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Friday, October 30, 2026

If You Think You Know How the Iran War Ends, Think Again

If You Think You Know How the Iran War Ends, Think Again

Military commanders and planners have a way of preparing for the unexpected.

By Mark Hertling, The Bulwark

PRESIDENT TRUMP DECLARED YET AGAIN this week that the war with Iran is almost over. “We have to finish up,” he said. “And it’s only a question of which way: Do we want to do it the nice way or the not-so-nice way?”

The unequivocalness of the president’s prediction—made months into a war he repeatedly said would last only days—set off alarm bells in my head. My experience in combat and in planning for operations and global contingencies taught me always to question when I or anyone else expressed certainty about the future—especially as it concerns war.

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