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Posts Tagged ‘WYNN’

Thrilling Thursday – Rejection at S&P 2,000

SPY 5 MINUTEOh my God, it's dip!  

The Futures are off a bit today and that's no surprise to those of us who have been paying attention to the volume, or lack thereof, as we made our final approach at the 2,000 line on the S&P 500.  Jim Cramer was literally foaming at the mouth this week as he and his CNBC co-conspirators herded the sheeple into the markets to participate in the tail end of the rally, where the suckers could hold the bags for their Corporate Masters.  

Why am I angry at Cramer today?  Because yesterday he committed the same crime he commtted in 2008 that cost so many people their life's savings – he told people not to sell their stocks on a pullback.  "Don't take profits" is the message for the viewing public.  But, I would ask, if people don't take profits – when will they ever get profits?  What kind of stupid message is that?  Well, it's the message that leaves you holding the bag while his hedge fund buddies head for the exits.  It's not much different than telling one group of people not to leave a burning building while you make sure all your friends are getting out safely.

"This is not just my opinion. I can prove it to you empirically. See, as I was preparing to write my book "Get Rich Carefully," I went over the previous five years of trades made by my charitable trust. And as I reviewed those trades I noticed that far too often, my good judgment would be overcome by excessive skepticism."

If the "proof" Jim is talking about is his Action Alerts Plus, then I'd say you really should think long and hard about following his advice here (via Kirk Lindstrom – who does compete with Cramer):

Jim Cramer's Action Alerts Plus Performance & Returns

I guess, sure, Jim legitimately should regret that he wasn't more bullish from 2008 to 2013, when the market popped 200% and his trust gained about 100% but don't you think the lesson Cramer should be taking from that experience is to CUT YOUR LOSSES, not
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The End of May – Heading into June with CASH!!!

I hurt myself today
To see if I still feel
I focus on the pain
The only thing that's real – Nine Inch Nails

Were we wrong to cash out?  

It's hard to feel bad about taking a 19% profit off the table after just 6 months (in our $500,000 Long-Term Portfolio) but we had another low-volume pump-job yesterday that sent some of the positions we closed up sharply and left us regretting our timing – just a little.  

Still, the time to sell your positions is when other people are buying, not while everyone is panicking.  We got great exit prices and, on the whole, it was fairly stress-free.  S&P 1,920 was our predicted top and we pulled the trigger to take the money and run at 1,910 because, as experience has taught us – it doesn't pay to be greedy! 

Last week and this week, I laid out my case for why the economy is not as good as it seems and certainly not good enough to be paying all-time highs for stocks.  As you can see from the chart on the left – I'm certainly not the only one who thinks so as the "smart money" has flown out of the market this year, taking advantage of each record high to sell, Sell, SELL!!!

We were a little more patient, we moved our Conservative Income Portfolio ($500,000) to cash at the end of March and avoided the April sell-off and have since been buying bargain stocks in that portfolio.  We had left our more aggressive Long-Term Portfolio ($500,000) on the table but this last leg of the rally left it up a ridiculous 19% for the year – and that's halfway to our best-case goal so it's a good time to take a break, step back, and see how the market handles early June.  

SPY 5 MINUTEIt's not like we can't find anything to do with our cash.  In additions to our usual Futures trading, we still have our Short-Term ($100,000), Butterfly ($100,000) and $25,000 Portfolios to play with and, since Wednesday
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Casino Stocks LVS, WYNN On The Run Ahead of Earnings

www.interactivebrokers.com

Shares in Las Vegas Sands Corp. (Ticker: LVS) are up sharply today, gaining as much as 5.7% to touch $80.12 and the highest level since April 4th, mirroring gains in shares of resort casino operator Wynn Resorts Ltd. (Ticker: WYNN). The move in Wynn shares appears, at least in part, to follow a big increase in target price from analysts at CLSA who upped their target on the ‘buy’ rated stock to $350 from $250 a share. CLSA also has a ‘buy’ rating on Las Vegas Sands with a $100 price target according to a note from reporter, Janet Freund, on Bloomberg. Both companies are scheduled to report first-quarter earnings after the closing bell on Thursday.

