Posts Tagged ‘Sabrient’

15 COMPANIES WITH NO DEBT

For fun, I’ve taken Pragcap’s list of 15 companies with no debt and reproduced tables of Sabrient’s stock reports on these companies for further research. Click on the stock tickers in the tables for the pdf files. – Ilene 

15 COMPANIES WITH NO DEBT

Courtesy of The Pragmatic Capitalist

In these times of high debt and deleveraging it’s unusual to come across companies that aren’t in over their head. CNBC recently ran a piece listing some of the largest firms in the world who have immaculate balance sheets – NO DEBT. The list follows:

1. Novell (NOVL)

2. Expeditors International (EXPD)

3. Autodesk (ADSK)

4. Cognizant Tech (CTSH)

5. Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY)

6. Electronic Arts (ERTS)

7. Broadcom (BRCM)

8. Juniper Networks (JNPR)

9. GAP Inc. (GPS)

10. Texas Instruments (TXN)

11. Celgene (CELG)

12. Forest Labs (FRX)

13. eBay (EBAY)

14. Apple (AAPL)

15. Google (GOOG) 

Sabrient’s Ratings Reports

Ratings Report
SABRIENT SCORES
ADSK HOLD 25.54 Large-Cap 22 37 33
BBBY STRONGBUY 36.74 Large-Cap 71 94 45
BRCM BUY 37.16 Large-Cap 23 74 94
CTSH BUY 53.85 Large-Cap 6 86 86
ERTS HOLD 15.09 Mid-Cap 24 50 19
EXPD HOLD 39.28 Large-Cap 8 40 67
GPS BUY 18.29 Large-Cap 89 64 16
JNPR HOLD 26.6 Large-Cap 32 59 29
NOVL HOLD 6.17 Mid-Cap 0 31 84
TXN HOLD 25.55 Large-Cap 57 90 91

 

Ratings Report
SABRIENT SCORES
AAPL STRONGBUY 245.58 Large-Cap 29 100 78
CELG STRONGBUY 52.6 Large-Cap 49 99 38
EBAY HOLD 20.4 Large-Cap 54 64 31
FRX STRONGBUY 28.32 Large-Cap 55 50 45
GOOG STRONGBUY 466.18 Large-Cap 56 91 43

 


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DARK HORSE HEDGE UPDATE

DARK HORSE HEDGE UPDATE 

Black and white tilted view of horse grazing in meadow with wooden fence in foreground

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene of PSW

You can run, you can run, tell my friend-boy, Willie Brown.
You can run, tell my friend-boy, Willie Brown.
Lord, that I’m standin’ at the crossroad, babe,
I believe I’m sinking down.

- Crossroads, Robert Johnson

Heading into Friday July 23, 2010 the market is again at a technical crossroad with the SPX closing Thursday at 1093.7, above the 50-day Moving Average of 1085.5. The MACD 12-26-9 remains close but still under the (zero) signal line at -1.13, with the RSI 14-day at 45.26.  There is lateral resistance at the 1096 level from the close last Thursday showing how the market has traveled a long way the past week to get nowhere.

Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) fell short of analysts’ forecasts after Thursday’s close and was down 14% in after-hours trading, suggesting that the market may follow the pattern it has been in most of the summer.

Up 200, down 200, up 200, down 200 - wash out your savings, rinse and repeat!  What a total sham of a market we have these days with machines running us up and down on virtually no news at all.  Yesterday they would have you believe that Ben Bernanke caused a sell-off. How ridiculous is that?  He didn’t say one thing that he didn’t already say in the Fed Minutes that were released on the 14th, which were the notes from the meeting of June 23rd so for analysts to get on TV and say “the markets were concerned by the Chairman’s comments” is beyond stupid – it’s criminal negligence.  Phil’s Thrill-Ride Thursday.


