Posts Tagged ‘RZ’

Weekly Wrap-Up – Hitting Our Targets At Last!

Finally we break out!

Last Friday we had our charts that indicated it was possible but we played 55% bearish into the weekend thank goodness and, as I predicted in the weekend wrap-up, our broken clock (going into each weekend 55% bearish) was right twice as we had a harsh sell-off on Monday that did not get us off to a good start.  After last week's action, which I called "a big, ugly W," where 8,130 capped our gains on the Dow, we got a very nice 2.5% rule move for the week on a breakout where we held 8,130 to the downside.  While we still went into the weekend just a little bearish – it's getting harder to believe it as the relentless rally continues but better safe than sorry over the weekends as our rallies are still coming on very low volume and, other than Friday, we sold off into every close this week.

We finished the week right at the 8,200 mark that I predicted weeks ago would be the top of this rally.  In fact, the breakout levels we've been using since we first broke out over 7,632 in late March were DIA 8,130, S&P 870, Nas 1,700, NYSE 5,500 and RUT 480 – these were our break DOWN levels of January (and pretty much where we closed for the week) so, on the whole, we are nicely confirming that our "V" bottom of March 9th was an aberration and will NOT be revisited.  We do still expect a retest of 7,900 but 7,632 may now be off the table and our 8,650 target (the mid-point of what we've considered "fair value" since October) is just as likely to be hit before we see another pullback.

What we're looking for is a new range that confirms the 5% levels around 8,650, which is, as a floor, 8,200 (8,217 to be exact) and, at the top of the range, 9,100 (9,082).  The closer we get to 9,100 before pulling back, the more likely 8,200 firms up as a floor.  Volatility is certainly washing out of the market slowly but surely as the VIX finishes the week at 35.30, down 20% for the month against an 8% gain in the S&P - a complacency…
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Phil's Favorites

The most expensive stock on earth

 

The most expensive stock on earth

Courtesy of 

This weekend’s Barron’s looked at the phenomenon of technology companies with market capitalizations above $5 billion crushing the overall market this year, with names like DataDog, Fastly, Bill.com, DraftKings, Zscaler and Zoom Video all more than doubling year-to-date. Technology columnist Eric Savitz points out the most extreme performer of all, Shopify, which looks to me as though it’s now the most expensive stock on earth.

Shopify’s market cap now exceeds $120 billion and its stock price has zoomed above 1,000 per share. My chart below,...



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Zero Hedge

Google Joins Twitter, Facebook In Refusing To Cooperate With Hong Kong Nat Sec Law

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Update (1500ET): Google has just confirmed its intention not to cooperate with CCP officials or Hong Kong police regarding data requests under the new nat sec law.

  • GOOGLE STOPPED RESPONDING TO NEW HONG KONG DATA REQUESTS

That leaves Apple left...will Tim Cook dare to jeopardize Apple's access to Chinese markets just to show solidarity with Hong Kong?

* * *

Update (1220ET): Twitter has joined Facebook and Telegram in...



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ValueWalk

Bank OZK and John Wiley & Sons Reward Shareholders With Raises

By DIVIDEND GROWTH INVESTOR. Originally published at ValueWalk.

I review the list of dividend increases every week, in an effort to monitor existing holdings, and uncover hidden dividend gems for further research.

Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

I usually narrow my research to companies with a ten year history of annual dividend increases.

Bank Ozk Raises Its Dividends

Last week, there were two companies that raised dividends. The companies include:

Bank Ozk (NASDAQ:OZK) provides ...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Shangai Index Soars Higher, Testing 11-Year Breakout Level!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

Is the Shanghai Index (SSE) about to experience a long-term breakout and send the world a bullish message?

An 11-year breakout test is in play that will answer this question.

The Shanghai index trend continues to send a bullish message, as it has created a series of higher lows for the past 24-years above line (1).

This long-term support line was tested at the March lows at (2) and it held.

The rally off the lows has the index testing dual resistance at (3).

Will this important index succeed in breaking out? If it does at (3), it will send a very bu...



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Biotech/COVID-19

As U.S. buys up remdesivir, 'vaccine nationalism' threatens access to COVID-19 treatments

 

As U.S. buys up remdesivir, ‘vaccine nationalism’ threatens access to COVID-19 treatments

Are we really all in this together? ‘Vaccine nationalism’ must be addressed to ensure equitable distribution of a COVID-19 vaccine. (Pixabay)

Courtesy of Joel Lexchin, University of Toronto

At the end of June, the United States government announced that it had ...



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Chart School

Golds quick price move increases the odds of a correction

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Every market corrects, maybe profit taking, maybe of allowing those who missed out, to get in!


The current open interest on the gold contract looks to high after a very fast price move, it looks like 2008 may be repeating. A quick flushing out of the weak hands open interest may take place before a real advance in price takes place. The correction may be on the back of a wider sell off of risk assets (either before of after US elections) as all assets suffer contagion selling (just like 2008).

This blog view is a gold price correction of 10% to 20% range is a buying opportunity. Of course we may see  a very minor price correction but a long time correction, a price or time is correction is expected, we shall watch and...

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The Technical Traders

Wild Volatility Continues As US Markets Attempt To Establish New Trend

Courtesy of Technical Traders

We’ve continued to attempt to warn investors of the risks ahead for the US and global markets by generating these research posts and by providing very clear data supporting our conclusions.  Throughout the entire months of May and June, we’ve seen various economic data points report very mixed results – and in some cases, surprise numbers as a result of the deep economic collapse related to the COVID-19 virus event.  This research post should help to clear things up going forward for most traders/investors.

As technical traders, we attempt to digest these economic data factors into technical and price analysis while determining where and what ...



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Lee's Free Thinking

These Charts Show COVID 19 Is Spreading in the US and Will Kill the Economy

 

These Charts Show COVID 19 Is Spreading in the US and Will Kill the Economy

Courtesy of  

The COVID 19 pandemic is, predictably, worsening again in much of the US. Only the Northeast, and to a lesser extent some Midwestern states, have been consistently improving. And that trend could also reverse as those states fully reopen.

The problem in the US seems to be widespread public resistance to recommended practices of social distancing and mask wearing. In countries where these practices have been practi...



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Digital Currencies

Blockchains can trace foods from farm to plate, but the industry is still behind the curve

 

Blockchains can trace foods from farm to plate, but the industry is still behind the curve

App-etising? LDprod

Courtesy of Michael Rogerson, University of Bath and Glenn Parry, University of Surrey

Food supply chains were vulnerable long before the coronavirus pandemic. Recent scandals have ranged from modern slavery ...



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Members' Corner

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

 

Coronavirus, 'Plandemic' and the seven traits of conspiratorial thinking

No matter the details of the plot, conspiracy theories follow common patterns of thought. Ranta Images/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Courtesy of John Cook, George Mason University; Sander van der Linden, University of Cambridge; Stephan Lewandowsky...



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Insider Scoop

Economic Data Scheduled For Friday

Courtesy of Benzinga

  • Data on nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for March will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
  • US Services Purchasing Managers' Index for March is scheduled for release at 9:45 a.m. ET.
  • The ISM's non-manufacturing index for March will be released at 10:00 a.m. ET.
  • The Baker Hughes North American rig count report for the latest week is scheduled for release at 1:00 p.m. ET.
...

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Promotions

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Feb. 26, 1pm EST

Click HERE to join the PSW weekly webinar at 1 pm EST.

Phil will discuss positions, COVID-19, market volatility -- the selloff -- and more! 

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Mike will show off the TradeExchange's new platform which you can try for free.  

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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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