A block of call options traded on LVS during the first hour of the session suggests one options market participant may be positioning for the price of the underlying to extend gains during the next couple of months. It looks like 5,535 of the 20Jun’14 calls were purchased at a premium of $1.70 each. The position makes money at expiration in June if shares in LVS rally 9.0% over the current price of $79.82 to exceed the effective breakeven point at $86.70. Shares in LVS earlier this year traded up to a six-year high of $88.28. Shares in WYNN for its part are currently trading up 5.5% on the session at $215.71.


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Aeropostale Options Active As Shares Gain On Abercrombie’s Earnings Beat

www.interactivebrokers.com

 

Today’s tickers: ARO, WYNN & PETM

ARO - Aeropostale, Inc. – Shares in teen retailer, Aeropostale, Inc., are up 6.2% this morning at $13.87 in sympathy with Abercrombie & Fitch after that company raised its guidance for full-year earnings and reported better-than-expected third-quarter results before the opening bell on Wednesday. Aeropostale, which acquired online women’s apparel and shoe retailer GoJane.com yesterday, is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings after the close of trading on November 29th. ARO call options are buzzing with activity today, with some traders adjusting existing positions, while others take profits and establish bullish stances on the stock ahead of earnings in two weeks. One strategist responsible for the purchase of approximately 2,000 Nov. $14 strike calls for a premium of $0.10 apiece back on October 31st appears to be selling the calls today for three times that amount, or $0.30 in premium per option contract. Meanwhile, the purchase of more than 2,000 upside calls out at the Dec. $14 strike for a premium of $1.00 apiece looks for shares in ARO to extend gains in the near term. The trader or traders picking up the Dec. $14 strike calls may profit at expiration next month if shares in Aeropostale rally another 8% to surpass the average breakeven price of $15.00 at expiration. Call buying spread to the Dec. $15 and $16 strikes as well, with more than 500 contracts purchased at each strike earlier in the trading session. Interest in the Dec. $14, $15 and $16 strike calls today adds to positions established during the prior trading week.

WYNN - Wynn Resorts Ltd. – Trading traffic in call options on casino resort operator, Wynn Resorts Ltd., this morning suggests one strategist is positioning for shares in the name to rally substantially by year end. Shares in Wynn Resorts are down 1.2% this morning to stand at $105.67 as of 11:50 a.m. ET. The most active contracts on WYNN by volume so far today are the…
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Coventry Call Buyers In The Black Following Aetna Deal

www.interactivebrokers.com

 

Today’s tickers: CVH, CS & WYNN

CVH - Coventry Health Care, Inc. – Options traders who purchased Coventry Health Care call options earlier this month are sitting on substantial paper profits this morning; shares in the managed care company rose 19% to a new four-year high of $41.70 on news Aetna is buying the company for $42.08 a share, in a deal valued at $7.3 billion. One winning trade initiated just before the weekend was the purchase of 220 of the Sept. $36 strike calls for a premium of $0.80 apiece. These contracts are now deep in-the-money and cost $5.80 each to purchase, or 7.25 times more than one trader paid on Friday afternoon. A larger bullish stake was established last Wednesday with the purchase of 2,650 of the Jan. 2013 $33 strike calls at a premium of $2.55 per contract. The asking price on the calls is currently up three-fold at $8.90 apiece as of 11:30 a.m. in New York. Finally, the purchase of some 1,650 calls at the Sept. $35 strike for an average premium of $0.53 each back on August 6th has generated big potential profits. Traders who picked up the $35 calls at $0.53 apiece could currently sell the calls for 11 times as much, or $6.30 per contract, as of 11:40 a.m. ET. Another winner from the deal is hedge fund, Greenlight Capital, Inc., which disclosed a 4.98% stake in Coventry and a long position in around 3.1 million shares in Aetna in the second quarter ended June 30th.

