advised to act ahead of Friday’s employment data release as he did when he initially purchased the calls ahead of the Fed announcement. Premium on the March 2011 24 strike calls stood at an average of $0.48 each on Tuesday when the UUP touched its intraweek high of 23.52. The plunge in the value of the dollar today combined with the adverse effects of eroding time value on the contracts pushed premium on the calls down significantly. The investor received just $0.24 per call option on the sale of all 105,500 contracts today. Net losses on the closing sale amount to $0.10 each. We do not know whether the options were tied to an underlying position or if the initial long call position was intended as a hedge against a strengthening dollar. These are important factors that would likely change the interpretation of the activity observed on the UUP this morning.…
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Put Player Portends Additional Declines in iShares MSCI EAFE Index ETF

Today’s tickers: EFA, FTI, FBR & TYC

EFA – iShares MSCI EAFE Index Fund – Shares of the EFA, an exchange-traded fund created to yield investment results that correspond to the price and yield performance of the MSCI EAFE Index – an index designed as an equity benchmark for international stock performance with stocks from Europe, Australasia and the Far East, declined as much as 1.65% in the first half of the trading session to touch an intraday low of $50.00. One options investor was seen bracing for continued bearish movement in the price of the underlying fund through October expiration. The trader purchased a plain-vanilla put spread, buying 10,000 puts at the October $50 strike for premium of $2.31 apiece, and selling the same number of puts at the lower October $45 strike at a premium of $0.86 each. The net cost of the pessimistic play amounts to $1.45 per contract. The put spreader is prepared to make money – or realize downside protection should he hold a large position in shares of the fund – if the ETF’s shares trade below the effective breakeven price of $48.55 by expiration day. Maximum potential profits of $3.55 per contract are available to the investor if the EFA’s shares plunge 10% to settle below $45.00 at October expiration. Options implied volatility on the fund is higher by 6.8% to stand at 29.77% as of 11:55 am ET.

FTI – FMC Technologies, Inc. – The global provider of technology solutions for the energy industry popped up on our ‘hot by options volume’ market scanner in the first half of the trading day after one options investor initiated a ratio put spread in the January 2011 contract. FTI’s shares are currently down 2.05% to stand at $61.00 as of 12:10 pm ET. The put player appears to have purchased 1,000 puts at the January 2011 $55 strike at a premium of $3.95 apiece, and sold 2,000 puts at the lower January 2011 $45 strike for an average premium of $1.30 each. The net cost of the spread amounts to $1.35 per contract. Profits start to accumulate for the ratio spreader if shares of the underlying stock plummet 12.05% from the current price of $61.00 to breach the effective breakeven point on the trade at $53.65 by expiration day next year. The investor stands ready to amass maximum potential profits of $8.65 per…
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GDWheee Friday – Could be a Wild Ride!

Attention ladies and gentlemen:

The stock market will soon be leaving the station, please secure all personal items, pull down the safety bar (our Disaster Hedges) and keep all body parts inside ride at all times.  Well you know you can follow all of the safety instructions and STILL get smacked in the face with a black swan (like our friend Fabio, pictured here) which is why we elected to get back to cash ahead of this report.  The markets were just too insane this week and who the heck knows if Europe will still be a Union on Monday or what the GDP number is going to be (but I do think it's a miss). 

Since our biggest weekend fear is financial panic in Europe, our cash US dollars will become more valuable in a crisis and if the market drops, all the better as we can ride back in and do some bargain hunting.  If the market takes off on good GDP and Greece is "fixed" and Spain is "fixed" and Portugal and Ireland are not really a problem (especially for MS and JPM) and the CRIMINAL charges against Goldman look beatable and and the Financial Reform Bill doesn't disrupt the market with a disorderly breakup of the big banks and the Bank of International Settlements Report continues to be ignored and the run on the Greek banks doesn't spread to other STUPID counties – well, then we can BUYBUYBUY because, if all this doesn't matter, then it's very likely that the entire planet Earth could explode but Wall Street will keep ticking higher.

Yep, I can't wait to ride this baby mindlessly higher!  After all, what can go wrong?  BIDU is ONLY $710 a share, BLK is $190, CMP is $76, GOLD is $84, BUCY is $65, FAST is $56, MMM is $90, FOSL $40, F $13.50, DECK $149, SHOO $55, TPX $35, LZB $14, CTB $22, NOG $16, CEO $176, FTI $75, CLB $150, CIB $46, BBD $19, TD $75, BCA $45, BAP $87, ITUB $22, EDU $94, WYNN $93, FFIV $72, CY $14, CREE $77, UPS $70, UNP $78… 

These were stocks I was looking at last week, when I told members I thought it was easier to construct a Sell List than our usual…
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Zero Hedge

Philly Fed Finds Trump Tax Relief More Than Offsets Adverse Effect From Trade War

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

For all the concerns that Trump's trade war and tariff increases could jeopardize corporate capital spending plans, resulting in a broader economic slump, a Special Question posed by this month's Philly Fed survey found that this is not the case; in fact when taking into account Trump's tax relief/fiscal stimulus just the opposite picture emerges.

