Posts Tagged ‘the Big Picture’

The S&P 500′s Horrible Returns In Everything Except The Dollar

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The S&P 500′s Horrible Returns In Everything Except The Dollar

down arrowCourtesy of Vincent Fernando at Clusterstock  

Here are the S&P500′s returns measured in almost everything except depreciating dollars, from September 1998 until present.

Note that over the same period, the index was up 3% nominally.

From The Big Picture:

  • Down 70% in gold
  • Down 31% in Aussie dollars
  • Down 28% in Canadian dollars
  • Down 40% in yen
  • Down 34% in euros since January 1999

US Treasuries, up more than the S&P500′s 3% due to compounding coupon payments, outperformed the S&P500 over the same period.

 


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Barry Ritholtz August 09 Views on Yahoo Tech Ticker

Barry Ritholtz August 09 Views on Yahoo Tech Ticker

Courtesy of Trader Mark at Fund My Mutual Fund

Barry Ritholtz is sort of the "godfather" of financial blogs – very much an early adopter and runs one of the most popular sites: The Big Picture. It was a site I used to read very often, when I had more time … obviously once you do your own blog, you don’t have the same hours in the day left over. I still try to get over there once every few weeks to see what he is up to.

Barry is back on Yahoo Tech Ticker, after making a nice call mid March [Mar 13, 2009: Jon Najarian, Todd Harrison, Barry Ritholtz all Bullish (for now)] for a quite huge rally. Considering we were an unprecedented 40% below the 200 day moving average the previous week that was not too much of an outlier call – but the duration of this move has certainly taken many aback. Ritholtz is not ready to say it’s over yet. I like what Barry has to say because much like I do, he casts a cynical eye to much of what is happening but as I repeat often, to be an investment manager you have to compartmentalize everything and be able to adjust to whatever the lemmings are doing. He does a good job of that so always a worthwhile listen.

(I) The Recession is Over! Or is it?



 

Forget the unemployment rate remains north of 9% and foreclosures are near all-time highs; the recession is over!

The Conference Board said Thursday that its index of leading indicators rose 0.6% in July – its fourth consecutive gain – suggesting the economy has bottomed and the recession will end this summer, if it hasn’t already.

That’s right, the recession may already be over. Ken Goldstein, the Conference Board’s economist, says gross domestic product may be positive this quarter.

Barry Ritholtz, CEO of FusionIQ and author of Bailout Nation, believes things have improved but he’s not ready say we’re healed. "After hell, purgatory isn’t so bad," he jokes.

Ritholtz says


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ValueWalk

AZO and ORLY: Which one is a better buy?

By Marek Mscichowski. Originally published at ValueWalk.

AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) and O’Reilly Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:ORLY): Both auto parts retailers are uncorrelated to S&P 500, but which one is a better buy?

By Price Earnings Ratio Tracker Team

Q4 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

Over recent months I have created valuation models for the two main competitors in the auto parts retail business – AutoZone, the leader on the coasts with a $26 billion market ca...



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Phil's Favorites

The Fed Apparently Thinks It's Going to Lose $454 Billion on Its Wall Street Bailout

Courtesy of Pam Martens

On Thursday, March 26, in the midst of a growing panic on Wall Street over a lack of liquidity for toxic debt, the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell did something unprecedented. He appeared live on the Today show. His interviewer, Savannah Guthrie, opened the interview by noting that one writer had said that the Fed can simply conjure money out of thin air. (It can.) Guthrie asked Powell if there was any limit to the amount of money...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

S&P Repeating 2000 & 2007 Patterns Almost Exactly?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Does History Repeat? Is does rhyme sometimes!!!

This chart looks at the S&P 500 on a weekly basis over the past 20-years.

The S&P declined by 50% during the 2000-2003 bear market. On the week of 3/23/2001, it experienced its first counter-trend rally, which lasted 8-weeks, before the bear market resumed.

The S&P declined by 50% during the 2007-2009 bear market. On the week of 3/21/2001, it experienced its first counter-trend rally, which lasted 8-weeks, before the bear ...



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Zero Hedge

Next Wave Of Shortages Strikes: NYC Pharmacies Run Out Of Tylenol, Common Drugs

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

In the weeks since California became the first state to order residents to shelter in place, millions of Americans have grappled with an alarming fact: That shortages of products from Tylenol to toilet paper have continued. If anything, they've gotten worse, even as governors like Andrew Cuomo have pleaded with the public not to hoard and buy up supplies like gloves and masks that are needed by health-care professionals.

While health officials have tried to dismiss this simply as a consequence of panicked hoarding, ...



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Biotech/COVID-19

What the coronavirus does to your body that makes it so deadly

 

What the coronavirus does to your body that makes it so deadly

SARS-CoV-2 virus particles (pink dots) on a dying cell. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, NIH

Benjamin Neuman, Texas A&M University-Texarkana

COVID-19 is caused by a coronavirus called SARS-CoV-2. Coronaviruses belong to a group of viruses that infect animals, from peacocks to whales. They’re named for the bulb-tipped spikes that project from the virus’s surface and give the appearance of a corona surrounding it.

A coronavirus infection usually plays o...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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The Technical Traders

Founder of TradersWorld Magazine Issued Special Report for Free

Courtesy of Technical Traders

Larry Jacobs owner and editor of TradersWorld magazine published a free special report with his top article and market forecast to his readers yesterday.

What is really exciting is that this forecast for all assets has played out exactly as expected from the stock market crash within his time window to the gold rally, and sharp sell-off. These forecasts have just gotten started the recent moves were only the first part of his price forecasts.

There is only one article in this special supplement, click on the image or link below to download and read it today!

...

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Chart School

Big moving Averages and macro investment decisions

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

When price is falling every one wonders where demand will come in.


RTT black screen Tv videos study the simplest measure of price (simple moving average). What has happen before guides us now. 














Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, ...

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Members' Corner

10 ways to spot online misinformation

 

10 ways to spot online misinformation

When you share information online, do it responsibly. Sitthiphong/Getty Images

Courtesy of H. Colleen Sinclair, Mississippi State University

Propagandists are already working to sow disinformation and social discord in the run-up to the November elections.

Many of their efforts have focused on social media, where people’s limited attention spans push them to ...



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Digital Currencies

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

 

While coronavirus rages, bitcoin has made a leap towards the mainstream

Get used to it. Anastasiia Bakai

Courtesy of Iwa Salami, University of East London

Anyone holding bitcoin would have watched the market with alarm in recent weeks. The virtual currency, whose price other cryptocurrencies like ethereum and litecoin largely follow, plummeted from more than US$10,000 (£8,206) in mid-February to briefly below US$4,000 on March 13. Despite recovering to the mid-US$6,000s at the time of writin...



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Promotions

Free, Live Webinar on Stocks, Options and Trading Strategies

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Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

This week, we also have a special presentation from Mike Anton of TradeExchange.com. It's a new service that we're excited to be a part of! 

Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Lee's Free Thinking

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

 

Why Blaming the Repo Market is Like Blaming the Australian Bush Fires

Courtesy of  

The repo market problem isn’t the problem. It’s a sideshow, a diversion, and a joke. It’s a symptom of the problem.

Today, I got a note from Liquidity Trader subscriber David, a professional investor, and it got me to thinking. Here’s what David wrote:

Lee,

The ‘experts’ I hear from keep saying that once 300B more in reserves have ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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