CS - Credit Suisse, Inc. – Traders are buying upside call options on Credit Suisse for a second consecutive trading session, positioning for shares in the Swiss bank to rebound. The stock has lost 40% of its value since March 19th, slipping around 1.5% this morning to $17.98. On Friday, buyers stepped in to pick up approximately 4,000 of the Sept. $18.97 strike calls for an average premium of $0.50 each…
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Thrill-Ride Thursday – Here We Go Again

SPY 5 MINUTEWheeeeee!

We are just loving these crazy-assed market moves.  Every morning we have a pump job to short into and every afternoon there is a BS stick-save to re-establish our shorts.  It's merely a matter of time before those floors begin to crack.  I mean, really – how much of this abuse can they take?  

Notice, in Dave Fry's SPY chart, the high-volume selling followed by low-volume pumping – that's the very unhealthy pattern the "rally" was built on, which means there really aren't any buyers waiting to scoop up shares when they dip – just Trade Bots that tease the indexes higher so the IBanks can keep pulling in the bag-holders as the "smart money" stampedes for the exits. 

Yesterday was great fun.  As I noted in the morning post, we went short on the Oil Futures (/CL) at $104.50 in our morning Member Chat and even in the morning post there was still time to catch it at $104.  Oil sold off all the way to $102.60 at 2:10 and my 2:14 comment to Members nailed the turn as I said:  

Oil coming right to our goal at $102.50 ($38.50 USO) so let's not be greedy and look to take $1.20 off the table on those 1/2 USO positions in the $25KP and $5KP as it's better to get out while the gettin's good

USO WEEKLYThat's what we mean when we talk about taking non-greedy exits (I had set $38.50 as my USO target for our exit at 11:08 but it didn't look like we'd get it so we got out).  We caught the bottom and got out clean and this morning we got a chance to re-load our shorts at $103.50 on that predictable morning pump.  Sure, you can say the markets aren't fixed and maybe we just have amazingly good timing – either way we make the same money!

We did manage to find a few things we liked, one of which was CHK, as the stock plunged to $17.20 on much ado about not too much as people took issue with the CEO borrowing money to invest in their wells.  We didn't think it was such a big deal and our trade idea at at 10:23 in Member Chat gave us a good opportunity to buy right into the day's low at…
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Whipsaw Wednesday – Dip Buying or Just Dips Buying?

SPY DAILYWas that it?

On February 24th I wrote "TGIF – Sell in March and Go Away?" and I laid out my case for why I thought we were going to fall off the table in March and we have, indeed, fallen right off the table right on schedule since then.  I said that Friday, that the post was intended as a bookend to my September 30th bottom call as I felt that we had captured all of the upside we were likely to see off the "good news" that Greece was "fixed" and the economy was "improving."  

I'm not going to say anything bad about the economy here, I'll let Michael Snyder do that with his "15 Potentially MASSIVE Threats to the US Economy over the next 12 Months" – I think he pretty much covers it!  8 trading days ago (2/24), we had two short trade ideas in our Morning Alert to Members, they were:

  • SQQQ April $13/17 bull call spread at .70, still .70 (even) 
  • DXD April $13/15 bull call spread at net .55, now .70 – up 27%

SPY WEEKLY In Member Chat that day, Exec asked if I was getting bearish and my response was:  

Bearish/Exec – Are you kidding, this is me painting a sunny picture! Give me a few drinks and I'll tell you how off the rails the Global Economy is right now… Do you know how much Kool Aid I have to consume not to scream short on every single stock I see. CAT $116, CMG $386, DIA $130, GMCR we already did at $70, IBM $200, KO $70, MA $415, MCD $100, MMM $88, MO $30, MON $80, MOS $59, OIH $45, PCLN $593 (did them too), QQQ $64, SPY $137, TM $85, USO $41.50 (got 'em), UTX $84, V $117, WYNN $119, XOM $87, XRT $59 (got 'em) – and that's just off my watch list of stock I like to buy when they're cheap! We are not just priced for perfection, we are priced for perfection plus a return to full employment a forgiveness of all debts without write-downs and inflation without rising interest – we are priced for Nirvana!

