Posts Tagged ‘stock’

Green Mountain: Q2′s Dog and Pony Show Reveals More Accounting Fluff

Swallowing pride is a lot harder than sipping a freshly brewed cup of Green Mountain Coffee – 20% hotter today. Here’s a post byJason Merriam on Seeking Alpha, who’s content to "gaze at the big ‘ol Green Mountain from a safe distance." - Ilene

While pride can be hard to swallow at times, panning a stock only to watch its share price skyrocket 20% above and beyond the previous 50% gain we didn’t think possible is downright humiliating. So, congratulations to all Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) longs! May the java be with you.

Humble pie aside, investors were clearly impressed by the earnings beat and remainder of 2011 guidance offered by management Tuesday.

We have been bearish on this company for quite awhile and admittedly wrong about the stock since it was at $40 a share.

Yet, we have to hand it to GMCR management for their keen ability to captivate shareholders with such bright optimism while slipping in a secondary offering only minutes within releasing Q2 earnings.

[...]

Again, we have to tip our hat to GMCR management. Now, they have a rich $9 billion market cap, their timing of a secondary, remarkably uncanny. Granted, it’s only about 5% of total current outstanding, but it’s a very shrewd maneuver to build one’s currency (much thanks to bulls). It’s one of the slickest capitalization maneuvers we’ve seen in quite a while.

[...]

If management is so optimistic, why have they sold almost 290,000 shares in the past 12 months?

More here: Green Mountain: Q2′s Dog and Pony Show Reveals More Accounting Fluff – Seeking Alpha.


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DARK HORSE HEDGE – Super Rad, RDWR

By Scott and Ilene at Dark Horse Hedge – Super Rad, RDWR

All systems go
Soon the world will know
The fury of attack
Feel the wrath of 
The super rad super rad super rad
Su-per Rad!  – Aquabats

Scott came up with this song; it’s hard to believe, but he managed to find a song to fit the post "Super Rad" and I won’t say anything about "Super Bad," I’ll leave that up to you. More from Scott…

We are feeling pretty super about Radware Technology (RDWR) after a 21% surge on Monday to $39.77.  The virtual Dark Horse Hedge (DHH) portfolio bought 100 shares of RDWR on November 11, 2010 at $33.39.  Using Phil’s Buy/Write strategy, DHH sold 1 March 2011 $35 Call for $3.30 and 1 March 2011 Put $5.10, taking in a total of $8.40. 

One strategy at this point would be to sit still and keep the $8.40 option premium, and let the shares be called away at $35 for an additional $1.61 profit (total profit $8.40 plus $1.61 = $10.01)  But at DHH we “feel the wrath of the Super Rad” and would like to potentially enhance our return on RDWR given the suggested buyout price of $47.  Our virtual DHH portfolio will buy back the Mar 2011 $35 Call at the open, Tuesday, December 7, 2010 (at approximately $6.75) and sell the Jan 2012 $35 calls (approximately $9.25).  The added time element will be moot in a buyout as all positions would be settled at the time of acquisition.  The Put should expire worthless in this scenario so there is no need to do anything with it.  There is a rumor that HP may also be interested in acquiring RDWR which could cause a bidding war with Riverbend, if those rumors are indeed true.

Buy (back) RDWR Mar $35 call at the open, Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Sell RDWR Jan 2012 $35 call at the open, Tuesday, December 7, 2010   


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“Sell the News” Bearish Flattening of Yield Curve Continues; Reflections on “Relative Value”

Continuing on the theme of stock market prices vs. real fundamental value, Mish writes: "This is what happens when investors chase "relative value" instead of asking if there is any real value at all…[This] applies to those chasing the stock market at these lofty levels on the basis ‘stocks are cheap relative to treasuries’ or some other nonsensical reason to justify valuations." – Ilene 

Courtesy of Mish

Curve Watchers Anonymous notes a continuing bearish flattening of the yield curve as shown in the following chart.

click on chart for sharper image

A bearish flattening occurs when the curve tightens with yields generally rising. Conversely, a bullish flattening occurs when the curve tightens with yields generally falling.

Since early November, 5-year treasury yields have risen about 60 basis point, 10-year yields about 45 basis points, and 30-year treasury yields have risen perhaps 5 basis points.

Once again we can see the results in today’s action with thanks to Bloomberg.

Buy the Rumor Sell the News

Note the continued unwind of the "sure-thing" treasury bet, with the Fed concentrating its purchases in the 3-to-7-year range hoping to drive down rates, and everyone front-running the trade. That trade is now unwinding.

