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Thursday, May 16, 2024

Renzi’s Gamble Even Bigger Than Most Think

Courtesy of Mish.

Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi threatened to step down if a December government-reform measure he seeks does not pass.

The reform will dramatically reduce the power of the Senate. It will also give a parliamentary majority to the party that gets the most votes. Renzi wants that authority.

Ironically, if the referendum does pass, Italy is more likely to leave the Euro than if it doesn’t. A graph of Italian Voter Polls shows why.

Opinion Polling for the Next Italian General Election

italian-polls-2

italys-polotical-parties

Beppe Grillo’s Five Star Movement party (M5S) is now neck and neck with Renzi’s PD party. M5S is decidedly eurosceptic.

Should the referendum pass, but Renzi lose the next election, a eurosceptic party will have control over Italy.


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