It's a big list but, of course, they are pretty much all winners now, with PCLN the notable exception (so far).  Later that day, during Member Chat, we
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Deal Or No-Deal, Frenzied Action In WYNN Options Continues After Stock Resumes Trade

www.interactivebrokers.com

 

Today’s tickers: WYNN, FL & JPM

WYNN - Wynn Resorts, Ltd. – More than 36,000 option contracts changed hands on the casino operator on Friday morning before the stock was halted with news pending at 10:18 a.m. in New York trade. Wynn Resorts kicked off the final trading session of the week up better than 6.0%, making it the biggest gainer in the S&P 500 Index, after an 8-K filing, which has since been retracted by the company, suggested progress had been made on a new resort in the Cotai region of Macau. The stock resumed trading after Wynn Resorts said the 8-K was mistakenly filed and shares surrendered gains temporarily as the market digested news of the retraction. Clawing back the filing does not seem to have dampened excitement over potential expansion in the gambling hub, as Wynn’s shares quickly regained their footing to hit an intraday high of $132.59 after trading resumed. Options volume on the Las Vegas-based company has doubled since this morning, with more than 80,000 contracts in play as of 1:00 p.m. ET. Investors are favoring calls over puts, exchanging roughly 1.9 call options on WYNN for each single put contract in action today. The stock continues to be the leader in the S&P 500, though shares are off their highest level this afternoon, currently up 5.5% on the day to stand at $128.77.

FL - Foot Locker, Inc. – Options on athletic footwear and apparel retailer, Foot Locker, Inc., are more active than usual this morning following the release of better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday. Shares in the New York, New York-based Company rallied earlier in the session, but slipped into negative territory to trade 1.1% lower on the day at $29.10 as of 11:30 a.m. on the East…
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Bullish Bets Build In Wynn Resorts Weekly Options

www.interactivebrokers.com

 

Today’s tickers: WYNN, CTRP, DTV & WMT

WYNN - Wynn Resorts, Ltd. – Weekly options on Wynn Resorts are humming with activity today on news the casino operator is cutting ties with principal shareholder and director, Kazuo Okada. Wynn is the biggest gainer in the S&P 500 Index this afternoon, with the stock trading 6.7% higher on the day at $120.24. Options activity suggests some traders expect the stock to extend gains on the news, at least through the end of this week. Feb. ’24 $120 strike calls printed the most volume of the weekly contracts, with some 2,660 lots changing hands against open interest of 204 positions. It looks like most of the $120 strike calls were purchased for an average premium of $2.04 apiece. Traders long the contracts stand ready to profit at expiration in the event that Wynn’s shares rally another 1.5% to surpass the average breakeven price of $122.04. Bullish activity spread to the higher Feb. ’24 $125 strike where around 1,100 call options were snapped up at an average premium of $0.50 each. Finally, fresh interest is building in far out-of-the-money contracts at the Feb. ’24 $130 strike where some 925 contracts traded against zero open positions. Most of the calls appear to have been purchased for an average premium of $0.16 each, positioning traders to profit should shares soar 8.25% to top the average breakeven price of $130.16 by expiration. Shares in WYNN last traded above $130.16 in November of last year.

CTRP - Ctrip.com International, Ltd. – Shares in China’s largest online travel site took a big hit Tuesday after the Company reported lower-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings on Monday. The earnings miss was followed by a number of analyst downgrades, helping drive Ctrip.com’s shares down as much as 10.3% to an intraday…
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TGIF – Saved by the Bell or on a Highway to Hell?

UUP WEEKLYWheeeeeeeee, what a ride this week!

Since we went bearish on Tuesday afternoon, the Dow has dropped 450 points.  That pushed our White Christmas Portfolio over the top (as we flipped bearish, of course) with a virtual balance of $26,075 including $2,565 of unrealized gains on our still-open (and still bearish) positions.  That’s up $11,075 (73.7%) from our $15,000 start on October 24th and we’ll be getting back to cash and going for another $10,000 (our original goal) before Christmas.  