Clearly this reaction is not what Bernanke wanted at all.

Reflections on "Relative Value"

Check out that .81 yield on 3-year treasuries. On October 18, investors scarfed up $750 million of 3-year Walmart Bonds yielding .75% for the stupid reason they yielded more than treasuries. Now treasuries are yielding more.

This is what happens when investors chase "relative value" instead of asking if there is any real value at all.

The same idea applies to those chasing the stock market at these lofty levels on the basis "stocks are cheap relative to treasuries" or some other nonsensical reason to justify valuations.

There is no value, only unwarranted bullishness.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Originally published at Mish’s Global Economic Trend Analysis, "Sell the News" Bearish Flattening of Yield Curve Continues; Reflections on "Relative Value".


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One More Cup of Coffee Addendum

One More Cup of Coffee Addendum

By Scott Brown at SabrientIlene at Phil’s Stock World, and special thanks to Sam Antar

Last night, we decided to replace the short in JOE, covered yesterday, with a short in GMCR for the DHH virtual portfolio.  We noted:

There are many reasons that insiders may sell shares which have nothing to do with their perception of the company’s prospects or valuation. However, when a week after the last insider sale, the company discloses that the SEC is inquiring into the company’s methods for accounting for revenues, it starts to look more dark and mysterious. It is worth noting that Keurig accounted for over half of GMCR revenue last year, so when the President of Keurig is selling, it is worth a further look. When the SEC discloses an inquiry into the companies accounting it is worth more than a look. Multiple class-action lawsuits have been filed against GMCR since the announcement by the SEC, yet the stock has rebounded from a low of $26.87 to a close today of $31.31.  Rumors of Nestle having interest in GMCR resurfaced on October 12, despite the SEC’s inquiry and pending class-action lawsuits.

To further examine our initial observation, we took a guided tour though the SEC filings, with Sam Antar, who specializes in reviewing SEC filings. The first thing we discovered on the SEC site was that the last date Michelle Stacy exercised 5000 options and then sold the stock for $37 was September 21, 2010.  This transaction was reported in a Form 4 filing on Sept. 23, 2010. 

Next, we looked at the most recent 8K Form filed and we found that the disclosure of the SEC inquiry occurred on September 28, 2010. However, notification of the SEC inquiry occurred eight days earlier, on September 20, 2010: 

On September 20, 2010, the staff of the SEC’s Division of Enforcement informed the Company that it was conducting an inquiry and made a request for a voluntary production of documents and information. Based on the request, the Company believes the focus of the inquiry concerns certain revenue recognition practices and the Company’s relationship with one of its fulfillment vendors. The Company, at the direction of the audit committee of the Company’s board of directors, is cooperating fully with the SEC staff’s inquiry. 

This information…
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One More Cup of Coffee Addendum

One More Cup of Coffee Addendum

By Scott Brown at SabrientIlene at Phil’s Stock World, and special thanks to Sam Antar

Last night, we decided to replace the short in JOE, covered yesterday, with a short in GMCR for the DHH virtual portfolio.  We noted:

There are many reasons that insiders may sell shares which have nothing to do with their perception of the company’s prospects or valuation. However, when a week after the last insider sale, the company discloses that the SEC is inquiring into the company’s methods for accounting for revenues, it starts to look more dark and mysterious. It is worth noting that Keurig accounted for over half of GMCR revenue last year, so when the President of Keurig is selling, it is worth a further look. When the SEC discloses an inquiry into the companies accounting it is worth more than a look. Multiple class-action lawsuits have been filed against GMCR since the announcement by the SEC, yet the stock has rebounded from a low of $26.87 to a close today of $31.31.  Rumors of Nestle having interest in GMCR resurfaced on October 12, despite the SEC’s inquiry and pending class-action lawsuits.

To further examine our initial observation, we took a guided tour though the SEC filings, with Sam Antar, who specializes in reviewing SEC filings. The first thing we discovered on the SEC site was that the last date Michelle Stacy exercised 5000 options and then sold the stock for $37 was September 21, 2010.  This transaction was reported in a Form 4 filing on Sept. 23, 2010. 