[chart from freestockchart.com]

Thursday’s economic releases were less than encouraging with a jump in the number of people seeking unemployment benefits. Sales of previously owned homes fell, but the market shrugged it off as seasonal and rallied on the earnings of Caterpillar Inc., UPS Inc., and others that beat estimates. However, the SPX hasn’t been able to break through resistance at 1096 and essentially has gone nowhere since last Thursday.…
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DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE 7-18-10

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene of PSW

Friday gave us a real-time example of why we use Hysteresis* and confirmations from our technical signals, MACD 12-26-9 and RSI 14-day, to select and monitor the tilt (long-short ratio) of the Dark Horse Hedge’s portfolio.  

The SHORT tilt Friday allowed us to make +1.37% from our 6 SHORT, 3 LONG positions while the S&P 500 gave back -2.88%.  The economic data out Friday of course played a large roll in the failure of our indicators to turn from short to BALANCED.  A sharp decline in the University of Michigan Consumer Index to 65 in July compared poorly with a June figure of 76 and Briefing.com’s estimate of 74.5.  Google’s earnings miss didn’t help either as the S&P 500 fell through its short-term support area to close at 1064.88.  The MACD reading is currently at -3.56 and RSI 14-day at 42.85 (bullish signal is above 50).  The preponderance of evidence heading into the July 19 week is that the market needs to find support in the 1040 range.  

Despite the poor economic data that pushed the market lower on Friday, 19 of 23 S&P 500 companies reporting thus far reported better than projected EPS, and 15 of them beat revenues as well.

Earnings reports will continue to flow in this week.  In our portfolio Western Digital Corp (WDC, long position) reports profits on Tuesday while USG Corp (USG, short position) and Sun Trust Banks Inc (STI, short position) report their losses on July 22.  We will continue to monitor the market action and look for guidance on entering new positions. Key support areas appear to be 1040, 1022 and then 995.

Dark Horse Hedge maintains 10% cash for swing trade opportunities and we are highlighting one for entry on Monday at the Open.

SHORT Terex Corp. (TEX) at the Open Monday.  

TEX will report its latest loss figures on Tuesday, July 21. Twenty analysts project losses ranging from -$.15 to -$.44 with an average of -$.30.  Looking back over the last four quarterly announcements, we see analysts often underestimate Terex’s losses.  For example, in March 2010, analysts estimated -$.52 while the actual loss was $.64. In December 2009, analysts targeted -$.49 and TEX delivered -$.89.  In September 2009, the loss was projected to be $.34 and the company came in at -$.77.  In June 2009, investors were…
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Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio

TEX is a regular on the Dark Horse Hedge list of short candidates too…

Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio

July 15, 2010 -  Sell Short TEX 

The market is starting to feel very toppy and tentative. The Philly Fed disappointed this morning, and the market reacted poorly right away. With the risk more pronounced to the downside, and the market fighting resistance levels, I’m going to add another short position. 

Terex Corp is an equipment manufacturer serving the construction, infrastructure, transportation, power and energy industries.  It carries a STRONG SELL rating in the Sabrient Ratings Algorithm, and dismal Company Outlook Score of 2 and Value score of 24.

I am adding it as a Short position to the Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio at a price of $18.58.

I’ll keep a tight mental stop of a closing price above Tuesday’s closing high around $19.10. This play should not move against us at all, so if it does, we’ll exit quickly.

Best Regards,  


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THE DARK HORSE HEDGE 7/13/10

THE DARK HORSE HEDGE

Silhouette of Horses Jumping a Steeplchase

By Scott Brown of Sabrient and Ilene of PSW

I’ve been down on the bottom of the world full of lies
I ain’t lookin’ for nothin’ in anyone’s eyes
Sometimes my burden is more than I can bear
It’s not dark yet but it’s gettin’ there.
[Bob Dylan]

Seeing no compelling reason to be more bullish on this uninspiring market, we are maintaining our 67% short tilt (weighing) with three new positions to enter today.

For reference, we started this virtual portfolio with $100,000 in cash and we allocated $90,000 for intermediate to long-term positions, and $10,000 for occasional swing trading positions.  To date, we are short four stocks and long two. Today, we are going to add two more short positions and one more long position.  

We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking stocks.  This method enables us to achieve greater Alpha (return over market return) and Sharpe Ratios, while maintaining a near zero Beta for Absolute Return. 

