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Monday, May 6, 2024

One Chart That Explains The Stupidity Of Congress’ SPR Plan

Courtesy of Arthur Berman of OilPrice.com

Buy high, sell low. The definition of stupid.

That’s what Congress is considering as it eyes selling oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to pay for certain projects in its latest spending plan.

The last time the U.S. bought oil for the SPR in 2000 through 2005, oil prices were rising (Figure 1). Now Congress wants to sell oil when prices are the lowest in a decade and continuing to fall. [If prices are continuing to fall, and not bottoming, then selling and buying back cheaper would make sense. That said, however, I think prices are nearer to a bottom. ~ Ilene]

Figure 1. U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve stocks and WTI crude oil price in October 2015 dollars per barrel. (Click Image To Enlarge)
Source: EIA, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Board of St. Louis & Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc.

Members of Congress who routinely tell us that they are good at business need to look at the chart above and explain why we should believe them.

Selling oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve now is a terrible idea.

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