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Tuesday, April 30, 2024

World Markets Weekend Review: Major Rally (Except Shanghai)

Courtesy of Doug Short

What a difference from last week, when my update title was Major Sell-Off (Except Shanghai). The seven major world markets I track were up on average 1.22% last week, with all the markets in the green except for the Shanghai Composite, which lost 1.75%. Even with its 2.19% gain, S&P 500 finished second to the Hang Seng, but it remains closest to its interim high following the Financial Crisis lows.

The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these seven major indexes. I’ve also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.

 

 

The chart below illustrates the comparative performance of World Markets since March 9, 2009. The start date is arbitrary: The S&P 500 and BSE SENSEX hit their lows on March 9th, the Nikkei 225 on March 10th, the DAX on March 6th, the FTSE on March 3rd, the Shanghai Composite on November 4, 2008, and the Hang Seng even earlier on October 27, 2008. However, by aligning on the same day and measuring the percent change, we get a better sense of the relative performance than if we align the lows.

 

 

A Longer Look Back

Here is the same chart starting from the turn of 21st century. The relative over-performance of the emerging markets (Shanghai, Mumbai, Hang Seng) is readily apparent.

 

 

Check back next weekend for a new update.

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