Because we are working towards 12 long and 12 short positions, and starting with $90,000 to invest in this strategy, we allocate $7,500 for each long and short position (90,000/12 = $7,500).  (The extra cash generated by short positions is not counted in this calculation.)  

Apartment Investment and Management Co. (AIV)
SHORT AIV at the open on 7/13/10

Apartment Investment and Management Co. is rated a STRONG SELL by Sabrient and is ranked #5 at the bottom of the VCU strategy.  AIV scores poorly in VALUE score of 6.4 out of a possible 100 which is a measure of the relationship between a company’s stock price and its intrinsic value.  Additionally, AIV scores below industry averages in both BALANCE SHEET score of 29.8 versus the industry average of 37.3 (possible range is 0 to 100) and FUNDAMENTAL SCORE of 12 compared with an industry average of 37.3 (possible range of


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THE DARK HORSE HEDGE

THE DARK HORSE HEDGE

Silhouette of Horses Jumping a Steeplchase

By Scott Brown of Sabrient and Ilene of PSW

I’ve been down on the bottom of the world full of lies
I ain’t lookin’ for nothin’ in anyone’s eyes
Sometimes my burden is more than I can bear
It’s not dark yet but it’s gettin’ there.
[Bob Dylan]

Seeing no compelling reason to be more bullish on this uninspiring market, we are maintaining our 67% short tilt (weighing) with three new positions to enter this morning.

For reference, we started this virtual portfolio with $100,000 in cash and we allocated $90,000 for intermediate to long-term positions, and $10,000 for occasional swing trading positions.  To date, we are short four stocks and long two. Today, we are going to add two more short positions and one more long position.  

We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking stocks.  This method enables us to achieve greater Alpha (return over market return) and Sharpe Ratios, while maintaining a near zero Beta for Absolute Return. 

Because we are working towards 12 long and 12 short positions, and starting with $90,000 to invest in this strategy, we allocate $7,500 for each long and short position (90,000/12 = $7,500).  (The extra cash generated by short positions is not counted in this calculation.)  

Apartment Investment and Management Co. (AIV)
SHORT AIV at the open on 7/13/10

Apartment Investment and Management Co. is rated a STRONG SELL by Sabrient and is ranked #5 at the bottom of the VCU strategy.  AIV scores poorly in VALUE score of 6.4 out of a possible 100 which is a measure of the relationship between a company’s stock price and its intrinsic value.  Additionally, AIV scores below industry averages in both BALANCE SHEET score of 29.8 versus the industry average of 37.3 (possible range is 0 to 100) and FUNDAMENTAL SCORE of 12 compared with an industry average of 37.3 (possible range


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Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio

Sabrient’s Scott Martindale is shorting CCI.  PSW has been been posting email notifications when Scott adds, decreases or closes a position.  For a free trial – to get SSOP’s actions directly – click here and sign up. The Dark Horse Hedge Virtual Portfolio is free and can be followed here and in the Sabrient section at PSW. - Ilene 

Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio

Sell Short CCI

 

The market is hugging the flat line today, awaiting a week chock full of economic reports, earnings announcements, and options expiration activity. The small caps are underperforming pretty strongly today.

 

With the risk more pronounced to the downside after last week’s short-covering rally, and the markets staring at resistance from the descending triangle (shown in my Week Ahead message earlier today), I’m looking to add another short position.

 

Crown Castle International owns, operates, and leases towers for wireless communications.  It carries a STRONG SELL rating in the Sabrient Ratings Algorithm, a dismal Company Outlook Score of 1 and Value score of less than 1.

 

I am adding it as a Short position to the Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio at a price of $37.46.

 

I’ll keep a mental stop of a closing price above Friday’s high around $38.90.

 

Also, regarding short position HST, I’m continuing to watch it closely but taking no action on it today.

  

Best Regards,

  

Scott Martindale

 


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DARK HORSE HEDGE 7/11/10

DARK HORSE HEDGE 7/11/10

Steeplechase

By Scott Brown of Sabrient, with Ilene of Phil’s Stock World 

A holiday-shortened week combined with little news provided the backdrop for a light volume positive week with the major indexes posting 5% gains.  Earnings season begins Monday July 12, starting off with Alcoa Inc. and followed by dozens of other companies.  The S&P is bumping up against several technical resistance lines.  After falling over 13% since the April highs, last week’s recovery pushed the SPX to 1077. 

