Posts Tagged ‘HWD’

Bulls Bubbly On PepsiCo, Marathon Petroleum Bears Bank Profits

Today’s tickers: PEP, MPC, HWD & PWR

PEP - PepsiCo, Inc. – The global food and beverage company saw heavy call action on Wednesday after the New York Post reported that the company’s board is divided on the subject of possibly splitting up the company, and that PepsiCo CEO, Indra Nooyi, may be close to making two large international acquisitions. PEP shares are up 2.0% at $65.79 as of 12:05 PM ET. Notable bullish interest is building in the Dec. $67.5 strike call, where is appears a number of strategists are positioning for shares in Pepsi to continue to climb. Investors exchanged more than 11,600 calls at the Dec. $67.5 strike against open interest of 4,317 contracts. Traders appear to have purchased the majority of the calls for an average premium of $0.51 apiece. Call buyers stand prepared to profit should shares in PepsiCo rally another 3.4% to surpass the average breakeven point on the upside at $68.01 by expiration day next month. Shares in PEP last traded above $68.01 back on July 20.

MPC - Marathon Petroleum Corp. – Shares in the largest Midwest oil refiner dropped like rock Wednesday morning, but it looks like the sharp decline today comes as no surprise to some options strategists who appear to have snapped up puts on Marathon Petroleum Corp. earlier this week. Refiners’ shares retreated as the spread between WTI and Brent oil narrowed, a sign that profit margins at these companies may decline. Marathon’s shares are off their lows of the session but remain deeply in the red, down 6.7% at $34.52 as of 11:30 AM in New York. Investors prepared to profit from Marathon Petroleum’s pain purchased put options on Monday and Tuesday for a fraction of their cost today. It looks like traders picked up roughly 3,500 puts at the Nov. $37.5 strike for an average premium of $1.60 this week, as well as purchased more than 3,000 puts at the lower Nov. $35 strike at an average premium of $0.67 a-pop. Today, premium required to buy downside protection is substantially higher. The Nov. $37.5 strike puts currently cost $3.70 per contract, while the Nov. $35 strike puts cost $1.05 each. Put selling initiated at both of these strikes in the first hour of the trading session this morning suggests traders may be taking quick profits off the table.

HWD - Harry Winston Diamond Corp. – One bullish options play on Harry Winston…
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Put Selling Ensues On Harry Winston Diamond Corp.

Today’s tickers: HWD, HAS & VSH

HWD - Harry Winston Diamond Corp. – Fresh prints in Harry Winston Diamond Corp. puts drove options volume in the front month above the prevailing level of overall open interest on the stock in the first half of the trading session. Shares in the specialist diamond company fell as much as 2.9% today to $10.36, bringing total declines in the stock up to roughly 43% since the end of May. The company was scheduled to present at the Telsey Advistory Group 2nd Annual Fall Consumer Conference just after 9:00 am EDT this morning.

One or more put players exchanged some 4,150 puts at the October $10 strike against zero open positions. It looks like most of the put options were sold for an average premium of $0.35 a-pop. Investors selling the contracts keep the full amount of premium as long as shares in Harry Winston exceed $10.00 through expiration next month. Heavy put selling pushed implied volatility on the Oct. $10 puts down more than 25% in early-afternoon trade. Shares in HWD have traded above $10.00 for more than one year, but did slip to as low as $9.61 in August 2010. Sellers of the puts likely expect shares in the miner of rough diamonds to resist above $10.00 through October expiration, and are happy to pocket available premium on the options in exchange for bearing the risk that the stock hits fresh lows in the next few weeks. Traders short the puts may have shares of the underlying stock put to them at an effective price of $9.65 each should the options land in-the-money at expiration day. Options implied volatility on the stock dropped 17.5% to 54.47% by 12:20 pm in New York.…
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Litany Of Woes Sparks Renewed Bearish Options Trades On Inverse ETF

