Archive for 2018

Donald Trump doesn’t understand Haiti, immigration or American history

 

Donald Trump doesn't understand Haiti, immigration or American history

Courtesy of Chantalle F. VernaFlorida International University

 

File 20180112 101483 169uyt2.jpg?ixlib=rb 1.1

After Haiti signed its Declaration of Independence from France, in 1804, the U.S. started a nearly 60-year political and economic embargo that hobbled the young nation’s growth. Wikimedia

Donald Trump’s denigrating comments about Haiti during a recent congressional meeting shocked people around the globe, but given his track record of disrespecting immigrants, they were not actually that surprising.

Despite campaign promises that Trump would be Haiti’s “biggest champion,” his administration had already demonstrated its disregard for people from this Caribbean island. In November 2017, the Department of Homeland Security announced it would end the Temporary Protected Status that had allowed 59,000 Haitians to stay in the U.S. after a calamitous Jan. 12, 2010 earthquake.

Their TPS was extended after Hurricane Matthew devastated Haiti again in 2016. Without protected status, these Haitian migrants have until July 2019 to get a green card, leave voluntarily or be deported.

As a scholar and first-generation Haitan-American, I can attest that Trump’s statements and policies reflect not just disrespect for Haiti but also a profound ignorance about how migration occurs.

Why history matters

As shown in my recent book, “Haiti and the Uses of America,” history shapes where immigrants choose to build their lives.

Outsiders head to the United States in times of crisis not at random but because historic ties point them in this direction. When nativists like President Trump and Attorney General Jeff Sessions refer to immigrants as “criminal aliens” – perpetuating the idea that foreigners are “invading” the country – they ignore this key fact.

Movement from Haiti to the U.S. has its roots in colonial times, when British, French and Spanish traders exchanged coffee, cotton and mahogany between the two territories.

In the 1790s, thousands of white and mixed-race residents sought refuge from a revolutionary war in colonial Haiti, which was then called Saint Domingue. Fleeing an uprising by enslaved men and women of African descent, French colonists boarded ships following historic trade routes to U.S.…
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5 Biggest Price Target Changes For Monday

Courtesy of Benzinga.

  • Bernstein raised Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW) price target from $69 to $125. Lowe’s shares closed at $104.95 on Friday.
  • Credit Suisse boosted the price target for Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN) from $67 to $81. Lennar shares closed at $71.82 on Friday.
  • Raymond James increased the price target for AFLAC Incorporated (NYSE: AFL) from $88 to $100. AFLAC shares closed at $86.82 on Friday.
  • Bank of America raised the price target on Cornerstone OnDemand, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSOD) from $42 to $48. Cornerstone OnDemand shares closed at $40.12 on Friday.
  • JP Morgan cut the price target for Adient PLC (NYSE: ADNT) from $86 to $74. Adient shares closed at $71.94 on Friday.

Posted-In: Price Target ChangesPrice Target Intraday Update Analyst Ratings





8 Stocks To Watch For January 22, 2018

Courtesy of Benzinga.

8 Stocks To Watch For January 22, 2018

Some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are:

  • Wall Street expects Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) to post quarterly earnings at $0.42 per share on revenue of $3.28 billion after the closing bell. Netflix shares gained 0.06 percent to close at $220.46 on Friday.
  • Analysts are expecting Halliburton Company (NYSE: HAL) to have earned $0.46 per share on revenue of $5.63 billion in the latest quarter. Halliburton will release earnings before the markets open. Halliburton shares rose 1.24 percent to close at $53.01 on Friday.
  • Sanmina Corp (NASDAQ: SANM) lowered its forecast for the first quarter and also issued a weak outlook for the second quarter. Sanmina shares rose 1.43 percent to close at $35.45 on Friday.

Find out what’s going on in today’s market and bring any questions you have to Benzinga’s PreMarket Prep.

  • Before the markets open, Brown & Brown, Inc. (NYSE: BRO) is projected to post quarterly earnings at $0.42 per share on revenue of $453.10 million. Brown & Brown shares gained 0.27 percent to close at $52.50 on Friday.
  • Sanofi SA (ADR) (NYSE: SNY) announced plans to acquire Bioverativ Inc (NASDAQ: BIVV) for $11.6 billion, or $105 per share in cash. Sanofi shares fell 3.03 percent to $43.25 in pre-market trading, while Bioverativ shares jumped 61.83 percent to $103.75 in pre-market trading.
  • Analysts expect Steel Dynamics, Inc. (NASDAQ: STLD) to post quarterly earnings at $0.53 per share on revenue of $2.20 billion after the closing bell. Steel Dynamics shares rose 0.35 percent to close at $46.42 on Friday.
  • Before the opening bell, Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ: ZION) is estimated to post quarterly earnings at $0.74 per share on revenue of $668.15 million. Zions Bancorp shares gained 1.65 percent to close at $53.73 on Friday.