On the chart below, our trend line drawn through the April highs and June rebound-highs indicates that the SPX is right at trend-line resistance.  The 50-day Moving Average also looms just above as another possible resistance area. 

[Chart by Free Stock Charts]

The 14-day RSI at 42.4 remains below a more bullish 50, and the 12-26-9 MACD at -13.6 remains shy of a bullish signal line at zero.  Factoring in the lack of volume in last week’s 5% rebound (and possible lack of conviction), the chart-evidence leads us to believe that the market isn’t ready to continue the uptrend in the short-term.  Notice all four positive days last week had volume below the 50-day Moving Average. Greater declining volume on Thursday and Friday isn’t particularly encouraging.

Analysts are projecting that second-quarter earnings of S&P 500 companies rose 42 percent, according to S&Ps Silverblatt.  Investors will again be watching the earnings and revenue figures along with guidance as concerns over a double-dip recession remain.  The Dark Horse Hedge maintains a SHORT tilt in our Long/Short approach to achieving higher Alpha (return over benchmark return) and Sharpe Ratios (return for each unit of risk taken) with a low Beta (correlation to market move and direction--i.e. we’re striving for less correlation to market movement).  

We will be watching the trend lines and technical signals this week to add new posititons.  If the market struggles and can’t penetrate the trend line, we will likely recommend adding 2 SHORTS and 1 LONG position.  In contrast, if the market reacts well to early earnings announcements and can break through the trend line, it is likely that the RSI and MACD will confirm a move through the 50-day Moving Average and provide reason to go to a BALANCED position by adding 2 LONGS.

We are continuing to hold our previously entered (July 1, 2010) short and long positions:…
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The Dark Horse Hedge

The Dark Horse Hedge

By Scott Brown at Sabrient, and Ilene, at Phil’s Stock World

Silhouette of Horses Jumping a Steeplchase

Scott Brown, Managing Director – Retail Division at Sabrient, is launching a newsletter with Phil’s Stock World based on the highly successful and popular Investors’ (H)Edge product.  The Dark Horse Hedge newsletter is a Long/Short retail portfolio taking advantage of technical market trends to tilt the balance of LONG vs. SHORT in bearish, bullish or range bound markets for added Alpha (the measure of return on a risk adjusted basis).  Long and short equity positions taken in The Dark Horse Hedge portfolio will be chosen using to Sabrient’s rating system, which is primarily based on fundamental criteria. Because the stock positions will generally be held for intermediate to long periods, these positions are ideal for using with option strategies taught by Phil Davis, of Phil’s Stock World.

The Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) newsletter will follow a number of guidelines in an attempt to minimize systemic risk, or “Beta.” Beta is a measure of the volatility of a portfolio in comparison to the market as a whole.  To keep beta low, the DHH portfolio will have both long and short positions.  Consequently, dramatic moves in the market will always be in the direction of at least part of the portfolio.

Using Sabrient’s rating system, we will focus on being long high quality stocks, and short low quality stocks.  Long positions should fare better than average during market selloffs.  In contrast, the short positions, selected from the lowest ranking stocks, should perform well during selloffs. These stocks are also expected to underperform higher quality names in a stronger market.  This strategy is designed to balance the goal of attaining Alpha with the desire to keep Beta relatively low.

We will follow this list of guidelines in building the DHH portfolio.

1.  When fully invested, the Portfolio will have 24 positions.  However the portfolio may not be fully invested.

2.  Tilting (or weighing) of the portfolio will be based on the position of the SPX relative to its 50 and 200 day Moving Averages

  • If the SPX is below both its 50


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Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio

Sample one of Sabrient’s premium products, Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio.

Courtesy of Sabrient

 

This Sabrient Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio is a high-performance, proprietary product for sophisticated active traders, active virtual portfolio managers or hedge fund managers. Our Lead Trader publishes a weekly fundamentals-based,quantitative Watch List of the top Long and Short candidates. Then he overlays a technical entry/exit trigger on top of this Watch List. Each day, he identifies those stocks that have triggered their planned technical entry or exit signals, and sends an alert to the client for appropriate action.


