Posts Tagged ‘rfmd’

Estee Lauder Options Rosy On Stock’s Performance Near Term

Options brief will resume April 8, 2013.

Today’s tickers: EL, RFMD & AVGO

EL - Estee Lauder Cos., Inc. – Options changing hands on Estee Lauder today look for shares in the maker of skincare products, makeup and fragrances to post attractive gains in the near term. Shares in the provider of high quality products sold under brand names that include Bobbi Brown, La Mer, and Clinique, are up slightly today, trading 0.25% higher on the session at $65.04 as of 11:55 a.m. ET. The stock has rallied approximately 8% since the start of 2013. Overall options volume on Estee Lauder is running at roughly three times the stock’s average daily volume as of midday in New York, with upwards of 3,200 contracts traded. Most of the action is in the May $65 strike call, where around 2,400 calls changed hands versus open interest of 805 contracts. It looks like most of the $65 calls were purchased this morning for an average premium of $2.35 apiece. The bullish strategy pays off at expiration if shares in EL rally another 3.5% over the current price of $65.04 to surpass the breakeven point at $67.35. Call buyers may be looking to benefit from a pop in Estee Lauder’s shares following the company’s third-quarter earnings report on May 2nd.

RFMD - RF Micro Devices, Inc. – Bearish activity in RF Micro Devices options this morning suggests one trader is bracing for shares in the name to potentially decline substantially during the next six weeks. The stock has moved higher in recent months, up more than 10% year to date. Shares today are down 0.60% at $5.10 as of 12:10 p.m. ET. May expiry put buying on RFMD may be looking for the stock to pullback following the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report later this month. Upwards of 6,600 puts were purchased at the May $5.0 strike at a premium of $0.35 each during the first hour of the trading session. The bearish stance on RF Micro Devices makes money at expiration if shares…
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Call Volume Pops At Halcon Resources

 

Today’s tickers: HK, ZMH & RFMD

HK - Halcon Resources Corp. – Shares in energy company, Halcon Resources, rallied more than 6.0% to an intraday high of $7.74 on Tuesday morning, sparking heavy trading traffic in upside call options on the stock. Bursts of heavy call buying on the stock earlier in the session suggests one or more options traders are positioning for shares in Halcon to increase sharply in the near and long term. Traders looking for shares in HK to potentially rally to the highest level since September of 2012 by May expiration snapped up around 2,300 calls at the May $8.0 strike for an average premium of $0.36 each. The company is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings during the first full week in May. Bulls looked to October expiry calls, as well. It looks like traders picked up around 700 calls at the Oct. $9.0 strike for an average premium of $0.65 each, and purchased 1,100 call options at the Oct. $10 strike at an average premium of $0.47 apiece. Buyers of the October expiry $10 strike calls may profit at expiration in the event that Halcon’s shares surge 35% to top the average breakeven price $10.47. The most heavily traded contracts on HK on Tuesday morning were the Jan. 2015 $12 strike calls, which traded upwards of 22,000 times against open interest of 2,607 contracts. Trading in the $12 strike calls appears to be mixed, with the bulk of the contracts changing hands at $1.10 each. Strategists purchasing $12 strike calls on Halcon may profit at expiration in January of 2015 should shares in the energy company gain roughly 70% to trade above $13.10.

ZMH - Zimmer Holdings, Inc. – Options changing hands on the maker of knee and hip replacement products are looking for shares in Zimmer Holdings, Inc. to potentially decline during the next few weeks. Shares in ZMH are up 1.0% on Tuesday morning to stand at $73.45 as of 11:10 a.m. ET. The most actively traded contracts as measured by…
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Options Volume Pops At VeriFone As Shares Take A Dive

 

Today’s tickers: PAY, RFMD & SWKS

PAY - VeriFone Systems, Inc. – VeriFone’s lower-than-expected forecast for second-quarter earnings sent shares in the provider of electronic payment systems down nearly 40% to the lowest level since July 2010 on Thursday morning, and drove options volume on the stock to roughly four times its daily average by 11:35 a.m. ET. The total number of call and put options in play on VeriFone this morning at last check tops 24,400 contracts versus the stock’s average daily volume of around 6,100 contracts. Analysts at Deutsche Bank, Raymond James, Citi, JPMorgan and Piper Jaffray downgraded and/or lowered price targets on the stock today. Trading traffic in PAY call options suggests some contrarian traders are positioning for shares to potentially rebound somewhat in the near term. Options traders nibbling at upside calls picked up around 600 lots at the Mar. $22 strike for an average premium of $0.55 apiece in the early going. Call buyers may profit at expiration next month in the event that VeriFone shares jump 16% off today’s low of $19.43 to exceed the average breakeven price of $22.55. Around 360 calls were purchased at the higher Mar. $23 strike at an average premium of $0.29 apiece, as well. Meanwhile, hefty paper profits may be available for one strategist who appears to have sold around 500 Mar. $34 strike calls on Wednesday afternoon ahead of today’s selloff. Time and sales data indicates the call options were sold at a premium of $1.05 apiece yesterday, contracts that can now be bought back at just $0.05 each.

