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Friday, May 24, 2024

S&P 500 Snapshot: A Modest Gain on Light Volume

Courtesy of Doug Short’s Advisor Perspectives.

Tuesday’s Yellen rally spilled into Wednesday, but at a decelerating rate. The S&P 500 surged at the open, traded in a narrow range to its 0.84% intraday high around 90 minutes later and then lost steam in a couple of waves during the afternoon. The index closed the session with a modest 0.44% gain … half the size of its Tuesday advance.

The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.83%, up two basis points from the previous close.

Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.

S&P 500

Here is a daily chart of the index. Volume remains well below its 50-day moving average.

S&P 500

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here’s a snapshot of selloffs since the 2009 trough.

S&P 500 Drawdowns

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

S&P 500 MAs

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 MAs

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We’ve also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

S&P 500 Snapshot

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