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Kimble Charting Solutions

DAX Index Hits Two 18-Year Support Lines, Creates Large Bullish Reversal

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Has the DAX index from Germany experience a large decline of late? Yes, it has!

Has the decline broken long-term rising support lines? Not so far!

This chart looks at the DAX index on a monthly basis over the past 25-years. Over the past 6-years, it has traded sideways inside of the blue rectangle at (1).

The decline this year saw the DAX hit two 18-year rising support lines at (2) last month, where a large bullish reversal took place.

Until broken, important support remains in play at (2), which is bullish for this key index....



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Zero Hedge

Aaand Its Gone... The Biggest Support For Asset Prices

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

Since the passage of “tax cuts,” in late 2017, the surge in corporate share buybacks has become a point of much debate. I previously wrote that stock buybacks were setting records over the past couple of years. Jeffery Marc...



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Phil's Favorites

Here's how scientists are tracking the genetic evolution of COVID-19

 

Here's how scientists are tracking the genetic evolution of COVID-19

Why do scientists care about mutations on the coronavirus? Alexandr Gnezdilov Light Painting

Niema Moshiri, University of California San Diego

When you hear the term “evolutionary tree,” you may think of Charles Darwin and the study of the relationships between different species over the span of millions of years.

While the concept of an “evolutionary tree” originated in Darwin’s “...



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Biotech/COVID-19

Here's how scientists are tracking the genetic evolution of COVID-19

 

Here's how scientists are tracking the genetic evolution of COVID-19

Why do scientists care about mutations on the coronavirus? Alexandr Gnezdilov Light Painting

Niema Moshiri, University of California San Diego

When you hear the term “evolutionary tree,” you may think of Charles Darwin and the study of the relationships between different species over the span of millions of years.

While the concept of an “evolutionary tree” originated in Darwin’s “...



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ValueWalk

Activists demand revamp of anti-redlining law

By Anna Peel. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Over 100 California Community Organizations and Leaders Call for Banking Regulators to Stop Planned Revamp of Anti-Redlining Law during COVID19 Crisis

Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Worker, Housing, and Small Business advocates call on all resources to be dedicated to saving lives and responding to Coronavirus

San Francisco--Amongst an unprecedented public health crisis that threatens hundreds of thousands of lives, as small businesses are shuttered across California and the nation, and as millions file for...



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Chart School

The Big Short movie guides us to what is next for the stock market

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

There is nothing new in WallStreet, it is only the players that change. Sometimes a market player or an event gets ahead of the crowd and WallStreet has to play catch up.

Previous Post Dow 2020 Crash Watch Dow, Three strikes and your out!

It is important to understand major WallStreet players do not want to miss out on a money making moves.  







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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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The Technical Traders

Founder of TradersWorld Magazine Issued Special Report for Free

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Larry Jacobs owner and editor of TradersWorld magazine published a free special report with his top article and market forecast to his readers yesterday.

What is really exciting is that this forecast for all assets has played out exactly as expected from the stock market crash within his time window to the gold rally, and sharp sell-off. These forecasts have just gotten started the recent moves were only the first part of his price forecasts.

There is only one article in this special supplement, click on the image or link below to download and read it today!

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Members' Corner

10 ways to spot online misinformation

 

10 ways to spot online misinformation

When you share information online, do it responsibly. Sitthiphong/Getty Images

Courtesy of H. Colleen Sinclair, Mississippi State University

Propagandists are already working to sow disinformation and social discord in the run-up to the November elections.

Many of their efforts have focused on social media, where people’s limited attention spans push them to ...



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Digital Currencies

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

 

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

Get used to it. Anastasiia Bakai

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

Anyone holding bitcoin would have watched the market with alarm in recent weeks. The virtual currency, whose price other cryptocurrencies like ethereum and litecoin largely follow, plummeted from more than US$10,000 (£8,206) in mid-February to briefly below US$4,000 on March 13. Despite recovering to the mid-US$6,000s at the time of writin...



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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

...

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.