Posted-In: Stocks To WatchEarnings News Pre-Market Outlook Markets Trading Ideas





34 Biggest Movers From Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Gainers

  • Forward Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: FORD) shares surged 137.9 percent to close at $2.95 on Friday after the company reported the acquisition of Intelligent Product Solutions.
  • NuCana PLC (ADR) (NASDAQ: NCNA) shares climbed 41.55 percent to close at $20.51 as the company announced plans to initiate a Phase 3 study of Acelarin in front-line advanced biliary tract cancer.
  • New Age Beverages Corporation (NASDAQ: NBEV) shares jumped 22.5 percent to close at $3.92 on Friday.
  • Bioblast Pharma Ltd. (NASDAQ: ORPN) shares gained 22.45 percent to close at $33.00.
  • Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (NASDAQ: COLL) shares jumped 15.69 percent to close at $23.38.
  • Checkpoint Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: CKPT) shares gained 15.15 percent to close at $4.652 on Friday.
  • National Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ: NHLD) shares rose 14.7 percent to close at $3.98.
  • Rexahn Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NYSE: RNN) shares gained 13.74 percent to close at $2.40.
  • Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NYSE: NINE) shares rose 13.48 percent to close at $26.10.
  • ShiftPixy, Inc. (NASDAQ: PIXY) shares gained 12.98 percent to close at $3.83 on Friday.
  • Sientra, Inc. (NASDAQ: SIEN) shares jumped 12.88 percent to close at $11.66 on Friday. Stifel Nicolaus upgraded Sientra from Hold to Buy.
  • Ocular Therapeutix Inc (NASDAQ: OCUL) rose 12.45 percent to close at $6.23. BTIG Research upgraded Ocular Therapeutix from Neutral to Buy.
  • Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: IOVA) shares rose 11.17 percent to close at $10.70 on Friday.
  • Gridsum Holding Inc. (NASDAQ: GSUM) shares gained 9.3 percent to close at $12.58 on Friday.
  • Acorda Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: ACOR) rose 8.8 percent to close at $27.20 amid M&A chatter. The biopharmaceutical company that focuses on improving the lives of people with neurological disorders is reportedly being targeted for an acquisition by Biogen Inc (NASDAQ: BIIB) or Belgian-based UcB.
  • PLx Pharma Inc (NASDAQ: PLXP) rose 8.2 percent to close at $6.60. Janney Capital initiated coverage on PLx Pharma with a Buy rating and a $14.00 price target.
  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) gained 5.12


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As The Bitcoin Short Quietly Grows, Is A Short Squeeze Imminent?

 

As The Bitcoin Short Quietly Grows, Is A Short Squeeze Imminent?

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Two weeks ago, when bitcoin was trading in the $15,000 range, we published what in retrospect was a warning to bitcoin investors, highlighting that traders of bitcoin futures appeared to be quietly building a net short position. As we reported on Jan. 7, CFTC data for leveraged funds – which consists largely of hedge funds and various money managers – showed a short of around $14mm, or around a quarter of the total open interest. "In other words", we summarized, "spec investors have used the futures contracts to establish Bitcoin shorts."

Just a few days later, following what in retrospect appears to have been overblown and misinterpreted news out of South Korea that the country was preparing a bill to ban bitcoin exchanges, something it has since denied (for now, at least), as well as frayed nerves after the shuttering of the allegedly fraudulent crypto-exchange platform BitConnect, those bitcoin shorts were generously rewarded, generating profits as much as 40% when bitcoin tumbled to a low of $9000 last week, before rebounding modestly since.

To be sure, the decline in prices across the crypto space last week was broad-based, with the aggregate market capitalization of cryptocurrencies declining by around 35% from a peak of around $800bn on Jan 6 to around $520bn on Jan 16. Cryptocurrencies eventually recovered on Jan 18 although the the recovery in Bitcoin was more modest, leading to a decline in the Bitcoin share of the total cryptocurrency market cap to below 30% for the first time.

And while some had already written off bitcoin futures barely a month after their launch due to lack of volume and trader participation, the recent sharp movements in crypto prices saw a rebound in trading volumes across the three largest cryptocurrencies, as the next chart from JPMorgan shows.