How did we do it?  We teach keeping trades short and simple in a choppy market as we stick to our trading range.  Trades in the WCP were very much like the trade ideas I published Wednesday morning, from our Tuesday Member Chat at 3:21.  As we had a little BS rally Wednesday afternoon, many of the trades were still makeable that day.  In fact, in Seeking Allpha, where the post didn’t even go up until later that morning, Jamesbwood was able to take advantage of the XOM $77.50 puts at .14 (less than our original entry) and took a double off the table at .28 – a 100% day trade!  

All of those trades ideas are great examples of the kind of trades we look for in our White Christmas Portfolio (our current, virtual, short-term portfolio) – ones we can get quickly in and out of with nice gains.  We were quite satisfied with our oil shorts and cashed those out yesterday and, had President Obama followed my advice and sold those 140M barrels for $100 (could have gotten $102), he could have bought them back yesterday at $98.50 for a quick $210M profit – enough to pay for at least an hour’s worth of the deficit!  Percentage-wise, he would have been better off subscribing and taking those trade ideas from our Member Chat.  Those Wednesday morning trade ideas were:  

  • GOOG $625/620 bear put spread at $3.10 is a nice downside play – figure risking $1 to make $1.90.
  • GOOG is at $600 and this spread will likely expire at $5 today – up 61.3%

  • MMM $82.50 puts are $1, also a good trade for a crash tomorrow.
  • MMM finished the day at $80.43 and the $82.50 puts were $2.35 – up 135%

  • WYNN $130/125 bear put


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Help One Of Our Own PSW Members

"Hello PSW Members –

This is a non-trading topic, but I wanted to post it during trading hours so as many eyes can see it as possible.  Feel free to contact me directly at jennifersurovy@yahoo.com with any questions.

Last fall there was some discussion on the PSW board regarding setting up a YouCaring donation page for a PSW member, Shadowfax. Since then, we have been looking into ways to help get him additional medical services and to pay down his medical debts.  After following those leads, we are ready to move ahead with the YouCaring site. (Link is posted below.)  Any help you can give will be greatly appreciated; not only to help aid in his medical bill debt, but to also show what a great community this group is.

http://www.youcaring.com/medical-fundraiser/help-get-shadowfax-out-from-the-darkness-of-medical-bills-/126743

Thank you for you time!

 
 

Zero Hedge

CIA Warned Obama that Funding Rebels Doesn't Work ... But Obama Decided to Fund Syrian Rebels ANYWAY For Cynical Political Gain

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by George Washington.

Painting by Anthony Freda.

 

We’ve pointed out for years that arming the Syrian and Libyan rebels to topple leaders we don’t like is a really stupid idea.

It turns out that the CIA agrees with us.

The New York Times ...



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Chart School

S&P 500 Snapshot: IBM Plunges, But Day Three of the Broader Rally

Courtesy of Doug Short.

With no economic news today, there was little to distract from IBM's pre-market announcement of disappointing Q3 earnings. The company (my employer in a special business unit from 1984 to 1997) plunged at the open. It trimmed its closing loss to -7.17%. The popular press reports that the Oracle of Omaha (aka Warren Buffett) lost about $1 Billion today, based on his latest SEC filings. In contrast, after today's close Apple announced strong earnings and upward sales guidance. It was up 2.14% today and is trading higher after the close.

The S&P 500 was minimally impacted by the IBM fiasco. The index hit its -0.24% intraday low shortly after the open but quickly recovered and chugged higher through the day, closing with its third consecutive advance, up 0.91% and not far off its 0.97% intraday hi...



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Phil's Favorites

GOLDMAN: We're Blaming The Stock Market Sell-Off On A Pullback In Buybacks

GOLDMAN: We’re Blaming The Stock Market Sell-Off On A Pullback In Buybacks

Courtesy of 

Ever since the financial crisis, S&P 500 companies have spent about $2 trillion buying back shares of their own stock.

Some market experts have warned that a pullback in buybacks would cause stock prices to fall.

Goldman Sachs' David Kostin believes a temporary pullback may explain why the S&P 500 has tumbled from its all-time high of 2,019 on Sept. 1...