Next, we looked at the most recent 8K Form filed and we found that the disclosure of the SEC inquiry occurred on September 28, 2010. However, notification of the SEC inquiry occurred eight days earlier, on September 20, 2010: 

On September 20, 2010, the staff of the SEC’s Division of Enforcement informed the Company that it was conducting an inquiry and made a request for a voluntary production of documents and information. Based on the request, the Company believes the focus of the inquiry concerns certain revenue recognition practices and the Company’s relationship with one of its fulfillment vendors. The Company, at the direction of the audit committee of the Company’s board of directors, is cooperating fully with the SEC staff’s inquiry. 

This information…
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DARK HORSE HEDGE

DARK HORSE HEDGE 7-18-10

By Scott at Sabrient and Ilene of PSW

Friday gave us a real-time example of why we use Hysteresis* and confirmations from our technical signals, MACD 12-26-9 and RSI 14-day, to select and monitor the tilt (long-short ratio) of the Dark Horse Hedge’s portfolio.  

The SHORT tilt Friday allowed us to make +1.37% from our 6 SHORT, 3 LONG positions while the S&P 500 gave back -2.88%.  The economic data out Friday of course played a large roll in the failure of our indicators to turn from short to BALANCED.  A sharp decline in the University of Michigan Consumer Index to 65 in July compared poorly with a June figure of 76 and Briefing.com’s estimate of 74.5.  Google’s earnings miss didn’t help either as the S&P 500 fell through its short-term support area to close at 1064.88.  The MACD reading is currently at -3.56 and RSI 14-day at 42.85 (bullish signal is above 50).  The preponderance of evidence heading into the July 19 week is that the market needs to find support in the 1040 range.  

Despite the poor economic data that pushed the market lower on Friday, 19 of 23 S&P 500 companies reporting thus far reported better than projected EPS, and 15 of them beat revenues as well.

Earnings reports will continue to flow in this week.  In our portfolio Western Digital Corp (WDC, long position) reports profits on Tuesday while USG Corp (USG, short position) and Sun Trust Banks Inc (STI, short position) report their losses on July 22.  We will continue to monitor the market action and look for guidance on entering new positions. Key support areas appear to be 1040, 1022 and then 995.

Dark Horse Hedge maintains 10% cash for swing trade opportunities and we are highlighting one for entry on Monday at the Open.

SHORT Terex Corp. (TEX) at the Open Monday.  

TEX will report its latest loss figures on Tuesday, July 21. Twenty analysts project losses ranging from -$.15 to -$.44 with an average of -$.30.  Looking back over the last four quarterly announcements, we see analysts often underestimate Terex’s losses.  For example, in March 2010, analysts estimated -$.52 while the actual loss was $.64. In December 2009, analysts targeted -$.49 and TEX delivered -$.89.  In September 2009, the loss was projected to be $.34 and the company came in at -$.77.  In June 2009, investors were…
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Something to Love about GSK

Something to Love about GSK

Courtesy of Pharmboy

Visit Pharmboy here for his previous articles on pharm/biotech stocks and chapters in his TA book. 

UK-based GlaxoSmithKline was ranked as the world’s fourth largest player in 2009 (behind US-based Pfizer, France-based Sanofi-Aventis and Switzerland-based Novartis) based on prescription pharma sales. The company was founded in 2000 via the merger of Glaxo Wellcome and SmithKline Beecham and is headquartered in Brentford, London, UK.  I wrote about GSK in my first PSW write-up in 2009.

In terms of its therapeutic focus, GSK owes its market-leading position in the global respiratory market to the Glaxo Laboratories legacy.  Over 30 years ago, Glaxo launched Ventolin for the treatment of asthma and developed and launched Serevent and Flixotide in 1990.  A combination of these two compounds—sold under the brand names Seretide/Advair ($7.8B in 2009).  Similarly, GSK’s origins in the CNS market—currently its third largest therapeutic area of focus—can be traced back to the Wellcome and SmithKline scientists.  Other therapeutic areas of importance include infectious disease and virology (vaccines).


 

The merger of Glaxo Wellcome and SmithKline Beecham created a company with a strong portfolio of blockbuster brands including Seroxat/Paxil (depression),now off patent Seretide/Advair (asthma, COPD) which dominates the respiratory arena, Wellbutrin (depression) now off patent, Augmentin (infections) now off patent, Avandia (diabetes), Imigran/Imitrex (migraine) and Lamictal (epilepsy) now off patent. However, since its creation in 2000, GSK has failed to add to its portfolio with any additional blockbuster drug launches.  Instead, like its rival Pfizer, GSK has been forced to implement cost reductions in the medium term. Sales of Seroxat/Paxil have been eroded by generics (as have Augmentin and Wellbutrin ) in the US market prior to 2011.  In addition, its second largest product Avandia faces declining sales as a result of concerns that have emerged regarding its side-effect profile (e.g., its association with a heightened cardiovascular risk).  Many feel that the company faces pressure from investors to revive its performance. and must turn to M&A activity.  Thusfar, GSK has been reluctant to make such a move. (Gilead for the HIV franchise?) 