 
Today’s tickers: SH, CLX, NABI & HWD

SH - ProShares Short S&P 500 – Bearish investors are scooping up calls on the ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF this morning with 95% of stocks in the U.S. benchmark Index trading in the red today. Shares in the SH, an exchange-traded fund designed to correspond to the inverse of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index, are up 1.45% to arrive at $41.55 as of 12:00 pm on the East Coast. Investors exchanged more than 8,000 calls at the August $44 strike against previously existing open interest of 2,231 contracts. It looks like most of the calls were purchased for an average premium of $0.25 a-pop. Perhaps call buyers are hedging long exposure to the index, or snapping up the calls to take an outright bearish stance on the near-term performance of the Index. The ongoing debt crisis in Europe, mind-numbing squabbling amongst U.S. lawmakers tasked with raising the debt ceiling, and concerns the economic recovery continues to soften are weighing down equities today. Signs that any of these factors are worsening could send the S&P 500 Index lower to the delight of call buyers. Investors holding the August $44 strike calls profit if shares in the SH rise 6.5% to exceed the effective breakeven price of $44.25 by expiration next month. The SH last traded above $44.25 back in December 2010, when the S&P 500 Index was hovering around 1243. Meanwhile, traders casting doubt on the likelihood of a sharp correction in the Index through August expiration sold around 1,500 calls at the August $45 strike to pocket an average premium of $0.15 each. Call sellers keep the full amount of premium as long as the contracts expire worthless at expiration next month.

CLX - Clorox Co. – A sizable ratio put spread on the maker of cleaning supplies and Hidden Valley Ranch Dressing indicates one strategist is positioning for limited bearish movement in the price of the underlying shares through August…
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Zero Hedge

Trump's $50 Billion Farm Deal Is Fantasy After Trade War Market Shifts

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Industry insiders have told South China Morning Post (SCMP) that President Trump's alleged $50 billion agriculture deal with China is merely a fantasy, used to stimulate his Farm Belt supporters ahead of an election year, and even used as a communication tool to drive the stock market to new highs. Still, the likelihood of it actually happening is very low.

SCMP notes that China has never confirmed the $50 to ...



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Phil's Favorites

What is an oligarch?

 

What is an oligarch?

Boris Yeltsin shakes hands with Russia’s most powerful businessmen in Moscow. AP Photo

Courtesy of Joel Samuels, University of South Carolina

With the impeachment hearings for President Donald Trump under way, several American diplomats and ...



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The Technical Traders

When Oil Collapses Below $40 What Happens? PART III

Courtesy of Technical Traders

This, the final section of this multi-part research article, will continue our exploration of the consequences that may result from our ADL predictive modeling system’s suggestion that Oil may continue to fall to levels below $40 over the next few months. 

In Part I and ...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Insider Scoop

Glass House Group Appoints Graham Farrar As President

Courtesy of Benzinga

Glass House Group, a California-based cannabis and hemp company, earlier this week appointed Graham Farrar as president.

In his new role, Graham will oversee the company’s short and long-term business strategies, budgets and operations, and report up to Glass House Group CEO Kyle Kazan.

A long-time entrepreneur and an original team member of both Sonos (NASDAQ: SONO...



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Chart School

Dow Jones cycle update and are we there yet?

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Today the Dow and the SP500 are making new all time highs. However all long and strong bull markets end on a new all time high. Today no one knows how many new all time highs are to go, maybe 1 or 100+ more to go, who knows! So are we there yet?

readtheticker.com combine market tools from Richard Wyckoff, Jim Hurst and William Gann to understand and forecast price action. In concept terms (in order), demand and supply, market cycles, and time to price analysis. 

Cycle are excellent to understand the wider picture, after all markets do not move in a straight line and bear markets do follow bull markets. 



CHART 1: The Dow Jones Industrial average with the 900 period cycle.

A) Red Cycle:...

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Digital Currencies

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

 

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

Courtesy of 

As part of Coindesk’s popup podcast series centered around today’s Invest conference, I answered a few questions for Nolan Bauerly about Bitcoin from a wealth management perspective. I decided in December of 2017 that investing directly into crypto currencies was unnecessary and not a good use of a portfolio’s allocation slots. I remain in this posture today but I am openminded about how this may change in the future.

You can listen to this short exchange below:

...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver Testing This Support For The First Time In 8-Years!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Its been a good while since Silver bulls could say that it is testing support. Well, this week that can be said! Will this support test hold? Silver Bulls sure hope so!

This chart looks at Silver Futures over the past 10-years. Silver has spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of the pink shaded falling channel, as it has created lower highs and lower lows.

Silver broke above the top of this falling channel around 90-days ago at (1). It quickly rallied over 15%, before creating a large bearish reversal pattern, around 5-weeks after the bre...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via  “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September.  This flood of paper had been inundati...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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