Trading volumes in Bitcoin futures on both the CME and CBOE also rose significantly, to $180mn and $165mn, respectively, approaching the highs of around $190mn on Dec 23, compared to average daily volumes of around $80mn and $70mn respectively between these two peaks.

While volumes picked up, overall participation in the futs markets remained shallow,…
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The US Equity Market Has Never Done This Before

 

The US Equity Market Has Never Done This Before

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Three charts to consider ahead of Monday's post-Government-Shutdown open.

VALUE

The S&P 500 is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.35x… a new record high for valuation…

GREED

The S&P 500 is up 8 of the last 9 weeks, 16 of the last 19 weeks, and 15 of the last 15 months (and 22 of the last 23 months – since The Shanghai Accord). This has pushed The S&P 500 to an RSI of 88.4… a new record high for overbought…

FEAR

The S&P 500 has averaged about four 5% declines – from peak to trough – annually since 1927, but volatility in US stocks has evaporated in recent years. Amid a reportedly robust global economy and still supportive global monetary policy, Friday's 0.4% gain meant that the S&P 500 extended its streak to 395 days without a 5% reversal… a new a new record for tranquillity…

As The FT notes, the last time the S&P 500 suffered a 5 per cent setback was in the global market carnage that followed the UK’s shock vote in June 2016 to leave the EU, which constitutes the last significant, if brief, bout of volatility in markets. The last time the US stock market suffered an actual correction – typically defined as a drop of over 10 per cent from the recent peak — was in early 2016, when investors’ anxiety grew over the state of China’s economy.

Some investors and analysts fear that the tranquillity is encouraging investors to stop buying protection against declines, or to making aggressive “short” bets on volatility staying low through complicated derivatives – which could exacerbate any turbulence that might erupt.

Underscoring the combination of ebullience and simmering fears, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s latest investor survey indicated that most fund managers think the bull market will continue into 2019, but said that “short volatility” was the most crowded trade in markets.

“The short volatility trade remains strong – even though it is a huge potential risk,” Mark Tinker, a fund manager at Axa Investment Managers,


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Roughly 20 Senators Support Bipartisan Plan To Reopen Government

 

Roughly 20 Senators Support Bipartisan Plan To Reopen Government

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

With Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell calling for a procedural vote on a senate measure that would keep the federal government running through Feb. 8 to begin at 1 am Monday, a bipartisan group of senators signaled that they're nearing an agreement to reopen the government following a Sunday afternoon meeting,  the Hill reported.

Georgia Senator Johnny Isakson said the group had reached a "consensus of understanding" – essentially agreeing to the broad strokes of a plan to satisfy recalcitrant Democrats and Republicans, per the Hill.

As they left the meeting in Maine senator Susan Collins's office, some members expressed optimism that they will reach an understanding, if not a final agreement, that would let them move forward.

South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham predicted that the group could cobble together a deal before the 1 am vote.

"Yeah because if it doesn't happen tonight it's going to be a lot harder," he said, alluding to the fact that most federal agencies have elected to wait until Monday before implementing the terms of the shutdown (here's a quick guide to what departments and services will be impacted by the shutdown)…

As the BBC  pointed out, the closure of many federal services will be felt around the country and hundreds of thousands of federal staff face unpaid leave.

According to Politico, the senators took their proposal to McConnell and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer after the 90-minute meeting. The plan would reopen the government through Feb. 8 and have McConnell commit on the Senate floor to holding an immigration vote before that date.

The previous government shutdown started in September 2013 and endured for 16 days…

However, this is the first time a government shutdown has happened while one party in this case, the Republicans – controls both Congress and the White House.

And according to the Associated Press, the 2013 shutdown left 800,000 government workers on temporary leave.

The bipartisan group isn't crafting separate legislation. Instead, senators say the bulk of their talks were about how to get 60 votes for the bill to fund the government through Feb. 8, paired with a…
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Twitter Just Emailed 677,775 Users Who Interacted With “Russian Bots” During The Election

 

Twitter Just Emailed 677,775 Users Who Interacted With "Russian Bots" During The Election

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Twitter has taken it upon themselves to remind everyone that Russian influence is why Donald Trump won the election – and most certainly not the fact that the DNC ran a candidate who, along with her charity, continues to be under active investigation by the DOJ and the IRS.

To that end, if you're one of 677,775 Twitter users who followed, retweeted or liked content from one of 3,814 accounts allegedly run by a "Russian government-linked organization" known as the Internet Research Agency (IRA) during the election, you've likely received an email from Twitter like the one below:

During October, 2017 Congressional hearings, Twitter said that the IRA Russian "troll farm" accounts generated 175,993 posts between 2015 and 2017 - of which 8.4% were election-related. 

