Posts Tagged ‘Jim Rogers’

Krugman Dementia Alert: Former Enron Consultant Says Jim Rogers “Has Been Absolutely Wrong About Everything”

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

While we approach the topic of Paul Krugman with the same eagerness one approaches a clogged up, never cleaned, bathroom at a frat party that is about 50 years past its due date, (pretty much like Keynesianism) this one just put us over the top. In his latest pointless drivel on the economy, instead of reverting to his usual mode of praying to John Keynes, bitching at those who dare call for accountability and the punishment of all those, such as Krugman, responsible for what is now a $4 trillion taxpayer monetary bailout tab, and begging for trillions, then quadrillions, then quintillions, then an infinite amount of money, the Op-Ed writer has instead decided to start a mudslinging campaign against none other than Jim Rogers, the co-founder of George Soros’ Quantum Fund, who has been pretty much spot on with his calls for decades.

A quick compare and contrast – Jim Rogers, whose fortune is in the hundreds of millions, contrary to Krugman, who only has a worthless statue given to him by the same idiots who thought that Obama was worthy of being awarded for his "peace" initaitives, has always had to put his money where his mouth is, while the other one’s only notable claim to fame is being a consultant, and a corrupt and massively conflicted one at that, for that icon of Keynesian free markets- Enron, which Krugman could not find enough words to praise, before it was uncovered that, just like Krugman’s Keynesian ideal, was a fraud, a disaster, and the biggest bankrupty at the time, in the making. We could go on and on, and recapitulate Gonzalo Lira’s thesis of why Krugman is either an "Imbecile or a Fraud" but luckily our readers are sufficiently intelligent and they can figure this out on their own. Which begs the question: just how dumb does Krugman take his readers to be, when he says something as patently imbecilic as the following: "And please note that inflationistas like Rogers have been wrong about absolutely everything this cycle (and the last cycle, and the cycle before that)." While this statement is so wrong and obtuse, it merely confirms that Krugman must obviously be an idiot if he believes that any of those unfortunate enough to read his meandering garbage will not spot who has been wrong…
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Jim Rogers Calls CNBC Bullsh*t On CNBC

Jim Rogers Calls CNBC Bullsh*t On CNBC

Courtesy of Jr. Deputy Accountant 

No seriously.

"It is PR, they got the stocks up, that’s the whole purpose of PR, make the stocks go higher. That’s what CNBC and many many PR agencies are all about."

[Daily Bail]


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Jim Rogers: “I Am Buying Gold For A Relief Rally” But All Fiat Currencies Are Doomed

Courtesy of Tyler Durden

Coins in a Cash Box

On one hand you have BNP revising their mid-term EURUSD forecast to 0.98, on the other you have such pessimists as Jim Rogers saying to buy the Euro. Who to trust anymore? Granted, Rogers’ thesis is only predicated on a a relief rally, pretty much the same as what we suggested when we saw the Goldman downgrade of the EURUSD, and immediately beckoned readers to get right back in. We consider the +50,000 pips picked in the ensuing week a direct gift from god (or at least his favorite worker). At this point the relief rally has likely fizzled, and the direction now is indeed down, at least until the next time the CFTC notes the net EUR shorts have hit a fresh record. Back to Rogers: in the long-term, Jim is just as bearish as always: "The European governments are not getting their act together, not at all. All paper money is flawed, nearly every currency in the world."

Rogers on European credibility: "If Greece went bankrupt it would send the signal to the world, and to the rest of Europe – ok, we’re not going to let people lie about their finance anymore, we are not going to let them spend money they don’t have, we are going to run a tight ship. That means the euro would be an extremely sound currency, it would the old Deutsche Mark." On Keynesianism: "You can’t keep spending money you don’t have because eventually the whole thing collapse in a house of cards." On the transition to reality: "I am not suggesting it is going to be a good time, don’t get me wrong. But if you wait 5 years from now, 10 years from now, when there is nothing you can do, and the whole system collapses, then you have real chaos in the streets, then you have Greece never recovering. In the US we have had states go bankrupt, cities go bankrupt, counties go bankrupt. It didn’t end the US, it didn’t end the US dollar." And on the flaws of our political system, which are just as applicable to our own president: "Greece is just trying to get through the next election, I am trying to figure out what’s good for country, what’s good for the world, what’s good for Europe, what’s good for the financial system."