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All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: David is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of October 20th, 2014

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Insider Scoop

UPDATE: Bank Of America Reiterates On ITT Educational Services As Shares Surge But Risks Remain

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related ESI Urban Outfitters Drops On Q4 Profit Warning; Mead Johnson Nutrition Shares Spike Higher ITT Educational Services Shares Soar On Preliminary Results

In a report published Monday, Bank of America analyst Sara Gubins reiterated an Underperform rating on ITT Educational Services, Inc. (NYSE: ESI), and raised the price target from $7.00 to $8.00.

In the report, Bank of America noted, “ESI shares rall...



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Market Shadows

Falling Energy Prices: Sober Look takes a Sober Look

Falling Energy Prices: Sober Look takes a Sober Look

What do falling energy prices mean for the US consumer? Sober Look writes a brief yet thorough overview of the consequences of the correction in the price of crude oil. There are good aspects, particularly for the consumer, bad aspects, and out-right ugly possibilities. For more on this subject, read James Hamilton's How will Saudi Arabia respond to lower oil prices?  In previous eras, Saudi Arabia would tighten the supply to help increase prices, but in this "game of chicken," the rules m...



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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

Newsletter writers are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's this week's Stock World Weekly. Just sign in with your PSW user name and password. (Or take a free trial.)

#457319216 / gettyimages.com

 

...

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Sabrient

Sector Detector: Semiconductors get slammed as investors scramble to protect profits

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics

Volatility continues to increase in the stock market and many of the leaders are breaking down. In particular, semiconductors took a rather big hit when one of the bellwethers warned of weakening global demand. Nevertheless, despite the significant headwinds, I do not think this spells the end of the bull market. But the technical damage to the charts is severe, particularly to the small caps, which are in full-blown correction mode. The large caps must show leadership and rally immediately -- or it will put at risk the critical and widely-anticipated year-end rally.

In this weekly update, I give my view of the current market environment, offer a technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart, review our weekly fundamentals-based SectorCast rankings of the ten U.S. business sectors, and then offer up ...



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Option Review

Release Of Fed Minutes, Icahn Tweet Boost Shares In Apple

Shares in Apple (Ticker: AAPL) are near their highs of the session in the final hour of trading on Wednesday, adding to the muted gains seen earlier in the day, following the release of the September FOMC meeting minutes and after activist investor and Apple shareholder Carl Icahn tweeted, “Tmrw we’ll be sending an open letter to @tim_cook. Believe it will be interesting.” Icahn’s tweet hit the ether at 2:33 pm ET and was met with a spike in volume in Apple shares. The stock is currently up 2.0% on the day at $100.75 as of 3:15 pm ET.

Chart – Apple rally accelerate...



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Digital Currencies

Bitcoin Has Been Getting Obliterated

Joe has found a place for Bitcoins, and if you hold a lot of them, you won't like it.

Bitcoin Has Been Getting Obliterated

Courtesy of 

Remember Bitcoin?

There's not much to say about it, except that it's doing TERRIBLY.

Here's a chart going back to earlier this summer. Charts don't get uglier than this.

Bitcoinwisdom

Interestingly, the Bitcoin industry continues to be quite excited about the prospects for the digital currency, and there continue to be announcements about expand...



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Promotions

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Pharmboy

Biotechs & Bubbles

Reminder: Pharmboy is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Well PSW Subscribers....I am still here, barely.  From my last post a few months ago to now, nothing has changed much, but there are a few bargins out there that as investors, should be put on the watch list (again) and if so desired....buy a small amount.

First, the media is on a tear against biotechs/pharma, ripping companies for their drug prices.  Gilead's HepC drug, Sovaldi, is priced at $84K for the 12-week treatment.  Pundits were screaming bloody murder that it was a total rip off, but when one investigates the other drugs out there, and the consequences of not taking Sovaldi vs. another drug combinations, then things become clearer.  For instance, Olysio (JNJ) is about $66,000 for a 12-week treatment, but is approved for fewer types of patients AND...



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