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Friday, May 3, 2024

Weekly Market Commentary: Nasdaq Ready to Run?

Courtesy of Declan Fallon

Can the Nasdaq follow the Nasdaq 100 higher? The index cleared a five week consolidation and is on the cusp of pushing through supply and into ‘fresh air’.

AAAA Nasdaq

via StockCharts.com

The Nasdaq 100 is leading the way. It too cleared its consolidation, but from a position of strength (i.e. limited supply). The trend is your friend.

($NDX)

via StockCharts.com

The Russell 2000 is also catching upward momentum with a bull flag breakout. If it plays out as a measured move then look for a push towards 1,000.

($RUT)

via StockCharts.com

The S&P is also above a resistance level and has 1,440 in its sights

($SPX)

via StockCharts.com

Overall Market Breadth for Nasadaq and S&P is in general decline (bearish divergence), but is far enough away from resistance to suggest this rally could move higher. The Nasdaq Summation Index is one such example, moving to a confirmed ‘Sell’ Trigger but offering upside potential.

($NASI)

via StockCharts.com

Play it long until proven otherwise. On the weeklies, this means an undercut of last week’s low as a minimum.

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