Posts Tagged ‘Sabrient’

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Take It On The Run

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Take It On The Run

By Scott at Sabrient and Dark Horse Hedge, and Ilene at PSW and Dark Horse Hedge

Man sitting on window sill using telephone, smiling, side view

Heard it from a friend who, heard it from a friend who
Heard it from another you been messin’ around

They’re talkin’ about you and it’s bringin’ me down

But I know the neighborhood
And talk is cheap when the story is good
And the tales grow taller on down the line
But I’m telling you, babe, that I don’t think it’s true, babe
And even if it is keep this in mind

Take it on the Run – REO SPEEDWAGON 

That was fast.  We’re going to smile and take it on the run, for another 9% in 3 days on our HUSA short. 

BUY TO COVER HUSA short at the market, Thursday, September 16, 2010.  

And to quote the Terminator “I’ll be back.”     

Take it on the Run – REO SPEEDWAGON 


Tags: , , ,




How to Buy Quality Stocks for a 10%-20% Discount & Get $500

Scott Brown at Sabrient has set up a deal with OptionsXpress for those who want to subscribe to PSW and/or Sabrient, and open an account at OptionsXpress.  Here’s the OptionsXpress deal, first with Sabrient. The same deal is available for new and renewing Phil’s Stock World subscribers. (Keep reading below.) - Ilene  

How to Make Money in Stocks and Still Sleep Well at Night …  and Get $500! 

In this wild and crazy market of 2010 the Sabrient Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is UP +6.74% YTD while the S&P 500 is DOWN -0.91%!   The Sabrient Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is a balanced long/short virtual portfolio which aims protects our subscribers in ALL markets. 

How? 

Based on Sabrient’s highly predictive Company Outlook Rank, we can identify the fundamentally strongest stocks with the best valuations and the most upside potential, as well as the fundamentally weakest stocks that should lag no matter what the market does. The resulting long/short virtual portfolio lets you capture the performance spread between the longs & shorts.  

A balanced long/short virtual portfolio like Sabrient’s Investor’s (H)Edge is a great approach to a volatile, unpredictable market.  Every Thursday, David Brown reviews one long and one short, and either renews or replaces the stocks, depending on their current rankings and fundamentals.  Take a look at the latest selections HERE - And click the 2009 Virtual Portfolio link on that page to see all the trades from last year. 

Our backtested, forward-tested and time-tested strategies have averaged +34.1% per year since 2000, providing safety in the 2008 meltdown and on virtually every down-market day in the past two years. The Investors’ (H)edge virtual portfolio has a beta of .25, an alpha of 28.6% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.36, and is designed to profit from both up and down market moves. 


The Sabrient Platinum Subscription:

Investor’s (H)Edge Virtual Portfolio is part of our Platinum Subscription, which also includes: 

• The Select Opportunity Virtual Portfolio, a long/short virtual portfolio for active traders, which is averaging 3.5% per stock trade, with an average holding time in each trade of 16 days. 

• MyStockFinder, a powerful stock search program for finding stocks that match your particular investing requirements, such as stocks with high insider buying or recent analyst upgrades; stocks with high growth rates or strong dividend yields. 

• The Sabrient Ratings Reports that let you see at a glance how Sabrient rates a stock, any stock…
continue reading


Tags: , ,




DARK HORSE HEDGE – Any way the wind blows, doesn’t really matter

Housing-keeping note: Thanks to WordPress’s destruction of Phil’s Favorites site (and replacement with an invite to sign up for its service!), I’ve been relocating my blog to TypePad.  Benefits: it looks better, is very user friendly and offers an easy way to search archives for any topic. One unique feature is that while exploring the internet, I can simply click on a button to post an excerpt of an interesting article with a link to the full article. That ability allows me to post links to articles that are worth reading when I do not have reprinting permission, such as articles from major news sources. 