What GSK has done instead is sought to in-license product rights in order to boost the sales potential of its portfolio.  Of the eight products launched by GSK since 2000, four have been in-licensed (Lexiva from Vertex, Levitra from Bayer, Boniva from Roche and Vesicare from Astellas). However,


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Rock Solid Yield: What others are suggesting for Solid Yielding Stocks.

Rock Solid Yield: What others are suggesting for Solid Yielding Stocks.

By Ron Rutherford, courtesy of Sabrient

circa 1955:  Pinnacle Balanced Rock formation in Chiricahua National Monument, Arizona.  (Photo by Josef Muench/Three Lions/Getty Images)

In my last post, I opened the Rock Solid Yield category and briefly introduced you to Sabrient’s upcoming Platinum level subscriber product.  To further define the overall strategy, I will compare and contrast our approach to some worthy suggestions by others.

Perhaps Motley Fool might have some thoughts on the what are the Best Dividend Stocks for Beginners? The question they pose to the round table of contributors and associates is:

I’m just starting, know little, have about $500, and want a solid stock with dividends as my first position. What should I look for?

All the writers provided good suggestions and ideas but the best was provided by Dan Caplinger. For a small first time investor with very limited funds, ETFs could provide diversification and thus lower risks. The Motley Fool, as well as the Rock Solid Yield (”RSY”) portfolio, look for “solid fundamental stocks” which pay dividends for years to come and increase in value over that time. But from the list of stock suggestions, it became obvious that they were not picking stocks strictly based on dividend yield percentages, as most are under 5%, with only BP yielding a generous 9%.   Motley Fool’s advertising even promotes these ideas as 6 Secrets to Finding Dividend “Money Machines”.

6 Secrets of Dividend Investing:
How You Can Earn Great Returns with Less Risk

Finding the best dividend stocks takes some legwork and careful analysis.  However,  here is how you can find the best long-term performers:

1. Avoid the Highest Dividend Stocks — You can’t pick stocks by dividend yield alone.   Above-normal dividends are often a red flag of a company in distress. Studies have consistently shown that you will earn higher long-term returns by avoiding risky stocks with overly high dividends.

All six points made by the panelists are important considerations in making a Rock Solid Yield portfolio but “avoid” might not be the best describer of how to search out the best performing stocks.   I believe a more productive approach is  to be even more cautious and careful about higher paying dividend stocks. The higher the dividend yield,  the greater the scrutiny should be. The risks associated with BP stock from the oil spill are well documented by the media. However,…
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Did the NY Fed Leave a Funny Taste in YOUR Mouth Too?

Did the NY Fed Leave a Funny Taste in YOUR Mouth Too?

Courtesy of Jr. Deputy Accountant 

A "travesty" LOL.

Reuters:

Federal Reserve Bank directors say a Senate plan to kick bankers off the boards of regional Fed banks is an overreaction to one headline-grabbing incident and could harm the U.S. central bank.

Federal Reserve insiders worry that planned changes to the century-old U.S. central banking system — comprising 12 regional banks and a 7-member Washington-based Board of Governors — would make it more centralized, less independent, and less effective.

A provision in a wide-ranging regulatory reform bill near completion in Washington would ban bankers from serving on the boards of their regulators.

Alarm about possible conflict of interest at the Fed broke out after Goldman Sachs converted to a Fed-regulated bank to withstand the financial crisis.

This put then-New York Fed chairman Stephen Friedman — a Goldman director and former chairman — in violation of the Fed’s rules. Friedman requested a waiver for owning Goldman shares in 2008 and as he waited for the waiver, he bought more shares.

While his actions were not illegal, Friedman stepped down following public furor.

"This legislation, the way it’s proposed, is an overreaction to a particular unique situation, and to have bankers removed from these boards is a travesty," said Mark Hewitt, chief executive of Clear Lake Bank and Trust Co in Iowa and a director at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

The situation "maybe left a funny taste in someone’s mouth, but that’s not what’s happening in Chicago," he said.