RFMD - RF Micro Devices, Inc. – Bearish options are changing hands on the semiconductor components manufacturer today, with shares in RF Micro Devices tumbling on a downgrade to ‘Market Perform’ from ‘Outperform’ at Raymond James on concerns of increased competition from Qualcomm, amid a down day for U.S. stocks across the board. Shares in RF Micro Devices are down more than 13% as of midday in New York to stand at $4.49. Traders positioning for…
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Traders Hop Into BNNY Puts after Frozen Pizza Recall Sends Shares Lower

 

Today’s tickers: BNNY, LSI & RFMD

BNNY - Annie’s, Inc. – Organic and natural food products provider, Annie’s, is taking it on the chin today after the company voluntarily recalled Annie’s Homegrown Frozen Pizza. The recall, initiated as a precautionary measure “due to the possible presence of fragments of flexible metal mesh caused by a faulty screen at a third-party flour mill”, according to a press release issued yesterday, spooked investors and sent shares in the name down nearly 14% after-hours to as low as $33.20. BNNY shares are currently off their lowest levelsbut remain firmly in negative territory, down 5.4% on the session to stand at $36.40 as of 11:10 a.m. ET on Wednesday morning. Options traders bracing for shares in Annie’s to potentially weaken further in the near term snapped up bearish puts on the stock. The Feb. $35 strike puts are the most actively traded contracts, with volume approaching 480 lots versus previously existing open interest of 32 contracts. Time and sales data indicates most of the puts were purchased for an average premium of $1.00 apiece. Put buyers may profit at February expiration in the event that BNNY shares decline 6.6% from the current price of $36.40 to breach the breakeven point on the downside at $34.00. The company is scheduled to report third-quarter earnings next week.

LSI - LSI Corp. – Upside call options on the maker of semiconductors and software are active this morning ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report after the closing bell. Shares in LSI Corp. are up 0.40% on the day at $7.33 as of 11:30 a.m. ET. The bulk of the volume in LSI options changed hands at the Feb. $7.0 strike, where upwards of 3,300 in-the-money calls traded against open interest of 1,512 contracts. It looks like most of the calls were purchased during the first few minutes of the trading session at an average premium of $0.60 apiece. Call buyers stand ready to profit at expiration should the price of the underlying climb 2.6% to top the average breakeven price of $7.60. The…
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RF Semi Stocks Back in Institutional Favor – Upgrades for RF Micro Devices (RFMD) and TriQuint Semiconductor (TQNT)

RF Semi Stocks Back in Institutional Favor – Upgrades for RF Micro Devices (RFMD) and TriQuint Semiconductor (TQNT)

Courtesy of Trader Mark at Fund My Mutual Fund

We mentioned Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) had broken out yesterday but its peers were still under resistance levels.  That is no longer an issue as both TriQuint Semiconductor (TQNT) and RF Micro Devices (RFMD) received upgrades today and the computers are rushing in as technical resistance has been blasted through.  This still remains one of my favorite spaces for the move into the smart phone culture, along with a backdoor play on the smart grid.

Unfortunately, the moves have been so dramatic the age old question of "chase or not to chase" is upon us.  In this market it’s not a hard question – you chase everything.
 


 
 

 

RFMD

  • RF Micro Devices (RFMD) are trading higher this morning after UBS analyst Uche Orji raised his rating on the mobile phone chip maker to Buy from Neutral; he keeps his $5.50 price target.
  • Orji cites three reasons for the more bullish stance:
  •  
  • With an improving balance sheet, risk profile has improved.
  • New products for the handset and other markets should drive margins, revenue higher.
  • Current P/E at 10.6x next 12 months looks attractive given 5-year average of about 18x.
  • He writes in a research note that checks from the handset food chain indicate continued strong demand with no signs of inventory build.

TQNT

  • TriQuint Semiconductor (TQNT) shares are on the rise this morning after Pacific Crest analyst Nathan Johnsen lifted his rating on the chip company’s stock to Outperform from Sector Perform, setting a price target of $7. Yesterday, the stock closed at $5.67.
  • “Recent meetings with TriQuint management have allowed us to more fully appreciate the potential opportunities for TriQuint’s networks business in 2010,” he writes. While the company’s handset business remains a risk given expected pricing pressures, he thinks that the networks segment could be an offset.
  • Johnsen upped his 2010 EPS estimate to 49 cents, from 39 cents; he’s now in line with the Street.
  • The analyst contends that with TriQuint trading at 11.6x his 2010 forecast, the stock is undervalued.

No positions but mulling.

 


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Zero Hedge

Substance Abuse Touches Around Half Of All American Families

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

According to Gallup, the effects of substance abuse are felt by around half of all American families, with, as Statista's Katharina Buchholz notes, only slight differences were recorded by the survey regarding race or sex.

46 perce...



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Phil's Favorites

Disney Did In 1 Day What Took HBO 4 Years: 10 Million Streaming Subscribers

Courtesy of ZeroHedge

Somewhere Netflix and Amazon video are sweating.

