Posts Tagged ‘Dark Pools’

The Road to World War III – The Global Banking Cartel Has One Card Left to Play

The Road to World War III – The Global Banking Cartel Has One Card Left to Play

By David DeGraw (h/t ZH)

The following is Part I to David DeGraw’s new book, “The Road Through 2012: Revolution or World War III.” This is the second installment to a new seven-part series that we will be posting throughout the next few weeks. You can read the introduction to the book here. To be notified via email of new postings from this series, subscribe here.

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Editor’s Note: The following is Part I to David DeGraw’s new book, “The Road Through 2012: Revolution or World War III.” This is the second installment to a new seven-part series that we will be posting throughout the next few weeks. You can read the introduction to the book here. To be notified via email of new postings from this series, subscribe here.

I: Economic Imperial Operations

The Road to World War III - The Global Banking Cartel Has One Card Left to PlayWhen we analyze our current crisis, focusing on the past few years of economic activity blinds us to the history and context that are vital to understanding the root cause. What we have been experiencing is not the result of an unforeseen economic crash that appeared out of the blue with the collapse of the housing market. It was certainly not brought on by people who bought homes they couldn’t afford. To frame this crisis around a debate on economic theory misses the point entirely. To even blame it on greedy bankers,…
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Dark Pools and Adverse Selection

Dark Pools and Adverse Selection

Courtesy of Tim at The Psy-Fi Blog 

15th December 1883:  Two highwaymen force a group of travellers to hand over their valuables on the King's Highway. Original Artwork: After Dadd. Original Publication: Illustrated London News - The King's Highway - pub. 1883  (Photo by HultonArchive/Illustrated London News/Getty Images)

Friendly Highwaymen

Scientists believe that a great deal of the universe is in hiding, being made up of dark matter which, rather inconveniently, refuses to interact with anything else and is therefore almost undetectable. In a similar fashion many stockmarket trades are now being carried out in so called dark pools, where they’re supposed to be similarly undetectable. Unfortunately, despite what many users of them think, you don’t need to construct a super-collider to detect trades in dark pools.

These dark pools are one way for investors to move large blocks of stock without alerting others to what they’re doing. They’re anonymous trades of indeterminate volume carried out in murky corners of the securities industry. As usual the industry argues that it’s doing investors a favour. That’s “favour” in the same way that a highwayman saved his victims from having to carry heavy bags of money about.

Off Market Mechanisms

Now you might think that the very act of trading large volumes without moving the market is a somewhat dubious practice given that the very idea of a market is to ensure transparency through price discovery. However markets don’t so much frown on this practice as positively welcome it. Yet even though dark pools, where private investors are excluded, are expanding rapidly they’re not quite so dark as many users imagine.

In essence dark pools are trading platforms which circumvent the normal stock exchanges. Everything happens off-market and everyone goes to great trouble to avoid publishing trading volumes – it’s not possible to know in real-time, and sometimes not ever, how much stock is being traded (although most trades are published after the event). The rationale behind this is for participants is to stop prices moving against them. Typically, in an open market if you attempt to buy or sell a large block of shares then the price will move up or down in response to this. Much effort is devoted to trying to prevent this happening, dark pools being only one method.

Price Setting on the Dark Side

However, if you don’t have open market price setting there’s got to be some other way of figuring out how to price a trade. Neatly dark pools parasitize open markets by using the mid-price of openly traded stocks. In theory this means that dark…
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“The Chief Executive [of Giant Dark Pool Said] the Amount of Money Devoted to High-frequency Trading Could ‘QUINTUPLE Between this Year and Next’”

“The [Head of One of the Biggest Dark Pools Said] the Amount of Money Devoted to High-frequency Trading Could ‘QUINTUPLE Between this Year and Next’"

Courtesy of Washington’s Blog

In a must-read essay, Senator Ted Kaufman reveals that – despite all of the talk coming out of Washington – high-frequency trading is set to explode:

We’ve gone from an era dominated by a duopoly of the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq to a highly fragmented market of more than 60 trading centers. Dark pools, which allow confidential trading away from the public eye, have flourished, growing from 1.5 percent to 12 percent of market trades in under five years.

Competition for orders is intense and increasingly problematic. Flash orders, liquidity rebates, direct access granted to hedge funds by the exchanges, dark pools, indications of interest, and payment for order flow are each a consequence of these 60 centers all competing for market share.