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Jim Rogers Starts Some Short Positions

Jim Rogers Starts Some Short Positions

Courtesy of Market Folly

Legendary investor Jim Rogers recently appeared on television and voiced some of his latest opinions and investment maneuvers. We haven’t talked about the former Quantum Fund manager for a while because, let’s face it, he’s on television all the damn time. But, some of his comments from this recent interview made us take notice.

Potentially the most notable bit of his conversation was when he said, "I had no shorts for about 15 months so I started putting out some shorts recently. But the fact that I’ve been putting out shorts means the stock market won’t pull back." So, it’s interesting to see Rogers fight the current trend. In his mind, it’s the right play, but he knows he’s going to potentially feel some pain first. Many investors out there will agree that the market is overdue for a near-term pullback. MarketClub voiced these concerns in their recent technical analysis video of the S&P 500. Additionally, Bespoke outlined that many stocks are overbought.

We’ve also noticed some other signs that the market might be getting overheated for now. If you hadn’t realized yet, there’s been an insane amount of secondary offerings hitting the market. As we tweeted earlier, these secondaries typically come in droves when there is complacency and it could be a contrarian signal. (You can follow us on Twitter here). It’s been noted many times in the past that investors often buy the most at the top. Where were all these secondaries when the market was tanking and stocks were cheap? There was no demand; investors were too scared. Now that everyone feels ‘safe’ again, the secondaries are rolled out, the buybacks crank up, and the insiders start purchasing. So, you can’t really blame Rogers for taking a stab here even though he’s going against the current trend.

In his interview, Jim Rogers also talked about some other hot topics. He touched on the euro given the fact that European sovereign defaults have taken centerstage. Rogers notes that, "The euro will probably break up in the next 15 to 20 years. Don’t get me wrong, I own the euro. We’ve had currency unions in history. They didn’t survive. This one won’t survive either." So, he’s short-term bullish and long-term bearish on the euro.

He then shifted his focus to how potential…
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BULL VERSUS BEAR: JIM VERSUS JIM

BULL VERSUS BEAR: JIM VERSUS JIM

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

James Barty from Arrowgrass Capital Partners says investors should continue buying the dips as stocks continue climbing the wall of worry.  Meanwhile, Jim Rogers says we are on the verge of another recession.

Bull:

Bear:

Source: CNBC  


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Jim Rogers on the Tiger Woods solution

Jim Rogers on the Tiger Woods solution

Courtesy of Tim Iacono at The Mess That Greenspan Made

It’s been a while since a Jim Rogers quote graced the pages of this blog – it seems it was well worth the wait after looking at the gems offered up in this interview with CNBC today.

Gov’t Spending Is Like Tiger’s Dating: Jim Rogers

The U.S. government’s plan to increase spending as a way to kick-start the economy will leave the country with no way to help its way out of the next crisis, Jim Rogers, chairman of Jim Rogers Holdings, told CNBC Thursday.

The Treasury Department "has been putting out all of this stimulus and now they’re talking about extending the (Troubled Asset Relief Program)," Rogers said.

Geithner "is a very smart person," but "he’s been wrong about everything for the last 15 years," Rogers said.

"Why are we listening to any of those guys down there? They’re making our situation worse," he said. "They said in writing yesterday the solution to our problem is to spend more money … that’s what got us into this problem: too much debt."

"That’s like saying to Tiger Woods, ‘you get another girlfriend and it will solve your problems’ or ‘five more girlfriends and you will solve your problems,’" he said.

Rogers sees a currency crisis of some sort occurring somewhere around the world sometime in the not-too-distant future and asks how the U.S. government intends to solve future financial and economic crises if they borrow and print so much money to solve the current one, "What are they going to do, quadruple the debt again? Print more money?"

This was one of the best rhetorical questions I’ve heard all year…

 


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GURU OUTLOOK: JIM ROGERS ISN’T BUYING THE EQUITY RALLY

GURU OUTLOOK: JIM ROGERS ISN’T BUYING THE EQUITY RALLY

jim rogersCourtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

This week’s guru outlook brings you Jim Rogers.  Rogers has become infamous in recent years for his prescient calls on the global meltdown and the commodity boom, but long before that Rogers became famous for co-founding the Quantum Fund with George Soros.  Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund (see here for the Soros Guru outlook) while the S&P 500 returned just 47%.  They ran what is considered to be one of the first truly global macro hedge funds.