Other Russian bot campaigns were directed at support for Black Lives Matter, Occupy, anti-fracking, and opposition to regime change in Syria. 

In addition to the 3,814 accounts tied to the IRA, Twitter says a total of 50,258 accounts have been identified as "Russian-linked," - constituting 0.016% of total Twitter accounts. 

Twitter also noted in a blog post regarding this week's mass emailing that the accounts in question were a "very small fraction" of the overall Twitter activity right before the 2016 election.

The results of this supplemental analysis are consistent with the results of our previous work: automated election-related content associated with Russian signals represented a very small fraction of the overall activity on Twitter in the ten-week period preceding the 2016 election.

The company gave several examples of content from said Russian bots:



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Peak Oil Demand Is A Slow-Motion Train Wreck

 

Peak Oil Demand Is A Slow-Motion Train Wreck

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Authored by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com,

Will oil demand peak within five years? 15 years? Or not until 2040 or 2050?

The precise date at which oil demand hits a high point and then enters into decline has been the subject of much debate, and a topic that has attracted a lot of interest just in the last few years. Consumption levels in some parts of the world have already begun to stagnate, and more and more automakers have begun to ratchet up their plans for electric vehicles.

But the exact date the world will hit peak demand kind of misses the whole point, argues a new report, which is notable since it is coauthored by BP’s chief economist Spencer Dale, along with Bassam Fattouh, the director of The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

They argue that the focus shouldn’t be on the date at which oil demand peaks, but rather the fact that the peak is coming at all. “The significance of peak oil is that it signals a shift from an age of perceived scarcity to an age of abundance,” they wrote. In other words, oil won’t be on the only game in town when it comes to fueling the global transportation system, which will have far-reaching consequences for oil producers and consumers alike.

The exact date is unknowable, and in any event, the year in which the world does hit peak consumption won’t result in some abrupt “discontinuity of behavior,” the report argues. Demand growth will slow and then decline, but probably won’t fall off a cliff. So, the exact date of peak oil demand is “not particularly interesting.”

Nevertheless, the implications of a looming peak in oil consumption are massive. Without an economic transformation, or at least serious diversification, oil-producing nations that depend on oil revenues for both economic growth and to finance public spending, face an uncertain future.

And slowing demand growth is occurring at a time when supply is less of a concern than it used to be, in large part because new drilling technologies have led to a wave of supply from shale. “The world isn’t going to…
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FX Weekly Preview: US Government Shutdown Dampens USD Recovery, But We Have Been Here Before

 

FX Weekly Preview: US Government Shutdown Dampens USD Recovery, But We Have Been Here Before

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

Submitted by Shant Movsesian and Rajan Dhall MSTA fxdailyterminal.com

Late Friday we got the news that the Senate failed to get the votes to put a funding gap in place, leading to the government shut down which started at modnight on Jan. 20.  We expect when Asia markets open up on Sunday night, we will get a knee-jerk hit on the USD, but whether this will have a material impact on the rest of the week will be defined by sentiment on the Treasury market, which has prompted the latest leg lower in the greenback.

Fears of demand out of China and Japan have been instrumental in the pick up in yields, which have been followed up in the rest of the major bond markets, with 10yr Bunds pulled up to 57.5bps while Gilts now stand at 134bps.  The US 10yr Note reached 2.66%, but a large chunk of this is down to anticipated selling interest ahead.

We feel this may be a little overdone, based on the premise that both China and Japan will not feel comfortable with any significant appreciation in the CNH or JPY.  Any communication from the respective central banks on reserve ratios will have to be measured at the very least, with China already citing misinformation in the reports that they may trim or halt purchases from hereon out.  The BoJ will also continue to communicate their intent on maintaining their current program, with the markets now pre-empting normalisation which was something we were watching from the end of last year.  The ECB know all about taper tantrums, and it looks as though the BoJ could be the next target, but this will impact across the spectrum of currencies, where the likes of EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY could be a little vulnerable.  

This does not preclude lower levels in USD/JPY, where 110.00 is proving to be near term support point, but currency markets are hungry for any notable themes, irrespective of whether they may be premature or not.   We have seen this play through in EUR/USD, with the prospect of signalling an end to the QE program setting off strong gains here which has taken out 1.2300,…
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ValueWalk

#1 Performing Global Macro Hedge Fund Sees More Shorts Opportunities Ahead As China Bursts

By Jacob Wolinsky. Originally published at ValueWalk.