Disney announced today that Disney+ has reached a stunning 10 million plus subscribers just 24 hours after its launch yesterday in the U.S., Canada, and Netherlands; the figure surprised analysts who had expected a much slower rollout for Disney to reach that level, although let's just ignore that most of the new "subs" are only there thanks to one of the various free streaming offers (perhaps someone should launch WeStream).

Separately, Apptopia reported 3.2 million mobile app downloads in the first 24 hours, with an estimated 89% of mobile downloads in the U.S., 9% in Canada, and 2% in the Netherlands. In just one day, users spent 1.3 million hours watching it, Apptopia said, more th...



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The Technical Traders

Great Cycles Article PG 9 in TradersWorld Mag - Free

Courtesy of Technical Traders

  1. How to Use Price Cycles and Profit as a Swing Trader
  2. Geodetics and the Affairs of Men – USA, and China
  3. Cosmological Economics
  4. Time Machine
  5. Trading Means Pr...


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Digital Currencies

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

 

Is Bitcoin a Macro Asset?

Courtesy of 

As part of Coindesk’s popup podcast series centered around today’s Invest conference, I answered a few questions for Nolan Bauerly about Bitcoin from a wealth management perspective. I decided in December of 2017 that investing directly into crypto currencies was unnecessary and not a good use of a portfolio’s allocation slots. I remain in this posture today but I am openminded about how this may change in the future.

You can listen to this short exchange below:

...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Silver Testing This Support For The First Time In 8-Years!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Its been a good while since Silver bulls could say that it is testing support. Well, this week that can be said! Will this support test hold? Silver Bulls sure hope so!

This chart looks at Silver Futures over the past 10-years. Silver has spent the majority of the past 8-years inside of the pink shaded falling channel, as it has created lower highs and lower lows.

Silver broke above the top of this falling channel around 90-days ago at (1). It quickly rallied over 15%, before creating a large bearish reversal pattern, around 5-weeks after the bre...



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Insider Scoop

Analysts Upbeat On Skyworks' Fundamentals

Courtesy of Benzinga

Skyworks Solutions Inc (NASDAQ: SWKS) reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter earnings and revenues, but the stock is slipping in reaction to the year-over-year declines in both metrics.

The Analysts

Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya reiterated an Underperform rating and $92 price target for Skyworks shares. (See his track record ...



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Chart School

Gold Gann and Cycle Review

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Gold has performed well, golden skies are here again. In fact it has been a straight line move, and this is typically unusual and a pause can be expected.

It seems the markets are happy again, new highs in the SP500, US 10 year interest rates look to re bound, negative interest may soften. The US FED has reversed their QT and now doing $250BN (not QE) repo. The main point is the FED has stopped QT, and will do QE forever. The evidence now is the FED put is under market risk and the possibility of excessive losses do not exist. 

Point: If in future if there is market risk, the FED will print it's way out of it.
Subject To: In this blog view. The above is so until the amount required rocks confidence in the US dollar as a reserve currency.&n...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Today's Fed POMO TOMO FOMC Alphabet Soup Unspin

Courtesy of Lee Adler

But make no mistake, if the Fed wants money rates to stay down by another quarter, it will need to imagineer even more money.

That’s on top of the $281 billion it has already imagineered into existence since addressing its “one-off” repo market emergency on September 17. This came via  “Temporary” Repo Man Operations money, and $70.6 billion in Permanent Open Market Operations (POMO) money.

By my calculations that averages out to $7.4 billion per business day. That works out to a monthly pace of $155 billion or so.

If they keep this up, it will be more than enough to absorb every penny of new Treasury supply. That supply had caused the system to run out of money in mid September.  This flood of paper had been inundati...



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Biotech

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

Courtesy of  , Visual Capitalist

The Big Pharma Takeover of Medical Cannabis

As evidence of cannabis’ many benefits mounts, so does the interest from the global pharmaceutical industry, known as Big Pharma. The entrance of such behemoths will radically transform the cannabis industry—once heavily stigmatized, it is now a potentially game-changing source of growth for countless co...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Members' Corner

Despacito - How to Make Money the Old-Fashioned Way - SLOWLY!

Are you ready to retire?  

For most people, the purpose of investing is to build up enough wealth to allow you to retire.  In general, that's usually enough money to reliably generate a year's worth of your average income, each year into your retirement so that that, plus you Social Security, should be enough to pay your bills without having to draw down on your principle.

Unfortunately, as the last decade has shown us, we can't count on bonds to pay us more than 3% and the average return from the stock market over the past 20 years has been erratic - to say the least - with 4 negative years (2000, 2001, 2002 and 2008) and 14 positives, though mostly in the 10% range on the positives.  A string of losses like we had from 2000-02 could easily wipe out a decades worth of gains.

Still, the stock market has been better over the last 10 (7%) an...



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Promotions

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In My Top Strategies for 2017, Phil's chapter is Secret Santa’s Inflation Hedges for 2017.

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About Phil:

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