Rogers has an interesting outlook currently.  He has been very vocal about his inflationary outlook, but doesn’t see the liquidity driven bubbles that some other see forming.  In fact, he doesn’t see any bubbles in anything other than the U.S. treasury bond market:

“The only bubble I see forming in the Western world is in the U.S. government bond market.  Other than that I don’t see any bubbles going on.”

Rogers, a follower of Austrian economics, absolutely hates that the Fed is bailing out the banks and attempting to print us to prosperity.  He thinks the winners in this printing press environment are commodities which he believes are in the middle of a secular boom.  Paper assets and the dollar are the losers in Rogers’ scenario of money printing while real assets win.  Rogers is a huge bull on gold miners and gold:

“no new large gold mines have been opened in decades. Some of those mines are over 100-years old. They are all depleting. On the other hand, central banks have huge Gold reserves above ground — and they are less interested in selling than in the past.

If you adjust Gold for inflation and go back to its former all-time high in 1980, Gold should be over $2,000 an ounce right now if you want to say it’s reaching new inflation adjusted all-time highs. That does not mean Gold has to get back to a true all-time high. Nothing has to. However, I suspect that given all the money printing in the world, we will see much higher prices for hard assets.”

Despite his optimism regarding gold, Rogers is actually…
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JIM ROGERS: CHINA COULD COLLAPSE

JIM ROGERS: CHINA COULD COLLAPSE

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

He’s still very bullish over the long-term, but Jim Rogers is concerned that the Chinese market has run up too far too fast:

 

 


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Is George Soros Long or Wrong on the Global Rebound?

Is George Soros Long or Wrong on the Global Rebound?

George SorosCourtesy of Keith Fitz-Gerald
Investment Director, Money Morning

Billionaire investor George Soros thinks the worst of the global financial crisis is behind us.

In a June 20 interview with Polish television, the Hungarian-born Soros acknowledged that this has been the most serious crisis he’s seen in his lifetime, but said, "Definitely, the worst is behind us."

For those that like to interpret "Soros-speak," that’s as powerful a sign as any that one of the world’s most successful investors is "going long."

But is he wrong?

On one hand, the World Bank is busy roiling the markets with recently updated figures that project a 2.9% decline in global economic activity this year. Then there are the signs that the "green shoots" (how I’ve come to detest that term) may be more like weeds. Debt is devastating the developed world and the once-mighty G-7 looks more like a G-1 every day.

On the other hand, I wouldn’t bet against him. When it comes to financial influence and acumen, Soros is about as powerful and prescient as they come. He’s made billions over the years speculating on things that others simply couldn’t see or, more often, didn’t want to believe. He’s as iconic as he is legendary for making big bets on market timing even if, by his own admission, he’s not always right.

For the millions of investors who are tempted to interpret Soros’s comments as bullish, that admission forces me to urge caution. In fact, my advice to proceed with caution extends to any comments that might be made by such other investment legends as Warren Buffett, or even Soros’ former investment partner, noted author and commentator Jim Rogers.

I preach caution for three reasons:

  • Despite the fact that each of these men is fabulously successful, the typical retail investor has no idea how much money they’re betting on the upside, or what percentage of their wealth is involved in any publicized position.
  • It’s not clear what – if any – protective stops are being used so you don’t know whether the positions they’ve taken represent core portfolio holdings or speculative trades.
  • These revelations – disclosures – are usually made after the fact, which means that investors who may want to tag along for


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Phil's Favorites

What if GDP falls more than the stock market?

 

What if GDP falls more than the stock market?

Courtesy of 

In the last recession, GDP contracted by less than 5%, but the stock market fell 57% from peak to trough. Stocks reacted to economic conditions in a way the “real” economy did not.

In our present situation, Wall Street strategists are predicting a second quarter contraction for the economy of up to 30% (annualized), which the drop in stock prices have already achieved.