Crescat Global Macro Fund update to investors on 1/19/2019

Crescat Global Macro Fund and Crescat Long/Short fund delivered strong returns for both December and full year 2018 in a difficult market. Based on ...



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Zero Hedge

Johns Hopkins, Bristol-Myers Face $1 Billion Suit For Infecting Guatemalan Hookers With Syphilis 

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

A federal judge in Maryland said Johns Hopkins University, pharmaceutical company Bristol-Myers Squibb and the Rockefeller Foundation must face a $1 billion lawsuit over their roles in a top-secret program in the 1940s ran by the US government that injected hundreds of Guatemalans with syphilis, reported Reuters.

Several doctors from Hopkins an...



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Phil's Favorites

Divisive economics

 

Guest author David Brin — scientist, technology consultant, best-selling author and futurist — explores the records of Democrats and Republicans on the US economy in the following post. For David's latest posts, visit the CONTRARY BRIN blog. For his books and short stories, visit his web...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Stock declines did not break 9-year support, says Joe Friday

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

We often hear “Stocks take an escalator up and an elevator down!” No doubt stocks did experience a swift decline from the September highs to the Christmas eve lows. Looks like the “elevator” part of the phrase came true as 2018 was coming to an end.

The first part of the “stocks take an escalator up” seems to still be in play as well despite the swift decline of late.

Joe Friday Just The Facts Ma’am- All of these indices hit long-term rising support on Christmas Eve at each (1), where support held and rallies have followed.

If you find long-term perspectives helpf...



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Digital Currencies

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

 

Transparency and privacy: Empowering people through blockchain

Blockchain technologies can empower people by allowing them more control over their user data. Shutterstock

Courtesy of Ajay Kumar Shrestha, University of Saskatchewan

Blockchain has already proven its huge influence on the financial world with its first application in the form of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. It might not be long before its impact is felt everywhere.

Blockchain is a secure chain of digital records that exist on multiple computers simultaneously so no record can be erased or falsified. The...



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Insider Scoop

Cars.com Explores Strategic Alternatives, Analyst Sees Possible Sale Price Around $30 Per Share

Courtesy of Benzinga.

Related 44 Biggest Movers From Yesterday 38 Stocks Moving In Wednesday's Mid-Day Session ...

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Chart School

Weekly Market Recap Jan 13, 2019

Courtesy of Blain.

In last week’s recap we asked:  “Has the Fed solved all the market’s problems in 1 speech?”

Thus far the market says yes!  As Guns n Roses preached – all we need is a little “patience”.  Four up days followed by a nominal down day Friday had the market following it’s normal pattern the past nearly 30 years – jumping whenever the Federal Reserve hints (or essentially says outright) it is here for the markets.   And in case you missed it the prior Friday, Chairman Powell came back out Thursday to reiterate the news – so…so… so… patient!

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced that message Thursday during a discussion at the Economic Club of Washington where he said that the central bank will be “fle...



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Members' Corner

Why Trump Can't Learn

 

Bill Eddy (lawyer, therapist, author) predicted Trump's chaotic presidency based on his high-conflict personality, which was evident years ago. This post, written in 2017, references a prescient article Bill wrote before Trump even became president, 5 Reasons Trump Can’t Learn. ~ Ilene 

Why Trump Can’t Learn

Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore (...



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Biotech

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Opening Pandora's Box: Gene editing and its consequences

Bacteriophage viruses infecting bacterial cells , Bacterial viruses. from www.shutterstock.com

Courtesy of John Bergeron, McGill University

Today, the scientific community is aghast at the prospect of gene editing to create “designer” humans. Gene editing may be of greater consequence than climate change, or even the consequences of unleashing the energy of the atom.

...

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Mapping The Market

Trump: "I Won't Be Here" When It Blows Up

By Jean-Luc

Maybe we should simply try him for treason right now:

Trump on Coming Debt Crisis: ‘I Won’t Be Here’ When It Blows Up

The president thinks the balancing of the nation’s books is going to, ultimately, be a future president’s problem.

By Asawin Suebsaeng and Lachlan Markay, Daily Beast

The friction came to a head in early 2017 when senior officials offered Trump charts and graphics laying out the numbers and showing a “hockey stick” spike in the nationa...



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OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of September 11th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



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Promotions

Free eBook - "My Top Strategies for 2017"

 

 

Here's a free ebook for you to check out! 

Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

This chapter isn’t about risk or leverage. Phil present a few smart, practical ideas you can use as a hedge against inflation as well as hedging strategies designed to assist you in staying ahead of the markets.

Some other great content in this free eBook includes:

 

·       How 2017 Will Affect Oil, the US Dollar and the European Union

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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