The new Favorites site is here.  I’ve also created a website for Dark Horse Hedge, here.  - Ilene 

DARK HORSE HEDGE – Any Way the Wind Blows, Doesn’t Really Matter

By Scott Brown at Sabrient & Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Is this the real life? 
Is this just fantasy? 
Caught in a landslide 
No escape from reality 
Open your eyes 
Look up to the skies and see 
I’m just a poor boy (Poor boy) 
I need no sympathy 
Because I’m easy come, easy go 
Little high, little low 
Any way the wind blows 
Doesn’t really matter to me, to me

Queen, Bohemian Rhapsody

 *****

Ilene and I started the Dark Horse Hedge on July 1, 2010 with the goal of helping self-directed investors weather any storm, no matter which way the wind was blowing.  Today completes the second month of publishing the Dark Horse Hedge and we thought it would be a good time to review.  

 

September 1976:  British rock group Queen at Les Ambassadeurs, where they were presented with silver, gold and platinum discs for sales in excess of one million of their hit single 'Bohemian Rhapsody'. The band are, from left to right, John Deacon, Freddie Mercury (Frederick Bulsara, 1946 - 1991), Roger Taylor and Brian May.  (Photo by Keystone/Getty Images)

The
continue reading


Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,




Phil’s Favorites New Blog

WordPress, without notice or warning, deactivated the "Phil’s Favorites" blog. I’m unable to reach anyone that might help me get the blog back. So, having little hope early on, I’ve been recreating my TypePad blog and importing Favorites files onto that site. I also created a sister blog for Dark Horse Hedge, the virtual portfolio Scott (at Sabrient) and I are managing using Sabrient’s research and Phil’s buy/write strategy.

Here’s a link to the new Phil’s Favorites:  http://ilene.typepad.com/ourfavorites/  

Here’s Dark Horse Hedge’s new website: http://ilene.typepad.com/dark_horse_hedge/

I’m not finished retrieving all the archives for the Favorites and DHH, as it’s been an amazing amount of work, but I like the appearance of these blogs better and they seem easier to manage. For example, category links on the right site of the page were set up automatically and clicking on a subject brings up posts that have been automatically selected for that category. 

*****People shaking hands in antique shop

For anyone interested, Scott arranged an offer from OptionsXpress to fund new OptionsXpress accounts with $500 for those either trying out a Phil’s Stock World subscription and/or a Sabrient premium subscription.

Click here for details for Phil’s Stock World and here for Sabrient. 

Ilene 

p.s. Rev Todd created a new blog for his work, and fortunately it’s a TypePad blog also, here’s the url:  http://bloomingcactus.typepad.com/revtodds_ira_plot/


Tags: , , , , , ,




MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

Here’s the latest from Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alerts: no new positions, summary of open positions, and closing out of EAT long. Sign up for a free trial here. - Ilene  

MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts  

Signals generated at end-of-day 8/11/2010 for the open on Thursday, August 12, 2010:

No long entry signals today

Exit long:  EAT  

No short entry signals today

No short exit (cover) signals today

Open trade summary:

   Long FPIC since 7/28/2010, profit: $ -524
   Long ALV since 7/28/2010, profit: $ -331
   Long EAT since 7/26/2010, profit: $ -425
   Short BMTI since 7/14/2010, profit: $ 870

End of report for Wednesday, August 11, 2010

For background on Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alerts, read: The Winners of the Sabrient Technical Challenge Are . . .


Tags: , ,




DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE Weekend Catch-Up 

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Hedging into the week of August 2nd, the Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) is in a BALANCED tilt (long to short ratio) with 8 LONG and 8 SHORT positions. We used Phil’s BUY/WRITE strategy to enter two of our LONG positions (IM and GCI) at a 10-20% discount to the market.  As you can see from the chart, the SPX wandered between the 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) all week before whimpering towards the bottom of the channel Thursday and Friday. The 12-26-9 MACD which is the faster of the 2 technical direction signals we follow has flat-lined at just above +6 and the slower RSI 14-day still remains just below 50.

Without some impressive economic reports coming this week or much better than expected earnings reports, we believe the market will drift down towards and test the 50 day MA. If a bullish tone sets back in, it is doubtful that it could easily push through the 200 day MA.  Resistance points as well as the 50 and 200 day MAs all which fit into a fairly narrow trading channel.