Moreover, in just a few short years, high frequency trading – which feeds everywhere on small price differences in the many fragmented trading venues – has skyrocketed from 30 to 70 percent of the daily volume.

Indeed, the chief executive of one of the country’s biggest block trading dark pools was quoted two weeks ago as saying that the amount of money devoted to high-frequency trading could "quintuple between this year and next."

Mr. President, we have no effective regulation in these markets.

Last week, Rick Ketchum, the Chairman & CEO of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority – the self-regulatory body governing broker-dealers – gave a very thoughtful and candid speech, which I applaud. In it, Mr. Ketchum admitted that we have inadequate regulatory market surveillance.

His candor was refreshing but also ominous: "There is much more to be done in the areas of front-running, manipulation, abusive short selling, and just having a better understanding of who is moving the markets and why."

Mr. Ketchum went on to say:

[T]here are impediments to regulatory effectiveness that are not terribly well understood and potentially damaging to the integrity of the markets…The decline of the primary market concept, where there was a single price discovery market whose on-site regulator saw 90-plus percent of the trading activity, has obviously become a reality. In its place are now two or three or maybe four regulators all looking at an incomplete picture of


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Goldman’s Dissembling (Dark Pools et.al.)

Here’s Karl’s take on Goldman Sachs’s story that they are doing us all a favor:  Oh Really? – Ilene

Goldman’s Dissembling (Dark Pools et.al.)

Record Earnings Lead To Big Bonuses On Wall Street

Courtesy of Karl Denninger at The Market Ticker

Now comes Goldman with yet another pack of misdirection:

Goldman told the Securities and Exchange Commission that computer-driven trading and an increase in stock transactions that occur off public exchanges has reduced consumer costs, increased competition and brought more liquidity to markets.

“The investing community (especially retail) has benefited from the evolving market structure and industry competition,” Goldman Sachs said in a summary of the 55-page report submitted to the agency.

You have to love the general gist of this thing.

Let’s break down what’s really going on here, because it is both instructive and, in my opinion, necessary.

Dark pools and High Frequency Trading reduce transparency.  The argument raised by Goldman and others is that these venues "improve price" for retail investors (and others), such as mutual funds (held by many retail investors.)  The problem is that this is the wrong metric to apply.

Trading in established stocks is in fact a negative sum game.  That is, for every share I get a "better price" on as a buyer, the seller gets a lower price.  Worse, since there there are commissions and fees involved in all transactions, the net effect of each trade is to dilute the total capital base in the system.

An example will serve to show this:

$1,100 in total money in the system.
100 shares @ $10 "quoted".
Taxes, commissions and exchange fees of 1% of the transaction.

The buyer and seller transact all 100 shares.  There is now $1,090 in total money (the other $10 has been siphoned off in commissions and fees.)

Do it again.  There is now $1,080 (another $10 has been siphoned off.)

Perform 10 transactions and oops – there isn’t enough money to transact an 11th time.

Now here’s the rub – the amount of "spread" that the market maker, which would be Goldman (among many others) can make is entirely dependent on the ability to hide the actual bid and offer by real investors!

That is, let’s assume that of the $10 in commissions and fees Goldman…
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Dark Pools, Goldman Front Running

Dark Pools, Goldman Front Running

Courtesy of Financial Ninja Ben

[ HT Displaced EMA ]

FN: Goldman Sachs (GS) could be using Dark Pools to front run order flow.

 


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Phil's Favorites

Powell Spews Baby Poop In Attempt To Reassure Investors

 

Powell Spews Baby Poop In Attempt To Reassure Investors

Courtesy of  

Let’s look at a few of Chairman Pow’s words at yesterday’s press conference. Please read them and tell me whether this sounds to you like a man who doesn’t understand what he’s doing. Or if you think he’s deliberately pulling words out of his ass, stringing them together, and spewing them from his mouth in an effort to gaslight the investing public.

I’ll take the latter. The Fed is in the propaganda business. It knows what it is doing. Double talk, lies, and utter bullshit are its stock-...



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Lee's Free Thinking

Powell Spews Baby Poop In Attempt To Reassure Investors

 

Powell Spews Baby Poop In Attempt To Reassure Investors

Courtesy of  

Let’s look at a few of Chairman Pow’s words at yesterday’s press conference. Please read them and tell me whether this sounds to you like a man who doesn’t understand what he’s doing. Or if you think he’s deliberately pulling words out of his ass, stringing them together, and spewing them from his mouth in an effort to gaslight the investing public.