Michael and Ben sort out some important distinctions between the stock market’s historic reaction to recessions and the recessions themselves…

  ...



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Zero Hedge

Trump Says "No Quarantine Necessary" For NY, NJ And CT As US Death Toll Tops 2,000: Live Updates

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Summary:

  • Global case total tops 600k
  • Global COVID-19 death toll tops 30k
  • US death toll tops 2k
  • After Trump earlier said he was weighing enforceable quarantine order for all the tri-state area, late on Sunday he said that "on the recommendation of the White House CoronaVirus Task Force, and upon consultation with the Governor’s of New York, New Jersey and Connecticut" he would not be imposing a quarantine. ...


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Biotech/COVID-19

The world before this coronavirus and after cannot be the same

 

The world before this coronavirus and after cannot be the same

Gettyimages

Courtesy of Ian Goldin, University of Oxford and Robert Muggah, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio)

With COVID-19 infections now evident in 176 countries, the pandemic is the most significant threat to humanity since the second world war. Then, as now, confidence in international cooperation and institutions plumbed new lows.

While the on...



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Digital Currencies

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

 

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

Get used to it. Anastasiia Bakai

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

Anyone holding bitcoin would have watched the market with alarm in recent weeks. The virtual currency, whose price other cryptocurrencies like ethereum and litecoin largely follow, plummeted from more than US$10,000 (£8,206) in mid-February to briefly below US$4,000 on March 13. Despite recovering to the mid-US$6,000s at the time of writin...



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Insider Scoop

'Psyched': Hawaii Considers Resolution For Shrooms, Champignon Eyes Ketamine Products

Courtesy of Benzinga

Psyched is a bi-monthly column covering the most important developments in the industry of medicinal psychedelics. We hope you follow us periodically as we report on the growth of this exciting new industry.

Champignon Brands Buys IP Company and Adds Ketamine and New Formulations To Its Portfolio

On March 19, Champignon Brands Inc. (CSE: SHRM) (OTC: SHRMF), a Canadian healt...



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The Technical Traders

These Index Charts Will Calm You Down

Courtesy of Technical Traders

I put together this video that will calm you down, because knowing where are within the stock market cycles, and the economy makes all the difference.

This is the worst time to be starting a business that’s for sure. I have talked about this is past videos and events I attended that bear markets are fantastic opportunities if you can retain your capital until late in the bear market cycle. If you can do this, you will find countless opportunities to invest money. From buying businesses, franchises, real estate, equipment, and stocks at a considerable discount that would make today’s prices look ridiculous (which they are).

Take a quick watch of this video because it shows you ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Broadest Of All Stock Indices Testing Critical Support, Says Joe Friday!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

One of the broadest indices in the states remains in a long-term bullish trend, where a critical support test is in play.

The chart looks at the Wilshire 5000 on a monthly basis over the past 35-years.

The index has spent the majority of the past three decades inside of rising channel (1). It hit the top of this multi-decade channel to start off the year, where it created a monthly bearish reversal pattern.

Weakness the past 2-months has the index testing rising support and the December 2018 lows at (2).

Joe...



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Chart School

Cycle Trading - Funny when it comes due

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Non believers of cycles become fast believers when the heat of the moment is upon them.

Just has we have birthdays, so does the market, regular cycles of time and price. The market news of the cycle turn may change each time, but the time is regular. Markets are not a random walk.


Success comes from strategy and the execution of a plan.















Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch an...

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Members' Corner

Bloody Mob Sh*t: An Interview with Lincoln's Bible

 

Bloody Mob Sh*t: An Interview with Lincoln's Bible

We talk Trump, Mogilevich, Epstein, Giuliani, Fred Trump, Roy Cohn, and more.

Courtesy of Greg Olear at PREVAIL, author of Dirty Rubles: An Introduction to Trump/Russia

(Originally published on Feb. 21, 20.)

...

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ValueWalk

Entrepreneurial activity and business ownership on the rise

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Indicating strong health of entrepreneurship, both entrepreneurial activity and established business ownership in the United States have trended upwards over the past 19 years, according to the 2019/2020 Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Global Report, released March 3rd in Miami at the GEM Annual Meeting.

Q4 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

The Benefit Of Entrepreneurial Activity ...

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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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