[chart from FreeStockCharts.com]

We are happy with the positions we put on in DHH’s first 30 days of existence and we look forward to capturing more profit as the companies report earnings this week.  We will continue to take profits "after the news" and rotate into newer, fresher positions while keeping an eye on the overall market to adjust our tilt for maximum Alpha,* which is why we write and read DHH. 

Summary of DHH positions in the virtual portfolio

LONG: XRTX, WDC, GCI, IM, DLX, GME, FRZ, and TEO  

SHORT: AIV, STI, HUSA, USG, CLDA, TEX, RAIL, and JOE 

Read previous DHH actions and follow our latest virtual portfolio moves here. > 

*We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking stocks.
continue reading


Tags: , ,




DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE Weekend Catch-Up 

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene at Phil’s Stock World

Hedging into the week of August 2nd, the Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) is in a BALANCED tilt (long to short ratio) with 8 LONG and 8 SHORT positions. We used Phil’s BUY/WRITE strategy to enter two of our LONG positions (IM and GCI) at a 10-20% discount to the market.  As you can see from the chart, the SPX wandered between the 50 and 200 day moving averages (MAs) all week before whimpering towards the bottom of the channel Thursday and Friday. The 12-26-9 MACD which is the faster of the 2 technical direction signals we follow has flat-lined at just above +6 and the slower RSI 14-day still remains just below 50.

Without some impressive economic reports coming this week or much better than expected earnings reports, we believe the market will drift down towards and test the 50 day MA. If a bullish tone sets back in, it is doubtful that it could easily push through the 200 day MA.  Resistance points as well as the 50 and 200 day MAs all which fit into a fairly narrow trading channel.

[chart from FreeStockCharts.com]

We are happy with the positions we put on in DHH’s first 30 days of existence and we look forward to capturing more profit as the companies report earnings this week.  We will continue to take profits "after the news" and rotate into newer, fresher positions while keeping an eye on the overall market to adjust our tilt for maximum Alpha*, which is why we all write and read DHH. 

Summary of DHH positions in the virtual portfolio

LONG: XRTX, WDC, GCI, IM, DLX, GME, FRZ, and TEO  

SHORT: AIV, STI, HUSA, USG, CLDA, TEX, RAIL, and JOE 
 
Read previous DHH actions and follow our latest portfolio moves here. > 
 
*We are aiming to be hedged in our market exposure by being long stocks with the greatest potential to rise and short stocks with the greatest potential to decline.  To identify these winner and loser stocks, we use Sabrient’s Value Change Up (VCU) assessment system. Sabrient’s VCU system is a multi-factor quantitative ranking system that scores over 2,000 stocks and allows us to enter LONG positions in the best ranking stocks and SHORT positions in worst ranking


continue reading


Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,




Sabrient Investor’s (H)edge

sabrient


Tags: ,




DARK HORSE HEDGE – After the BOOM!

DARK HORSE HEDGE – After the BOOM! 

Add Clinical Data, Inc. (CLDA) SHORT at the market, 7/30/10

Silhouette of Horses Jumping a Steeplchase

Clinical Data, Inc. operates as a global biotechnology company developing early and late stage targeted therapeutics, as well as genetic and pharmacogenomic tests that detect serious diseases and help predict drug safety, tolerability, and efficacy.

After taking profits on earnings sell-offs from AMAG and BOOM, we are adding Clinical Data, Inc. (CLDA) as the 8th SHORT in our currently BALANCED tilt.  CLDA is rated a STRONGSELL by Sabrient with a BALANCE SHEET score barely registering at 1.1 (out of 100) and almost non-existent FUNDAMENTALS score of 0.3 (out of 100).  These rosy figures combine with five analysts forecasting a second quarter loss of -$.63. That is coming off a mind-numbing first quarter loss of -$1.44 per share, compared with expectations for only losing -$.63.  These negatives provide us with a heavy dose of “preponderance of evidence” to believe CLDA is a reasonable SHORT at the market, Friday July 30, 2010.    