I’ll take the latter. The Fed is in the propaganda business. It knows what it is doing. Double talk, lies, and utter bullshit are its stock-...



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Zero Hedge

Visualizing The World's Stock Market's Performance For The Past 30 Years

Courtesy of Jeff Desjardins, Visual Capitalist

Charting the World’s Major Stock Markets

Most investors around the world are familiar with the S&P 500 index.

Not only is it the most widely accepted barometer of U.S. stock market performance, but it’s also been on a 10-year bull run, now sitting at all-time highs near 3,170.

This week, we chart those historical returns, and then use the U.S. benchmark as a backdrop to compare other major stock markets around the world, such as those in Europe, Asia, and Canada.

Putting Them All at Scale

One challenge in comparing global markets directly is that all indices are on arbitrary scales. ...



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Chart School

Funds are getting ready to move out of USA

Courtesy of Read the Ticker

Just before the hang over in the US equity markets, money will move and take their well earned gains else where. Here is why.

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Charts in video.

US is in the late cycle boom.

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US stock market with the US dollar, they have risen together from 2012. A change of this will force money to move.


Cli...



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Kimble Charting Solutions

Euro Breakout In Play? Gold Bulls Sure Hope So!

Courtesy of Chris Kimble

The Euro has spent much of the past 2 years trading in a down-trend.

Though precious metals like Gold have fared well, this has been a bit of a headwind because it means that the US Dollar has remained firm.

Big Test In Play for the Euro

The Euro is testing a confluence of important support just as the downtrend is narrowing and ready for a “break”. That support includes lower falling wedge support and the Euro’s long term up-trend support line (see points 1 and 2).

If the Euro can succeed in breaking out at (3), it would be bullis...



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Insider Scoop

8 Healthcare Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session

Courtesy of Benzinga

Gainers
  • Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: SRPT) stock surged 36.4% to $137.00 during Friday's pre-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $6.1 billion. The most recent rating by Janney Capital, on December 13, is at Buy, with a price target of $175.00.
  • GlaxoSmithKline, Inc. (NYSE: GSK) shares surged 1.1% to $46.44. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $112.9 billion. According to the most recent rating by UBS, on November 21, the current rating is at Buy.
  • AstraZeneca, Inc. (NYSE: ...


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Digital Currencies

Three Men Arrested In NJ For Running Alleged $722 Million Crypto Ponzi Scheme

Courtesy of ZeroHedge View original post here.

Authored by Kollen Post via CoinTelegraph.com,

United States authorities in New Jersey have announced the arrest of three men who are accused of defrauding investors of over $722 million as part of alleged crypto ponzie scheme BitClub Network, per a Dec. 10 announcement from the Dep...



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Members' Corner

Tobin Smith: Foxocracy, the 2020 Election, and the Stock Market

 

For decades, Fox News has been spreading false information and hooking its audience into an angry, xenophobic and paranoid worldview. It's no mystery that Fox was instrumental in the 2016 election -- but how did it do it? How did it gain so much influence? Tobin Smith, CEO of Transformity Research, Inc. and former Fox News contributor and talk show host, explores this phenomenon and discusses Fox News’ emotionally predatory and partisan propaganda media strategies and tactics in his new book, ...



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The Technical Traders

VIX Warns Of Imminent Market Correction

Courtesy of Technical Traders

The VIX is warning that a market peak may be setting up in the global markets and that investors should be cautious of the extremely low price in the VIX. These extremely low prices in the VIX are typically followed by some type of increased volatility in the markets.

The US Federal Reserve continues to push an easy money policy and has recently begun acquiring more dept allowing a deeper move towards a Quantitative Easing stance. This move, along with investor confidence in the US markets, has prompted early warning signs that the market has reached near extreme levels/peaks. 

Vix Value Drops Before Monthly Expiration

When the VIX falls to levels below 12~13, this typically v...



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Biotech

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

Reminder: We are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

Why telling people with diabetes to use Walmart insulin can be dangerous advice

A vial of insulin. Prices for the drug, crucial for those with diabetes, have soared in recent years. Oleksandr Nagaiets/Shutterstock.com

Courtesy of Jeffrey Bennett, Vanderbilt University

About 7.4 million people ...



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Mapping The Market

How IPOs Are Priced

Via Jean Luc 

Funny but probably true:

...

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Phil has a chapter in a newly-released eBook that we think you’ll enjoy.

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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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