So it isn’t a conflict of interest for Jamie Dimon to sit on the board of his bank’s regulator? Oh please, you’re totally overreacting, who else has their finger on the pulse of banking? Surely not the Fed themselves (as if that’s their job). 

 


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The Wheel

The Wheel

Courtesy of Allan

Below is my QQQQ chart, including the Daily Trend Model, an EW count, Auto-Trend Channels and the Elliott Oscillator.

Since the mid-February LONG signal, the index is up about 10%.  Prices have been contained in a well defined trend channel, all the time safely above the Daily Trend Line (navy).  On the bottom oscillator, the recent new highs in price are not being confirmed by new highs in the oscillator.  This suggests that the proposed wave count on the screen is correct and that after the completion of the Wave 5 of 5, a significant decline will be likely.

Below is the same QQQQ chart, less all of the bells and whistles save one, the Daily Trend Model: 

This chart suggests only one thing:  that the market is in an uptrend and traders/investors should be LONG.  The late January EXIT was good for about a 10% decline before the index flipped back to the bullish camp.  There is no suggestion here about any imminent declines,  non-confirmations, wave counts or trend channels.  Just that one thing: LONG.

There may be a market environment coming where such simple, observable, understandable analysis will fail.  Alternatively, this kind of market analysis will continue to be an effective steering current for navigating market direction.  All I can say is that this analysis continues to amaze me with its effectiveness across so many indexes, ETF’s and stocks, as well as across multiple time frames.

I don’t claim to have re-invented the wheel here, only to have found one and am now employing it in all of my market decisions. 

*****

Allan’s new newsletter, “Trend Following Trading Model,” incorporates his chart-based, trend-following method. Most trades last for weeks to months. Allan’s offering PSW readers a special 25% discount. Click here.  For a detailed introduction to the Trend Following Trading Model, read this introductory article.


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Phil's Favorites

Signs of a Bottom

 

Signs of a Bottom

Courtesy of 

The S&P 500 gained 6.4% last week, the second-best post-pandemic performance for the large-cap index.  For a moment there, we were out of bear-market territory, bouncing to an 18.5% decline from all-time highs. Now, it’s a bear market again ¯\_(?)_/¯

All silliness aside, calls for a bottom appear premature.

Michael Cembalest and his team did some work on what you want to be on the lookout for, and we’re not there qui...



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ValueWalk

Let General Mills Command A Position In Your Defensive Portfolio

By MarketBeat. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Recession Resistant General Mills Rockets Higher Outlook

We’ve been interested in General Mills (NYSE:GIS) for some time now and we couldn’t be happier with the FQ4 2022 results. The company not only beat on the top and bottom line but issued favorable guidance in the face of mounting economic headwinds. The takeaway here is that defensive consumer staple stocks like General Mills are among the best positioned for today’s times and General Mills is among the best picks. Trading at only 18.5X it’s earnings outlook the stock is undervalued relative to its peers while paying an ...



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Zero Hedge

Why Is The VIX So Low? A Surprising Answer Emerges In The Market's Microstructure

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

One of the most frequent questions tossed around Wall Street trading desks (and strip clubs), and which was duly covered by Bloomberg recently in "Fear Has Gone Missing in Wall Street’s Slow-Motion Bear Market", is why despite the crushing bear market and the coming recession, does the VIX refuse to rise sustainably above 30, or in other words, why is the VIX so low?

As Goldman's Rocky Fishman wrote in a recent note "Option Markets Ta...



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Politics

Putin's propaganda is rooted in Russian history - and that's why it works

 

Putin’s propaganda is rooted in Russian history – and that’s why it works

Courtesy of Julia Khrebtan-Hörhager, Colorado State University and Evgeniya Pyatovskaya, University of South Florida

Russia’s war against Ukraine is pressing into its fifth month – despite several rounds of failed peace talks, and Western countries’ issuing severe economic sanctions against Russia.

The war isn’t happening just on Ukrainian soil. President Vladimir Putin’s propaganda is propelling...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Doc Copper Pattern Suggesting Another Huge Decline Is To Be Expected?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Looks like the historic run higher in copper prices may be taking a breather.

While we cannot say that the LONG-term rally is over. It definitely has put in an intermediate top.

Back in March, we wrote about this possibility in our article, “Is Copper Repeating Historic Double Top Price Pattern?” There have been two other historic double tops that have taken place in the past 20 years.