***** 

EARNINGS UPDATE: Ingram Micro (IM)

 

Ingram Micro (IM): LONG with Phil’s Buy/Write strategy in DHH virtual portfolio

As expected in our July 26, 2010 post, IM posted better than expected results and higher revenues after the market closed on Thursday.  Analysts had been forecasting a profit of +$.37 per share and revenue of $7.9B, but IM delivered a healthy +$.44 per share and revenue of $8.2B.  "Every region performed well, with our two largest regions doubling and tripling operating profits on double-digit sales growth," Ingram Micro Chief Executive Gregory Spierkel said in a statement.  That is the type of BOOM! (see BOOM! article this morning) statement we like to hear from our long stocks. 

We feel very comfortable with the position we put on using Phil’s Buy/Write Strategy. IM is trading +1.67% today at $16.44.  Recall that we took in $2.50 in option premium on Monday by selling the December 2010 $17.50 calls and puts.  On Monday, we wrote

Add LONG Ingram Micro (IM) at the market Monday July 26.

We like IM leading into its earnings announcement on July 29, 2010.  The 10 analysts covering


continue reading


Tags: , , , , ,




MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

Here’s the latest from the Mesa-Sabrient Trading Alert Service which is entering four new long positions tomorrow. Sign up for a free trial here. – Ilene  

Signals generated at end-of-day 7/27/2010 for the open on Wednesday, July 28, 2010:

  • Enter long:  ALV  
  • Enter long:  FPIC  
  • Enter long:  GSK  
  • Enter long: TTWO

No long exit signals today

No short entry signals today

No short exit (cover) signals today

Open trade summary:

   Long EXC since 7/27/2010, profit: $ 195
   Long EAT since 7/26/2010, profit: $ 117
   Short BMTI since 7/14/2010, profit: $ 1180

End of report for Tuesday, July 27, 2010

 

*********

About the MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts

 

The MESA-Sabrient Trading Alerts employ MESA Software’s algorithmic system for trading the stocks in the Sabrient Outlook Rankings.The Outlook Rankings reflect each stock’s relative probability of short-term upside or downside action based on Sabrient’s proprietary quantitative fundamental analysis.

 

NOTE:  New subscribers should ignore the open positions and start their trading with the first entry alert that received.

  • The MESA-Sabrient system produces end-of-day trading signals after the market day’s closing bell for execution at the next open.  All trades are intended to be placed as market orders on open.
  • Exit signals are also specified for each open trade.  All trade exits are intended to be placed as market orders at the next open.
  • Long signals (buy) are produced from the top quartile of the Sabrient Outlook Rankings and short signals (sell short) are


continue reading


Tags: , , ,




 
 
 

Politics

TRUMP CONCEDES (SORT OF)

 

TRUMP CONCEDES (SORT OF)

Courtesy of Teri Kanefield

The Trump Legal team filed more documents today in the appellate court. I tweeted a bit about how silly they were (let me know if you all want me to march through them). Then this happened:

Trump giving the go-ahead for the transition to get underway was (I believe) the closest he will get to conceding the election. Two amusing things happened. First, Trump tweeted this about 10 minutes after Emily Murphy submitted a letter saying she would move forward, and that she has made her decisions solely on her own and not at anyone’s direction. Looks like Trump wanted people to think that she was, in fact, acting at his direction.

The other amusing part was that Tr...



more from Politics

Phil's Favorites

TRUMP CONCEDES (SORT OF)

 

TRUMP CONCEDES (SORT OF)

Courtesy of Teri Kanefield

The Trump Legal team filed more documents today in the appellate court. I tweeted a bit about how silly they were (let me know if you all want me to march through them). Then this happened:

Trump giving the go-ahead for the transition to get underway was (I believe) the closest he will get to conceding the election. Two amusing things happened. First, Trump tweeted this about 10 minutes after Emily Murphy submitted a letter saying she would move forward, and that she has made her decisions solely on her own and not at anyone’s direction. Looks like Trump wanted people to think that she was, in fact, acting at his direction.