In Special Question #3 in the October Philly Fed survey, the regional Fed asks "...



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Phil's Favorites

The PhilStockWorld.com Weekly Trading Webinar - 10-17-18

For LIVE access on Wednesday afternoons, join us at Phil's Stock World – click here.

 

Major Topics:

00:01:15 - F
00:20:22 - LTP & F
00:35:41 - BJO & Coffee
00:43:20 - OOP
00:53:30 - Trade Ideas
01:06:22 - Current News
01:08:23 - CZR
01:11:23 - More Trade Ideas & Techniques
01:32:51- IBM
01:41:09 - Top Trades

Phil's Weekly Trading Webinars provide a great opportunity to learn what we do at PSW. Subscribe to our YouTube channel and view past webinars here. For LIVE access to PSW's Weekly Webinars – demonstrating...



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Digital Currencies

Blockchains won't fix internet voting security - and could make it worse

 

Blockchains won't fix internet voting security – and could make it worse

An e-ballot is less secure than one on paper. SvetaZi/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Ari Juels, Cornell University; Ittay Eyal, Technion - Israel Institute of Technology, and Oded Naor, ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Global Stock Market Indexes Flash Bearish "Look Alike" Patterns?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

Over the past several weeks, I’ve shared several examples of key stock market indexes and indicators hitting long-term resistance. Today, we’ll do the same… but with a much wider lens. We’ll look at 9 different stock market indexes in the developed markets that look concerning.

When a stock or market index hits resistance, it has three possibilities: 1) to break out above resistance  2) to move sideways / consolidate near resistance  3) to turn lower and pullback or correct.

In the 9-pack of charts below, we are seeing bearish “look-alike” patterns emerging. And in each case, it looks like the given markets are turning lower (point 1).

The markets considered include 6 U.S. indexes and 3 European, including the S&P 500(NYSEARCA: SPY), ...



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Insider Scoop

10 Stocks To Watch For October 18, 2018

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:

  • Wall Street expects Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM) to report quarterly earnings at $1.27 per share on revenue of $7.15 billion before the opening bell. Philip Morris shares fell 0.07 percent to $84.50 in after-hours trading.
  • Analysts expect PayPal Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: ...


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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Oct 14, 2018

Courtesy of Blain.

Wednesday and Thursday finally brought some fireworks to a very complacent market.   The S&P 500 had not had a 1% move in 74 days until Wednesday’s drawdown.

Rising yields were nailed as the culprit but months of rallying eventually require some sort of shake out – whatever the catalyst.  Wednesday’s sell off was the worst day for the S&P 500 since February and the worst for the NASDAQ since June 2016.

The market losses are “a reaction from investors finally realizing we are in a higher interest-rate environment, and given the elevated level of stocks, market participants were likely looking for a reason to sell,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management. “Higher interest rates typically bring on tighter ...



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ValueWalk

Vilas Fund Up 55% In Q3; 3Q18 Letter: A Bull Market In Bearish Forecasts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

The Vilas Fund, LP letter for the third quarter ended September 30, 2018; titled, “A Bull Market in Bearish Forecasts.”

Ever since the financial crisis, there has been a huge fascination with predictions of the next “big crash” right around the next corner. Whether it is Greece, Italy, Chinese debt, the “overvalued” stock market, the Shiller Ratio, Puerto Rico, underfunded pensions in Illinois and New Jersey, the Fed (both for QE a few years ago and now for removing QE), rising interest rates, Federal budget deficits, peaking profit margins, etc...



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Members' Corner

Why obvious lies still make good propaganda

 

This is very good; it's about "firehosing", a type of propaganda, and how it works.

Why obvious lies still make good propaganda

A 2016 report described Russian propaganda as:
• high in volume
• rapid, continuous and repetitive
• having no commitment to objective reality
• lacking consistency

...

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Biotech

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Gene-editing technique CRISPR identifies dangerous breast cancer mutations

Breast cancer type 1 (BRCA1) is a human tumor suppressor gene, found in all humans. Its protein, also called by the synonym BRCA1, is responsible for repairing DNA. ibreakstock/Shutterstock.com

By Jay Shendure, University of Washington; Greg Findlay, ...



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Mapping The Market

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

Via Jean-Luc:

Famed investor reflecting on his mistakes:

Mistakes were Made. (And, Yes, by Me.)

One that stands out for me:

Instead of focusing on how value factors in general did in identifying attractive stocks, I rushed to proclaim price-to-sales the winner. That was, until it wasn’t. I guess there’s a reason for the proclamation “The king is dead, long live the king” when a monarchy changes hands. As we continued to update the book, price-to-sales was no longer the “best” single value factor, replaced by others, depending upon the time frames examined. I had also become a lot more sophisticated in my analysis—thanks to criticism of my earlier work—and realized that everything, including factors, moves in and out of favor, depending upon the market environment. I also realized...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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