Well, here we are today and the double top pattern is breaking down and Doc Copper is on the ropes. Below is an updated ...



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Chart School

Gold Stocks Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Gold miners do well when gold is higher, and borrowing and gasoline costs are lower.

Lets start with a question: Why do governments own gold?

1) The need it to support their economy during an energy crisis. If their currency is collapsing oil producers will not take fiat for settlement, but they will accept gold.
2) While the US prints money the purchasing power of the US dollar is declining, hence gold is a hedge.

A particular market action which forces traders to move gold higher is when oil moves higher while the US dollar falls. This means the US dollar is losing purchasing power against oil, therefore gold will go higher as the demand for (1) above explodes. Some history, gold moved higher sharply in these years 2007, 2011, 2016, 2020. All ...

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Digital Currencies

Scams and cryptocurrency can go hand in hand - here's how they work and what to watch out for

 

Scams and cryptocurrency can go hand in hand – here’s how they work and what to watch out for

The anonymous nature of cryptocurrency transactions is ideal for con artists. seksan Mongkhonkhamsao/Moment via Getty Images

Courtesy of Yaniv Hanoch, University of Southampton and Stacey Wood, Scripps College

When one of our students told us they were going to drop out of college ...



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Biotech/COVID-19

At last, COVID-19 shots for little kids - 5 essential reads

 

At last, COVID-19 shots for little kids – 5 essential reads

Millions of U.S. children between the ages of 6 months and 4 years will soon be eligible for COVID-19 shots. FatCamera/E+ via Getty Images

Courtesy of Amanda Mascarelli, The Conversation

For many parents of kids under age 5, a safe and effective COVID-19 vaccine could not come soon enough. A full year and a half after shots first became available for adults, their wait is nearly over.

On June 17, 2022, the Food and Drug Administration ...



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Promotions

Phil: Be the House Not the Gambler at the Fintech Conference in Vegas

 

Phil gave an excellent, educational presentation called "Be the House Not the Gambler: Using Stock Options to Significantly Boost Your Portfolio Performance" at the FinTwit Conference hosted by Lupton Capital and Benzinga on May 14 in Las Vegas. The video is set to start playing at 5:30:45, when Phil takes the stage (but you can see previous presentations by backtracking).

AGENDA 
9:00 AM Opening Remarks with Jonah Lupton, Entrepreneur & Investor
9:05 AM Wagging the Dog: How to Profit From Derivative Driven Moves in the Market with Steven Place, Founder, Investingwithoptions.com
10:00 AM The MarketWebs & The Path of Least Resistance, Christian Fromhertz, CEO, The Tribeca Trade Group
10:55 AM Fireside Chat with Gareth Mann, Founder & CEO, AlphaStream & Spencer Israel, Executive Producer, Benzinga
11:25 AM Sponsor Pitch: Carolyn Bao, VP of Marke...



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Mapping The Market

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

 

Suez Canal: Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

Courtesy of Marcus Lu, Visual Capitalist

The Suez Canal: A Critical Waterway Comes to a Halt

On March 23, 2021, a massive ship named Ever Given became lodged in the Suez Canal, completely blocking traffic in both directions. According to the Suez Canal Authority, the 1,312 foot long (400 m) container ship ran aground during a sandstorm that caused low visibility, impacting the ship’s navigation. The vessel is owned by Taiwanese shipping firm, Evergreen Marine.

With over 2...



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The Technical Traders

Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling System Suggests Market Peak May Be Near

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system is suggesting a moderate price peak may be already setting up in the NASDAQ while the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Transportation Index continue to rally beyond the projected Fibonacci Price Expansion Levels.  This indicates that capital may be shifting away from the already lofty Technology sector and into Basic Materials, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples, Utilities, as well as other sectors.

This type of a structural market shift indicates a move away from speculation and towards Blue Chip returns. It suggests traders and investors are expecting the US consumer to come back strong (or at least hold up the market at...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia - The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

 

Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia – The Branch COVIDIANS Are Still Burning Down the House

Courtesy of Lee Adler, WallStreetExaminer 

The numbers of new cases in some of the hardest hit COVID19 states have started to plateau, or even decline, over the past few days. A few pundits have noted it and concluded that it was a hopeful sign. 

Is it real or is something else going on? Like a restriction in the numbers of tests, or simply the inability to test enough, or are some people simply giving up on getting tested? Because as we all know from our dear leader, the less testing, the less...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.