The other amusing part was t...



more from Ilene

ValueWalk

Proposed Klamath River Dams Removal: The Height Of Obtuse Thinking?

By William E. Simpson II. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Considering the recent revelations as published in several California newspapers regarding the Klamath River dams removal proposal, many important questions arise to those who are using logic to examine the fishy-reasoning for considering the removal of several perfectly good dams.

Q3 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Photo: William E. Simpson II: CAL-FIRE tanker trucks and helicopters dr...

more from ValueWalk

Zero Hedge

As Oil Soars, Former NHL Player Turned Hedge Fund Manager Says "Inevitable" It Will Go Higher

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Update (1100ET): WTI jyust broke above $45 as today's move goes vertical. This is the highest price for oil since March, which is interesting given that Cushing storage is near capacity...

*  *  *

If you're bullish on oil, we've got good news and bad news. The good news is that one hedge fund manager is finally taking an outsized bet on oil and is making headlines...



more from Tyler

Biotech/COVID-19

Why the Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine is now a global game changer

 

Why the Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine is now a global game changer

Courtesy of Michael Head, University of Southampton

In the long dark tunnel that has been 2020, November stands out as the month that light appeared. Some might see it as a bright light, others as a faint light – but it is unmistakably a light.

On November 9, Pfizer announced the interim results of its candidate vaccine, showing it to be “more than 90% effective” in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 in late-stage human trials. The news was greeted with joy.

A ...



more from Biotech/COVID-19

Chart School

Bitcoin Chart Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Bitcoin is testing its old all time high. Bitcoin is not alone as it is at the same party of all risk on trends. Abundant end of year liquidity, add the relief of finishing US elections will see the end of the buyers strike and gains should continue (just like 2016).

Bitcoin is on fourth types of charts held within readtheticker.com, each chart answers different questions.

Charts ...

Cycle charts shows off price and time cycles, with forecasts.


Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.




Long term channels, with time and price targets.


Click f...



more from Chart School

Kimble Charting Solutions

Transports Sending Strong Bullish Message To Other Dow Indices?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Are Transportation stocks about to send a quality bullish message to other Dow indices this month? Sure could be!

This 3-pack looks at the Dow Jones Industrials, Transports, and Utilities indices on a monthly basis.

One week from the end of a month, the DJ Transports are attempting an important bullish breakout at (1). Unless a sharp reversal takes place in the next week, Transports could close out the month at new monthly closing highs!

The Dow is attempting to close at all-time highs this month, while the Dow Utilities Index remains a few percent below 2020 highs....



more from Kimble C.S.

Digital Currencies

Dalio Admits "I Might Be Missing Something" As Bitcoin Surges Above $18,000

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

Since the US election, Bitcoin prices (in USD) have surged a stunning 40%, also lurching higher after each vaccine headline hit.

Source: Bloomberg

Getting ever closer to its all-time record high...

Source: Bloomberg

As crypto prices soared overnight, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio stepped back into the fray, saying in a Twitter thread that “I might be missing something about Bitco...



more from Bitcoin

Mapping The Market

COVID-19 Forces More Than Half of Asset Management Firms to Accelerate Adoption of Digital Marketing Technology

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

There is no doubt that the use of technology to support client engagement initiatives brings both opportunities and threats but this has been brought into sharp focus this year with the COVID-19 pandemic.

The crisis has brought to the fore the need for firms to enable flexibility in client engagement – the expectation that providers will communicate to clients on their terms, at their speed and frequency and on their preferred channels, is now a given. This is even more critical when clients are experiencing unparalleled anxiety from both market conditions and their own personal circumstances.

...

more from M.T.M.

The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



more from Tech. Traders

Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



more from Lee

Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

http://www.insidercow.com/ more from Insider

Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

TODAY's LIVE webinar on stocks, options and trading strategy is open to all!

Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

...

more from Promotions





About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


As Seen On:




About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.